68. RETAILTexasmarketingpresentationFINAL.pdf - Enerplus
68. RETAILTexasmarketingpresentationFINAL.pdf - Enerplus
68. RETAILTexasmarketingpresentationFINAL.pdf - Enerplus
You also want an ePaper? Increase the reach of your titles
YUMPU automatically turns print PDFs into web optimized ePapers that Google loves.
The Game Plan<br />
<strong>Enerplus</strong> Corporation – Investor Update<br />
April 2011
<strong>Enerplus</strong> Overview<br />
• High-yielding North American energy producer<br />
• Focused on providing both growth and income to<br />
investors<br />
• Diversified asset base of high quality, low decline oil<br />
and gas assets complemented by growth assets in<br />
resource plays with superior economics - Bakken<br />
crude oil and Marcellus shale gas<br />
• Cash flow from operations and strong financial position<br />
support capital reinvestment and monthly dividend<br />
Monthly<br />
dividend<br />
plus growth<br />
potential<br />
• Strong internal technical and commercial expertise<br />
• Converted from income trust to dividend paying<br />
corporation on Jan 1, 2011<br />
1
Corporate Profile<br />
• Trading Symbol (TSX/NYSE) ERF<br />
• Market Capitalization (1) $5.2 billion<br />
• Enterprise Value (2) $5.9 billion<br />
• Average Daily Trading Value (Q1 2011) $45 million<br />
• 2011E Average Daily Production 78,000 – 80,000 BOE/day<br />
• 2011E Exit Production 80,000 – 84,000 BOE/day<br />
– Oil and Liquids Weighting 47%<br />
• 2011E Development Capital Spending $650 million<br />
• Long-Term Debt /Trailing 12-Month Cash Flow Ratio (3) 1.0x<br />
• Current Monthly Cash Dividend $0.18/share<br />
• Current Annualized Yield (at April 19, 2011) 7.3%<br />
1.Market Cap. at April 19, 2011 – based upon shares outstanding at December 31, 2010<br />
2.Market Cap. at April 19, 2011 plus outstanding debt (net of cash) at December 31, 2010<br />
3.Using outstanding debt and Cash Flow from Operations at December 31, 2010<br />
2
Dividend Philosophy<br />
• Imposes capital discipline and appropriate pace of<br />
development<br />
• Demand for yield supported by demographics,<br />
<strong>Enerplus</strong>’ current investor base and low interest<br />
rate environment<br />
• Excess cash flow in future years expected to be<br />
disproportionately allocated to reinvestment in<br />
assets<br />
We will<br />
continue to<br />
share our cash<br />
flow with<br />
investors<br />
• Current ~7% yield<br />
3
Significant Portfolio Repositioning<br />
Added over<br />
500,000 net new<br />
acres of<br />
undeveloped<br />
land<br />
Non-core<br />
dispositions have<br />
funded new<br />
growth<br />
acquisitions<br />
• Our goal was to improve the focus and profitability<br />
of our portfolio<br />
• Build core growth areas that would have scope and<br />
scale:<br />
• Bakken Crude Oil:<br />
• ~230,000 net acres in ND and SK<br />
• Marcellus Shale Gas:<br />
• ~200,000 net acres in PA, WV and MD<br />
• Deep Basin:<br />
• 80,000 net acres in AB & BC<br />
• Complement the foundation assets that generate<br />
free cash<br />
• Sale of non-core assets has helped to improve<br />
operating performance and fund acquisitions of new<br />
growth assets<br />
4
Our Assets<br />
Tight Gas/Shallow Gas<br />
• Capital Spending:<br />
• $60 MM tight gas<br />
• $10 MM shallow gas<br />
• 39% of production<br />
• 19% of NOI<br />
• 542 Bcfe 2P reserves<br />
2010 Divestments<br />
• Sold 10,400 BOE/day non-core assets<br />
• $870 MM in proceeds<br />
• 115 properties<br />
• Average netback $28/BOE<br />
• Op cost $14/BOE<br />
• 2P reserves – 34 MMBOE (69% oil)<br />
Crude Oil Waterfloods<br />
• $110 MM capital spending<br />
• 18% of production<br />
• 28% of NOI<br />
• 84 MMBOE 2P Reserves<br />
• 60 MMBOE Best Estimate<br />
Contingent Resource<br />
Bakken/Tight Oil<br />
• $300 MM capital spending<br />
• 20% of production<br />
• 36% of NOI<br />
• 58 MMBOE 2P Reserves<br />
• 60 MMBOE Best Estimate<br />
Contingent Resource<br />
Marcellus Shale Gas<br />
• $160 MM capital spending<br />
• 5% of production<br />
• 3% of NOI<br />
• 117 Bcfe 2P Reserves<br />
• 3.9 Tcfe Best Estimate Contingent<br />
Resource<br />
Based on 2011 outlook. Remaining percentages attributed to other conventional oil and gas properties<br />
5
2010 Year-End Reserves Summary<br />
P+P Reserves<br />
Oil<br />
Properties<br />
(MMBOE)<br />
Gas<br />
Properties<br />
(Bcfe)<br />
Total<br />
(MMBOE)<br />
Opening<br />
Balance 171.8 1,039 344.9<br />
Production (12.7) (105.4) (30.3)<br />
Divestments (23.4) (63.9) (34.0)<br />
Acquisitions 11 4.8 11.8<br />
Additions 16.8 107.3 34.7<br />
Revisions (2.6) (108.5) (20.7)<br />
Closing<br />
Balance 161.4 8<strong>68.</strong>9 306.2<br />
• Majority of decline in 2010 due to<br />
dispositions<br />
• Development capital delivering<br />
results<br />
• All-in $17.46/BOE F&D before<br />
revisions<br />
• $10.74/BOE F&D at Ft Berthold<br />
• $1.64/Mcfe F&D at Marcellus<br />
• Revisions primarily in shallow gas<br />
properties<br />
• 40% of revisions due to price<br />
decline<br />
• Performance revisions at<br />
Shackleton ~ $100 MM PV10%<br />
- 2% of year-end NPV<br />
6
Current Reserves Breakdown<br />
53% Oil and NGL’s<br />
• Over 50% of reserves are<br />
from key resource plays<br />
MMBOE<br />
350<br />
300<br />
250<br />
200<br />
150<br />
100<br />
50<br />
0<br />
306.2 MMBOE<br />
P+P Reserves<br />
19%<br />
27%<br />
6%<br />
18%<br />
12%<br />
18%<br />
2010<br />
Bakken<br />
Waterfloods<br />
Marcellus<br />
Tight Gas<br />
Shallow Gas<br />
Other Oil & Gas<br />
• Oil weighting is now 53% of<br />
total reserves<br />
• PDP reserves - 62%<br />
• Proved reserves - 72%<br />
• Conservative booked future<br />
locations - 313 net locations<br />
across portfolio<br />
• Bakken reserves have<br />
increased by 42% in last two<br />
years<br />
• Shallow gas reserves now<br />
have significantly lower<br />
corporate weighting<br />
7
Added Meaningful Upside Potential<br />
Crude<br />
Oil<br />
Natural<br />
Gas<br />
P+P<br />
Reserves<br />
0.9 Tcf<br />
P+P<br />
Reserves<br />
161<br />
MMBOE<br />
* See disclaimer for disclosure on Contingent Resources.<br />
Company Interest reserves as at December 31, 2010.<br />
Best Estimate<br />
Contingent<br />
Resources*<br />
120 MMBOE<br />
Best Estimate<br />
Contingent Resources*<br />
3.9 Tcf<br />
• Marcellus, North Dakota Bakken<br />
and waterflood contingent<br />
resource is 3.5x current P+P<br />
reserves<br />
• Significant future opportunity<br />
captured in best estimates of<br />
contingent resources:<br />
• ND Bakken: 60 MMBOE,<br />
90 future drilling locations<br />
• Waterflood: 60 MMBOE<br />
• Marcellus: 3.9 Tcf, 926<br />
future drilling locations<br />
• We also believe there is further<br />
potential in our Bakken,<br />
Waterflood and Deep Basin<br />
lands<br />
8
We Can Deliver Growth<br />
• Portfolio has mature, stable cash generating assets<br />
complemented by key growth opportunities<br />
• $1.3 billion in capital spending over next 2 years<br />
• Production growth of 10 - 15%<br />
• 5% debt-adjusted growth in 2012<br />
• Cash flow growth of 15% by end of 2012<br />
• Capital increases by 20% to $650 million in 2011<br />
• 2011 capital spending focused on oil projects<br />
Production<br />
growth of<br />
10 – 15% over<br />
next two-year<br />
period<br />
• 85% of spending on Bakken, Waterfloods and Marcellus<br />
• Similar level of spending in 2012<br />
• Beyond 2012, expect 5% debt-adjusted growth per year<br />
9
2011 Capital Focus<br />
Resource Play<br />
Capital<br />
($MM)<br />
#<br />
of Net<br />
Wells<br />
2010 Exit<br />
Production<br />
(MBOE/day)<br />
2011E<br />
Exit Production<br />
(MBOE/day)<br />
Change<br />
Exit to Exit IRR** BESC**<br />
Bakken/Tight Oil 300 48 13.3 18 – 21 35 – 55% >40% $40 – 55/bbl<br />
Waterfloods 110 26 13.8 13 – 15 0 – 10% >30% $60/bbl<br />
Marcellus Shale Gas 160 27 2.9 7 – 8 140 – 170% 10 – 30% $3.50 – 4.50/Mcf<br />
Sub-Total $570 101 30 38.5 – 44 30 – 45%<br />
Company Total* $650 113 77.2 80 – 84 5 – 10%<br />
Over 90% of drilling is horizontal wells<br />
* Includes spending on Shallow Gas ($10 MM), Tight Gas ($60 MM) and Other Conventional Oil & Gas ($10 MM)<br />
** Using February 14, 2011 forward prices. Marcellus economics are based on 4, 5 and 6 Bcf type wells assuming a $4.50/MMBtu gas price<br />
BESC – Breakeven supply cost providing a 12% rate of return<br />
10
Production Outlook<br />
MMBOE/day<br />
100<br />
90<br />
80<br />
70<br />
Bakken<br />
60<br />
Marcellus<br />
50<br />
Waterfloods<br />
40<br />
30<br />
20<br />
Rest of Portfolio<br />
10<br />
0<br />
Exit 2010 Exit 2011 Exit 2012<br />
43% Liquids 47% Liquids 49% Liquids<br />
Growing Oil<br />
• Increase in oil weighting results<br />
in approaching an even split<br />
between gas and liquids<br />
• Oil production is +80%<br />
weighted to light/medium<br />
grades<br />
Decline Profile<br />
• Higher decline in growth plays<br />
increases corporate decline<br />
over next several years before<br />
stabilizing<br />
• 2010 exit corporate decline at<br />
19%<br />
• increasing 2% - 4% per<br />
year<br />
11
Financial Outlook<br />
900<br />
800<br />
Oil<br />
Gas<br />
Adjusted Payout Ratio<br />
Cash Flow Estimates<br />
180%<br />
160%<br />
• 2011 and 2012 cash flow is<br />
approximately 70%<br />
weighted to liquids, up from<br />
approximately 65% in 2010<br />
700<br />
600<br />
140%<br />
120%<br />
• Balance sheet supports<br />
growth plans through 2012<br />
$ Millions<br />
500<br />
400<br />
300<br />
200<br />
100<br />
0<br />
2010 2011 2012<br />
100%<br />
80%<br />
60%<br />
40%<br />
20%<br />
0%<br />
• Payout ratios decline as<br />
production from growth<br />
plays increases<br />
• Non-cash flow generating<br />
asset sales expected to<br />
help maintain financial<br />
flexibility<br />
Adjusted Payout Ratio = (Capex+Dividends)/Cash Flow<br />
Based upon the forward commodity prices (WTI US$98/bbl, AECO $3.85/Mcf, NYMEX Gas US$4.50/MMBtu) and<br />
forecast costs as of February 14, 2011 including the impact of hedging<br />
12
Managing the Balance Sheet<br />
Debt to Cash Flow Ratio<br />
2.5x<br />
2.0x<br />
1.5x<br />
1.0x<br />
0.5x<br />
0.0x<br />
1.0x<br />
2.0x<br />
Exit 2010 2012<br />
Potential Funding Sources<br />
• Equity portfolio interests with<br />
book value of ~$150 million<br />
• Laricina – 4.3 million shares<br />
• Non-core conventional and oil<br />
sands acreage<br />
• YTD sold non-cash generating<br />
interests for ~$60 million<br />
• Marcellus<br />
• Possibly reduce a portion of<br />
our interests<br />
13
Crude<br />
Oil
U.S. Bakken<br />
Regional Overview<br />
<strong>Enerplus</strong>: Sleeping Giant<br />
<strong>Enerplus</strong>: Ft Berthold<br />
Source: RSEG, Oct. 2010<br />
15
Bakken & Three Forks Geology<br />
Middle Bakken<br />
Upper Three Forks<br />
Geological Age Mississippian Devonian<br />
Depth 10,500 – 11,000 ft 10,600 – 11,000 ft<br />
Thickness 35 – 45 ft 30 – 45 ft<br />
Porosity 5 - 6% 6 - 10%<br />
Overpressure 0.6 – 0.8 psi/ft 0.6 – 0.8 psi/ft<br />
OOIP/640 acres 4 - 6 MMbbls 4 - 5 MMbbls<br />
• Believe all our acreage is prospective for<br />
dual development<br />
• Industry testing Three Forks proximal to<br />
our leasehold:<br />
• Helis Oil and Gas Dodge well offsetting<br />
our acreage to the west - produced 90<br />
Mbbls in 4 months<br />
Source: Tudor Pickering Holt & Co.<br />
• Kodiak well offsetting our acreage to the<br />
east - 24 hour IP rate of 1,042 BOE/day;<br />
30 day average of 603 BOE/day - only 6<br />
of 22 stages currently completed<br />
16
Fort Berthold Reserves vs. Contingent Resource<br />
MMBOE<br />
70<br />
60<br />
50<br />
40<br />
30<br />
20<br />
10<br />
22.4<br />
Almost 3x P+P<br />
reserve upside<br />
60<br />
• 22.4 MMBOE P+P reserves<br />
• 24 booked drilling locations<br />
• Less than 1 year’s drilling<br />
locations<br />
• 60 MMBOE of “best estimate”<br />
contingent resource from the<br />
Bakken only<br />
• 90 future drilling locations<br />
• 65% long laterals<br />
• 85% land utilization<br />
• ~15% recovery factor<br />
0<br />
P+P Reserves<br />
Contingent Resource<br />
Best Estimate<br />
• Incremental upside from the<br />
Three Forks and downspacing<br />
17
Fort Berthold, North Dakota<br />
Key Facts<br />
Net Acreage<br />
Current Production<br />
P+P Reserves (Dec. 31, 2010)<br />
Contingent Resource Est. (Best)<br />
74,500 (116 sections)<br />
~4,000 BOE/day<br />
22.4 million BOE<br />
60 million BOE<br />
• Bakken & Three Forks potential<br />
• Long lease tenure, concentrated<br />
acreage position<br />
• 42° API, light sweet crude oil<br />
• High netback production ~$50/bbl<br />
• Production growth to over 20,000<br />
BOE/day over next 4 years<br />
>90% operated & ~90% working interest<br />
18
Fort Berthold Bakken Results to Date<br />
Long Laterals<br />
(9,000 ft. 24 frac stages)<br />
Type<br />
Curve<br />
Actual<br />
4 Well avg<br />
Short Laterals<br />
(4,500 ft. 12 frac stages)<br />
Type<br />
Curve<br />
Actual<br />
5 Well avg<br />
Average 30 day initial production (bbls/day) 1,100 – 1,200 1,250 550 – 650 730<br />
Expected Ultimate Recovery (Mbbls) 600 – 800 300 – 400<br />
Cost/Well ($/MM) $8.5 $8.5 $6.0 $6.0<br />
120 day Cumulative Production (bbls) 81,000 100,000 40,000 59,000<br />
Expected Net Present Value (12%, $MM)* $11.2 - $18.0 $3.9 – $7.4<br />
Expected Netback* ($/bbl) ~$50 ~$50<br />
Expected Payout Period (years) 1.3 – 0.8 2.2 – 1.3<br />
Expected F&D ($/BOE) $13.00 - $9.75 $18.50 - $13.50<br />
*Based on February 14, 2011 forward price<br />
Royalties average 20%, plus state production tax of 11.5%, op costs of $4/bbl, Differential assumption of $10 - $12/bbl<br />
19
Fort Berthold Results<br />
Long laterals are 35% ahead of the average type well prediction<br />
Short laterals are 45% ahead of the average type well prediction<br />
160,000<br />
Barrels<br />
140,000<br />
120,000<br />
100,000<br />
Actual Short Bakken Laterals (5 Wells)<br />
Actual Long Bakken Laterals (4 Wells)<br />
Cumulative Short Type Well<br />
Cumulative Long Type Well<br />
80,000<br />
60,000<br />
40,000<br />
20,000<br />
-<br />
0 30 60 90 120 150 180<br />
Days Producing<br />
20
2011 Fort Berthold Bakken Plans<br />
• 2011 capital program - $230 million<br />
• 32 net operated wells, 75% long horizontals<br />
• Targeting Bakken primarily; 3 to 8 Three Forks wells<br />
planned<br />
• 3 to 4 rigs working in the play<br />
• Recently entered into agreements to secure frac<br />
services, proppant and a rig to help ensure timely<br />
execution of plans<br />
• Expect to have midstream service agreements in place in<br />
mid-2011 to capture associated gas and liquids<br />
Production<br />
grows from<br />
4,000 bbls/day to<br />
+20,000 BOE/day<br />
over next 4 years<br />
21
Significant Future Production Growth from Fort Berthold<br />
Manageable growth, self-funding in 1 – 2 years<br />
30,000<br />
25,000<br />
20,000<br />
Production assuming 4 rigs<br />
Incremental production - 4 to 6 rigs<br />
Capital required - 4 rigs<br />
Incremental capital required - 4 to 6 rigs<br />
Free Cash Flow (NOI - Capex) - 4 rigs<br />
Free Cash Flow (NOI - Capex) - 4 to 6 rigs<br />
$600<br />
$500<br />
$400<br />
• Growth potential of<br />
20,000 – 25,000 BOE/day<br />
by 2014<br />
• Over $1 billion of capital<br />
over next 4 years<br />
BOE/day<br />
15,000<br />
10,000<br />
$300<br />
$200<br />
$ Millions<br />
• Net operating income<br />
approaches ~$500 million<br />
by 2014<br />
5,000<br />
0<br />
2011 2012 2013 2014<br />
$100<br />
$0<br />
• Expected F&D cost of<br />
$11 - $16/BOE<br />
-5,000<br />
-$100<br />
Assumes February 14, 2011 strip pricing<br />
22
U.S. Bakken Infrastructure Capacity<br />
Barrels<br />
800,000<br />
700,000<br />
600,000<br />
500,000<br />
400,000<br />
300,000<br />
200,000<br />
100,000<br />
Pipe<br />
Capacity<br />
Shortfall<br />
Plains Bakken Proposal<br />
Keystone XL Market Link<br />
Belle Fourche Proposal<br />
Enbridge Bakken<br />
125k<br />
80k<br />
Enbridge North Dakota<br />
Butte Pipeline<br />
50k<br />
100k<br />
60k<br />
93k<br />
186k<br />
150k<br />
• Current U.S. Bakken<br />
production is ~400<br />
MBOE/day<br />
• 500 MBOE/day in 2011<br />
• Pipeline capacity shortfall:<br />
• 80 MBOE/day in 2010<br />
• could increase to 125<br />
MBOE/day in 2011<br />
• Rail and trucking covers<br />
capacity shortfall<br />
Mandan Refinery<br />
55k<br />
0<br />
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025<br />
Source: Internal company data and industry analysis<br />
• Numerous new pipelines and expansions of over 300 MBOE/day are proposed to<br />
address the takeaway shortfall<br />
• We control some pipeline capacity and also sell to intermediaries who hold capacity on<br />
existing pipelines or who have access to trucking/railing facilities<br />
23
Waterfloods<br />
Key Facts<br />
OOIP<br />
P+P Reserves (Dec 31, 2010)<br />
Best Est. Contingent Resources<br />
~1.3 billion BOE<br />
83.7 MMBOE<br />
(booked to 27%)<br />
60.5 MMBOE<br />
Recovery to date 21%<br />
Average Oil Quality<br />
2011E Annual Production<br />
30° API<br />
13.5 – 15.0 MBOE/day<br />
18% of company total<br />
Low decline, predictable base production<br />
• Free cash flow supports dividend and growth<br />
strategy<br />
• ~50% of operating income reinvested into<br />
waterflood assets<br />
• Production expected to decline at ~10% before<br />
capital additions in 2011<br />
• 2010 additions of 3.5 MMBOE (plus 0.6 MMBOE<br />
positive revisions)<br />
24
Waterflood Reserves vs. Contingent Resource Upside<br />
90<br />
80<br />
70<br />
60<br />
Over 70% upside to P+P reserves<br />
60.5<br />
• 83.7 MMBOE P+P reserves<br />
• 45 booked drilling locations<br />
• No reserves booked associated<br />
with EOR pilots<br />
MMBOE<br />
50<br />
40<br />
83.7<br />
EOR<br />
34.3<br />
• 60.5 MMBOE of “best estimate”<br />
contingent resource assessed on a<br />
portion of our waterflood properties<br />
30<br />
20<br />
10<br />
0<br />
P+P Reserves<br />
Dec 31, 2010<br />
IOR<br />
26.2<br />
"Best Estimate"<br />
Contingent Resource<br />
• EOR contingent resource included<br />
only at 2 properties where projects<br />
underway<br />
• Further upside potential exists under<br />
both IOR and EOR scenarios<br />
25
Waterflood Development Plans<br />
• 2011 Plans - $110 million<br />
• Drilling 26 wells, advancing polymer<br />
pilots<br />
• Reviewing all major waterflood<br />
properties for enhanced recoveries<br />
using new drilling technologies and<br />
EOR opportunities<br />
• Mature fields require facilities<br />
upgrades to support future production<br />
• ~$50 million on facilities in 2010<br />
• ~$40 million budgeted for 2011<br />
• Over 30% IRR on 2011 capital<br />
program<br />
• 2011E op costs of $14.50/BOE with<br />
NOI of over $40.00/BOE based on<br />
current commodity prices<br />
Invest to maintain production while<br />
setting up future opportunity<br />
Key Properties<br />
2011<br />
Capital<br />
Budget<br />
($MM)<br />
Play<br />
Medicine Hat Glauc C, AB $24 Glauconitic<br />
Freda Ratcliffe, SK $18 Ratcliffe<br />
Virden/Daly, MB $13 Lodgepole<br />
Giltedge, AB $9 Lloydminster<br />
Gleneath, AB $9 Viking<br />
Pembina 5-Way, AB $4 Cardium<br />
Joarcam, AB $3 Viking<br />
Other $30 Various<br />
26
Natural<br />
Gas
Marcellus Shale Gas Overview<br />
• Current land position of<br />
~ 200,000 net acres<br />
• 70,000 net operated acres with an<br />
average working interest of 90%<br />
• Long lease tenure at attractive<br />
entry price in area that has<br />
good thickness & maturity<br />
• Average 24% non-operated working<br />
interest in ~467,000 gross acres<br />
(~114,000 net) primarily in<br />
Pennsylvania and West Virginia with<br />
Chief Oil & Gas<br />
• Average 19% non-operated working<br />
interest in ~103,000 gross acres<br />
(~20,000 net) in NE Pennsylvania<br />
with EXCO Resources<br />
28
Marcellus Potential<br />
Planned<br />
production<br />
growth of over<br />
150 MMcf/day<br />
over next 4<br />
years<br />
Contingent Resource Est. 2009 2010<br />
Operated - 1.2 Tcfe<br />
Non-Operated 2.1 Tcfe 2.7 Tcfe<br />
Total 2.1 Tcfe 3.9 Tcfe<br />
# of Net Locations 639 926<br />
Land Utilization 55% 65%<br />
Average EUR/Well 3.4 Bcfe average 4.2 Bcfe average<br />
Well Costs $4 – $5 million $4.5 – $6.8 million<br />
Density 4-8 wells/640 acres 4-8 wells/640 acres<br />
2P Reserves 24 Bcfe 117 Bcfe<br />
3.9 Tcfe of<br />
best estimate<br />
contingent<br />
resource<br />
• Majority of reserve bookings are in Lycoming, Susquehanna<br />
and Marshall counties - represents about 1 year’s drilling<br />
• Best estimate of contingent resource is nearly 5x booked<br />
corporate 2P natural gas reserves<br />
• Attractive finding and development costs of $1.64/Mcfe in 2010<br />
and over life<br />
29
Marcellus Performance – Cumulative Production<br />
Type curve estimates have been increased as well<br />
results have either met or exceeded our expectations<br />
25% of wells are above 6 Bcfe type curve<br />
1,400,000<br />
6.0 Bcfe Type Curve<br />
1,200,000<br />
3.5 Bcfe Type Curve<br />
Cumulative Production (Mcfe)<br />
1,000,000<br />
800,000<br />
600,000<br />
400,000<br />
Top 5 wells with 180 days of production<br />
Average Actual Production<br />
200,000<br />
0<br />
0 30 60 90 120 150 180 210 240 270 300 330 360<br />
Days Producing<br />
30
Marcellus Well Economics<br />
80%<br />
NYMEX<br />
$/MMbtu<br />
IRR<br />
4.0 Bcf Well 5.0 Bcf Well 6.0 Bcf Well<br />
Payout<br />
(Years)<br />
NPV 12%<br />
($MM)<br />
IRR<br />
Payout<br />
(Years)<br />
NPV 12%<br />
($MM)<br />
IRR<br />
Payout<br />
(Years)<br />
NPV 12%<br />
($MM)<br />
* Assumes long-run<br />
well cost of $6.0 MM<br />
$6.00 27% 3.4 $2.51 41% 2.5 $4.57 57% 2.0 $6.62<br />
60%<br />
$5.00 16% 4.9 $0.75 26% 3.4 $2.37 37% 2.6 $3.99<br />
$4.00 7% 8.6 ($1.02) 13% 5.7 $0.17 20% 4.2 $1.35<br />
BTAX IRR<br />
40%<br />
• Wells in the liquids rich gas window of the Marcellus<br />
that have higher liquids content show a ~20%<br />
improvement in netbacks versus dry gas wells<br />
6.0 Bcf Type Curve<br />
20%<br />
3.5 Bcf Type Curve<br />
0%<br />
$3 $4 $5 $6<br />
NYMEX Gas ($US/MMBtu)<br />
31
Marcellus Drilling Activity To Date*<br />
Gross Wells Drilled (at Mar 3, 2011) Horizontal Vertical Total<br />
Producing 42 9 51<br />
Partially Drilled** 4 1 5<br />
Waiting on Completion 33 5 38<br />
Waiting on Pipeline 11 6 17<br />
Total Gross Wells 90 21 111<br />
* Includes operated and non-op wells drilled by Chief & Exco<br />
**Vertical portion of well drilled, awaiting horizontal extension<br />
• Current plans show drilling activity in 12 counties in PA, as well as Marshall and<br />
Preston counties in West Virginia<br />
• Majority of producing wells in Bradford, Lycoming and Susquehanna Counties in NE<br />
PA (>80% of current production) and Marshall County in WV<br />
• Current net production is ~20 MMcfe/day<br />
32
2011 Marcellus Plans<br />
• 2011 capital program of $160 million<br />
• 150 gross wells planned (22.4 net)<br />
• Operated : 5 gross wells, 1 rig<br />
• Non-Operated: 145 gross wells, 8 - 10 rigs<br />
• Expect to complete ~121 gross wells with 94 new<br />
gross wells on stream by the end of the year<br />
• Capital:<br />
• 25% directed to liquids rich gas in SW PA and NW<br />
WV<br />
• 30% directed to delineation activity to preserve<br />
lease positions and identify future potential<br />
• 45% of capital directed to development drilling in<br />
areas with EUR’s of 4.5 to 5.5 Bcf<br />
• May see upward pressure on capital due to<br />
activity levels<br />
• Current average netback ~$2.50/Mcfe<br />
Production<br />
growth of<br />
150% in<br />
2011<br />
33
Future Production Growth in the Marcellus (unconstrained)<br />
Full scale development not planned. Sizeable resource capture provides<br />
opportunity for material development even with partial interest reduction<br />
MMcfe/day<br />
350<br />
300<br />
250<br />
200<br />
150<br />
100<br />
50<br />
0<br />
-50<br />
-100<br />
-150<br />
-200<br />
Production<br />
Capital<br />
Free Cash Flow (NOI - Capex)<br />
2011 2012 2013 2014<br />
$1,200<br />
$1,000<br />
$800<br />
$600<br />
$400<br />
$200<br />
$0<br />
-$200<br />
-$400<br />
-$600<br />
$ Millions<br />
• Under full scale development<br />
(unconstrained), production<br />
grows to 350 MMcfe/day by<br />
end of 2014<br />
• Over $2.4 billion of capital<br />
over next 4 years<br />
• Net operating income grows<br />
to over $500 million by 2014<br />
• Expected F&D cost of<br />
~$1.60/Mcf<br />
-250<br />
-$800<br />
Assumes February 14, 2011 strip pricing<br />
34
Marcellus Water Access & Handling<br />
• ERF and our JV partners have sufficient<br />
water source permits to execute<br />
development plans<br />
• ERF and our JV partners are permitting and<br />
constructing additional water impoundments<br />
• ERF developing centralized water<br />
infrastructure with gas gathering system<br />
(Centre County, PA)<br />
• Implemented closed loop system for drilling<br />
fluids management in 2010<br />
• Goal to recycle 100% of produced and flow<br />
back water by end of 2011<br />
• Chief building a centralized tank farm for<br />
storage and recycling<br />
• ERF reusing flow back fluid on location to<br />
reduce fresh water use<br />
• JV partners utilizing industrial water<br />
treatment plants and disposal wells for<br />
water disposal<br />
35
Long-Term Strategy for <strong>Enerplus</strong><br />
• Balanced portfolio of oil and gas assets<br />
• Focus on both mature properties and early stage<br />
growth plays to manage corporate decline rates and<br />
ensure disciplined capital investment<br />
• Build concentrated positions in core areas to deliver<br />
top quartile results and be the “best” operator<br />
• Continue to opportunistically pursue strategic<br />
acquisition - no plans to sell further cash generating<br />
assets at this time<br />
Provide<br />
sustained total<br />
return of<br />
10% – 15%<br />
per year to<br />
shareholders<br />
• Balance sheet can support our plans<br />
• Continue to unlock the value from our foundation<br />
assets<br />
36
Supplemental Information<br />
The Game Plan
2011 Guidance<br />
Summary of 2011 Expectations Target Comments<br />
Average annual production<br />
78,000 - 80,000 BOE/day<br />
Exit rate 2011 production 80,000 - 84,000 BOE/day Assumes $650 million development<br />
capital spending<br />
2011 production mix 53% gas, 47% liquids<br />
Average royalty rate 20% Percentage of gross sales (net of<br />
transportation costs)<br />
Operating costs<br />
$9.20/BOE<br />
G&A costs $3.30/BOE Includes non-cash charges of<br />
$0.30/BOE (stock option plan) and<br />
$0.20/BOE impact of the new IFRS<br />
rules<br />
Average interest and financing costs 6% Based on current fixed rate contracts<br />
and forward interest rates<br />
Development capital spending $650 million Within the context of current commodity<br />
prices<br />
Marcellus carry commitment spending $116 million Will be reported as a property<br />
acquisition<br />
38
2011 Annual Production Outlook<br />
BOE/day<br />
86,000<br />
84,000<br />
82,000<br />
80,000<br />
78,000<br />
76,000<br />
74,000<br />
72,000<br />
2011 Production Profile<br />
Range of production<br />
Capital Allocation:<br />
• 65% to growth plays<br />
• 35% to foundation assets<br />
• Capital spend evenly<br />
weighted throughout the year<br />
• Longer cycle times at Fort<br />
Berthold and Marcellus influencing<br />
production build throughout year<br />
70,000<br />
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4<br />
39
Cash Flow Sensitivity<br />
The sensitivities below reflect all commodity contracts and forward markets as at February 14,<br />
2011. To the extent the market price of crude oil and natural gas change significantly from<br />
current levels, the sensitivities will no longer be relevant as the effect of our commodity<br />
contracts will change.<br />
Sensitivity Table<br />
Estimated Effect on 2011<br />
Cash Flow per Share (1)<br />
Change of $0.50 per Mcf in the price of AECO natural gas $0.18<br />
Change of US$5.00 per barrel in the price of WTI crude oil $0.09<br />
Change of 1,000 BOE/day in production $0.08<br />
Change of $0.01 in the US$/CDN$ exchange rate $0.06<br />
Change of 1% in interest rate $0.03<br />
(1)<br />
Assumes 178,939,000 shares outstanding.<br />
The impact of a change in one factor may be compounded or offset by changes in other factors. This table does not consider the<br />
impact of any inter-relationship among the factors.<br />
40
Hedging<br />
The following is a summary of the financial contracts in place at February 14, 2011<br />
expressed as a percentage of our forecasted net production volumes:<br />
Natural Gas<br />
(CDN$/Mcf)<br />
January 1, 2011<br />
– March 31, 2011<br />
January 1, 2011<br />
– December 31, 2011<br />
Crude Oil<br />
(US$/bbl)<br />
January 1, 2012<br />
– December 31, 2012<br />
Sold Puts (limiting downside protection) $4.15 $56.50 -<br />
% of forecasted 2011 net production 26% 11% -<br />
Swaps (fixed price) $6.39 $87.27 $94.60<br />
% of forecasted 2011 net production 33% 58% 20%<br />
Purchased Calls (repurchasing upside) $6.48 $ 101.17 -<br />
% of forecasted 2011 net production 26% 11% -<br />
41
Reserves and Contingent Resources<br />
Play Types<br />
Proved<br />
Proved plus<br />
Probable<br />
Reserves<br />
Proved plus<br />
Probable<br />
Booked<br />
Net Drilling<br />
Locations<br />
“Best<br />
Estimate”<br />
Contingent<br />
Resources<br />
Future<br />
Contingent<br />
Resource<br />
Drilling<br />
locations<br />
Bakken/Tight Oil (MMBOE) 38.0 57.5 39 60* 90<br />
Crude Oil Waterfloods (MMBOE) 65.2 83.7 45 60** n/a<br />
Other Conventional Oil (MMBOE) 20.8 27.7 23 - -<br />
Total Oil (MMBOE) 124.0 1<strong>68.</strong>9 107 120 90<br />
Marcellus Shale Gas (Bcfe) 52.4 117.2 13 3,904 926<br />
Tight Gas (Bcfe) 228.7 320.8 40 - -<br />
Shallow Gas (Bcfe) 164.8 220.5 152 - -<br />
Other Conventional Gas (Bcfe) 126.3 165.0 1 - -<br />
Total Gas (Bcfe) 572.1 823.5 206 3,904 926<br />
Total Company (MMBOE) 219.4 306.2 313 771 1,016<br />
* Bakken at Fort Berthold only – excludes Three Forks upside<br />
** Includes both IOR and EOR opportunities which could include future drilling locations only on a portion of our waterflood portfolio<br />
42
Portfolio Transition Activity<br />
Acquisitions<br />
Dispositions<br />
Net Acreage<br />
Production<br />
Cost<br />
($ Million)<br />
Marcellus Non-Operated Acreage 128,500 acres $448<br />
Marcellus Operated Acreage 70,200 acres $185<br />
North Dakota Bakken 74,500 acres $618<br />
Saskatchewan Bakken 140,000 acres $176<br />
Deep Basin 65,000 acres $40<br />
Total 478,200 acres $1,467<br />
Proceeds<br />
($ Million)<br />
Non-Core Conventional Assets ~10,600 BOE/day ~$600<br />
Kirby Oil Sands - $405<br />
Joslyn Oil Sands - $500<br />
Total Proceeds ~$1,505<br />
43
<strong>Enerplus</strong> Ownership<br />
Canadian<br />
US & Foreign<br />
Institutional<br />
Retail<br />
30%<br />
25%<br />
70%<br />
75%<br />
10-24<br />
STAGES<br />
6-10<br />
STAGES<br />
6-7<br />
STAGES<br />
As of February 2011<br />
Reported 13-F positions<br />
as of December 31, 2010<br />
44
$1 Billion Credit Facility<br />
Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce $145<br />
Royal Bank of Canada $120<br />
Bank of Montreal $120<br />
Bank of Nova Scotia $110<br />
Toronto Dominion Bank $100<br />
National Bank of Canada $85<br />
Alberta Treasury Branches $50<br />
Total Canadian<br />
$730 million<br />
HSBC Bank $85<br />
Citibank N.A. $85<br />
Union Bank of California $50<br />
Sumitomo Mitsui Bank $50<br />
Total Foreign<br />
$270 million<br />
45
Long-Term Debt<br />
($ thousands) December 31, 2010 December 31, 2009<br />
Current portion of long-term debt * $- $36,631<br />
Long-term:<br />
Bank credit facility 234,713 -<br />
Senior notes:<br />
CDN$40 million (Issued June 18, 2009) 40,000 40,000<br />
US$40 million (Issued June 18, 2009) 39,784 41,864<br />
US$225 million (Issued June 18, 2009) 223,785 235,485<br />
US$54 million (Issued October 1, 2003)* 53,709 56,516<br />
US$175 million (Issued June 19, 2002)* 140,414 148,411<br />
732,405 522,276<br />
Total debt $732,405 $558,907<br />
* Principal repayments due in 2011 under these notes have not been included in current liabilities as<br />
<strong>Enerplus</strong> intends to refinance the amounts with our long-term bank credit facility.<br />
46
Supplemental<br />
Bakken<br />
Information
Fort Berthold Development Plans<br />
B<br />
1280 acres<br />
TF B TF<br />
1320’ 1320’ 1320’<br />
• Maximize long horizontals<br />
• Develop from pads: 2 Bakken/2 Three Forks<br />
• Tie in as soon as possible<br />
• Test inter-well spacing<br />
• Work with other operators to time development<br />
• Reduce cycle time to 45 days from rig release<br />
of final well on pad to production<br />
• Implement salt water disposal solution<br />
• Understand and successfully implement<br />
simultaneous operations<br />
TF B B TF<br />
1280 acres<br />
• Drilling and completion of additional wells<br />
on producing pads<br />
48
Fort Berthold Well Timeline<br />
10 – 12 months<br />
Well application / permit<br />
approval<br />
Site Build<br />
Drilling<br />
Waiting on Frac<br />
Crews<br />
Fracing<br />
4-6 months<br />
1 month<br />
1 month /well<br />
2 months<br />
1-2 weeks<br />
• Environmental assessment<br />
required on all federal lands<br />
• Have 11 permits in hand or very<br />
late stage approval<br />
• Completing EA process on<br />
additional 30 permits - expect<br />
approval between April and June<br />
• 50 permits are underway for<br />
submittal between now and<br />
August<br />
• Expect 40 additional permits<br />
submitted by year-end<br />
• Cannot<br />
begin<br />
building site<br />
until permit<br />
in hand<br />
• Multi-well<br />
pads<br />
• “walking<br />
rig” will help<br />
reduce<br />
drilling time<br />
• Shortage<br />
of basinwide<br />
fleets<br />
relative to<br />
drilling<br />
activity<br />
49
Fort Berthold Well Costs<br />
Long Laterals<br />
Short Laterals<br />
Drilling<br />
$2.8 MM<br />
Completion<br />
$5.7 MM<br />
Drilling<br />
$2.4 MM<br />
Completion<br />
$3.3 MM<br />
Total Cost $8.5 MM<br />
Total Cost $5.7 MM<br />
Completions - 125,000 lbs of proppant/stage, $1.3 - $1.5 MM for ceramic proppant<br />
- Water: 2,500 – 3,000 bbls/stage, $3 - 6/bbl for trucking & disposal fees<br />
Tie-in - Additional $500,000<br />
Expect pad drilling will materially decrease tie-in costs<br />
50
Fort Berthold Execution Capability<br />
• 4 rigs under contract<br />
• 2 active at present; 2 moving in<br />
March / April, conditions permitting<br />
• Upgrading process<br />
• 2 “walkers” focused on pad drilling<br />
• Expect to sign at least one<br />
incremental rig by September<br />
• Frac services:<br />
• Multi-year frac services agreement<br />
signed – should keep pace with 3 –<br />
4 rig program<br />
• Plan to drill 40 – 50 wells/year from<br />
2012 – 2016 to fully develop acreage<br />
(Bakken and Three Forks)<br />
51
Fort Berthold Production - Gathering<br />
• <strong>Enerplus</strong> has committed to a field gathering system at the Fort Berthold<br />
Reservation which will:<br />
• Aggregate production at a central collection point off the Reservation that will<br />
provide flexible options for marketing the barrels<br />
• Gather and monetize both gas and liquids at market prices<br />
• Reduce the potential for shut in production due to varying weather, road<br />
conditions, and availability of trucking contractors<br />
• Provide some ability to better manage and dispose of produced water<br />
• Reduce the number of trucks moving on the Reservation which will reduce<br />
dust and road wear, and increase safety for the residents<br />
52
Fort Berthold Production – <strong>Enerplus</strong> Regional Transportation<br />
Current Transportation / Sales Arrangements in Place for<br />
Fort Berthold Development<br />
'000 ‘000 bbls bbls/day / day<br />
25<br />
25<br />
20<br />
20<br />
15<br />
10<br />
10<br />
5<br />
5<br />
0<br />
0<br />
2011 2012 2013 2014<br />
2011 2012 2013 2014<br />
Middle Pace (6 Rigs)<br />
Basic 4 Rig Program<br />
3rd Party Sales / Transport<br />
Enbridge Bakken Expansion<br />
Belle Fourche Reversal<br />
Four Bears Pipeline<br />
Historic Enbridge Capacity<br />
<strong>Enerplus</strong> has the flexibility to use its Enbridge North Dakota Pipeline capacity for its<br />
Sleeping Giant (Elm Coulee) production as well.<br />
53
Supplemental<br />
Waterflood<br />
Information
The Stages of Oil Recovery<br />
Stage<br />
Waterflood<br />
• Injecting high pressure water<br />
Implications<br />
• Hold production steady, grow recovery<br />
• Facilities in place<br />
• Maintenance costs increasing with age<br />
Improved Oil Recovery (IOR)<br />
• Optimizing waterfloods through<br />
sweep, pattern or voidage<br />
improvements<br />
• Conducting lab work to screen for<br />
EOR potential<br />
Enhanced Oil Recovery (EOR)<br />
• Reducing residual oil saturation<br />
and improving sweep efficiency<br />
• Grow production & recovery<br />
• Spending capital up front for future benefit<br />
• Expand facilities<br />
• Convert vertical producers to injection<br />
• Drill horizontal producers<br />
• Maintenance costs improved<br />
• Grow production and recovery<br />
• Spending capital up front for future benefit<br />
• Increasing op costs<br />
• Facilities for polymer injection<br />
• Polymer<br />
55
Polymer Flood<br />
• Polymer is chemical additive<br />
that increases viscosity of<br />
injected water<br />
• Reduces residual oil saturation<br />
• Improves sweep efficiency<br />
• Works best with heavier crudes<br />
in high permeability reservoirs<br />
with low waterflood recovery<br />
factors<br />
• The first identified projects are<br />
at Giltedge and Medicine Hat<br />
Glauc C<br />
• Typical expected recovery<br />
improvement is ~8 - 15% (rule<br />
of thumb is 30% of the projected<br />
waterflood recoverable oil)<br />
Source – Oil and Gas Journal<br />
56
Giltedge – Polymer EOR Project Area<br />
Key Facts<br />
Area of<br />
Polymer<br />
Project<br />
26<br />
36<br />
25<br />
22 23 24<br />
14 13<br />
Wildmere Unit (4.73% WI)<br />
Wildmere Unit<br />
E+ 4.7% WI<br />
OOIP<br />
Recovery Factor to Date ~13%<br />
Cumulative Production<br />
P+P Reserves (Dec 31, 2010)<br />
Best Est. Contingent Resource<br />
Oil Quality<br />
2011E Avg. Production<br />
126 MMBOE<br />
16.4 MMBOE<br />
10.4 MMBOE<br />
(booked to 21%)<br />
16.6 MMBOE<br />
14° - 20° API<br />
1,700 BOE/day<br />
oil, 97% water cut<br />
• Waterflood initiated in 1974, we acquired in<br />
1996<br />
11<br />
12 12<br />
• Lloydminster zone at a depth of 650 metres<br />
• Historical decline: ~13%<br />
100 % Working Interest<br />
• Expected 2011 netback: ~$45/BOE<br />
• IOR and EOR contingent resource potential of<br />
16.6 MMBOE, over 60% more than current 2P<br />
reserves<br />
• Polymer project underway in 2011<br />
57
Dec-14<br />
Dec-13<br />
Dec-12<br />
Dec-11<br />
Dec-10<br />
Giltedge Production History<br />
Production maintained for last decade<br />
3000<br />
2500<br />
2000<br />
1500<br />
1000<br />
58<br />
Total Pool Base and Incremental<br />
from Polymer project (BOE/day)<br />
500<br />
Pool Base Production (BOE/day)<br />
0<br />
Reconstruction<br />
Downtime<br />
Oil Production (BOE/day)<br />
Dec-94<br />
Dec-95<br />
Dec-96<br />
Dec-97<br />
Dec-98<br />
Dec-99<br />
Dec-00<br />
Dec-01<br />
Dec-02<br />
Dec-03<br />
Dec-04<br />
Dec-05<br />
Dec-06<br />
Dec-07<br />
Dec-08<br />
Dec-09
Giltedge – Anticipated Polymer Upside<br />
Polymer Project<br />
Area<br />
• Potential incremental<br />
reserve adds of 0.8 –<br />
1.5 MMBOE in project area<br />
• Production in project area<br />
could increase 2 - 3 times<br />
from current levels over<br />
next<br />
20 - 30 months<br />
• Full field internal best<br />
estimate contingent<br />
resource of 13 MMBOE<br />
(10% incremental RF)<br />
Polymer injection wells<br />
59
Giltedge – Polymer Project Costs and Economics<br />
Material value creation opportunity<br />
• Project timeline<br />
• Q2 2011 – first injection, production response in ~6 months<br />
• Polymer injection will continue for approximately four years<br />
• Decision to expand may be made sometime after 2013<br />
• Intent is to be at full field polymer flood by late 2017<br />
Project costs<br />
• Facilities - $7 million<br />
• Polymer - $10 million (over 4 years)<br />
• Operating Cost - $1 million/year<br />
• Indicative economic factors<br />
• NPV @ 10%: ~$20 million<br />
• IRR: 25 - 40%<br />
60
Medicine Hat Glauc C – Polymer Potential<br />
Key Facts<br />
OOIP<br />
217 MMBOE<br />
Recovery Factor to Date ~8%<br />
Cumulative Production 17 MMBOE<br />
P+P Reserves (Dec 31,<br />
2010)<br />
Best Estimate Contingent<br />
Resource<br />
Oil Quality<br />
2011E Avg. Production<br />
16.5 MMBOE (booked to 15%)<br />
IOR 6.5 MMBOE (+3% RF)<br />
EOR 21.7 MMBOE (+10% RF)<br />
11° to 18° API<br />
2,500 BOE/day, 91% water cut<br />
72% WI across ~14 sections<br />
• Discovered in 1984, acquired in 1998, unitized<br />
in 2001<br />
• Glauconitic ‘C’ zone at 825 metre depth<br />
• Initiated waterflood in 2001 with focused<br />
development from 2007<br />
• Currently 112 producing and 55 injection wells<br />
• Aggressive facilities optimization program over<br />
past 2 years has reduced op costs from<br />
$12.50/BOE to below $10.00/BOE<br />
61
Medicine Hat Glauc C – Production History<br />
3500<br />
Average Daily Production (BOE/day)<br />
3000<br />
2500<br />
2000<br />
Drilled 7 wells/5 injector<br />
conversions and expanded 2<br />
batteries<br />
1500<br />
1000<br />
62
Medicine Hat Glauc C – EOR Potential<br />
EOR could more than double<br />
remaining reserves<br />
• EOR design complete by mid 2011<br />
• First polymer project begins in Q2 2012 with a second project starting<br />
one year later<br />
• Estimated incremental recovery factor of 10%<br />
• 21.7 MMBOE of best estimate contingent resource under polymer flood<br />
63
2011 Development Capital Plans at Med Hat<br />
EOR Project $2 million:<br />
Facilities $10 million:<br />
Wells $12 million:<br />
Total Budget - $24 million:<br />
• Early costs including<br />
design, skids, etc.<br />
• Battery expansions<br />
and rebuilds – Q2<br />
2011 completion<br />
• Fluid handling<br />
optimization ongoing<br />
• Decrease HZ well<br />
spacing to 100<br />
metres<br />
• Drill source well<br />
west of river<br />
• Optimized production<br />
and injection<br />
• Increase EUR by 3%<br />
(6.5 MMBOE)<br />
• Anticipated full cycle<br />
F&D of ~ $20/BOE<br />
64
Freda/Skinner/Neptune, SK - Ratcliffe & Bakken<br />
• Approximately 115,000 net<br />
acres of Ratcliffe rights<br />
• Majority overlay Bakken rights<br />
• Oungre/Ratcliffe zones at a<br />
1,600 - 1,800 metre depth<br />
• Current Ratcliffe production<br />
~1,700 BOE/day<br />
• Internal best estimate<br />
contingent resource of 9.0<br />
MMBOE, 70% of our booked<br />
2P reserves<br />
<strong>Enerplus</strong> Ratcliffe<br />
Rights<br />
Average working interest > 98%<br />
Ranging from 70 –100%<br />
• Current reserves are booked to<br />
26%<br />
• Bakken results to date<br />
disappointing – further analysis<br />
required<br />
• Positive success in the Ratcliffe<br />
65
Freda Lake Ratcliffe Unit<br />
Freda Lake Ratcliffe Voluntary Unit #1<br />
99.86% WI<br />
Key Facts<br />
OOIP<br />
55 MMBOE<br />
Recovery Factor to Date ~14%<br />
Cumulative Production<br />
P+P Reserves (Dec. 31, 2010)<br />
8 MMBOE<br />
10.2 MMBOE<br />
(booked to 31%)<br />
Best Est. Contingent Resource 2.3 MMBOE (+4%<br />
RF)<br />
Oil Quality<br />
2011E Exit Production<br />
32° API<br />
1,900 BOE/day oil<br />
(+40% vs 2010)<br />
<strong>Enerplus</strong> Ratcliffe Rights<br />
2009/10 Development Locations<br />
2011 Development Locations<br />
2011 Injector Conversions<br />
Horizontal wells and waterflood optimization<br />
unlocked major resource<br />
• Discovered 1967 & developed on 80 acre vertical well<br />
spacing, acquired in 2003<br />
• Peripheral waterflood implemented mid 1980’s<br />
• New wells attract lower royalties<br />
• Historical decline ~ 4%, RLI ~40 years<br />
• Injection conversions increasing oil production from<br />
surrounding producers<br />
• Recent single and dual leg HZ wells producing at<br />
150-300 bbl/day with 37-65% water cuts vs a<br />
previous pool average of over 90%<br />
66
Freda Lake Ratcliffe Unit Production<br />
2,500<br />
2,000<br />
Up to 14 more HZ wells to drill in the unit<br />
Verticals & Horizontals - Oil<br />
Rate<br />
Vertical Wells Only - Oil Rate<br />
Expected Production<br />
Oil Production (BOE/day)<br />
1,500<br />
1,000<br />
Water Injector Conversions<br />
Increased Production<br />
~ 100 BOPD Before HZ<br />
7 HZ wells drilled increased<br />
production from ~500 BOE/day to<br />
over 1,300 BOE/day at year-end<br />
500<br />
4% Historical Decline<br />
0<br />
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018<br />
67
Supplemental<br />
Marcellus<br />
Information
Marcellus Performance – NE Pennsylvania<br />
21 MARCELLUS<br />
HORIZONTAL PRODUCERS<br />
Daily Production (Mcf/day)<br />
14,000<br />
12,000<br />
10,000<br />
8,000<br />
6,000<br />
4,000<br />
Lycoming 1 Lycoming 2<br />
Lycoming 4 Lycoming 3<br />
Lycoming 10 Lycoming 11<br />
Lycoming 12 Lycoming 13<br />
Lycoming 14 Lycoming 5<br />
Lycoming 6 Lycoming 7<br />
Lycoming 8 Lycoming 9<br />
Susq. 1 Susq. 2<br />
Susq. 3 Lycoming 15<br />
Lycoming 16 Lycoming 17<br />
Lycoming 18<br />
Average Horizontal<br />
Type Curve (EUR 6 BCF)<br />
2,000<br />
0<br />
0 60 120 180 240 300 360 420 480 540 600 660 720 780 840<br />
Days on Production<br />
69
Marcellus Well Design<br />
• Drilling (Average 30 days)<br />
• Operated<br />
• Drilling primarily delineation wells – with vertical pilot, cores and logs<br />
• 5 single well pads in Centre County, PA (2 wells ) and Preston County, WV (3<br />
wells)<br />
• Lateral length of 4,000’ to 5,000’<br />
• Closed loop system with synthetic mud<br />
• Installing water infrastructure<br />
• Non – operated<br />
• Drilling primarily lease saving operations, rather than pad drilling<br />
• Vast majority single well pads with a few 2 to 4 well pads<br />
• Longer laterals 3,000’- 5,000’<br />
• Closed loop system with synthetic mud<br />
• Completions (2 to 4 weeks)<br />
• Operated<br />
• 10 – 12 frac stages, 300’ to 400’ per stage<br />
• 4 perf clusters per stage<br />
• Slickwater frac with multiple sweeps<br />
• Non-operated<br />
• Fewer frac stages and larger frac intervals 400’ – 450’<br />
• 6 – 9 perf clusters per stage<br />
• Still testing 1 month “resting” of wells<br />
• Reduced chemical loading<br />
Drilling costs<br />
range from<br />
$2.5 – $3.5<br />
million<br />
Completion<br />
costs range<br />
from $3.0 –<br />
$4.0 million<br />
70
Marcellus Well Timeline<br />
6 – 8 months<br />
Well application / permit<br />
approval<br />
Site Build<br />
Drilling<br />
Waiting on Frac<br />
Crews<br />
Fracing<br />
45 – 60 days in PA<br />
45 – 90 days<br />
25 – 35<br />
days/well<br />
30 - 60 days<br />
7 - 14 days<br />
• 30 – 45 days in WV<br />
• Assumes water sources<br />
permitted<br />
• Current regulations<br />
• Cannot begin<br />
building site<br />
until permit in<br />
hand<br />
• Depends on<br />
time of year<br />
• Multi-well<br />
pads<br />
• “self-skidding”<br />
rigs help<br />
reduce drilling<br />
time<br />
• Shortage of<br />
frac fleets<br />
relative to<br />
basin-wide<br />
drilling activity<br />
Note: Timeline excludes well “resting” and tie-in to gathering systems<br />
71
Gathering Gas in the Marcellus<br />
NE PA<br />
Susquehanna, Bradford,<br />
Sullivan, Lycoming<br />
Central PA<br />
Clearfield,<br />
Clinton, Centre<br />
Midstream Party Chief Midstream Caiman/ Chief<br />
Midstream<br />
South PA<br />
Cambria, Somerset,<br />
Fayette<br />
SW PA & WV<br />
Marshall,<br />
Green PA<br />
Caiman Caiman /<br />
MarkWest Plant<br />
Comments<br />
Most mature area of the<br />
field where Chief has<br />
been acquiring ROW<br />
and laying pipe to their<br />
own producing wells for<br />
the past 2 years<br />
New drills are<br />
just being<br />
evaluated and<br />
egress routes<br />
being<br />
investigated<br />
Pipeline activity<br />
wasn’t started until<br />
2010 as no wells<br />
were completed<br />
(assume 1 year<br />
behind Marshall<br />
County)<br />
Liquids rich gas<br />
area that is<br />
currently flowing<br />
wet into the sales<br />
pipe waiting on<br />
the MW Plant for<br />
liquids extraction<br />
Wells to be tied-in<br />
in 2011<br />
30 - 35 6 - 20 25 - 32 25 - 30<br />
72
Moving Natural Gas Out of the Marcellus<br />
• <strong>Enerplus</strong> has taken several steps to ensure we can move our growing<br />
Marcellus gas production to market:<br />
• Entered into longer term (5 years +) firm “must take” contracts with creditworthy<br />
substantial end users of the natural gas who:<br />
• hold firm capacity on the various interstate pipelines (Transco, Tennessee)<br />
• have storage capacity and trading ability<br />
• These contracts have flexibility to increase delivered volumes as we bring<br />
production to pipe:<br />
MMBtu/d 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015<br />
Min Max Min Max Min Max Min Max Min Max<br />
Committed Sales into Transco Pipeline: 12 36 48 74 68 81 65 80 38 45<br />
Committed Sales in to Tennessee Gas Pipeline: 21 30 30 38 14 38 38 14 6 6<br />
• Participated in the Wyoming Pipeline Project that creates optionality for our<br />
production between the two key pipelines - Transco and Tennessee<br />
• Entered into a firm processing and marketing agreement with MarkWest for our<br />
liquids rich gas produced in Marshall County<br />
73
Supplemental<br />
Deep Basin<br />
Information
Deep Basin Opportunity<br />
Stacked Mannville<br />
Potential<br />
• 60,000 net acres of land<br />
(42,000 undeveloped)<br />
Deep Basin growth opportunities<br />
Existing <strong>Enerplus</strong> assets<br />
Montney Potential<br />
• 20,000 net acres of<br />
undeveloped land<br />
• Approximately 80,000 net<br />
acres of high working interest<br />
land throughout the region<br />
• Includes 100% working<br />
interest in approximately<br />
60,000 undeveloped acres<br />
• Multiple contiguous acreage<br />
blocks with liquids rich multizone<br />
potential<br />
• In 2011, focused on<br />
delineating the resource given<br />
price environment<br />
Large, long tenure, high working<br />
interest land holdings<br />
75
Stacked Mannville<br />
Key Facts<br />
Key properties<br />
Net Acreage (acres)<br />
Pine Creek to Hanlan<br />
~60,000 total (42,000 undeveloped)<br />
Future HZ Drilling Locations 100 - 200<br />
Expected EUR/Well*<br />
2.8 - 4.0 Bcfe<br />
• Acquiring and utilizing 3D seismic<br />
• Drilled/drilling 3 delineation wells, 3 others<br />
licensed and ready to execute in 2011<br />
• Liquids ratios of 15 – 40 bbls/MMcf<br />
• Additional de-risking ongoing by competitors<br />
and partners<br />
Contiguous land blocks in highly<br />
prospective regions<br />
<strong>Enerplus</strong> working interest lands<br />
* Expected EUR/well based on public data from offset wells. Number of future locations based on development of<br />
30% to 60% of <strong>Enerplus</strong> acreage<br />
76
Stacked Mannville Geology<br />
• Stacked cretaceous horizons<br />
provide vertical risk mitigation<br />
and multiple horizontal targets<br />
• Cardium<br />
• Notikewin<br />
• Wilrich<br />
• Bluesky<br />
• Gething<br />
• Cadomin<br />
* Indicative geologic section<br />
77
Stacked Mannville Type Curve Economics<br />
Target<br />
Raw gas<br />
recovered<br />
AECO<br />
($/Mcf)<br />
IRR%<br />
Cadomin + 1 up hole<br />
completion<br />
Bluesky or Wilrich<br />
2.8 Bcf Well 4.0 Bcf Well<br />
Payout<br />
(Years)<br />
NPV<br />
12%<br />
($MM)<br />
IRR%<br />
Payout<br />
(Years)<br />
NPV<br />
12%<br />
($MM)<br />
$6.00 30 2.6 $2.4 74 1.4 $6.2<br />
$5.00 19 3.4 $1.0 53 1.8 $4.6<br />
$4.00 8 5.3 ($0.5) 34 2.4 $2.6<br />
Capital $7.0 million $6.0 million<br />
30 Day IP 3,700 Mcf/day 3,900 Mcf/day<br />
Liquids 18 bbls/MMcf 15 bbls/MMcf<br />
Type curves are internal estimates based on local analogue/competitor information<br />
February 14, 2011 forward commodity price outlook<br />
78
Montney<br />
b-66-B well<br />
Pink Mountain<br />
Mntn Licenses<br />
Key Facts<br />
94-G-2<br />
Mntn Production<br />
ERF Well License<br />
Key Properties Cameron /<br />
Julienne Creek<br />
ERF 3D Seismic<br />
Net Acreage (acres) 17,000<br />
Future Hz Drilling Locations 50 – 150<br />
<strong>Enerplus</strong><br />
Expected EUR/Well<br />
3.5 – 5.5 Bcfe<br />
• 3D seismic purchased and<br />
reprocessed<br />
94-B-15<br />
• Existing well (b-66B) indicates over<br />
300 metres of Montney thickness<br />
• Rock analysis indicates good<br />
reservoir development<br />
• Liquids ratio is expected to be<br />
between 20 and 30 bbls/MMcf<br />
• <strong>Enerplus</strong> well licensed in Q1 2011<br />
although drill timing is uncertain<br />
100% working interest<br />
79
Montney Type Curve Economics<br />
AECO<br />
($/Mcf)<br />
IRR<br />
%<br />
3.5 Bcf Well 4.5 Bcf Well 5.5 Bcf Well<br />
Payout<br />
(Years)<br />
NPV<br />
12%<br />
($MM)<br />
IRR<br />
%<br />
Payout<br />
(Years)<br />
NPV<br />
12%<br />
($MM)<br />
IRR<br />
%<br />
Payout<br />
(Years)<br />
$6.00 27 2.7 2.1 45 1.8 3.9 64 1.4 5.7<br />
$5.00 18 3.9 0.8 30 2.4 2.4 44 1.8 4.0<br />
$4.00 10 6.5 -0.4 19 3.8 1.0 28 2.6 2.3<br />
NPV<br />
12%<br />
($MM)<br />
Capital $6.2 million $6.2 million $6.2 million<br />
30 Day IP 3,800 Mcf/day 4,000 Mcf/day 4,000 Mcf/day<br />
Liquids 20 bbls/MMcf 20 bbls/MMcf 20 bbls/MMcf<br />
BESC $4.30/Mcf $3.37/Mcf $2.80/Mcf<br />
• Type curves are based on Town Montney<br />
• Capital assumes pad drilling<br />
• February 14, 2011 forward commodity price outlook<br />
80
Deep Basin Development Plan<br />
• Pace of development heavily influenced by natural gas prices<br />
• High working interest and 3+ years of land tenure allow us to control the<br />
pace of play on our undeveloped land position<br />
• Shorter-term focus on delineation versus development with a view to<br />
future gas price recovery<br />
• Benefiting from competitor de-risking<br />
• 2011 Capital spending plans:<br />
• $38 million<br />
• Mix of operated and non-operated activity<br />
• 3D seismic<br />
81
Disclaimers<br />
Assumptions<br />
All economics contained have been calculated using forward prices and costs as of February 14, 2011. All amounts are stated in Canadian dollars unless<br />
otherwise specified.<br />
Barrels of Oil Equivalent and Cubic Feet of Gas Equivalent<br />
This presentation contains references to "BOE" (barrels of oil equivalent), "Mcfe" (thousand cubic feet of gas equivalent), "Bcfe" (billion cubic feet of gas<br />
equivalent) and "Tcfe" (trillion cubic feet of gas equivalent). <strong>Enerplus</strong> has adopted the standard of six thousand cubic feet of gas to one barrel of oil (6 Mcf: 1<br />
bbl) when converting natural gas to BOEs, and one barrel of oil to six thousand cubic feet of gas (1 bbl: 6 Mcf) when converting oil to Mcfes, Bcfes and Tcfes.<br />
BOEs, Mcfes, Bcfes and Tcfes may be misleading, particularly if used in isolation. The foregoing conversion ratios are based on an energy equivalency<br />
conversion method primarily applicable at the burner tip and do not represent a value equivalency at the wellhead. "MBOE" and "MMBOE" mean "thousand<br />
barrels of oil equivalent" and "million barrels of oil equivalent", respectively.<br />
Presentation of Production and Reserves Information<br />
In accordance with Canadian practice, production volumes and revenues are reported on a “Company interest” basis, before deduction of Crown and other<br />
royalties, plus <strong>Enerplus</strong>’ royalty interest. Unless otherwise specified, all reserves volumes in this presentation (and all information derived therefrom) are<br />
based on "company interest reserves" using forecast prices and costs. "Company interest reserves" consist of "gross reserves" (as defined in National<br />
Instrument 51-101 adopted by the Canadian securities regulators ("NI 51-101"), being <strong>Enerplus</strong>' working interest before deduction of any royalties, plus<br />
<strong>Enerplus</strong>' royalty interests in reserves. “Company interest reserves" are not a measure defined in NI 51-101 and do not have a standardized meaning under NI<br />
51-101. Accordingly, our company interest reserves may not be comparable to reserves presented or disclosed by other issuers. Our oil and gas reserves<br />
statement for the year ended December 31, 2010, which will include complete disclosure of our oil and gas reserves and other oil and gas information in<br />
accordance with NI 51-101, will be contained within our Annual Information Form for the year ended December 31, 2010 ("our AIF") which is available on our<br />
website at www.enerplus.com and on our SEDAR profile at www.sedar.com. Additionally, our Annual Information Form is part of our Form 40-F that has been<br />
filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission and will available on EDGAR at www.sec.gov. Readers are also urged to review the Management’s<br />
Discussion & Analysis and financial statements filed on SEDAR and EDGAR for more complete disclosure on our operations.<br />
Contingent Resource Estimates<br />
This presentation contain estimates of "contingent resources". "Contingent resources" are not, and should not be confused with, oil and gas reserves.<br />
"Contingent resources" are defined in the Canadian Oil and Gas Evaluation Handbook (the "COGE Handbook") as "those quantities of petroleum estimated,<br />
as of a given date, to be potentially recoverable from known accumulations using established technology or technology under development, but which are not<br />
currently considered to be commercially recoverable due to one or more contingencies. Contingencies may include factors such as economic, legal,<br />
environmental, political and regulatory matters or a lack of markets. It is also appropriate to classify as “contingent resources” the estimated discovered<br />
recoverable quantities associated with a project in the early evaluation stage." There is no certainty that we will produce any portion of the volumes currently<br />
classified as “contingent resources”. The “contingent resource” estimates contained herein are presented as the "best estimate" of the quantity that will actually<br />
be recovered, effective as of December 31, 2010. A "best estimate" of contingent resources means that it is equally likely that the actual remaining quantities<br />
recovered will be greater or less than the best estimate, and if probabilistic methods are used, there should be at least a 50% probability that the quantities<br />
actually recovered will equal or exceed the best estimate.<br />
82
Disclaimers<br />
For information regarding the primary contingencies which currently prevent the classification of our disclosed “contingent resources” associated with our Marcellus<br />
shale gas assets as reserves and the positive and negative factors relevant to the “contingent resource” estimate, see our Annual Information Form for the year<br />
ended December 31, 2009 (and corresponding Form 40-F) dated March 12, 2010, a copy of which is available on our SEDAR profile at www.sedar.com and a<br />
copy of the Form 40-F which is available on our EDGAR profile at www.sec.gov. With respect to the “contingent resource” estimate for our North Dakota Bakken<br />
properties, the primary contingencies which currently prevent the classification of our disclosed “contingent resources” associated with the properties as "reserves"<br />
consist of additional delineation drilling to establish economic productivity in the development areas and limitations to development based on adverse topography<br />
or other surface restrictions. Significant positive factors related to the estimate include; continued advancement of drilling and completion technology and early<br />
performance of producing wells that are above forecast. A significant negative factor related to the estimate is the limited performance history in the immediate<br />
area of the “contingent resource”. With respect to our Waterflood assets, the primary contingencies which currently prevent the classification of our disclosed<br />
“contingent resources” associated with the properties as "reserves" are due to the early stage of implementation to the specific patterns within the existing<br />
waterfloods and the early stage of the specific enhanced oil recovery projects to the existing waterfloods. Significant positive factors related to the estimate include<br />
established waterflood technology, the history of waterflood performance data and the estimates are based on incremental recovery from higher displacement<br />
efficiency only with no improved recovery from additional areal sweep. A significant negative factor relevant to this estimate is the geological complexity and its<br />
effect on injector producer connectivity. There are a number of inherent risks and contingencies associated with the development of our interests in these<br />
properties including commodity price fluctuations, project costs, our ability to make the necessary capital expenditures to develop the properties, reliance on our<br />
industry partners in project development, acquisitions, funding and provisions of services and those other risks and contingencies described above, and that apply<br />
generally to oil and gas operations as described above, and under "Risk Factors" in our Annual Information Form referred to above.<br />
F&D Costs<br />
F&D costs presented are calculated (i) in the case of F&D costs for proved reserves, by dividing the sum of exploration and development costs incurred in the year<br />
plus the change in estimated future development costs in the year, by the additions to proved reserves in the year, and (ii) in the case of F&D costs for proved plus<br />
probable reserves, by dividing the sum of exploration and development costs incurred in the year plus the change in estimated future development costs in the<br />
year, by the additions to proved plus probable reserves in the year. The aggregate of the exploration and development costs incurred in the most recent financial<br />
year and the change during that year in estimated future development costs generally will not reflect total finding and development costs related to its reserves<br />
additions for that year.<br />
Non-GAAP Measures<br />
In these presentations, we use the terms "payout ratio" and "adjusted payout ratio" to analyze operating performance, leverage and liquidity, and the term "F&D<br />
costs" as a measure of operating performance. We calculate "payout ratio" by dividing cash distributions to unitholders by cash flow from operating activities, both<br />
of which are measures prescribed by Canadian generally accepted accounting principles ("GAAP") and which appear on our consolidated statements of cash flow.<br />
"Adjusted payout ratio" is calculated as cash distributions to unitholders plus development capital and office expenditures, divided by cash flow from operating<br />
activities. We also use the term "netback", which is used to measure operating performance and is calculated by subtracting <strong>Enerplus</strong>’ expected royalties and<br />
operating costs from the anticipated revenues in respect of the relevant properties. <strong>Enerplus</strong> believes that, in addition to net earnings and other measures<br />
prescribed by GAAP, the terms "payout ratio", "adjusted payout ratio", "F&D costs" and "netback" are useful supplemental measures as they provide an indication<br />
of the results generated by <strong>Enerplus</strong>' principal business activities. However, these measures are not measures recognized by GAAP and do not have a<br />
standardized meaning prescribed by GAAP. Therefore, these measures, as defined by <strong>Enerplus</strong>, may not be comparable to similar measures presented by other<br />
issuers.<br />
83
Disclaimers<br />
NOTICE TO U.S. READERS<br />
The oil and natural gas reserves information contained herein has generally been prepared in accordance with Canadian disclosure standards, which are not<br />
comparable in all respects to United States or other foreign disclosure standards. Reserves categories such as "proved reserves" and "probable reserves"<br />
may be defined differently under Canadian requirements than the definitions contained in the United States Securities and Exchange Commission (the "SEC")<br />
rules. In addition, under Canadian disclosure requirements and industry practice, reserves and production are reported using gross (or, as noted above,<br />
"company interest") volumes, which are volumes prior to deduction of royalty and similar payments. The practice in the United States is to report reserves and<br />
production using net volumes, after deduction of applicable royalties and similar payments. Canadian disclosure requirements require that forecasted<br />
commodity prices be used for reserves evaluations, while the SEC mandates the use of an average of first day of the month price for the 12 months prior to<br />
the end of the reporting period. Additionally, the SEC prohibits disclosure of oil and gas resources, whereas Canadian issuers may disclose oil and gas<br />
resources. Resources are different than, and should not construed as reserves. For a description of the definition of, and the risks and uncertainties<br />
surrounding the disclosure of, contingent resources, see “Information Regarding Reserves, Resources and Operational Information” above.<br />
FORWARD-LOOKING INFORMATION AND STATEMENTS<br />
This presentation contains certain forward-looking information and statements ("forward-looking information") within the meaning of applicable securities<br />
laws. The use of any of the words "expect", "anticipate", "continue", "estimate", “guidance”, "objective", "ongoing", "may", "will", "project", "should", "believe",<br />
"plans", "intends", “budget”, "strategy" and similar expressions are intended to identify forward-looking information. In particular, but without limiting the<br />
foregoing, these presentations contains forward-looking information pertaining to the following: <strong>Enerplus</strong>' strategy to deliver both income and growth to<br />
investors and <strong>Enerplus</strong>' related asset portfolio; future returns to shareholders from both dividends and from growth in per share production and reserves; future<br />
capital and development expenditures and the allocation thereof among our resource plays and assets; future development and drilling locations and plans;<br />
the performance of and future results from <strong>Enerplus</strong>' assets and operations, including anticipated production levels and decline rates; future growth prospects,<br />
acquisitions and dispositions; the volumes and estimated value of <strong>Enerplus</strong>' oil and gas reserves and contingent resource volumes and future commodity price<br />
and foreign exchange rate assumptions related thereto; the life of <strong>Enerplus</strong>' reserves; the volume and product mix of <strong>Enerplus</strong>' oil and gas production; securing<br />
necessary infrastructure and third party services; the amount of future asset retirement obligations; future cash flows and debt-to-cash flow levels; potential<br />
asset sales; returns on <strong>Enerplus</strong>' capital program; <strong>Enerplus</strong>' tax position; and future costs, expenses and royalty rates.<br />
The forward-looking information contained in this presentation reflects several material factors and expectations and assumptions of <strong>Enerplus</strong> including,<br />
without limitation: that <strong>Enerplus</strong> will conduct its operations and achieve results of operations as anticipated; that <strong>Enerplus</strong>' development plans will achieve the<br />
expected results; the general continuance of current or, where applicable, assumed industry conditions; the continuation of assumed tax, royalty and<br />
regulatory regimes; the accuracy of the estimates of <strong>Enerplus</strong>' reserve and resource volumes; commodity price and cost assumptions; the continued<br />
availability of adequate debt and/or equity financing and cash flow to fund <strong>Enerplus</strong>' capital and operating requirements as needed; and the extent of its<br />
liabilities. <strong>Enerplus</strong> believes the material factors, expectations and assumptions reflected in the forward-looking information are reasonable but no assurance<br />
can be given that these factors, expectations and assumptions will prove to be correct.<br />
84