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human judgment in diagnosing problem behavior in horses using

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types of proximal cues given by the environment (the horse and the environment<br />

surround<strong>in</strong>g it) and also the different <strong>behavior</strong> <strong>problem</strong>s related to them.<br />

1.3 Lens Model<br />

As mentioned <strong>in</strong> section 1.2, the <strong>judgment</strong> process can be represented by the Lens Model<br />

(Cooksey, 1996). An example is expla<strong>in</strong>ed <strong>in</strong> Gunderson & Brown’s (2001) paper on<br />

predict<strong>in</strong>g computer crime and the <strong>behavior</strong> model of a crim<strong>in</strong>al. They expla<strong>in</strong>ed us<strong>in</strong>g a<br />

simple example of estimat<strong>in</strong>g the distance to a child’s build<strong>in</strong>g block, ly<strong>in</strong>g on a table.<br />

Based on the Lens Model, the actual distance to the block is an environmental (distal)<br />

variable (ye). The onlooker has a series of observable (proximal) cues (ci) relat<strong>in</strong>g to this<br />

distal variable, such as the size of the ret<strong>in</strong>al representation of the block, the differences<br />

of the image <strong>in</strong> the right and left eyes, and the blurr<strong>in</strong>g of the image. These cues have a<br />

correlation to the actual state (Ecological Validity). The subject then weighs the cues and<br />

uses a function of these weighted cues to make a <strong>judgment</strong> as to the true state (ys). This<br />

cue weight<strong>in</strong>g has a correlation to the relationship of the cues to the actual state (Cue<br />

Utilization Validity). The actual achievement (performance) <strong>in</strong> the <strong>judgment</strong> task can be<br />

used to update the weights placed on the cues <strong>in</strong> future <strong>judgment</strong> tasks (Gunderson &<br />

Brown, 2001). This model is shown graphically <strong>in</strong> Figure 1.1.<br />

6

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