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An Heritage Approach to Aerospace Risk Based Design: With ...

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Potential Impact of Candidate<br />

Technologies<br />

Continued component reliability improvements become less important<br />

<strong>Risk</strong> Contribu<strong>to</strong>rs for Shuttle Baseline with<br />

improving SSME<br />

LOV Probability (per<br />

mission)<br />

28-29 Oc<strong>to</strong>ber 2002<br />

Slide 23 of 42<br />

6.00E-03<br />

5.00E-03<br />

4.00E-03<br />

3.00E-03<br />

2.00E-03<br />

1.00E-03<br />

0.00E+00<br />

1.00E-08<br />

4.9.E-08<br />

1.0.E-07<br />

3.0.E-07<br />

5.0.E-07<br />

8.0.E-07<br />

1.0.E-06<br />

1.3.E-06<br />

Engine Failure Rate (eng-sec)<br />

A <strong>Heritage</strong> <strong>Approach</strong> <strong>to</strong> <strong>Aerospace</strong> <strong>Risk</strong> <strong>Based</strong> <strong>Design</strong>: <strong>With</strong> Application<br />

Day 1 Afternoon<br />

LOV-LD<br />

LOV-FC<br />

LOV-TPS<br />

LOV-ET-ASC<br />

LOV-BOOST-ASC<br />

LOV-ORB-ASC

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