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Amadeus-Shaping-the-Future-of-Travel-MacroTrends-Report

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<strong>Shaping</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>Future</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>Travel</strong><br />

Macro trends driving industry growth over <strong>the</strong> next decade<br />

In domestic accommodation nights, <strong>the</strong> Asia Pacific region is <strong>the</strong> leader <strong>of</strong><br />

<strong>the</strong> pack, as with international accommodation nights and overnight visitors,<br />

displaying far higher growth rates than <strong>the</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r regions. Unlike <strong>the</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r<br />

indicators, however, <strong>the</strong> Middle East and Africa region does not display<br />

particularly high growth here, indicating its weakness in domestic tourism as<br />

compared to international tourism. Europe will retain <strong>the</strong> majority <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

global domestic accommodation market share out to 2023.<br />

Chart 1.9 below shows <strong>the</strong> predicted growth in domestic accommodation from<br />

1995-2023 by region.<br />

Chart 1.9: Growth in domestic accommodation nights by region, 1995-2023<br />

1995=100<br />

700<br />

Forecast<br />

600<br />

500<br />

400<br />

300<br />

Americas<br />

Asia Pacific<br />

Europe<br />

Middle East & Africa<br />

200<br />

100<br />

0<br />

1995 1999 2003 2007 2011 2015 2019 2023<br />

Source: Oxford Economics<br />

The outstanding performer for domestic accommodation growth is <strong>the</strong> Asia<br />

Pacific region, with annual growth <strong>of</strong> 11.9% over <strong>the</strong> past ten years, a slightly<br />

higher growth rate than for international accommodation nights. Growth over <strong>the</strong><br />

next ten year-period is forecast to taper to a more moderate 4.4%, a few<br />

percentage points lower than forecast growth for international accommodation<br />

nights. This provides evidence <strong>of</strong> strong growth in <strong>the</strong> domestic tourism segment<br />

for <strong>the</strong> Asia Pacific region for <strong>the</strong> past decade (especially as compared to o<strong>the</strong>r<br />

regions), with slower growth in <strong>the</strong> next decade. In contrast, <strong>the</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r regions<br />

have shown little or negative growth over <strong>the</strong> past ten years, but <strong>the</strong> Middle East<br />

and Africa region is set to lead growth in this segment <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> market over <strong>the</strong><br />

next ten years, with a growth rate <strong>of</strong> 5.5%. Table 1.5 below summarises <strong>the</strong>se<br />

growth rates.<br />

12

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