Feasibility Study - Department of Transport
Feasibility Study - Department of Transport
Feasibility Study - Department of Transport
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<strong>Feasibility</strong> <strong>Study</strong><br />
Relocating motor vehicle importing<br />
and exporting to the Port <strong>of</strong> Geelong<br />
www.transport.vic.gov.au
This publication is copyright. No part may be reproduced<br />
by any process except in accordance with the provisions<br />
<strong>of</strong> the Copyright Act 1968.<br />
© State <strong>of</strong> Victoria 2012<br />
Authorised by the Victorian Government, 121 Exhibition St,<br />
Melbourne Victoria 3000.<br />
If you would like to receive this publication in an accessible<br />
format, such as large print or audio please telephone Public<br />
Affairs Branch, <strong>Department</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>Transport</strong> on (03) 9655 6000.<br />
2 <strong>Feasibility</strong> <strong>Study</strong> Relocating motor vehicle importing and exporting to the Port <strong>of</strong> Geelong
Contents<br />
1. Purpose <strong>of</strong> this document 4<br />
2. The freight task 5<br />
3. Technical feasibility assessment 8<br />
4. Impacts and benefits<br />
<strong>of</strong> the Geelong option 15<br />
5. Delivery issues 18<br />
6. Geelong option –<br />
summary <strong>of</strong> key findings 19<br />
7. Alternative option –<br />
Webb Dock West 21<br />
10. Conclusions 25<br />
<strong>Feasibility</strong> <strong>Study</strong> Relocating motor vehicle importing and exporting to the Port <strong>of</strong> Geelong 3
1. Purpose <strong>of</strong> this document<br />
Background<br />
In February 2011, the Minister for Ports, the Hon Dr Denis<br />
Napthine, announced a feasibility study into relocating<br />
the import and export <strong>of</strong> motor vehicles from the Port <strong>of</strong><br />
Melbourne to Victoria’s second largest port, the Port <strong>of</strong><br />
Geelong.<br />
Consistent with its 2035 Port Development Strategy, the<br />
Port <strong>of</strong> Melbourne Corporation (PoMC) has proposed<br />
consolidating current motor vehicle import and export<br />
activities at Webb Dock West within the Port <strong>of</strong> Melbourne,<br />
with capacity to handle all forecast imports and exports<br />
for at least 25 years, along with a significant proportion <strong>of</strong><br />
on-wharf pre-delivery inspection (PDI) activity.<br />
The Port <strong>of</strong> Geelong provides a potential alternative<br />
location for the import and export <strong>of</strong> motor vehicles,<br />
and may have the benefit <strong>of</strong> delivering regional<br />
economic growth.<br />
In July 2011, the <strong>Department</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>Transport</strong> (DOT) released<br />
the Discussion Paper: Relocating motor vehicle importing<br />
and exporting to the Port <strong>of</strong> Geelong (“discussion<br />
paper”), which detailed the current automotive industry<br />
and supply chain, set out a concept proposal for an<br />
automotive terminal at Geelong, and invited submissions<br />
from interested parties. The discussion paper was<br />
developed in close consultation with the automotive<br />
industry, shipping lines, PoMC and the Port <strong>of</strong> Geelong.<br />
The discussion paper set out the policy drivers for<br />
investigating the possible relocation <strong>of</strong> motor vehicle<br />
importing and exporting to Geelong:<br />
• tackling road congestion, particularly on<br />
Melbourne’s freeways, arterial roads and port<br />
access roads<br />
• enhancing regional development<br />
• ensuring efficient automotive supply chains for<br />
imported and exported vehicles<br />
• supporting local vehicle manufacturing.<br />
There were 64 submissions received from a variety <strong>of</strong><br />
stakeholders including motor vehicle manufacturers,<br />
shipping lines, peak bodies, local government,<br />
community groups and from the ports <strong>of</strong> Melbourne<br />
and Geelong. Stakeholder input and advice has been<br />
critical to developing a holistic understanding <strong>of</strong> the<br />
current industry and in identifying all the potential issues<br />
associated with relocation to Geelong.<br />
4 <strong>Feasibility</strong> <strong>Study</strong> Relocating motor vehicle importing and exporting to the Port <strong>of</strong> Geelong
This feasibility study<br />
This feasibility study describes and<br />
quantifies the technical, economic,<br />
environmental and social feasibility<br />
<strong>of</strong> the proposal, and the associated<br />
impacts and benefits. It includes<br />
information in the following areas:<br />
• the freight task – describes and<br />
quantifies the current freight<br />
task and the forecast growth in<br />
the importing and exporting <strong>of</strong><br />
motor vehicles<br />
• automotive supply chain –<br />
describes how the supply chain<br />
would work if motor vehicle<br />
import and export activities were<br />
relocated to the Port <strong>of</strong> Geelong<br />
• environmental, social and<br />
business impacts <strong>of</strong> relocation<br />
to Geelong<br />
• commercial and economic<br />
considerations – including cost<br />
impacts, employment benefits<br />
and suggested commercial<br />
models and governance<br />
arrangements.<br />
Webb Dock West represents an<br />
alternative to relocation in Geelong<br />
and is discussed at the end <strong>of</strong><br />
this study.<br />
2. The freight task<br />
Motor vehicle imports and exports<br />
The discussion paper presented vehicle import and<br />
export forecasts to 2050, assuming ongoing local<br />
manufacturing at current levels.<br />
Industry submitters to the discussion paper generally<br />
supported the forecasts.<br />
The forecasts were reviewed during the feasibility study,<br />
including analysis <strong>of</strong> the impact <strong>of</strong> different scenarios for<br />
local manufacturing and exporting.<br />
Two demand scenarios are evaluated in this<br />
feasibility study:<br />
• imports and exports continue in line with the<br />
forecasts set out in the discussion paper<br />
• imports continue in line with the forecasts<br />
set out in the discussion paper but exports<br />
continue at a reduced level consistent with<br />
recent trends (approximately 40-50,000 vehicles<br />
exported annually).<br />
Related and general cargoes<br />
Motor vehicles are imported and exported on Roll-on<br />
Roll-<strong>of</strong>f vessels (RoRo). Some <strong>of</strong> these vessels also<br />
carry a small proportion <strong>of</strong> general and break-bulk<br />
cargoes, including:<br />
• High and Heavy (HiHe) vehicles such as combine<br />
harvesters, tractors and excavators<br />
Demand forecasts adopted for this feasibility study<br />
2015 2020 2025 2035 2050<br />
Demand Task 1 – Import/Export<br />
Import Vehicles 375,000 472,000 560,000 790,000 1,252,000<br />
Export Vehicles 110,000 110,000 110,000 110,000 110,000<br />
TOTAL 485,000 582,000 670,000 900,000 1,362,000<br />
Demand Task 2 – Import/Export<br />
Import Vehicles 375,000 472,000 560,000 790,000 1,252,000<br />
Export Vehicles 40,000 40,000 40,000 40,000 40,000<br />
TOTAL 415,000 512,000 600,000 830,000 1,292,000<br />
Sources: Port <strong>of</strong> Melbourne Corporation 2010 (Total and CAGR to 2035), Federal Chamber <strong>of</strong> Automotive Industries and<br />
industry discussions (Exports), <strong>Study</strong> team (2050 CAGR and forecasts to align with long term strategic port planning)<br />
<strong>Feasibility</strong> <strong>Study</strong> Relocating motor vehicle importing and exporting to the Port <strong>of</strong> Geelong 5
• machinery and equipment such as generators,<br />
turbines, transformers, paper bales, train carriages<br />
and forestry machinery loaded on to wheeled trailers<br />
• project cargoes which can include very large and<br />
very heavy loads, such as pre-assembled plant.<br />
These trades would also relocate to the Port <strong>of</strong> Geelong<br />
and, in addition to the land area required for motor<br />
vehicle import and export, would require:<br />
• approximately five hectares <strong>of</strong> open-air and<br />
undercover storage areas to allow for inspection,<br />
processing, cleaning and storage prior to delivery<br />
to <strong>of</strong>f-site long term storage or directly to customers<br />
• ramps, pavement strengths and overhead<br />
clearances capable <strong>of</strong> handling HiHe loads <strong>of</strong> at<br />
least 350 tonnes net.<br />
Corio Quay North and South are currently used for breakbulk<br />
trades including steel imports for the motor vehicle<br />
industry and exports <strong>of</strong> aluminium ingots from Alcoa.<br />
These existing break-bulk trades could share undercover<br />
and outdoor storage provided for other related trades, or<br />
could be relocated to other parts <strong>of</strong> the Port <strong>of</strong> Geelong,<br />
subject to acceptable commercial terms being reached<br />
with relevant parties.<br />
Ships and cargo exchanges<br />
RoRo vessels enable vehicles and<br />
other cargo to be driven <strong>of</strong>f the<br />
vessel via side and stern ramps. It<br />
is expected that the average size <strong>of</strong><br />
RoRo vessels will increase over time<br />
as outlined in the following table.<br />
The average number <strong>of</strong> vehicles<br />
exchanged per vessel call is also<br />
expected to increase over time,<br />
due to:<br />
• increases in ship size<br />
and capacity<br />
• reduction in the number <strong>of</strong><br />
port calls per vessel as overall<br />
trade volumes increase and<br />
shipping lines seek to achieve<br />
efficiencies.<br />
Increasing ship sizes and cargo<br />
exchange rates will require longer<br />
berths, additional lay down<br />
and terminal space and greater<br />
stevedoring services per ship call<br />
in future.<br />
Forecast ship fleet adopted for this study<br />
Length<br />
Typical<br />
registered<br />
draught<br />
Typical<br />
beam 2010 2015 2020 2025 2035 2050<br />
(m) (m) (m) (% <strong>of</strong> car carrier ships calling at Melbourne)<br />
< 191 5 – 8 20 – 28 49 38 31 25 18 15<br />
191-210 8.8 32.2 34 37 39 40 39 36<br />
211-230 9.5 32.2 8 13 15 17 20 22<br />
231-250 11.3 32.2 6 8 10 12 16 19<br />
251-270 11.5 32.2 3 4 5 6 7 8<br />
> 270 11.7 33 0 0 0 0 0 0<br />
Forecast vehicle exchanges per ship call<br />
2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050<br />
Average Vessel<br />
Size (CEU)<br />
6,117 6,250 6,368 6,432 6,496 6,517 6,538 6,559<br />
Vessel Exchange 18.6% 19.8% 21.0% 22.2% 23.4% 24.6% 25.8% 27.0%<br />
Average Vessel<br />
Exchange<br />
(Vehicles/visit)<br />
1,138 1,238 1,337 1,428 1,520 1,603 1,687 1,771<br />
6 <strong>Feasibility</strong> <strong>Study</strong> Relocating motor vehicle importing and exporting to the Port <strong>of</strong> Geelong
Land-side supply chains<br />
The discussion paper described<br />
in detail the current supply chain<br />
for motor vehicle imports and<br />
exports, as summarised in the<br />
following diagrams.<br />
Exported vehicle supply chain<br />
Toyota’s export vehicles are<br />
transported directly from the<br />
production line to port up to 10<br />
days prior to export. Reliability <strong>of</strong><br />
export vessel schedules is crucial for<br />
Toyota as shipments from Australia<br />
are linked to a global schedule <strong>of</strong><br />
vessel movements.<br />
Imported vehicle supply chain<br />
Most imports are transported away<br />
from the port precinct within the three<br />
days ‘free storage’ <strong>of</strong>fered by the<br />
terminal operators:<br />
• 40 per cent <strong>of</strong> vehicles are<br />
transported direct to dealers<br />
following PDI at on-wharf facilities<br />
• 60 per cent <strong>of</strong> vehicles are transported to <strong>of</strong>fwharf<br />
facilities, mainly in Altona/Laverton for PDI<br />
prior to subsequent transport to dealers, or for<br />
long-term storage.<br />
The logistics approach chosen largely depends on the<br />
manufacturer’s business model. Some manufacturers aim<br />
to reduce delivery time and inventory holding costs by<br />
conducting on-wharf PDI and delivery within three days.<br />
Manufacturers that are less driven by delivery schedules<br />
or import cars which are not pre-sold are more likely to<br />
transport their vehicles to Altona/Laverton.<br />
As more <strong>of</strong> the industry aims to improve supply-chain<br />
efficiency and reduce inventory costs, the proportion<br />
<strong>of</strong> on-wharf PDI is likely to increase to 60 per cent or<br />
more over time. This is consistent with current practice<br />
interstate where new, purpose-built vehicle import<br />
facilities have been established at the Fisherman Islands<br />
Cargo Terminal at the Port <strong>of</strong> Brisbane and the Port<br />
Kembla Terminal at the Port <strong>of</strong> Port Kembla.<br />
Distribution <strong>of</strong> imported motor vehicles reflects<br />
the current population distribution <strong>of</strong> Melbourne.<br />
Approximately 60 per cent <strong>of</strong> vehicles are currently<br />
sold through dealers in the eastern and south-eastern<br />
suburbs, while the rest are sold in the west and north.<br />
In the future this will move closer to 50/50 given higher<br />
residential growth rates in the west and north.<br />
Production plant<br />
Car transport company<br />
Consolidation at<br />
export wharf<br />
Stevedore<br />
Ship<br />
A few only<br />
Most<br />
Dealer<br />
About 40<br />
per cent<br />
On wharf<br />
PDI<br />
A few<br />
Storage<br />
Dealer<br />
Ship<br />
Wharf stack<br />
(terminal<br />
operator)<br />
About 60<br />
per cent<br />
Off wharf<br />
site<br />
Most<br />
Off wharf<br />
PDI<br />
Dealer<br />
A few<br />
Dealer<br />
Storage<br />
Dealer<br />
<strong>Feasibility</strong> <strong>Study</strong> Relocating motor vehicle importing and exporting to the Port <strong>of</strong> Geelong 7
3. Technical feasibility<br />
assessment<br />
Channel<br />
Key issues<br />
Submitters to the discussion paper raised a number <strong>of</strong><br />
concerns regarding the Geelong shipping channel:<br />
• The long, narrow and one-way nature <strong>of</strong> the channel<br />
at Geelong could lead to congestion delays,<br />
worsening over time as ship numbers increase<br />
to meet likely medium to long term demand and<br />
capacity requirements.<br />
• Car-carrying vessels are high-sided and more<br />
susceptible to high winds. This could cause delays<br />
in accessing the channel in windy conditions and<br />
require more expensive tugs.<br />
• Car-carriers operate to global schedules and any<br />
delays caused by channel congestion could impact<br />
on international delivery times and increase costs.<br />
• The priority access regime which currently existing<br />
at the Port <strong>of</strong> Geelong for deep draught ships<br />
during high tide could delay access to the channel<br />
for car-carrier ships. At some other Australian ports,<br />
car-carriers can tend to have priority due to their<br />
fast turn around time.<br />
Issues assessment<br />
The declared depth <strong>of</strong> the channel into the Port <strong>of</strong><br />
Geelong is 12.3 metres, which can cater to the largest<br />
forecast car-carrier/ RoRo vessel. The channel is 42.6<br />
kilometres long and 120 metres wide, and is a one-way<br />
channel for the majority <strong>of</strong> its length.<br />
Modelling undertaken by the Victorian Regional Channels<br />
Authority (VRCA) and supported by the Port Phillip Sea<br />
Pilots (PPSP) indicates that vessels would be able to<br />
safely transit the Geelong channel at wind speeds less<br />
than 15 knots without tug assistance. The modelling has<br />
also shown that the largest current car carrier vessels<br />
could safely transit the channel in wind speeds up to 25<br />
knots with tug assistance from Point Henry.<br />
There is nevertheless the possibility that ship’s masters,<br />
having ultimate responsibility for the safe navigation <strong>of</strong><br />
vessels may be more conservative when accessing and<br />
traversing the channel, potentially requiring tugs for its<br />
full length or in winds less than 15 knots.<br />
More powerful specialised tugs would be required in the<br />
port. Towage costs at the Port <strong>of</strong> Geelong would be likely<br />
to rise slightly to cover the cost <strong>of</strong> the new tugs, and this<br />
cost increase would be shared by all port users.<br />
Further modelling undertaken by<br />
VRCA investigated the potential for<br />
congestion and delays in the channel<br />
taking into account a range <strong>of</strong> factors<br />
including forecast ship numbers,<br />
berth availability, tides and wind.<br />
This modelling allowed two ships to<br />
be transiting the channel at once,<br />
rather than the current practice <strong>of</strong> a<br />
single vessel transit, and found:<br />
• Channel utilisation increases<br />
from 39 per cent in 2015 to<br />
62 per cent to 2030 and<br />
would be the primary cause <strong>of</strong><br />
future delays<br />
• Subject to three berths being<br />
constructed, with ultimate<br />
expansion to four, berth<br />
availability would not be a<br />
major cause <strong>of</strong> delay<br />
• Wind can significantly<br />
compound delays under<br />
adverse conditions<br />
By 2030, approximately half <strong>of</strong> all<br />
inbound car-carrying ships would<br />
be delayed. While most <strong>of</strong> these<br />
would experience delays <strong>of</strong> less<br />
than one hour, the remainder would<br />
be exposed to an average delay <strong>of</strong><br />
more than four hours, and in some<br />
cases, delays under adverse wind<br />
conditions could be greater than a<br />
day as the port clears vessels.<br />
Quay & berths<br />
Key issues<br />
The quay must be <strong>of</strong> sufficient<br />
depth and width to safely handle the<br />
anticipated ship size in the mid to<br />
long term without tide assistance.<br />
Ideally the quay depth would<br />
match the channel depth to make<br />
navigation as simple as possible.<br />
There must be sufficient berth<br />
capacity, in terms <strong>of</strong> number and<br />
length <strong>of</strong> berths, to handle forecast<br />
ship call volumes and ship sizes.<br />
The number <strong>of</strong> berths required<br />
to meet the forecast ship calls is<br />
as follows:<br />
• initially, two berths will<br />
be required<br />
• a third will be required<br />
from 2020<br />
• a fourth between 2045<br />
and 2050<br />
• depending on export volumes<br />
in the future, three berths may<br />
be sufficient.<br />
At least some <strong>of</strong> the berths should be<br />
capable <strong>of</strong> handling HiHe loads <strong>of</strong> at<br />
least 350 tonnes net.<br />
Issues assessment<br />
The Port <strong>of</strong> Geelong would be able<br />
to provide a total <strong>of</strong> four berths to<br />
meet demand out to at least 2050.<br />
This could be achieved through<br />
reclamation <strong>of</strong> land at Corio Quay<br />
South (further covered in the<br />
Land section).<br />
All berths could have side and rear<br />
ramp access except for Corio Quay<br />
North, which would have only rear<br />
ramp access. The quay would be<br />
wide enough to accommodate the<br />
widest forecast car carriers.<br />
All areas could have a handling<br />
capacity <strong>of</strong> 350 tonnes, though a<br />
specified area could be provided for<br />
heavier weights.<br />
Approximately 290,000 cubic<br />
metres <strong>of</strong> dredging would be<br />
required over 34.9 hectares <strong>of</strong><br />
seabed at Corio Quay and its swing<br />
basin to deepen these areas from<br />
their current 11.0 metres to 12.3<br />
metres, highlighted in the shaded<br />
area <strong>of</strong> the following diagram.<br />
Area requiring dredging or<br />
reclaiming at Corio Quay<br />
Dredging works would be coordinated<br />
and funded by the VRCA<br />
and is likely to cost in excess <strong>of</strong><br />
$10 million although the cost <strong>of</strong><br />
positioning dredges into Australia<br />
could increase this cost significantly.<br />
Disposal <strong>of</strong> dredged material could<br />
occur at a pre-existing dredged<br />
materials disposal ground within Port<br />
Philip Bay, subject to environmental<br />
approvals. Initial investigations have<br />
not detected any contaminated<br />
sediments but further analysis would<br />
be required.<br />
8 <strong>Feasibility</strong> <strong>Study</strong> Relocating motor vehicle importing and exporting to the Port <strong>of</strong> Geelong
Proposed South Corio depth 12.3m<br />
Total Area 34.6ha<br />
Total dredged area 27.3ha<br />
Total dredged material 260.674 m3<br />
Proposed Extension<br />
(7.3ha)<br />
<strong>Feasibility</strong> <strong>Study</strong> Relocating motor vehicle importing and exporting to the Port <strong>of</strong> Geelong 9
Land<br />
Key issues<br />
Submitters to the discussion paper raised a number<br />
<strong>of</strong> concerns in relation to the land available at the Port<br />
<strong>of</strong> Geelong:<br />
• Industry estimates <strong>of</strong> land required for an effective<br />
and efficient terminal (including comparison with<br />
interstate terminals) ranged from 40-60 hectares.<br />
• There appears to be insufficient land to cater to<br />
current volumes and forecast growth in the import<br />
and export <strong>of</strong> motor vehicles.<br />
• There appears to be insufficient land to provide for<br />
on-wharf processing for between 60-85 per cent <strong>of</strong><br />
imported vehicles, in line with industry preferences<br />
and forecasts.<br />
• The land available at the Port <strong>of</strong> Geelong is<br />
at different elevations and would be poorly<br />
configured, which is likely to lead to less efficient<br />
terminal operations.<br />
• Any proposal for an automotive terminal at Geelong<br />
should be based on the current practice <strong>of</strong> stacking<br />
cars at the terminal for priority delivery to their<br />
intended destination, with three days <strong>of</strong> free atwharf<br />
storage for imports and 10 days for exports.<br />
The relocation <strong>of</strong> related general cargoes creates<br />
an additional land requirement <strong>of</strong> five hectares <strong>of</strong><br />
storage area, including under-cover storage for weather<br />
sensitive cargoes.<br />
Further minor land may be required for Customs and<br />
Australian Quarantine and Inspection Service facilities.<br />
Issues assessment<br />
A total 24.8 hectare footprint could be<br />
provided adjacent to Corio Quay with<br />
17.5 hectares currently held by Ports<br />
Pty Ltd and a further 7.3 hectares<br />
added through land reclamation.<br />
However, it is likely there would only<br />
be useable land <strong>of</strong> approximately<br />
20 hectares, taking into account the<br />
suboptimal configuration <strong>of</strong> the site,<br />
the different levels and grades, the<br />
rail loop bisection and the need to<br />
provide underpasses.<br />
Initial investigations and consultation<br />
with land owners have identified an<br />
additional 10 hectares <strong>of</strong> land that<br />
could potentially be available west <strong>of</strong><br />
Corio Quay Road.<br />
Analysis has shown that while other<br />
terminals around Australia are larger,<br />
they are not currently operating at<br />
full capacity and more intensive<br />
operations may require less land<br />
at Geelong.<br />
An evaluation was undertaken <strong>of</strong><br />
the land likely to be required for a<br />
‘high intensity’ facility handling<br />
motor vehicle imports and exports,<br />
as well as related cargoes in both<br />
Demand Task forecasts, for each<br />
<strong>of</strong> three scenarios:<br />
• no on-wharf PDI<br />
• 40 per cent <strong>of</strong> vehicles undergo<br />
on-wharf PDI<br />
• 85 per cent <strong>of</strong> vehicles undergo<br />
on-wharf PDI.<br />
The results for Demand Task 1<br />
are shown in Table 4 below. Land<br />
requirements for Demand Task 2<br />
were around five per cent lower, but<br />
would constrain throughput in the<br />
event <strong>of</strong> higher export volumes or<br />
lower than expected efficiency.<br />
Potential land areas<br />
available at Port <strong>of</strong> Geelong<br />
In excess <strong>of</strong> 80 and possibly more<br />
than 100 hectares additional land<br />
would be required on-wharf in the ‘85<br />
per cent PDI’ scenario. As this area<br />
is not available at either Geelong<br />
or Melbourne, this option is not<br />
considered feasible.<br />
Land required at port – motor vehicle imports, exports & HiHe (ha): Demand Task 1<br />
2015 2020 2030 2040 2050<br />
Land available at Port <strong>of</strong> Geelong – useable 20.0 20.0 20.0 20.0 20.0<br />
No on-wharf PDI<br />
total area required for imports/exports & HiHe 21.3 24.8 27.6 33.9 45.1<br />
land deficit (additional land required) 1.3 4.8 7.6 13.9 25.1<br />
40% on-wharf PDI<br />
total area required for imports/exports, HiHe and PDI 33.4 38.6 51.7 70.9 98.0<br />
land deficit (additional land required) 13.4 18.6 31.7 50.9 78.0<br />
85% on-wharf PDI<br />
total area required for imports/exports, HiHe and PDI 47.1 54.8 75.5 106.8 151.8<br />
land deficit (additional land required) 27.1 34.8 55.5 86.8 131.8<br />
10 <strong>Feasibility</strong> <strong>Study</strong> Relocating motor vehicle importing and exporting to the Port <strong>of</strong> Geelong
Key<br />
Dual Gauge Rail Line<br />
Underpass<br />
CQS4<br />
Maximum Ship Length 264 m<br />
Potential Future Berth<br />
N<br />
Area 1 – 2.8 ha<br />
Area 2 – 3.2 ha<br />
Area 3 – 11.5 ha<br />
Area 4 – 7.3 ha<br />
TOTAL – 24.8 ha<br />
CQN Shed 3<br />
CQN Shed 2<br />
Maximum Ship Length 264 m<br />
1 Berth – 270 m Quayline<br />
CQN1<br />
CQS1 CQS3<br />
Ship Length 264 m Ship Length 264 m<br />
Area 4<br />
7.3 ha<br />
Hardstand Pavement<br />
Corio Quay Road<br />
Area 2<br />
3.2 ha<br />
Hardstand Pavement<br />
Area 1<br />
2.8 ha<br />
Area 3<br />
11.5 ha<br />
Cowies Creek<br />
Princes Highway<br />
<strong>Feasibility</strong> <strong>Study</strong> Relocating motor vehicle importing and exporting to the Port <strong>of</strong> Geelong 11
In the ‘no on-wharf PDI’ scenario:<br />
• The existing land at Geelong is likely to be able to<br />
handle the initial volume <strong>of</strong> imports and current<br />
reduced export volumes until 2020 but not the<br />
higher export volume.<br />
• After 2020, given forecast growth in imports and/<br />
or recovery <strong>of</strong> export volumes, up to 14 hectares <strong>of</strong><br />
additional land/floor space needs to be secured to<br />
meet mid-to long-term demand to at least 2040.<br />
• This indicates that a multi-storey car park is likely<br />
to be required at Geelong, located either within<br />
the current port boundary or on land west <strong>of</strong> Corio<br />
Quay Road.<br />
• If a five storey car park were built on a 3.8 hectare<br />
footprint, this would provide for 10,000 vehicle<br />
spots which would be sufficient to cater for demand<br />
to 2035. Detailed cost estimates have not been<br />
prepared but using benchmark industry estimates,<br />
the construction could cost in the order <strong>of</strong> $135 –<br />
$150 million.<br />
In the ‘40 per cent <strong>of</strong> vehicles undergo on-wharf<br />
PDI’ scenario:<br />
• Any provision for on-wharf PDI would immediately<br />
exceed the 20 hectares <strong>of</strong> available useable land<br />
currently owned by Ports Pty Ltd. Therefore a<br />
further 14 hectares <strong>of</strong> additional land/floor space<br />
would be required at project start-up and up to 50<br />
hectares <strong>of</strong> additional floor space required to meet<br />
long-term demand.<br />
• This indicates that a very large multi-storey car<br />
park should be considered an essential part<br />
<strong>of</strong> any proposal to accommodate on-wharf PDI<br />
at Geelong.<br />
• If a five storey car park were built on a 10 hectare<br />
footprint, this would provide for 26,000 vehicle<br />
spots which would be sufficient to cater for<br />
demand to at least 2035. Detailed cost estimates<br />
have not been prepared but using benchmark<br />
industry estimates, the construction could cost in<br />
the order <strong>of</strong> $370 million.<br />
Terminal operations<br />
and access<br />
Key issues<br />
Submitters to the discussion<br />
paper raised a number <strong>of</strong> issues<br />
to be addressed in the layout and<br />
operation <strong>of</strong> an automotive terminal<br />
at the Port <strong>of</strong> Geelong, including:<br />
• The most efficient terminal<br />
design would enable each<br />
activity to be conducted at<br />
ground level within designated<br />
areas and using current industry<br />
‘stacking’ procedures, including<br />
imports, exports, PDI and high<br />
and heavy.<br />
• A land constrained terminal<br />
could create additional<br />
operating costs as a<br />
consequence <strong>of</strong> lower<br />
productivity and efficiency,<br />
and could increase<br />
wharf congestion.<br />
• Multi-storey car parks are<br />
predominantly used in landconstrained<br />
ports for vehicles<br />
with longer dwell times, such<br />
as exports.<br />
• The standard free storage dwell<br />
times <strong>of</strong> three days for imports<br />
and 10 days for exports need<br />
to be maintained to enable<br />
flexible and efficient utilisation<br />
<strong>of</strong> stevedoring and transport<br />
resources. Any reduction in<br />
these dwell times would create<br />
peaks in demand that other<br />
areas <strong>of</strong> the supply chain may<br />
be unable to meet.<br />
• The terminal would need to be<br />
multi-user and provide for 24/7<br />
open access with transparent<br />
charging arrangements allowing<br />
usage by any stevedore or PDI<br />
provider interested in servicing<br />
the automotive sector.<br />
Issues assessment<br />
While the three day and 10 day<br />
lay-down time could be shortened<br />
to increase capacity, it is considered<br />
that the current periods remain<br />
appropriate as the basis <strong>of</strong> design for<br />
any new facility at Geelong. These<br />
have been used in calculating land<br />
requirements in this study.<br />
A multi-storey car park could handle<br />
export volumes, any limited PDI<br />
conducted at port, as well as imports<br />
with longer dwell times at the port.<br />
An automotive terminal at Port <strong>of</strong><br />
Geelong could operate 24/7 and<br />
provide for multi-user open access.<br />
Appropriate governance, project<br />
financing, delivery and performance<br />
requirements would need to be<br />
established in project agreements<br />
between the State and the private<br />
port owner, or in regulation. It is<br />
expected that the entity financing the<br />
terminal will recover its costs through<br />
user charges.<br />
12 <strong>Feasibility</strong> <strong>Study</strong> Relocating motor vehicle importing and exporting to the Port <strong>of</strong> Geelong
Stevedoring<br />
Key issues<br />
Submitters to the discussion paper<br />
raised concerns about impacts<br />
on stevedoring operations if motor<br />
vehicle imports and exports are<br />
relocated to the Port <strong>of</strong> Geelong:<br />
• Pre-sorting <strong>of</strong> cars for easy<br />
distribution to dealers is<br />
essential to the achievement<br />
<strong>of</strong> an efficient supply chain<br />
and should be provided for<br />
in any terminal design and<br />
operational plan.<br />
• there appears to be insufficient<br />
lay down area adjacent to<br />
the port to maintain dealer<br />
mark priority stacking at 500<br />
cars per hectare taking into<br />
account forecast demand.<br />
This, combined with the<br />
segregation <strong>of</strong> operational<br />
areas and possible multi-storey<br />
car park, would lead to less<br />
efficient stevedoring practices,<br />
increased wharf congestion,<br />
double-handling and additional<br />
overtime, as well as increased<br />
risk <strong>of</strong> vehicle damage and<br />
safety issues – all <strong>of</strong> which<br />
would increase costs.<br />
• Co-location <strong>of</strong> motor vehicles,<br />
break-bulk and general cargo is<br />
important for flexible utilisation<br />
<strong>of</strong> stevedoring labour and<br />
equipment, keeping costs down<br />
and enabling resources to be<br />
deployed for other uses during<br />
quieter periods. By locating<br />
RoRo cargo to Geelong, but<br />
retaining the balance <strong>of</strong> general<br />
cargo at the Port <strong>of</strong> Melbourne,<br />
it is likely that duplication <strong>of</strong><br />
stevedoring resources would<br />
result leading to increased costs<br />
to both streams <strong>of</strong> trade. Recent<br />
relocation <strong>of</strong> motor vehicle<br />
trades elsewhere in Australia<br />
have consolidated the trades in<br />
the same location.<br />
Issues assessment<br />
Assessment <strong>of</strong> land requirements<br />
undertaken for this study<br />
included provision for dealer<br />
mark priority stacking.<br />
Two stevedores currently service<br />
the motor vehicle industry in Victoria<br />
– Patrick Stevedores and POAGS.<br />
Both have a similar workforce size<br />
<strong>of</strong> around 200, employing a base <strong>of</strong><br />
predominantly permanent staff plus<br />
casual positions..<br />
There are insufficient facilities in<br />
Geelong to accommodate all the<br />
general cargo currently handled in<br />
Melbourne. As a result, there is likely<br />
to be duplication <strong>of</strong> equipment and<br />
other resources across Melbourne<br />
and Geelong, creating inefficiencies<br />
and higher stevedoring costs.<br />
It is likely that both stevedores would increase casual<br />
and permanent positions in Geelong, reduce number<br />
<strong>of</strong> permanent positions in Melbourne and increase the<br />
casual workforce in Melbourne.<br />
The use <strong>of</strong> a multi-storey car park would reduce<br />
stevedoring efficiency due to increased travel time and<br />
distance, requiring an extra gang to work each ship to<br />
ensure current dispatch schedules were maintained. It<br />
is likely that this would lead to a 10-15 per cent higher<br />
stevedoring cost.<br />
Pre-delivery inspection<br />
Key issues<br />
Submitters to the discussion paper raised a number <strong>of</strong><br />
concerns regarding potential arrangements for PDI in<br />
the supply chain from Geelong:<br />
• There appears to be insufficient land available<br />
for PDI to be conducted at the port. Loss <strong>of</strong> this<br />
capability would lead to increased costs along the<br />
supply chain, including handling and inventory<br />
costs, with all motor vehicles requiring rehandling at<br />
<strong>of</strong>f-wharf PDI facilities in Altona/Laverton, and less<br />
efficient supply chains.<br />
• Geelong is further away from the centre <strong>of</strong> the<br />
Melbourne metropolitan market, and would reduce<br />
the efficiency <strong>of</strong> the dealer distribution task (also<br />
addressed in the following section).<br />
Issues assessment<br />
An inability to conduct PDI at the port would:<br />
• impose a different supply chain model on the<br />
industry compared with practices elsewhere around<br />
Australia; reducing supply chain efficiency<br />
• prevent some manufacturers from implementing<br />
their ‘lean logistics chain’ business models<br />
• preclude other manufacturers from implementing<br />
this practice.<br />
<strong>Feasibility</strong> <strong>Study</strong> Relocating motor vehicle importing and exporting to the Port <strong>of</strong> Geelong 13
All PDI would occur at existing facilities in Altona/<br />
Laverton. The per-unit cost <strong>of</strong> the actual PDI activity is<br />
unlikely to increase, it is likely that storage and inventory<br />
costs would increase slightly costs. The transport<br />
and distribution task would also be less efficient, as<br />
discussed in the following section.<br />
If PDI activities are not relocated to Geelong, the<br />
employment benefits <strong>of</strong> the Geelong option are reduced.<br />
<strong>Transport</strong> & distribution<br />
Key issues<br />
Submitters to the discussion paper raised a number <strong>of</strong><br />
concerns regarding potential impacts on the transport<br />
and distribution task to and from Geelong:<br />
• There would be an increase in the overall travel time<br />
and distance which in turn would lead to increases<br />
in fuel and labour costs, as well as additional capital<br />
expenditure in the extra fleet required to meet the<br />
increased freight task.<br />
• Current supply chains are optimised around a<br />
central distribution location (the Port <strong>of</strong> Melbourne),<br />
which enables flexible utilisation <strong>of</strong> transport<br />
vehicles including back-loading. Relocation to<br />
Geelong would decrease the number <strong>of</strong> runs per<br />
day, increasing capital and resourcing costs.<br />
• In order to reduce this impact there is potential<br />
to use larger more efficient car carriers on the<br />
line haul from Geelong to Altona, though some<br />
transport companies have indicated that the current<br />
configuration is the most optimal for full road<br />
network access.<br />
• Over-dimensional transport providers have<br />
expressed concern regarding the extra travel time<br />
imposed by the less direct over-dimensional routes<br />
from the Port <strong>of</strong> Geelong, specifically height and<br />
weight restrictions.<br />
Issues assessment<br />
<strong>Transport</strong> constitutes a major proportion <strong>of</strong> the overall<br />
supply chain cost. The kilometres travelled in the overall<br />
distribution task would increase by 70 per cent. In 2015,<br />
this would be equivalent to an additional 20 million gross<br />
tonne kilometres, with this figure rising to 100 million<br />
gross tonne kilometres by 2040.<br />
Average travel times between<br />
Geelong and Altona/Laverton based<br />
on 2010 data, have been modelled<br />
at 47 minutes, versus 19 minutes<br />
between Melbourne and Altona/<br />
Laverton. As such, all imports<br />
would be exposed to an additional<br />
average cost <strong>of</strong> approximately $88<br />
resulting from the longer and less<br />
efficient transport task as well as a<br />
distribution point that is no longer<br />
central to the market. 1<br />
Exports to the Port <strong>of</strong> Geelong<br />
would experience an average travel<br />
time <strong>of</strong> 46 minutes, compared with<br />
the current 20 minutes to the Port<br />
<strong>of</strong> Melbourne, and a transport cost<br />
increase <strong>of</strong> $43 per vehicle.<br />
Additional capital costs would also<br />
result with transport companies<br />
needing to purchase more trucks<br />
given a loss <strong>of</strong> back-haul and<br />
triangulation opportunities.<br />
Rail is not considered a costcompetitive<br />
option for the distribution<br />
<strong>of</strong> motor vehicles in Victoria.<br />
A preliminary finding <strong>of</strong> this feasibility<br />
study is that there is insufficient<br />
land available to accommodate all<br />
imports, exports, PDI and related<br />
trades, without the acquisition <strong>of</strong><br />
additional land and construction <strong>of</strong> a<br />
multi-storey car park.<br />
The cost and complexity <strong>of</strong><br />
constructing a large multi-storey car<br />
park indicates that on-wharf PDI is<br />
not feasible in the event <strong>of</strong> relocation<br />
to Geelong.<br />
1. This cost represents a weighted average<br />
<strong>of</strong> transport cost impacts across all<br />
imported motor vehicles. However the<br />
actual cost impact will be higher on those<br />
motor vehicles currently delivered direct<br />
to dealer (approximately 40 per cent), with<br />
a lower cost impact for the remaining 60<br />
per cent <strong>of</strong> motor vehicles delivered from<br />
depots in Altona/Laverton.<br />
14 <strong>Feasibility</strong> <strong>Study</strong> Relocating motor vehicle importing and exporting to the Port <strong>of</strong> Geelong
4. Impacts and<br />
benefits <strong>of</strong> the<br />
Geelong option<br />
Cost impacts to the motor<br />
vehicle industry<br />
The previous sections <strong>of</strong> this<br />
feasibility study set out likely<br />
impacts in each element <strong>of</strong> the<br />
supply chain in the event <strong>of</strong><br />
relocating motor vehicle imports<br />
and exports to Geelong.<br />
The following table summarises the<br />
estimated costs <strong>of</strong> these impacts,<br />
with relocation <strong>of</strong> import and export<br />
activities to the Port <strong>of</strong> Geelong,<br />
but with all PDI activities occurring<br />
<strong>of</strong>f-wharf at Altona/Laverton. The<br />
table also provides a comparison<br />
<strong>of</strong> forecast costs at Geelong with<br />
current arrangements.<br />
All elements <strong>of</strong> additional cost<br />
have been identified, including<br />
extra costs <strong>of</strong> towage and channel<br />
access; recovering the cost<br />
<strong>of</strong> capital investment in wharf<br />
and terminal infrastructure; and<br />
additional stevedoring, transport and<br />
distribution costs.<br />
It is envisaged that the terminal access component <strong>of</strong><br />
the costs below includes a ‘facility access charge’ which<br />
would be used to recoup costs <strong>of</strong> the capital expenditure<br />
over a 35 year return period.<br />
The costs below have been compiled through<br />
information provided by various industry stakeholders<br />
and independent research and analysis. They do<br />
not represent actual charges and should be treated<br />
as indicative.<br />
The estimated increase in costs per vehicle forecast for<br />
2015 are as follows:<br />
• For the 40 per cent <strong>of</strong> imports that are currently<br />
delivered direct to dealer from the port, an<br />
additional cost per vehicle <strong>of</strong> $198 would apply.<br />
• For the 60 per cent <strong>of</strong> imports that are currently<br />
delivered from Altona/Laverton, an additional cost<br />
per vehicle <strong>of</strong> $133 would apply.<br />
• On average, the additional cost per vehicle for<br />
imports would be approximately $159.<br />
• Exports would incur an additional cost <strong>of</strong> $108<br />
per vehicle.<br />
Applying these estimated cost increases to the forecast<br />
demand, in 2015 the total additional cost to industry for<br />
the first year <strong>of</strong> operation would be approximately $71.4<br />
million. In 2050 this additional operational cost would<br />
rise to approximately $211 million.<br />
Summary <strong>of</strong> cost impacts per vehicle<br />
Costs Current supply chain Geelong with <strong>of</strong>f-wharf PDI<br />
Channel and towage $21.84 $39.82<br />
Wharfage & terminal access $57.45 $95.25<br />
Stevedore services $60.00 $68.95<br />
Melbourne on-wharf PDI &<br />
transport (40%)<br />
$145.00 N/A<br />
Off-wharf PDI & transport (60%) $210.50 $278.90<br />
<strong>Transport</strong> costs (exports) $34.00 $77.00<br />
TOTALS<br />
Melbourne on-wharf PDI &<br />
transport (40%)<br />
Off-wharf PDI & transport imports<br />
(60%)<br />
$284.29 N/A<br />
$349.79 $482.92<br />
Exports costs $173.29 $281.02<br />
<strong>Feasibility</strong> <strong>Study</strong> Relocating motor vehicle importing and exporting to the Port <strong>of</strong> Geelong 15
Economic impact assessment<br />
Benefit Cost Analysis<br />
A Benefit Cost Analysis comparing the Port <strong>of</strong><br />
Melbourne with relocation to Geelong generates an<br />
overall negative Net Present Value (NPV) <strong>of</strong> -$48.03<br />
million. The results indicate that there would be net direct<br />
costs as a result <strong>of</strong> relocation.<br />
Wider Economic Impacts<br />
An assessment <strong>of</strong> the wider economic benefits such<br />
as agglomeration, increased State output and labour<br />
market impacts indicates only minimal benefits<br />
principally associated with an uplift in labour productivity<br />
could be attributed to the project.<br />
Employment generation<br />
The supply chain involved in importing and<br />
exporting motor vehicles supports approximately<br />
1,000 jobs, including:<br />
• 20 jobs in port and terminal management<br />
• 400 permanent and casual jobs in stevedoring<br />
• 500 jobs in on- and <strong>of</strong>f-wharf PDI activities<br />
• 150 jobs in distribution and transport.<br />
Relocating the import and export activities and on-wharf<br />
PDI to the Port <strong>of</strong> Geelong could have the potential to<br />
relocate a significant proportion <strong>of</strong> these jobs, resulting<br />
in direct and indirect employment benefits in the<br />
Geelong region.<br />
However, the findings <strong>of</strong> this feasibility study indicate<br />
that if motor vehicle and related trades were relocated<br />
to Geelong, but not PDI, then:<br />
• Approximately 20 new jobs would be created in<br />
port and terminal management<br />
• As the majority <strong>of</strong> the break-bulk trade would<br />
remain in Melbourne, the number <strong>of</strong> stevedore<br />
positions created would be less than currently exist<br />
in Melbourne.<br />
• The combined number <strong>of</strong> stevedore positions<br />
created would be approximately 160 permanent and<br />
100 casual ‘new’ jobs in Geelong A proportion <strong>of</strong><br />
the new jobs are likely to be filled by existing workers<br />
living in Melbourne’s west who would commute to<br />
Geelong. As such there would be a proportional<br />
reduction <strong>of</strong> permanent positions in Melbourne.<br />
• No jobs associated with PDI activities would<br />
relocate to Geelong.<br />
16 <strong>Feasibility</strong> <strong>Study</strong> Relocating motor vehicle importing and exporting to the Port <strong>of</strong> Geelong
Bulk ship customers in the<br />
Port <strong>of</strong> Geelong<br />
While some bulk ship customers within the Port <strong>of</strong><br />
Geelong consider that the proposal could result in<br />
improvements to port services, some have expressed<br />
concern that the relocation <strong>of</strong> the car trade could impact<br />
on the current priority regime for deep draught ships,<br />
which require high tide access to the channel and berths.<br />
• A small number <strong>of</strong> new jobs<br />
would be created in transport<br />
and distribution, but existing<br />
contractors and drivers would<br />
continue to be employed in the<br />
first instance.<br />
• Jobs would grow as the freight<br />
task increases over time.<br />
Other business impacts<br />
Port <strong>of</strong> Geelong users<br />
The Port <strong>of</strong> Geelong principally<br />
handles bulk cargoes, including<br />
woodchips, fertilisers, petroleum<br />
products and grain, as well as<br />
break-bulk cargoes. These trades are<br />
generally compatible with each other,<br />
and share facilities and buffers to<br />
surrounding sensitive uses.<br />
The introduction <strong>of</strong> motor vehicle<br />
imports and exports would create<br />
potential for conflict between trades,<br />
particularly with respect to the risk <strong>of</strong><br />
damage to motor vehicles by other<br />
products. With the grain terminal<br />
adjacent to Corio Quay, the attraction<br />
<strong>of</strong> birds to this area could also<br />
result in damage to vehicles. These<br />
problems are being experienced in<br />
other ports around Australia where<br />
the motor vehicle trades have colocated<br />
with bulk trades and industry.<br />
Investigations conducted for this<br />
feasibility study indicate there would<br />
be some risk <strong>of</strong> potential business<br />
interruption and cost to existing Port<br />
<strong>of</strong> Geelong occupiers.<br />
Current break-bulk imports and exports –<br />
Corio Quay<br />
Current trades importing and exporting through Corio<br />
Quay would be directly impacted if the car trade relocates<br />
to Geelong. Steel coils are imported through Corio Quay<br />
South for the manufacturing <strong>of</strong> motor vehicles, with the<br />
steel stored undercover at berth. This storage facility<br />
would be removed as part <strong>of</strong> a Corio Quay development<br />
and another facility would need to be identified.<br />
Alcoa also produces aluminium ingots at its smelter at<br />
Point Henry for export through Corio Quay North.<br />
Subject to the parties reaching a commercial agreement<br />
to develop other facilities, the trades could be relocated<br />
within Geelong. Alternatively the products could be<br />
handled through Melbourne. The potential cost impacts<br />
<strong>of</strong> these options have not been quantified.<br />
Environmental and social issues<br />
The development and operation <strong>of</strong> a motor vehicle<br />
import and export facility at the Port <strong>of</strong> Geelong<br />
could have minor direct and indirect effects on the<br />
environment, including:<br />
• removal <strong>of</strong> native flora and fauna on project lands,<br />
including sea grass in areas to be dredged<br />
• indirect effects <strong>of</strong> dredge plumes and shipping<br />
operations on locations remote from actual<br />
project activities<br />
• disturbance and disposal <strong>of</strong> potentially<br />
contaminated materials in Corio Quay and on<br />
other project land<br />
• increased greenhouse gas emissions resulting from<br />
additional truck travel in the distribution task.<br />
Preliminary investigations indicate that impacts on the<br />
terrestrial and marine environments are likely to be<br />
acceptable and manageable. However, more detailed<br />
investigations would need to be undertaken to satisfy the<br />
requirements <strong>of</strong> State environmental consent processes.<br />
Preliminary investigations into potential social<br />
and amenity issues indicate that impacts would be<br />
low to moderate:<br />
• Shell Parade/Corio Quay Road and Mackey<br />
Street/Princes Highway would be the preferred<br />
access routes and would avoid trucks using local<br />
residential streets<br />
<strong>Feasibility</strong> <strong>Study</strong> Relocating motor vehicle importing and exporting to the Port <strong>of</strong> Geelong 17
• minor road upgrades would be required to meet<br />
safety requirements for the car-carrying truck fleet<br />
accessing the port<br />
• VRCA’s existing channel access and boating safety<br />
education program would adequately address<br />
marine safety issues<br />
• visual impacts would be evaluated in any required<br />
statutory approvals process<br />
• truck trips per day (one-way) in the port precinct<br />
would increase as shown below.<br />
Road congestion effects<br />
Relocation to Geelong would not perceptibly reduce<br />
congestion over the West Gate Bridge or on port access<br />
roads. The movement <strong>of</strong> motor vehicles represents only<br />
five per cent <strong>of</strong> the total port-related truck movements,<br />
which in turn represent approximately three per cent<br />
<strong>of</strong> traffic on the M1 and over the West Gate Bridge.<br />
Therefore, motor vehicle trades represent around 0.1 per<br />
cent <strong>of</strong> traffic on the West Gate Bridge.<br />
Truck numbers may reduce slightly if longer transport<br />
vehicles for the line-haul from Geelong to Altona/<br />
Laverton are introduced. However, these vehicles are<br />
unlikely to be suitable for the distribution task to dealers<br />
on smaller local roads.<br />
Additional truck trips per day from car trade growth<br />
5. Delivery issues<br />
A number <strong>of</strong> issues would need to<br />
be addressed to achieve the<br />
successful and timely relocation <strong>of</strong><br />
motor vehicle imports and exports<br />
to the Port <strong>of</strong> Geelong.<br />
Timing<br />
Relocation <strong>of</strong> motor vehicle<br />
trades to Geelong would need<br />
to be coordinated with other port<br />
development proposals within the<br />
Port <strong>of</strong> Melbourne. It is understood<br />
that the earliest possible date that<br />
relocation <strong>of</strong> the motor vehicle trades<br />
could be required is around 2014/15.<br />
Planning, design, approvals,<br />
procurement and construction<br />
<strong>of</strong> a facility would need to be<br />
completed within three to four<br />
years. This timeframe is considered<br />
tight but achievable.<br />
2020 2030 2050<br />
Port to Compound 35 50 98<br />
Compound to Dealer 42 63 128<br />
Factory to Port 10 11 12<br />
Total 87 124 238<br />
Ownership, access,<br />
competition and pricing<br />
The Port <strong>of</strong> Geelong is privately<br />
owned. If the motor vehicle trades<br />
were relocated to the port, the State<br />
would need to enter into binding<br />
project agreements with the port<br />
owner, its agents and financiers<br />
to ensure that an adequate level<br />
<strong>of</strong> service is provided to the<br />
motor vehicle industry, including<br />
expansion <strong>of</strong> the facility over time to<br />
accommodate forecast growth.<br />
The Government would draw on<br />
similar experiences in reaching<br />
agreements, eg. Public-Private<br />
Partnerships, in structuring the<br />
project agreements.<br />
The automotive handling and<br />
logistics services industry is<br />
concentrated in the hands <strong>of</strong> a few<br />
related and integrated companies.<br />
This includes terminal operation,<br />
stevedoring and PDI.<br />
Most industry submitters to the<br />
discussion paper supported a<br />
model whereby an independent<br />
operator develops and manages<br />
the facility at Geelong and<br />
makes it available on an open<br />
access arrangement, reflecting<br />
arrangements at other motor vehicle<br />
port terminals around Australia.<br />
18 <strong>Feasibility</strong> <strong>Study</strong> Relocating motor vehicle importing and exporting to the Port <strong>of</strong> Geelong
It is envisaged that similar<br />
to other Australian ports, an<br />
independent pricing monitor such<br />
as a competition authority would<br />
be the appropriate body to monitor<br />
prices and charges at the port.<br />
Further consideration <strong>of</strong> the most<br />
appropriate regulatory framework<br />
is required. The Victorian Essential<br />
Services Commission may have a<br />
role to play in this regard.<br />
Statutory approvals<br />
The development <strong>of</strong> the Port <strong>of</strong><br />
Geelong to handle motor vehicle<br />
and related trades would require<br />
consents under a number <strong>of</strong><br />
State and Commonwealth<br />
legislation, including:<br />
• Coastal Management Act 1995<br />
(Vic) – approval for dredging,<br />
spoil disposal and land<br />
reclamation would be required<br />
• Planning and Environment Act<br />
1987 (Vic) – planning scheme<br />
amendment for the area <strong>of</strong><br />
land to be reclaimed would be<br />
required. The City <strong>of</strong> Greater<br />
Geelong is the relevant planning<br />
and responsible authority for the<br />
subject land at present<br />
• Environment Effects Act 1978<br />
(Vic) – a referral under this<br />
Act would be required,<br />
to determine whether an<br />
Environment Effects Statement<br />
(EES) would be needed<br />
• Environmental Protection and<br />
Biodiversity Conservation Act<br />
1999 (Cth) – referral <strong>of</strong> the<br />
proposal to the Commonwealth<br />
Minister for decision on whether<br />
a formal assessment and review<br />
process may be required.<br />
To date, no potentially significant<br />
environmental impacts have been<br />
identified on the marine or terrestrial<br />
environment. However, there is a risk<br />
that as new information comes to<br />
hand during future site and project<br />
investigations this could alter the<br />
initial assessment.<br />
6. Geelong option –<br />
summary <strong>of</strong> key findings<br />
This section summarises the<br />
key findings <strong>of</strong> feasibility investigations into<br />
relocating motor vehicle imports and<br />
exports to the Port <strong>of</strong> Geelong.<br />
<strong>Feasibility</strong> assessment<br />
Corio Quay could be redeveloped to provide sufficient<br />
berth and quay capacity to meet long-term demand for<br />
motor vehicle imports and exports and related trades<br />
The Geelong channel has sufficient depth for the<br />
forecast largest ship and capacity for initial ship<br />
numbers. However, by 2030 the one-way nature <strong>of</strong> the<br />
channel would result in delays to 50 per cent <strong>of</strong> in-bound<br />
car-carrying vessels. These vessels would experience<br />
an average <strong>of</strong> four hours delay, with adverse wind<br />
conditions exacerbating delays.<br />
The 20 hectares <strong>of</strong> available and useable land at grade<br />
within the Port <strong>of</strong> Geelong at project commencement<br />
would be sufficient to handle all imports and current<br />
reduced export volumes (around 40,000) until around<br />
2020, as well as providing five hectares <strong>of</strong> outdoor and<br />
undercover storage for related trades.<br />
An additional 15 hectares <strong>of</strong> useable land/floor space<br />
would be required to cater for demand to 2040. This<br />
could be achieved by:<br />
• acquisition <strong>of</strong> additional project land, most likely the<br />
land between the Melbourne-Geelong rail corridor<br />
and Princes Highway, and<br />
• construction <strong>of</strong> a multi-storey car park on the<br />
acquired land, or over Corio Quay South, or both, at<br />
an estimated cost <strong>of</strong> between $135-150 million.<br />
The multi-storey car park space would more likely<br />
be used for handling vehicles with longer dwell times<br />
at the port, such as exports and longer-term storage<br />
<strong>of</strong> imports.<br />
<strong>Feasibility</strong> <strong>Study</strong> Relocating motor vehicle importing and exporting to the Port <strong>of</strong> Geelong 19
Stevedoring services would be less efficient due to the<br />
need to manage vehicles within the multi-storey car park,<br />
increasing stevedoring costs by 10-15 per cent.<br />
There is insufficient land at the Port <strong>of</strong> Geelong for<br />
any on-wharf PDI. The cost <strong>of</strong> additional multi-storey<br />
car park space is likely to be prohibitive, and industry<br />
would probably choose to conduct all PDI at existing or<br />
expanded facilities at Altona/Laverton.<br />
The project could be delivered through a series <strong>of</strong><br />
project agreements between the State and the private<br />
owner <strong>of</strong> the Port <strong>of</strong> Geelong, its agents and financiers,<br />
which ensure that industry would be provided with an<br />
adequate level <strong>of</strong> service, including expansion <strong>of</strong> the<br />
facility over time to meet demand.<br />
Regulatory models are available to achieve an adequate<br />
level <strong>of</strong> competition, access, price control and regulation<br />
<strong>of</strong> the activities.<br />
Impacts and benefits<br />
The Geelong option would increase costs in most<br />
elements <strong>of</strong> the supply chain in comparison to the<br />
current arrangements at Port <strong>of</strong> Melbourne. The following<br />
are the estimated cost increases:<br />
• Channel and towage fees – $18 per vehicle<br />
• Recovery <strong>of</strong> capital investment in assets –<br />
$38 per vehicle<br />
• Stevedoring – $9 per vehicle<br />
• Average transport and distribution costs for imports<br />
– $88 per vehicle<br />
• Average transport costs for exports –<br />
$43 per vehicle<br />
• Off-wharf PDI processing – $6 per vehicle<br />
As such, the average additional cost per vehicle for<br />
imports would be approximately $159, and $108 per<br />
vehicle for exports. The total cost impact to industry<br />
across the entire supply chain would be in the order <strong>of</strong><br />
$71.4 million in the first year <strong>of</strong> operation and while this<br />
would decrease in real terms per vehicle over time it<br />
would still be $211 million in 2050.<br />
Lack <strong>of</strong> on-wharf PDI would prevent<br />
some manufacturers from achieving<br />
their current ‘lean logistics chain’<br />
models, and preclude others from<br />
implementing this practice.<br />
Introduction <strong>of</strong> motor vehicle imports<br />
and exports at the port could restrict<br />
the operations <strong>of</strong> existing bulk and<br />
break-bulk port users and occupiers.<br />
The potential environmental and<br />
social impacts <strong>of</strong> the option appear<br />
low to moderate, and manageable.<br />
If the automotive importing and<br />
exporting is relocated<br />
to Geelong the following direct<br />
employment benefits could result:<br />
• terminal operations –<br />
approximately 20<br />
fulltime equivalent (FTE)<br />
positions required<br />
• stevedores – 260 permanent<br />
and casual positions<br />
• PDI – no new positions with<br />
all PDI processing done in<br />
Altona/ Laverton<br />
The Geelong option has a negative<br />
net present value, reflecting the<br />
increased overall cost to industry<br />
and the limited economic and<br />
employment benefits created by<br />
the proposal.<br />
20 <strong>Feasibility</strong> <strong>Study</strong> Relocating motor vehicle importing and exporting to the Port <strong>of</strong> Geelong
7. Alternative option –<br />
Webb Dock West<br />
Whilst this study focuses on the<br />
technical, environmental, social and<br />
economic feasibility <strong>of</strong> relocating the<br />
import and export <strong>of</strong> motor vehicles<br />
to Geelong, an alternative potential<br />
site for the automotive trade exists<br />
at Webb Dock West in the Port <strong>of</strong><br />
Melbourne. A summary <strong>of</strong> this option<br />
is provided below.<br />
Technical feasibility<br />
Channel<br />
• The existing channel and swing<br />
basin are <strong>of</strong> sufficient depth<br />
and width to accommodate the<br />
anticipated ship sizes.<br />
• The Port Phillip channel is<br />
wider, two-way, and has a 30-<br />
60 minute shorter transit time<br />
than the Geelong channel. Tug<br />
assistance would not be required<br />
in the channel, but would<br />
continue to be required for larger<br />
vessels to assist with berthing<br />
under highwind conditions.<br />
• There is sufficient and reliable<br />
channel capacity in the long<br />
term to avoid delays for car<br />
carriers and other vessels.<br />
Quay and berths<br />
• Dredging would be required within Webb Dock<br />
to accommodate car carriers. Sediments are<br />
uncontaminated and may be disposed at a preexisting<br />
dredged materials disposal ground under<br />
existing approvals.<br />
• The estimated capital cost to develop Webb Dock<br />
West is similar to the capital investment required to<br />
develop berths in Geelong.<br />
• The proposal includes three berths capable <strong>of</strong><br />
simultaneously accommodating two 235 metre<br />
long vessels and a 265 metre long vessel. The<br />
berths would also support different operating<br />
capabilities (e.g. stern ramp, side ramp,<br />
lift-on lift-<strong>of</strong>f crane access) and would allow the<br />
berths to be used by other trades in the future.<br />
• Three berths for car carriers would meet<br />
requirements for at least 30 years.<br />
• The Port <strong>of</strong> Melbourne Corporation (PoMC) would<br />
to recover the cost <strong>of</strong> dredging and berth works<br />
through increased wharfage and rental charges.<br />
Land including PDI<br />
• PoMC would develop Webb Dock West with up<br />
to 45 hectares <strong>of</strong> flat, useable land, which would<br />
include an area <strong>of</strong> port land at the northern end <strong>of</strong><br />
Webb Dock.<br />
• This option is likely to provide sufficient capacity<br />
for the automotive and HiHe sectors until at least<br />
2035, with provision for more than 40 per cent onwharf<br />
PDI.<br />
• Further land is available for expansion <strong>of</strong> activities<br />
at the northern end <strong>of</strong> Webb Dock.<br />
<strong>Feasibility</strong> <strong>Study</strong> Relocating motor vehicle importing and exporting to the Port <strong>of</strong> Geelong 21
Terminal operations and access<br />
• There are a number <strong>of</strong> different terminal ownership<br />
and operational models currently in the Port <strong>of</strong><br />
Melbourne. Consolidating operations at Webb Dock<br />
West provides an opportunity to achieve economies<br />
<strong>of</strong> scale and productivity improvements and to<br />
provide a consistent open access arrangement.<br />
• PoMC intends to act as landlord to a single terminal<br />
operator providing multi-user open access to the<br />
terminal for stevedores, and common access for<br />
automotive vessels to all automotive berths.<br />
• An automotive terminal at WDW could operate 24/7<br />
and retain the three-day lay down time for imports<br />
and 10 days for exports as standard practice.<br />
Stevedores<br />
• Webb Dock West would be established as an<br />
open access terminal allowing any stevedoring<br />
company interested in the automotive trade to<br />
enter and operate.<br />
• A single terminal would enable the consolidation<br />
<strong>of</strong> resources handling passenger and commercial<br />
vehicles, break-bulk and general RoRo cargo all in<br />
the same location.<br />
• Stevedores would be able to continue to use dealer<br />
mark priority when discharging import ships for all<br />
pre-sold cars.<br />
• Current stevedore permanent, semi-permanent<br />
and casual positions would remain, with number <strong>of</strong><br />
positions expected to increase in line with growth<br />
in demand.<br />
<strong>Transport</strong> and distribution<br />
• <strong>Transport</strong> and distribution<br />
patterns would remain similar<br />
with potential for more efficient<br />
use <strong>of</strong> truck movements to result<br />
through consolidation<br />
<strong>of</strong> the industry.<br />
• Forecast congestion around the<br />
Port <strong>of</strong> Melbourne and Dynon<br />
precinct will reduce transport<br />
efficiency for movement <strong>of</strong> cars<br />
from WDW, and increased use<br />
<strong>of</strong> <strong>of</strong>f-peak truck movements<br />
likely to result.<br />
• The development <strong>of</strong> Webb<br />
Dock West for the automotive<br />
import and export trade would<br />
have relatively little impact on<br />
overall traffic along arterial<br />
routes such as on the West Gate<br />
Bridge. Over time an increased<br />
percentage <strong>of</strong> on-wharf PDI<br />
would slightly reduce truck<br />
numbers heading west over<br />
the bridge.<br />
Cost impacts<br />
• The capital investment required<br />
at Webb Dock West is similar<br />
to that required to develop<br />
Geelong. Full recovery <strong>of</strong><br />
the capital cost by Port <strong>of</strong><br />
Melbourne Corporation would<br />
increase car import and export<br />
costs by a similar amount as a<br />
Geelong development<br />
• The Port <strong>of</strong> Melbourne<br />
Corporation’s initial assessment<br />
<strong>of</strong> the cost impact <strong>of</strong> the Port<br />
Licence Fee on the car industry<br />
is approximately $12 per car.<br />
• Whilst there are additional<br />
costs arising from the capital<br />
investment at Webb Dock West,<br />
efficiency and productivity gains<br />
resulting from consolidation,<br />
including transport, would lead<br />
to less overall cost to industry<br />
when compared with relocation<br />
to Geelong.<br />
Industry views<br />
Industry submitters understand<br />
that development at the Webb<br />
Dock West will increase costs for<br />
the automotive industry and more<br />
recently it has been made aware<br />
<strong>of</strong> the impact <strong>of</strong> the Port Licence<br />
Fee. Nevertheless the industry<br />
have indicated that consolidation<br />
at Webb Dock West is the preferred<br />
solution as it meets many <strong>of</strong> their<br />
requirements for an efficient motor<br />
vehicle terminal, including:<br />
• a large, flat parcel <strong>of</strong> land with<br />
provision for on-wharf PDI for at<br />
least 25 years<br />
• proximity to market<br />
• two-way channel with capacity<br />
to cater to increased demand<br />
over the mid- to long-term<br />
• co-location with general cargo<br />
and break-bulk trades.<br />
22 <strong>Feasibility</strong> <strong>Study</strong> Relocating motor vehicle importing and exporting to the Port <strong>of</strong> Geelong
<strong>Feasibility</strong> <strong>Study</strong> Relocating motor vehicle importing and exporting to the Port <strong>of</strong> Geelong 23
24 <strong>Feasibility</strong> <strong>Study</strong> Relocating motor vehicle importing and exporting to the Port <strong>of</strong> Geelong
8. Conclusions<br />
<strong>Feasibility</strong><br />
The relocation <strong>of</strong> importing and<br />
exporting <strong>of</strong> motor vehicles and<br />
related trades from the Port <strong>of</strong><br />
Melbourne to the Port <strong>of</strong> Geelong<br />
is likely to be technically feasible,<br />
environmentally acceptable, and<br />
could meet industry forecast demand<br />
for at least 25 years, provided extra<br />
storage area is provided by the<br />
acquisition <strong>of</strong> additional land and the<br />
construction <strong>of</strong> a large multi-storey<br />
car park.<br />
Provision <strong>of</strong> additional space for<br />
on-wharf PDI is likely to be more<br />
expensive than transporting vehicles<br />
to existing facilities at Altona/Laverton.<br />
The proposal would cause certain<br />
and/or quantifiable impacts:<br />
• Higher costs would be incurred<br />
across the supply chain,<br />
including recovery <strong>of</strong> all capital<br />
investment, higher piloting<br />
costs, higher terminal operating<br />
and stevedoring costs, plus<br />
additional transport and<br />
distribution costs. The additional<br />
cost is in the order <strong>of</strong> $159 per<br />
vehicle for imports and $108 per<br />
vehicle for exports.<br />
• Multiplying these costs by the<br />
total number <strong>of</strong> imports and<br />
exports forecast for the year<br />
2015, this would equate to an<br />
additional $71.4 million cost<br />
in the supply chain for the<br />
importing and exporting or<br />
motor vehicles in Victoria.<br />
• The ‘no on-wharf PDI’ model<br />
would prevent manufacturers<br />
from maintaining and expanding<br />
their current lean logistics chain<br />
models for dealer delivery direct<br />
from port. It also prevents other<br />
manufacturers from adopting<br />
this practice in future.<br />
• By 2030 approximately 50 per<br />
cent <strong>of</strong> car carrier vessels would<br />
be subject to average delays<br />
<strong>of</strong> four hours while waiting for<br />
channel access.<br />
• Total kilometres travelled in the land-side distribution<br />
task would increase by 70 per cent, with a similar rise<br />
in greenhouse gas emissions from this activity.<br />
• Current stevedore operations for break-bulk and<br />
general cargo trades at the Port <strong>of</strong> Melbourne<br />
would become less efficient and productive due to<br />
the loss <strong>of</strong> a significant share <strong>of</strong> their business to<br />
the Port <strong>of</strong> Geelong.<br />
The option would also pose or be subject to a number<br />
<strong>of</strong> key risks:<br />
• Ensuring adequate capacity and efficiency <strong>of</strong><br />
port and terminal services would be subject to<br />
complex agreements between the State and private<br />
operators, causing risk <strong>of</strong> delays in supply or suboptimal<br />
governance, competition, access<br />
or performance.<br />
• The one-way, narrow and long nature <strong>of</strong> the<br />
Geelong shipping channel poses a risk <strong>of</strong><br />
significant additional delays to shipping schedules<br />
in adverse wind conditions, which occur five per<br />
cent <strong>of</strong> the time.<br />
• The introduction <strong>of</strong> a relatively sensitive use could<br />
restrict the operations <strong>of</strong> other businesses within<br />
the Port <strong>of</strong> Geelong.<br />
• The project delivery timeline is tight, and delays<br />
could impact on both motor vehicle trades as well<br />
as international container trades.<br />
<strong>Feasibility</strong> <strong>Study</strong> Relocating motor vehicle importing and exporting to the Port <strong>of</strong> Geelong 25
Policy drivers<br />
Addressing each <strong>of</strong> the potential key policy drivers in turn:<br />
Tackling road congestion, particularly on<br />
Melbourne’s freeways, arterial roads and port<br />
access roads<br />
Relocating motor vehicle imports and exports to the<br />
Port <strong>of</strong> Geelong would not deliver any significant or<br />
perceptible improvement in congestion on key roads<br />
such as the M1, West Gate Bridge or port precinct roads,<br />
because transport <strong>of</strong> motor vehicles only comprises a<br />
very small proportion <strong>of</strong> all road traffic.<br />
Enhancing regional development<br />
Establishment <strong>of</strong> a motor vehicle facility at the Port <strong>of</strong><br />
Geelong would create approximately 180 new permanent<br />
and 100 casual and part-time jobs in 2015-16, which<br />
would grow as the freight task increases over time.<br />
Ensuring efficient automotive supply chains for<br />
imported and exported vehicles<br />
Relocating motor vehicle imports and exports to the Port<br />
<strong>of</strong> Geelong would not improve any aspect <strong>of</strong> the supply<br />
chain. Rather the proposal would significantly adversely<br />
impact the supply chain efficiency and productivity, as<br />
set out in detail elsewhere in this study.<br />
Supporting local vehicle manufacturing<br />
Relocating motor vehicle imports and exports to the Port<br />
<strong>of</strong> Geelong would not provide any particular support<br />
to the Victorian motor vehicle manufacturing industry<br />
and would have some negative impact on export<br />
competitiveness.<br />
Comparison with the<br />
Port <strong>of</strong> Melbourne option<br />
This feasibility study does not present a full business<br />
case comparison between options at the ports <strong>of</strong><br />
Geelong and Melbourne. However, the following<br />
observations are made:<br />
• The Webb Dock West option provides a less<br />
complex, flat site that is more easily developed to<br />
meet demand for at least 25 years.<br />
• Whilst industry accepts that<br />
the Webb Dock West option is<br />
likely to cause cost increases<br />
due to the cost <strong>of</strong> capital, this<br />
option would enable industry to<br />
maintain and improve supply<br />
chain efficiencies through<br />
establishment <strong>of</strong> additional<br />
on-wharf PDI facilities, and the<br />
consolidation <strong>of</strong> activities at one<br />
site within the Port <strong>of</strong> Melbourne.<br />
Summary<br />
On balance, this study<br />
concludes that:<br />
• The Port <strong>of</strong> Geelong presents a<br />
sub-optimal solution to meeting<br />
the current and future needs <strong>of</strong><br />
the Victorian motor vehicle<br />
industry, especially when<br />
compared with the alternative<br />
site available at Webb Dock<br />
West in the Port <strong>of</strong> Melbourne.<br />
• The potential regional economic<br />
benefits are limited and do<br />
not appear to justify imposing<br />
significant costs and an<br />
alternative business model and<br />
logistics chain on the motor<br />
vehicle industry.<br />
• The Port <strong>of</strong> Geelong option<br />
poses or is subject to a number<br />
<strong>of</strong> significant risks which at<br />
this stage are not sufficiently<br />
quantified, but collectively<br />
appear to present unnecessary<br />
risk to Government and industry.<br />
26 <strong>Feasibility</strong> <strong>Study</strong> Relocating motor vehicle importing and exporting to the Port <strong>of</strong> Geelong
www.transport.vic.gov.au<br />
Authorised by the Victorian Government, 121 Exhibition Street, Melbourne.<br />
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