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DO PATENT POOLS ENCOURAGE INNOVATION? EVIDENCE ...

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a mean of 1.93 cited patents per subclass with pool patents this implies a decline<br />

in patenting of 9 percent.<br />

An additional robustness check repeats our main specifications as Poisson<br />

regressions to control for the count data characteristics of patent data. Fixedeffects<br />

Poisson estimates imply that subclasses with one additional pool patent<br />

produced 10 percent fewer patents after the pool formed (exp(-0.098)-1=-0.10,<br />

significant at 1 percent, Table 8, column 2). 16<br />

A final robustness check drops individual industries from the sample.<br />

Specifically, we estimate equation (1) 20 times, each time excluding one pool<br />

from the sample. Dropping aircraft instruments and variable condensers yields to<br />

the largest declines in estimated effects, but estimates remain large and<br />

statistically significant. Without aircraft instruments the estimated decline is -<br />

0.38 (instead of -0.45) patents per subclass and year; without variable condensers<br />

the estimated decline is -0.42 patents per subclass and year (significant at 1<br />

percent, Table 9). In regressions that drop any other industry from the sample, the<br />

estimated decline in patenting remains larger than -0.38.<br />

IV. CORRELATION WITH POOL CHARACTERISTICS<br />

Was the decline in patenting stronger for larger pools or for pools that<br />

were less likely to license their technologies to outside firms This section<br />

presents descriptive evidence on the correlation between the decline in patenting<br />

and the characteristics of individual pools<br />

16 To calculate robust standard errors for Poisson regressions with subclass and year fixed effects<br />

we use STATA’s “xtpqml” coded by Tim Simcoe, based on Wooldridge (1999).<br />

20

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