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Download Kosovo Report - The European Times

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KOSOVO<br />

Business & Investment Opportunities<br />

two year decrease of 11.6%, total government expenditures<br />

actually increased by 6.2% in 2007 to €426<br />

million or 17.3% of GDP.<br />

Moreover, the country bucked the regional trend<br />

and recorded a budgetary surplus of €233.7<br />

million which represents approximately 9.8% of<br />

GDP. This was largely the result of an increase in<br />

non-tax revenues. While the country has a current<br />

account deficit of 22.5% of GDP driven by a trade<br />

deficit of 9%, exports have been increasing steadily.<br />

Indeed, <strong>Kosovo</strong>’s exports grew by a staggering 54%<br />

in 2006. In 2007, exports reached €146.6 million<br />

mainly consisting of minerals, base metals, vegetable<br />

products and foodstuffs. Government estimates<br />

suggest that exports could climb as high as €350<br />

than €1 billion invested since the year 2000. This<br />

impressive growth is expected to increase rapidly<br />

with the government estimating that the FDI level<br />

will touch €700 million in 2008.<br />

<strong>Kosovo</strong>’s liberal trade regime has also stimulated<br />

imports into the country. <strong>Kosovo</strong> is a member of the<br />

Central <strong>European</strong> Free Trade Agreement (CEFTA)<br />

which allows for free trade between the members of<br />

the bloc and enables producers to access a regional<br />

market of 28 million consumers free of customs<br />

duties. Indeed, the largest number of exports came<br />

from CEFTA countries in 2007. Overall imports have<br />

been increasing steadily since 2002 and had touched<br />

almost €1.6 billion in 2007. This is a significant<br />

increase in a two year period for imports were below<br />

<strong>Kosovo</strong> real GDP by sector, in million euro<br />

Private Sector<br />

Government Sector<br />

Donor Sector<br />

3.5<br />

3.0<br />

2.5<br />

-<br />

-<br />

-<br />

2.33<br />

Net Exports (right axis)<br />

2.45<br />

Real GDP Growth (right axis)<br />

2.65<br />

3.1<br />

2.04<br />

3.5<br />

-<br />

-<br />

-<br />

5<br />

4<br />

2.0<br />

-<br />

2.0<br />

-<br />

3<br />

1.5<br />

1.0<br />

0.5<br />

-<br />

-<br />

-<br />

0.51 0.43<br />

0.45<br />

0.38<br />

0.40 0.36<br />

0.43<br />

0.35<br />

-<br />

-<br />

-<br />

2<br />

1<br />

0.0<br />

-0.5<br />

-1.0<br />

-1.5<br />

-<br />

-<br />

-<br />

-<br />

-0.95<br />

-1.0<br />

-0.98<br />

-1.01<br />

-1.11<br />

- 0<br />

-<br />

-1<br />

-<br />

- -2<br />

2004 2005 2006 2007<br />

Source: 2007 annual report of the Central Banking Authority of <strong>Kosovo</strong><br />

million in 2008 as the country’s productive capabilities<br />

increase dramatically. <strong>The</strong> largest export<br />

market for <strong>Kosovo</strong> is the EU closely followed by the<br />

Central <strong>European</strong> Free Trade Agreement (CEFTA)<br />

countries.<br />

Likewise, the country has had considerable success<br />

in attracting foreign direct investment (FDI). High<br />

profile <strong>European</strong> banks, Raiffeisen and Pro-Credit<br />

moved into the market during the transition phase.<br />

However, they are just the most visible tip of the<br />

iceberg. According to Business Registry data for<br />

2007, <strong>Kosovo</strong> has 2,012 companies of foreign or<br />

mixed ownership. Such investment has translated<br />

into an FDI figure of €300 million for 2007 with more<br />

€1 billion in 2005. <strong>The</strong>se imports have not only been<br />

stimulated by CEFTA but also by <strong>Kosovo</strong>’s non-reciprocal<br />

customs free access to the EU market through<br />

the EU Autonomous Trade Preference (ATP) regime.<br />

<strong>The</strong> main imports of commodity goods are centred<br />

on minerals and prepared foodstuffs.<br />

<strong>The</strong> economy is therefore becoming increasingly<br />

robust with trade, construction and the financial<br />

services sector being the mainstay of growth.<br />

Indeed, driven by the banking industry, the financial<br />

sector has been expanding rapidly. According to<br />

the Central Bank of <strong>Kosovo</strong>, financial sector assets<br />

reached 58.5% of GDP in 2007 up from 49% in 2006.<br />

<strong>The</strong> banking sector makes up the lion’s share of this<br />

19

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