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GENERAL<br />

COMMODITIES SLUMP SENDS OUT RIPPLES (IOL, 28/04/2013)<br />

Lower airfares, cheaper food <strong>an</strong>d rising profit margins are among the benefits that should flow from tumbling oil <strong>an</strong>d<br />

commodity prices, but only after a long lead ti<strong>me</strong>. Having poured $400 billion (R3.6 trillion) into commodities over the past<br />

decade, m<strong>an</strong>y investors are now selling. Their confidence that risky assets could only float higher on a rising tide of cheap<br />

central b<strong>an</strong>k money has crumbled as the global economy fails to respond to the stimulus. Even China, <strong>an</strong> import<strong>an</strong>t buyer<br />

of natural resources, is slowing. Inflation, against which gold in particular is a classic hedge, is falling nearly everywhere.<br />

Price pressures will ease further if natural resources keep depreciating. That is bad news <strong>for</strong> exporters such as Saudi<br />

Arabia <strong>an</strong>d Brazil but good news <strong>for</strong> importers. Weaker commodity prices should be positive <strong>for</strong> the world economy on<br />

average because falling inflation supports consu<strong>me</strong>r spending, according to ABN Amro economist H<strong>an</strong> de Jong. St<strong>an</strong>dard<br />

& Poor’s GSCI index of global commodity prices has fallen 6.6 percent so far this year. But raw materials represent a<br />

small part of most firms’ costs, so it is not surprising that so<strong>me</strong> businesses, especially those in very competitive markets,<br />

are not getting carried away.<br />

COPPER THEFT BAROMETER DROPPED IN MARCH: SACCI (MSN Business News, 29/04/2013)<br />

The copper theft baro<strong>me</strong>ter dropped to R10m in March after showing a slight uptick to R11.2m in February from R11.1m<br />

in J<strong>an</strong>uary <strong>an</strong>d R12.4m in December last year‚ according to the South Afric<strong>an</strong> Chamber of Com<strong>me</strong>rce <strong>an</strong>d Industry's<br />

(Sacci’s) latest copper theft baro<strong>me</strong>ter. The J<strong>an</strong>uary level was the lowest level of the baro<strong>me</strong>ter since April 2009 <strong>an</strong>d was<br />

a strong indication that the downward mo<strong>me</strong>ntum seen last year should continue this year‚ the business chamber said in a<br />

state<strong>me</strong>nt. While there was a strong relationship between the incidence level of copper theft <strong>an</strong>d the international copper<br />

price‚ this was a cyclical relationship that could be influenced by structural ch<strong>an</strong>ges within the do<strong>me</strong>stic environ<strong>me</strong>nt‚ the<br />

chamber said. The copper theft volu<strong>me</strong> indicator eased to 142 <strong>me</strong>tric tons in March after being steady at a level of 156<br />

<strong>me</strong>tric tons in February <strong>an</strong>d J<strong>an</strong>uary from 179 tons in December <strong>an</strong>d 180 tons in November. The international spot price<br />

of copper continued its drastic fall to a monthly average of $7‚255 per ton in April from $7‚659 in March <strong>an</strong>d $8‚062 in<br />

February. The April figure was 12.4% lower th<strong>an</strong> a year be<strong>for</strong>e <strong>an</strong>d contracted by 5.2% on a monthly basis.<br />

RAND FIRMS DESPITE LACK OF NEWS (Business Day, 29/04/2013)<br />

The r<strong>an</strong>d was firm in quiet early trade on Monday, strengthening despite a lack of news. Dealers said they expected a<br />

r<strong>an</strong>ge-bound day due to the lack of data, but South Africa’s <strong>for</strong>eign trade data on Tuesday should provide direction. "We<br />

tested R9.05 per US dollar on Friday but that level held so we are looking at a R9.05-R9.15 r<strong>an</strong>ge until the March <strong>for</strong>eign<br />

trade data is released tomorrow afternoon," a local <strong>for</strong>eign exch<strong>an</strong>ge trader said. At 8am the r<strong>an</strong>d was bid at R9.0873 to<br />

the US dollar from R9.1033 at Friday’s close <strong>an</strong>d R9.0688 at Thursday’s close.<br />

CURRENCIES AND PRICES<br />

MARKETS AND INDICATORS<br />

JSE<br />

Alsi 09:18 39,232 + 149.48 + 0.38%<br />

Fin<strong>an</strong>cials 09:18 30,899 + 91.21 + 0.30%<br />

Industrials 09:18 40,325 + 25.56 + 0.06%<br />

FOREX<br />

R<strong>an</strong>d/Dollar 09:17 9.0683 - 0.21 - 2.25%<br />

R<strong>an</strong>d/Pound 09:08 14.0368 - 0.08 - 0.57%<br />

R<strong>an</strong>d/Euro 08:00 11.8553 - 0.24 - 1.99%<br />

COMMODITIES<br />

Gold (usd/oz) 09:16 1,474.60 + 5.40 + 0.37%<br />

Platinum (usd/oz) 09:16 1,480.50 - 2.50 - 0.17%<br />

Tr<strong>an</strong>snet Freight Rail News Briefs Page 5 of 10

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