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ICT Policy Formulation and e-Strategy Development: A ... - un-apcict

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significant achievement in international collaboration. However, they risk being one of the<br />

last far-reaching global trade agreements to be concluded in the foreseeable future. This is<br />

because of the failure of the international comm<strong>un</strong>ity to reach an agreement at the Fifth WTO<br />

Ministerial meeting <strong>un</strong>der the Doha <strong>Development</strong> Agenda in Canc<strong>un</strong> in September 2003. The<br />

main stumbling block was the issue of subsidies, especially agricultural subsidies paid by<br />

developed co<strong>un</strong>tries to their farmers. This situation may change, but a resolution in the shortterm<br />

is <strong>un</strong>likely, given its immense political impact on the developed co<strong>un</strong>tries that pursue<br />

these distortionary measures.<br />

Of special interest to <strong>ICT</strong> policy formulation are trade rules affecting telecomm<strong>un</strong>ications<br />

regulation <strong>and</strong> licensing. These rules are especially important in opening up the<br />

telecomm<strong>un</strong>ications sector to competition <strong>and</strong> foreign investment. Some observers consider<br />

the break-up of monopolies a prerequisite of increasing information flows <strong>and</strong> for encouraging<br />

the diffusion of <strong>ICT</strong>s. Until the WTO agreements, the telecomm<strong>un</strong>ications markets in most<br />

co<strong>un</strong>tries had been closed to competition <strong>and</strong> had been operated by de facto monopolies, the<br />

national telecomm<strong>un</strong>ications operators. This is still the case in many of the non-signatory<br />

co<strong>un</strong>tries <strong>and</strong> it is changing slowly in some of the signatory co<strong>un</strong>tries 10 as well. For signatories,<br />

the end result will be similar in all cases – more open national <strong>and</strong> international markets for<br />

telecomm<strong>un</strong>ications goods <strong>and</strong> services.<br />

However, getting from one state to another is not that straightforward. Many factors influence<br />

the real <strong>and</strong> potential value of an operator in the eyes of a private sector investor. These include<br />

the size of the market in terms of number <strong>and</strong> density of potential customers (population<br />

density) as well as the geographic spread of these customers <strong>and</strong> their ability to pay for services.<br />

The actual <strong>and</strong> perceived value of the market <strong>and</strong> thus of the operator, the way privatization<br />

takes place, <strong>and</strong> the change management capacities of personnel are also issues that affect<br />

the success of privatization <strong>and</strong> delivery of services.<br />

Geographic spread is especially important because of the provision for <strong>un</strong>iversal access. There<br />

is a need to provide services to remote dwellers. However, the provision of rural telephony is<br />

completely <strong>un</strong>profitable <strong>and</strong> therefore <strong>un</strong>attractive to investors, for instance, in isl<strong>and</strong><br />

comm<strong>un</strong>ities of the South Pacific or for larger co<strong>un</strong>tries with small population bases such as<br />

Mongolia <strong>and</strong> many of the co<strong>un</strong>tries in Africa. If privatization is not properly managed, private<br />

operators will skim off the most profitable telecomm<strong>un</strong>ications services <strong>and</strong> leave remote,<br />

rural <strong>and</strong> poorer users out in the cold. Disparities increase, tensions rise, the co<strong>un</strong>try suffers<br />

<strong>and</strong> everyone loses.<br />

The transition can be made less difficult by proceeding cautiously, in a planned <strong>and</strong> stepwise<br />

fashion, with advice from experts in the field such as the International Telecomm<strong>un</strong>ication<br />

Union (ITU), other international agencies <strong>and</strong> private sector specialists. By adopting an<br />

integrated <strong>ICT</strong> strategy, including <strong>un</strong>iversal access provisions based on so<strong>un</strong>d market data<br />

<strong>and</strong> an analysis of best practices, a jurisdiction can avoid some of the pitfalls discussed above.<br />

However, there is no magic solution. One of the most challenging areas of <strong>ICT</strong> in support of<br />

10<br />

The full listing of WTO signatories can be fo<strong>un</strong>d at http://www.wto.org/english/thewto_e/whatis_e/tif_e/<br />

org6_e.htm.<br />

<strong>ICT</strong> <strong>Policy</strong> <strong>Formulation</strong> <strong>and</strong> e-<strong>Strategy</strong> <strong>Development</strong><br />

5

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