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The Illinois Report 2013 - Institute of Government & Public Affairs ...

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C H A P T E R 3<br />

Figure 2<br />

<strong>The</strong> Tax Share Effect Explains Most <strong>of</strong> the Changes in Individual Taxes Payable Over Time<br />

Actual Taxes Payable vs. Taxes<br />

Had Extensions Stayed at 2006 Level<br />

Decomposing Actual Changes<br />

In a Taxpayer’s Taxes Payable into the<br />

Tax Share Effect and the Tax Extension Effect<br />

Nominal Taxes Payable<br />

to Cook County<br />

800<br />

780<br />

760<br />

740<br />

720<br />

700<br />

680<br />

660<br />

Cook County<br />

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010<br />

Actual Taxes Payable<br />

Taxes Payable if Extension<br />

Stayed at 2006 Level<br />

Nominal Change in Taxes<br />

Payable to Cook County<br />

100<br />

80<br />

60<br />

40<br />

20<br />

-<br />

(20)<br />

(40)<br />

(60)<br />

(80)<br />

Cook County<br />

2007 2008 2009 2010<br />

Tax Extension Effect<br />

Tax Share Effect<br />

Nominal Taxes Payable<br />

to City <strong>of</strong> Chicago<br />

1,800<br />

1,700<br />

1,600<br />

1,500<br />

1,400<br />

1,300<br />

1,200<br />

City <strong>of</strong> Chicago<br />

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010<br />

Actual Taxes Payable<br />

Taxes Payable if Extension<br />

Stayed at 2006 Level<br />

Nominal Change in Taxes<br />

Payable to City <strong>of</strong> Chicago<br />

400<br />

300<br />

200<br />

100<br />

-<br />

(100)<br />

(200)<br />

City <strong>of</strong> Chicago<br />

2007 2008 2009 2010<br />

Tax Extension Effect<br />

Tax Share Effect<br />

Nominal Taxes Payable<br />

to Chicago Board <strong>of</strong> Education<br />

4,900<br />

4,700<br />

4,500<br />

4,300<br />

4,100<br />

3,900<br />

3,700<br />

3,500<br />

Chicago Board <strong>of</strong> Education<br />

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010<br />

Actual Taxes Payable<br />

Taxes Payable if Extension<br />

Stayed at 2006 Level<br />

Nominal Change in Taxes Payable<br />

to Chicago Board <strong>of</strong> Education<br />

800<br />

600<br />

400<br />

200<br />

-<br />

(200)<br />

(400)<br />

Chicago Board <strong>of</strong> Education<br />

2007 2008 2009 2010<br />

Tax Extension Effect<br />

Tax Share Effect<br />

Source: Authors’ tabulations using data provided by the Office <strong>of</strong> the Cook County Clerk<br />

36<br />

<strong>The</strong> <strong>Illinois</strong> <strong>Report</strong> <strong>2013</strong>

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