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1. Why using a stochastic model

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Reward – average profit<br />

Risk - Reward<br />

115<br />

110<br />

CAPITAL<br />

RISK<br />

APPETITE<br />

105<br />

100<br />

95<br />

90<br />

85<br />

PROFIT TARGET<br />

80<br />

75<br />

70<br />

37<br />

65<br />

0 -100 -200 -300 -400 -500 -600 -700 -800 -900 -1,000<br />

Risk measure– 1 in 100 year downside result

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