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Amadeus-Shaping-the-Future-of-Travel-MacroTrends-Report

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<strong>Shaping</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>Future</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>Travel</strong><br />

Macro trends driving industry growth over <strong>the</strong> next decade<br />

Table 1.1: Growth in overnight visitor flows by region<br />

Region Average Annual Growth (%)<br />

2002-2012 2013-2023<br />

Asia 8.5% 15.1%<br />

MEA 8.4% 11.9%<br />

Europe 2.1% 3.9%<br />

Americas 3.7% 6.4%<br />

Source: Oxford Economics<br />

By way <strong>of</strong> comparison, Chart 1.4 displays <strong>the</strong> volume <strong>of</strong> overnight visitor flows<br />

for 2012 per region. In volume terms, Europe has <strong>the</strong> lion’s share <strong>of</strong> tourism<br />

flows, with <strong>the</strong> Asia Pacific region in second place, <strong>the</strong> Americas third, and <strong>the</strong><br />

Middle East and Africa in fourth.<br />

Chart 1.4: Overnight tourism flows by region, 2012 (Left-Hand Side)<br />

Chart 1.5: Overnight tourism flows by region, 2023 (Right-Hand Side)<br />

Thousands<br />

352,085<br />

644,954<br />

Asia Pacific<br />

Europe<br />

Americas<br />

MEA<br />

640,742<br />

1,087,120<br />

1,032,458<br />

2,244,746<br />

2,024,016<br />

2,977,138<br />

Asia Pacific<br />

Europe<br />

Americas<br />

MEA<br />

Source: Oxford Economics<br />

Chart 1.5 shows <strong>the</strong> same overnight visitor flows, but for <strong>the</strong> 2023 forecast year.<br />

The Asia Pacific and <strong>the</strong> Middle East and Africa region, despite high growth, will<br />

still retain <strong>the</strong> same regional rankings in 2023.<br />

Examining airline travel between regions gives fur<strong>the</strong>r insights into passenger<br />

flows. Table 1.2 below shows <strong>the</strong> growth in origin and destination passenger<br />

traffic between world regions 3 for <strong>the</strong> past few years, sorted by <strong>the</strong> highest<br />

annual percent change for <strong>the</strong> year 2013.<br />

3 Connecting passengers are assigned to <strong>the</strong> points <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>ir origin and destination, not to <strong>the</strong> point(s)<br />

<strong>of</strong> transfer.<br />

8

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