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ResearchNews<br />
Australian Market & Social Society | Volume 28 | Number 2 | March 2011<br />
<strong>Asia</strong> <strong>Pacific</strong> <strong>region</strong>
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Research News March 2011<br />
ASIA PACIFIC REGION<br />
CONTENT<br />
REGULAR SECTIONS<br />
FEATURES<br />
President’s point of view...............................4<br />
News.........................................................……6<br />
Profile<br />
David Bottomley..............................................8<br />
Company news & announcements<br />
News, events and updates...........................10<br />
Write to reply.........................................……12<br />
Statistics<br />
Significance testing versus<br />
Bayesian statistics........................................20<br />
The word’s out<br />
Text analysis..................................................21<br />
Cover to cover<br />
Nudge – Improving Decisions about<br />
Health, Wealth and Happiness by<br />
Richard H Thaler and Cass R Sunstien.……24<br />
Career moves<br />
New appointments and promotions<br />
for AMSRS members...................................25<br />
HR, leadership & management<br />
Demand for market <strong>research</strong><br />
professionals in 2011...................................28<br />
An ethical question................................……28<br />
Society news..........................................……29<br />
Professional development program<br />
calendar and dates for the diary................30<br />
14<br />
Mobile leapfrogs other technologies in <strong>Asia</strong><br />
A lot of <strong>Asia</strong>n markets have leapfrogged older technologies, such as<br />
analogue mobiles, to get straight into GSM and 3G. They’re also<br />
starting to leapfrog fixed line phones at home to get straight into mobile.<br />
Market <strong>research</strong> companies need to invest more in mobile phone<br />
<strong>research</strong> methods if they want to take advantage of growth in the <strong>Asia</strong><br />
<strong>Pacific</strong> <strong>region</strong>. By Kerry Sunderland<br />
16<br />
Meeting the MR needs of Vietnamese SMEs<br />
Growth in the market <strong>research</strong> industry in Vietnam will come from<br />
small and medium enterprises (SMEs) and not just the big multinational<br />
corporations. This is because SMEs have been consistently the source<br />
of growth in Vietnam; on average, their profits grow about 20 per cent<br />
each year. But multi-tasking and non-traditional <strong>research</strong> approaches<br />
are required when working in Vietnam.<br />
By Tran Ngoc Dun and Tuong Tuan Thong<br />
18<br />
Odd ducks<br />
Doing market <strong>research</strong> in China keeps even the most<br />
experienced <strong>research</strong>ers on their toes. In a diverse market that<br />
is constantly changing it takes guts and commitment to keep up<br />
with the demands of clients. By Katarina Olausson<br />
Research News is the official magazine of the AMSRS. It is<br />
published monthly and distributed to members and subscribers.<br />
Publisher<br />
The Australian Market & Social Research Society Ltd<br />
Level 1, 3 Queen Street, Glebe NSW 2037. ACN 002 882 635.<br />
Tel: 02 9566 3100 or 1300 364 832 Fax: 02 9571 5944<br />
Executive editor<br />
Elissa Molloy.......................elissa.molloy@amsrs.com.au<br />
Managing editor<br />
Kerry Sunderland.............................editor@amsrs.com.au<br />
Editorial subcommittee<br />
Kylie Brosnan, Paul di Marzio, Corey Fisher, Milica Loncar,<br />
Scott MacLean, Norma Nolan, Caroline Smith and Paul Vittles<br />
Advertising enquiries<br />
Evolve Media............................................ Tel: 02 6680 4075<br />
Design and layout<br />
Hyve Creative........................................info@hyve.com.au<br />
Division contacts<br />
NSW Mike Beder, QPMR<br />
Tel: 02 9371 0311 .................................. mike@qra.net.au<br />
QLD Michael Gardiner, QPMR<br />
Tel: 07 3376 5176 ........................ m.gardiner@tpg.com.au<br />
SA Arry Tanusondjaja , QPMR<br />
Tel: 08 8302 0074.... arry.tanusondjaja@marketingscience.info<br />
VIC Charmian Huggett, QPMR<br />
Tel: 03 9686 5444........................ charmian@people.net.au<br />
WA Derryn Belford, QPMR<br />
Tel: 08 9262 1896..... derryn.belford@westernaustralia.com<br />
ACT Jacqui Cristiano<br />
Tel: 02 6216 2881.................. jacqui.cristiano@ato.gov.au<br />
Unless expressly stated, the opinions published in Research<br />
News are not necessarily those of the AMSRS. The AMSRS<br />
accepts no responsibility for the accuracy of the opinions or<br />
information contained in Research News. Readers should rely<br />
upon their own enquiries in making decisions.<br />
22<br />
In praise of the humble potato<br />
Though many <strong>research</strong>ers have indeed capitalised beautifully<br />
on the power of the diary, one can still say it’s under-exploited,<br />
and seems to me a bit like the potato of <strong>research</strong>; a versatile and<br />
humble option which, given its merits, never quite seems to get<br />
the appreciation it deserves. By Namita Mediratta<br />
AMSRS National Conference 2011<br />
8 - 9 September 2011<br />
Sydney Hilton<br />
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SPONSORSHIP OPENS<br />
4 APRIL 2011<br />
For more information<br />
visit www.amsrs.com.au<br />
Research News March 2011 3
PRESIDENT’S POINT OF VIEW<br />
Thirsty<br />
One of the real truths in our profession is<br />
that we <strong>research</strong>ers are a thirsty lot!<br />
I am referring to the seemingly<br />
never-ending thirst for new knowledge. Despite<br />
all the highs and lows of business these<br />
days, <strong>research</strong>ers have constantly attended to<br />
and supported their own professional development,<br />
which demonstrates that we see this<br />
as important.<br />
We currently have two good opportunities to<br />
continue feeding this thirst this month.<br />
One is to get more familiar about what<br />
is going on in the <strong>Asia</strong> <strong>Pacific</strong> <strong>region</strong> when<br />
ESOMAR hosts APAC 2011 in Melbourne. The<br />
fact ESOMAR has chosen Australia to host<br />
the conference demonstrates how we are<br />
perceived on the world <strong>research</strong> stage. The<br />
program is packed with stories of innovation<br />
and good practice centred around the theme<br />
of simplicity.<br />
It was John Maeda, the American design<br />
guru, who said: ‘Simplicity is about subtracting<br />
the obvious and adding the meaningful’.<br />
Which is the perfect way to describe what<br />
we do, as we are often asked.<br />
The second way to feed your thirst is to do<br />
what 500 of us have already done and join the<br />
‘locked’ AMSRS group on LinkedIn at http://<br />
linkd.in/9MmfiD<br />
There are a wide range of thoughtful topics<br />
being debated, everything from technical<br />
chats about significance testing (http://linkd.<br />
in/i0RmvG) to a very key discussion about the<br />
benefits of being a member of AMSRS. Is it<br />
relevant to a new emerging <strong>research</strong> agency<br />
Do clients care See http://linkd.in/gaNAuX<br />
for more.<br />
With 500 members on LinkedIn, and growing<br />
every day, our thirst for knowledge and<br />
learning is again on show. When completing<br />
their profile most people say they join LinkedIn<br />
either to keep abreast of current issues and<br />
to learn (connection) or to find a new job (opportunity).<br />
Connection and opportunity are two<br />
things our profession<br />
both need<br />
and understand so<br />
please join in and<br />
contribute if you<br />
haven’t already<br />
done so - it may<br />
just be the tonic<br />
that will quench<br />
your thirst.<br />
Peter Harris, national president<br />
Twitter:<br />
@peteraharris<br />
Blog:<br />
http://peteraharris.wordpress.com/<br />
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NEWS<br />
APAC 2011 comes to Melbourne<br />
Australian <strong>research</strong>ers will get a glimpse<br />
of the collective body of ‘local knowledge’<br />
among those conducting <strong>research</strong> across<br />
the <strong>Asia</strong> <strong>Pacific</strong> <strong>region</strong> when ESOMAR’s <strong>Asia</strong> <strong>Pacific</strong><br />
2011 conference takes place on 19 to 22 March<br />
at the Crown Promenade Hotel in Melbourne.<br />
The previously buoyant <strong>Asia</strong> <strong>Pacific</strong> <strong>region</strong><br />
enjoyed a little breathing space before the global<br />
financial crisis (GFC) hit (and then only in some<br />
countries were the ripples felt) and by all accounts<br />
the <strong>region</strong> has rebounded faster than Western<br />
markets.<br />
Nevertheless, growth in the market <strong>research</strong><br />
industry in the coming year will vary considerably<br />
across the <strong>Asia</strong> <strong>Pacific</strong> <strong>region</strong>. In the <strong>region</strong>al<br />
buying centres (Japan, Singapore and Hong Kong)<br />
there is a close correlation between gross domestic<br />
product (GDP) and <strong>research</strong> spend; Singapore<br />
is expecting 12 per cent growth in GDP this year;<br />
Hong Kong predicts nine per cent, while the Bank<br />
of Japan forecast only 3.3 per cent growth. The<br />
forecast for South Korea is around four per cent.<br />
The big domestic market of India has projected<br />
growth of 8.5 per cent while many <strong>region</strong>s in China<br />
have double-digit growth targets.<br />
Then there are the emerging markets (like<br />
Vietnam and Indonesia) where the population<br />
numbers are so big (even if per capita adoption<br />
rates are much lower and the methods are not as<br />
sophisticated) that they’re still incredibly interesting<br />
for marketers, particularly those in the fast<br />
moving consumer goods (FMCG) sector.<br />
Chris Farquhar, managing director of Cimigo,<br />
says that while Singapore and Hong Kong were<br />
dramatically hit, those in Vietnam might well have<br />
asked, ‘What recession’<br />
However, while the <strong>region</strong>al buying centres<br />
of Singapore and Hong Kong were affected most<br />
severely by the GFC (also being key global financial<br />
centres), <strong>research</strong>ers in the <strong>region</strong> report that<br />
these two markets have also been the fastest to<br />
rebound.<br />
Those operating in the business-to-business<br />
(B2B) and services sector, such as ORC International<br />
(formerly NWC Opinion Research), are<br />
forecasting more moderate growth in the rapid<br />
growth emerging economies compared to those<br />
doing FMCG <strong>research</strong>.<br />
‘Many US and European companies cut<br />
B2B and services <strong>research</strong> budgets in far flung<br />
markets likes <strong>Asia</strong> when the GFC hit,’ says ORC<br />
International <strong>region</strong>al managing director Greg<br />
Wayman. ‘But the US seems to be emerging from<br />
the GFC and European markets appear to have<br />
gone through the worst, so there will be renewed<br />
interest in <strong>Asia</strong>.’<br />
James Fergusson<br />
Chris Farquhar<br />
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NEWS<br />
The organisers of APAC 2011 note that the <strong>Asia</strong><br />
<strong>Pacific</strong> <strong>region</strong> is far more culturally and socially<br />
diverse than any other <strong>region</strong> in the world and<br />
despite the challenges posed from meeting such<br />
varying needs, it is a <strong>region</strong> that has consistently<br />
demonstrated positive growth and development.<br />
James Fergusson, TNS Global Technology<br />
Sector managing director, who will be presenting<br />
a paper at the conference titled ‘Bridging the digital<br />
divide in qualitative <strong>research</strong> in emerging markets’<br />
(see story on page 14), says it’s essential for <strong>research</strong>ers<br />
to understand the importance of looking<br />
beyond the big cities in markets like China.<br />
‘The further you get away from the tier one<br />
cities, the whole business model changes and<br />
local knowledge is absolutely critical in being<br />
able to deliver valid and actionable insights. When<br />
we start thinking about the bottom of the pyramid,<br />
we see a whole different set of values and<br />
priorities in terms of what people purchase and<br />
therefore a whole different need for a purchasing<br />
model. Those doing very well in these markets<br />
include some of the major FMCG companies.<br />
For example, in India, there’s more shampoo<br />
sold by sachet than by bottles. We also need to<br />
understand the different distribution channels. It<br />
creates a whole range of new challenges for the<br />
market <strong>research</strong> industry.<br />
‘As marketers, you can’t just transplant your<br />
personal experiences into rapid growth markets.<br />
You have to go into these markets with a very open<br />
mind. Secondly, these markets are also huge logistically<br />
and the infrastructure required to meet<br />
clients’ needs is a real challenge for the industry.<br />
Thirdly, in rapidly growing emerging markets there<br />
are no hygiene factors. The things we have taken<br />
for granted since 1975 in the <strong>research</strong> industry in<br />
Australia – i.e. I can find a valid, representative<br />
sample and can have confidence in my data – aren’t<br />
necessarily the case.’<br />
One of the goals of APAC 2011 is to give <strong>research</strong>ers<br />
the opportunity to explore how they can<br />
offer encompassing insights in a <strong>region</strong> where the<br />
diversity, size and pace of change make for a highly<br />
intricate mosaic.<br />
‘There are all sorts of cultural, economic and<br />
societal factors that need to be taken into account.<br />
We’re having to mix methodologies a lot more<br />
today than five years ago,’ says Farquhar, whose<br />
company operates in Hong Kong, China, Vietnam,<br />
India, Indonesia and Macau. ‘Previously, clients<br />
would insist on one methodology for all markets.<br />
I think they are beginning to understand there are<br />
different ways of speaking to people without having<br />
to compromise the quality of <strong>research</strong> results<br />
in any way. They’re getting more comfortable with<br />
online <strong>research</strong> communities, for example. The<br />
sample sizes are dropping right down, but it’s<br />
permission based. Times have changed.’<br />
Australian <strong>research</strong>ers speaking at the conference<br />
include Peter Harris (Vision Critical and<br />
AMSRS president), Bob Sharma and Frederic<br />
Anne (Telstra), Roxan Toll (GMI), Stephen Paton<br />
(AGL Energy), Roberto Capuccio and Peter Kenny<br />
(Colmar Brunton) and Evette Cordy (Raspberry<br />
Innovation Research + Strategy). The two-day<br />
conference is preceded by a series of workshops.<br />
For more info visit http://www.esomar.org/index.<br />
php/asia-pacific-2011-programme.html<br />
Errata: In the February 2011 edition article titled<br />
‘State of the industry’ it was incorrectly stated<br />
that Synovate had moved CATI operations to New<br />
Zealand. This is not the case; Synovate has an<br />
Australian-based team of telephone interviewers<br />
and a face-to-face interviewing team that covers<br />
all major capital cities in Australia. Synovate’s CATI<br />
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there are no plans for this to change.<br />
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PROFILE<br />
Transition and transformation<br />
AMSRS founding member and Fellow David Bottomley has conducted <strong>research</strong> in urban and<br />
rural China for more than 20 years.<br />
‘<br />
I<br />
am fortunate that my work takes me to<br />
interesting places,’ writes AMSRS Fellow<br />
David Bottomley in one of his annual<br />
Christmas letters to family and friends. Over<br />
the years, these Christmas letters have drawn<br />
heavily on the illustrated reports he prepares<br />
for clients after fieldwork excursions in China<br />
and Myanmar.<br />
Bottomley, who is founder of the Hong Kong<br />
company <strong>Asia</strong> Marketing Research Directions<br />
(AMRD), was based in Hong Kong from 1986 to<br />
2008. One of his first <strong>research</strong> projects involved a<br />
taste test in a restaurant with snakes on the menu.<br />
The friends of the interviewers he employed were<br />
caught at the back door selling his imported beer<br />
taste samples.<br />
Over the past 25 years, Bottomley has seen<br />
China race through its industrial revolution. More<br />
recently, he has made bi-annual trips to China<br />
to oversee the China in Transition to a Market<br />
Economy study, which commenced in March 2000<br />
and wound up in the middle of last year having<br />
conducted about 50,000 face-to-face interviews in<br />
every province of China, other than Tibet.<br />
During his visits to China he has accompanied<br />
interviewers into many homes. These trips were<br />
often undertaken to pre-test questionnaires or<br />
obtain a snapshot impression of the fieldwork.<br />
‘Fieldwork supervision and checking needs to<br />
be far more intensive and pre-planning in the office<br />
is far more critical in <strong>Asia</strong> than in countries where<br />
market <strong>research</strong> is well-established,’ he wrote in<br />
the October 2001 edition of Research News.<br />
Bottomley’s illustrated reports on these fieldwork<br />
trips – in many ways, an exegesis on the main<br />
<strong>research</strong> report - document gradual improvements<br />
in the standard of living in <strong>region</strong>al and<br />
rural China. They’re colourful reports that paint a<br />
vivid picture of what it’s like living in China and are<br />
scattered with amusing anecdotes about the challenges<br />
for <strong>research</strong>ers – as Bottomley notes, ‘there<br />
are always little adventures in fieldwork’.<br />
Over a series of reports, his observations about<br />
the improved standard of living have included better<br />
and brighter light fittings, pictures on the walls,<br />
flat renovations and apartment size – along with<br />
the speed and comfort of China’s rail system. One<br />
thing that hasn’t improved, much to Bottomley’s<br />
chagrin, is the pollution. Invariably his reports end<br />
with a note of relief that he’s returned to the clean<br />
air and blue skies of Hong Kong.<br />
Bottomley made a point of accompanying<br />
interviewers during the entire fieldwork experi-<br />
David Bottomley tries his hand at hawking in Taunggyi market, Myanmar<br />
ence. He would put many younger <strong>research</strong>ers to<br />
shame, climbing the stairs (or risking the ride in<br />
a dubious lift) to the top of multi-storey apartment<br />
buildings along with the interviewers, as he has<br />
always insisted that they commence their door<br />
knocking for pre-planned calls on the top level<br />
of the building.<br />
‘Without that instruction,’ Bottomley says,<br />
‘Interviewers might get too many ground and<br />
lower level flats.’<br />
He writes with humility in his 2009 report,<br />
‘Usually, on these trips, I walk up and down with<br />
the interviewers but lazy from the previous day’s<br />
travel, I let the interviewers do all the climbing until<br />
they obtained an interview. Then they rang me, and<br />
I went up to attend the interview.’<br />
He notes in his reports other sampling challenges,<br />
such as ‘what is a household when four<br />
dwellings are adjacent and share a courtyard’<br />
In Myanmar, sampling challenges have been<br />
compounded by the fact that precise population<br />
figures remain uncertain. The most recent government<br />
census was conducted back in 1983 and<br />
the government places the growth rate at 2.02<br />
per cent to give a current estimate of 57.5 million,<br />
but <strong>research</strong>ers and business people have their<br />
own estimates.<br />
On the other hand, Bottomley notes where data<br />
are available for ‘committee districts’ in Chinese<br />
cities, it provides the penultimate stratum for his<br />
household sampling procedure.<br />
‘A functional definition of a village in China is<br />
that it contains friendly people, willing to help find<br />
those who live in the homes our local supervisors<br />
have pre-selected, that interviews seldom start<br />
with less than eight people present, perhaps<br />
double that number, and that “grandpa” [AKA Bottomley]<br />
gets a baby placed in his arms. The latter is<br />
hazardous. Diapers/nappies are not known in such<br />
places. Babies wear pants split on the backside.<br />
I like babies but I don’t trust their inner controls.<br />
So far, over the years, no accidents – but I limit my<br />
exposure to about five minutes!’<br />
He notes that during one interview in 2009,<br />
student characters kept popping in and out of the<br />
four doors off the central lounge area ‘like an old<br />
fashioned three-act comedy’.<br />
In stark contrast to nursing infants and feigning<br />
disinterest in curious neighbours, over the years<br />
Bottomley’s associates have had to diplomatically<br />
negotiate their way through Chinese censorship<br />
controls to get authorisation for his studies. However,<br />
it is 10 years since he had any interviewers<br />
arrested for asking suspicious questions about<br />
such things as employment.<br />
Bottomley and his team have sometimes<br />
succeeded in getting Chinese communities to<br />
participate in their surveys by saying, ‘we’re not<br />
government, we’re friends!’<br />
In between trips to China and Myanmar over<br />
the past couple of years, Bottomley (who is now<br />
86) has resumed the post-graduate studies he<br />
first undertook back in 1948 after which he was<br />
‘captured into market <strong>research</strong> for 60-odd years’.<br />
He completed a second Masters at Melbourne University<br />
in 2009. He is uncertain if he might complete<br />
his PhD in the history of science education at Curtin<br />
University’s Science, Mathematics and Education<br />
Centre before he turns 90.<br />
‘I’m enraptured with being an historical detective.<br />
History is full of surmises and contradictions<br />
to unravel. Life’s fun!’<br />
8 Research News March 2011
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COMPANY NEWS<br />
COMPANY ANNOUNCEMENTS<br />
Cint acquires Thumbspeak<br />
Cint, a technology and solution provider to the <strong>research</strong><br />
industry, has acquired Thumbspeak, a doit<br />
yourself (DIY) mobile application platform, for<br />
an undisclosed amount. Thumbspeak becomes<br />
a Cint Group company and will be integrated into<br />
the Cint Panel Exchange platform as a plug-in for<br />
existing and new panel owners as well as sold as<br />
a standalone licensed product under its existing<br />
brand name. Initially available in North America,<br />
Thumbspeak will be rolled out and made available<br />
in a host of new international markets in<br />
the coming weeks and months. Thumbspeak’s<br />
DIY mobile relationship marketing platform and<br />
application enable businesses and <strong>research</strong>ers<br />
to connect with audiences in real-time via<br />
their smart phones. Thumbspeak released its<br />
first iPhone app in mid-2010 while the Android<br />
and Blackberry apps are about to be released.<br />
The iPhone application has been ranked as the<br />
number one free business application on iTunes<br />
several times during the last few months.<br />
Ruby Cha Cha launches<br />
Living Insights<br />
Ruby Cha Cha has launched a new service<br />
called Living Insights, which is a combination<br />
of real-world exploration and video ethnography<br />
that’s designed to bring clients and<br />
stakeholders closer to their target audiences<br />
and segments. Tools such as trace evidence<br />
insights DVDs, ethnographic portraiture,<br />
documentary films and videos, and statistical<br />
storytelling through animations will be used.<br />
Nick Agafonoff, who joined Ruby after successfully<br />
establishing his own ethnography<br />
house called Interloper, which he ran for<br />
five years, will head up the new department.<br />
Agafonoff is a documentary filmmaker and<br />
consumer sociologist.<br />
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Research Now increases<br />
presence in <strong>Asia</strong><br />
Research Now has announced the relocation of<br />
key personnel to further support future growth<br />
of the company in <strong>Asia</strong>.<br />
‘As a direct result of the growing demand for<br />
online market <strong>research</strong> in the <strong>Asia</strong>n markets,<br />
Research Now is increasing its presence in Singapore<br />
and Shanghai, relocating key personnel<br />
to lead its emerging team,’ commented Martin<br />
Filz, managing director, <strong>Asia</strong>-<strong>Pacific</strong>.<br />
Previously responsible for sales and sales<br />
support activities in New Zealand, Research<br />
Now’s Martin Tomlinson has been promoted to<br />
client development director for Research Now<br />
<strong>Asia</strong> while Ying Li has joined as client development<br />
manager (see ‘Career moves’ for more).<br />
Flood squad<br />
Jigsaw <strong>research</strong>ers<br />
hosted a BBQ last<br />
month to raise money<br />
for the victims of the<br />
devastating floods in<br />
Queensland. The ‘flood squad’ team made calls<br />
to local butchers, bakeries and grocers asking<br />
them to generously donate any supplies they<br />
could for the cause. There was a fantastic turn<br />
out and everyone enjoyed a delicious sausage<br />
sandwich in the sunshine. There were raffles and<br />
one Jigsawian even shaved his hair off to raise<br />
some more money for the worthy cause. With<br />
the support of Sam The Butcher, Bakers Delight<br />
(Northbridge, Mascot, Rose Bay), Castlecrag<br />
Fruiters, Crown Catering, Tip Top and Castlecrag<br />
Meats, Jigsaw raised $1600. It was donated to<br />
Westpac, which matched one dollar for every<br />
dollar collected until 14 February.<br />
Editor’s note: A number of other companies,<br />
including Colmar Brunton and TNS, also held<br />
fundraisers for those affected by the floods.<br />
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Replenish Qualitative<br />
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Replenish has relocated its Sydney and<br />
Brisbane offices to accommodate the<br />
company’s growing team during the end of<br />
2010. Replenish now has 3 Project Managers<br />
and a team of 18 recruiters on the ground<br />
in both Sydney and Brisbane. All are now<br />
working from the recently completed, web<br />
based centralised database program which<br />
has over 80,000 respondents registered for<br />
paid consumer <strong>research</strong> studies across<br />
NSW and QLD.<br />
Tel: 02 9460 4500<br />
www.replenishqr.com.au<br />
Parents and<br />
Frequent Flyers<br />
Cint welcomes Australian Frequent Flyer to the<br />
Cint Panel Exchange (CPX) providing clients with<br />
access to 10,000 affluent travellers. We also<br />
welcome Pregnancy, Babies & Children Expo,<br />
adding 20,000 parents with young children and<br />
babies. These specialist panels are fully profiled,<br />
de-duped and offered exclusively through<br />
Cint. The additions to our online capabilities<br />
complement Cint’s recent acquisition of<br />
Thumbspeak (see news item in this issue), the<br />
leading do-it-yourself (DIY) Mobile Relationship<br />
Marketing platform enabling <strong>research</strong>ers to<br />
connect with respondents via smartphones at<br />
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Tel: 02 8219 9937<br />
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10 Research News March 2011
fact:<br />
Size Matters<br />
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That’s pretty big. Big enough to provide you with the sample you need to finish all your projects, without the need<br />
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Our record speaks for itself. So far 8377 surveys, not one top-up needed from any other panel to complete our<br />
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With deep profiling capabilities, end to end service, over 10 years of experience, with all the necessary industry<br />
standards, you can feel confident commissioning MyOpinions to help you gain your insights.<br />
If you agree that Size Matters, then talk to the panel with the deepest roots, the widest cover.<br />
For a copy of MyOpinions Panel Book, please call us on +61 2 9409 8698, or, send requests for quotes to:<br />
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MyOpinions looks forward to being of service to you.<br />
ASSOCIATION OF MARKET & SOCIAL RESEARCH ORGANISATIONS<br />
“Australia’s leading online <strong>research</strong> panel”
WRITE TO REPLY<br />
Benefits of<br />
working for a<br />
big organisation<br />
There is often debate in <strong>research</strong> circles<br />
about the virtues of working for one<br />
agency versus another. One of the most<br />
common discussions tends to be the large<br />
versus small agency debate. More often<br />
that not, I find the tone of these debates<br />
is that working for a large agency is<br />
bad; working for a small agency is good.<br />
I believe this is partially because the<br />
smaller organisations in our industry tend<br />
to be more vocal, but also because the<br />
bigger agencies tend not to be drawn into<br />
the debate to defend their case.<br />
Working for a bigger agency, I too would<br />
typically turn a blind eye to such commentary,<br />
but recently there has been some criticism<br />
of larger organisations, including TNS,<br />
which I’ve felt to be so deeply misguided and<br />
incorrect, I feel compelled to speak out.<br />
The aim of this article is not to fuel the<br />
‘who’s good, who’s bad’ debate. Ultimately<br />
different people are suited to different<br />
organisations at different stages of their careers.<br />
And some people are more naturally<br />
suited to larger agencies, some to smaller<br />
agencies.<br />
But what I did want to do was put forward<br />
my personal view of what working in a big<br />
organisation can offer. My opinion is solely<br />
based upon my own experiences: I started<br />
my <strong>research</strong> career in a big agency (500+<br />
employees), before joining a small agency<br />
(
WRITE TO REPLY<br />
Talk (i.e. gossip) around the divestiture<br />
of the CR assets was rife and staff morale<br />
in the ad hoc side needed to be addressed.<br />
Our strategy was to proactively position<br />
CR in terms that a publicly traded acquirer<br />
would understand. We deliberately avoided<br />
pleading that we were different, special, and<br />
that they had to accommodate our unique<br />
needs. We pointed out that, yes, the margins<br />
aren’t as high as in continuous but due to the<br />
lower need for capital investment, custom<br />
<strong>research</strong> had around 2.5 times the ROI. Also,<br />
despite having significant market dominance<br />
in media and retail at the time, D&B and<br />
Nielsen could not expect that forever, so<br />
a CR unit was a useful weapon to enhance<br />
and protect the business as the competition<br />
grew. Thirdly, by having a substantial<br />
revenue stream that required little extra<br />
back office maintenance, overheads could<br />
be spread over a larger base. And finally,<br />
even when you lose a major contract in CR,<br />
you can get out in the market the next day<br />
and look for a replacement; you don’t have<br />
to wait two years or more to get another bite<br />
at the contract.<br />
So, without trying to sound heartless, wherever<br />
you work, you have to assume some day the<br />
owners are going to sell up and that will mean a<br />
change. My advice is to be open-minded, detach<br />
yourself from the emotions, and try to evaluate<br />
what benefits the acquirer has got as a result<br />
of buying you and your team. Then, express and<br />
exploit those benefits. If after that, you’re still<br />
not happy, then fair enough, maybe it’s time to<br />
move on. However, in many cases, you will be<br />
able to carry on and thrive because, often for<br />
the first time, you’ve actually had to think about<br />
the value you’re creating which is a big part of<br />
your professional skill as a <strong>research</strong>er.<br />
David McCallum, managing partner, Gordon &<br />
McCallum<br />
GFC a boon for<br />
independents<br />
The growth of independent <strong>research</strong> agencies<br />
(Research News February 2011) triggered by<br />
the global financial crisis (GFC) was little more<br />
than a two year accelerated period of the formation<br />
of owner/operator consultancies which<br />
has been going on for more than 15 years.<br />
The fallout after consolidation or acquisition<br />
is a standard response in service industries.<br />
Scale, the imposition of internal systems<br />
and infrastructure divert the attention of the<br />
owners and with that begins a distancing from<br />
the clients.<br />
Over the last 15 years there has been a<br />
steady stream of <strong>research</strong>ers who seized an<br />
opportunity and took the risk of running their<br />
own businesses. The service promise of the<br />
SME agency is the personal knowledge of<br />
and intensity of engagement with the client<br />
business. The trick is not to be diverted by the<br />
growth at all costs mantra. My observation of<br />
the independent agencies that have formed over<br />
this period is they continue to generate business<br />
opportunities and deliver quality work.<br />
In my own case, business has been busy<br />
and grown steadily since setting up as an<br />
independent five years ago. The GFC proved a<br />
boon period for me and other independents /<br />
sole practitioners.<br />
Linda McAvenna, principal,<br />
Think Strategy Pty Ltd
FEATURE<br />
Mobile<br />
leapfrogs<br />
other technologies in <strong>Asia</strong><br />
Market <strong>research</strong> companies need to<br />
invest more in mobile phone <strong>research</strong><br />
methods if they want to take advantage<br />
of growth in the <strong>Asia</strong> <strong>Pacific</strong> <strong>region</strong>,<br />
writes Kerry Sunderland.<br />
Bob Chua, CEO of Malaysian-based Pulse Group PLC, says<br />
that despite the economic situation globally, the <strong>research</strong><br />
industry in <strong>Asia</strong> has enjoyed ‘paradoxical growth’. He<br />
speculates that this was because clients in <strong>Asia</strong> had, until the<br />
global financial crisis (GFC) hit, favoured ‘legacy methodologies’<br />
like face-to-face and telephone.<br />
‘We started to see a huge shift or tipping point, probably in mid-<br />
2008 when the economic situation worsened globally. It pushed many<br />
clients over the edge to finally try online because of its cost and time<br />
effectiveness, coupled with the fact that internet penetration in these<br />
markets has grown so rapidly. Malaysia, for example, has grown from<br />
20 per cent to 61 per cent in the past two years. We have so many<br />
initiatives from both government and the private sector in this <strong>region</strong><br />
that really drive internet and broadband expansion, so we’re seeing<br />
a huge shift to the adoption of internet, both on mobile platforms as<br />
well as at home. Clients in this <strong>region</strong> are really looking for the next<br />
new thing and how it will give them the edge.’<br />
Chua believes mobile platforms, location-centric tools and<br />
‘near-field communications’ (NFC) technology represent the next<br />
big frontier for <strong>research</strong> as mobile broadband access gets cheaper<br />
and mobile devices offer users richer experiences. He believes the<br />
growth in adoption of mobile technology will allow <strong>research</strong>ers to<br />
do more powerful surveys.<br />
‘For example, the adoption of mobile phones in India is phenomenal<br />
– there are 20 million new mobile subscribers every month. The<br />
sheer volume of adoption is amazing and the introduction of Android<br />
and other new platforms will be a real game changer. Malaysia has<br />
105 per cent mobile penetration – people have more than one mobile<br />
phone. Indonesia is the largest Blackberry market in the world – you<br />
see taxi drivers there on Blackberry Messenger.<br />
‘A lot of <strong>Asia</strong>n markets have leapfrogged older technologies, such<br />
as analogue mobiles, to get straight into GSM and 3G. We’re starting<br />
to leapfrog fixed line phones at home to get straight into mobile.<br />
There are a lot of interesting trends here that would probably not be<br />
the norm anywhere else but I think <strong>Asia</strong>n consumers are so hungry<br />
for innovation that the adoption rates are going to be huge.’<br />
TNS Global Technology Sector managing director James Fergusson<br />
concurs. Fergusson told Research News back in 2006 that<br />
clients and agencies in <strong>Asia</strong> appeared less resistant to embracing<br />
technology than their Australian counterparts. He believes this<br />
observation is still true.<br />
‘It has the potential to blow market <strong>research</strong> wide open. Despite<br />
mobile outnumbering online 3:1 and mobile being the irrefutable<br />
future of digital, it has yet to become a mainstay data collection<br />
methodology. As an industry, we haven’t taken advantage of the<br />
mobile explosion in <strong>Asia</strong>.’<br />
However he says the big challenge, particularly in countries<br />
like China and India, is reaching consumers in <strong>region</strong>al and rural<br />
areas. Fergusson will be speaking on this topic at ESOMAR’s 2011<br />
<strong>Asia</strong> <strong>Pacific</strong> in Melbourne later this month when he delivers a paper<br />
co-written with Navin Williams titled ‘Bridging the digital divide in<br />
qualitative <strong>research</strong> in emerging markets’.<br />
‘The mass adoption of the mobile phone across both developed<br />
and rapid growth markets has had a far greater impact upon the<br />
way consumers live their lives than the internet – because it has<br />
reached far in excess of a billion more people. Despite this the market<br />
<strong>research</strong> industry has been somewhat lax in driving the utilisation of<br />
mobile as a valid and representative data collection tool.<br />
‘Much of the focus of market <strong>research</strong> innovation still sits with<br />
online panels – even in rapid growth markets such as South East <strong>Asia</strong>,<br />
India and Sub-Saharan Africa the industry focus is on how to drive<br />
adoption of online <strong>research</strong> using “traditional” online panels.’<br />
This is despite the fact that in India only seven to eight per cent of<br />
the population access the internet via a computer while, in China – the<br />
world’s largest Internet market - some 600+ million consumers are<br />
still without internet access.<br />
14 Research News March 2011
Dominic Carter Bob Chua James Fergusson<br />
The mobile only revolution<br />
Percentage of mobile internet browsers who ‘never or infrequently use the<br />
desktop internet’ *<br />
Country<br />
India, China, Indonesia, Thailand 43%<br />
South Africa, Egypt, Ghana, Nigeria, Kenya 56%<br />
US, UK 22%<br />
Russia 19%<br />
US 22%<br />
UK 25%<br />
China 30%<br />
Thailand 32%<br />
Indonesia 44%<br />
Nigeria 50%<br />
Kenya 54%<br />
Ghana 55%<br />
South Africa 57%<br />
India 59%<br />
Egypt 70%<br />
% of mobile only<br />
Data gathered from July to November 2010 - N= 15,204 (Source: On Device Research)<br />
* ‘Infrequent’ mobile internet browsers use it once a month or less<br />
Fergusson and Williams say most rural and remote <strong>region</strong>s<br />
in the developing world still lack basic internet infrastructure<br />
and access. Increasingly mobile networks are penetrating deep<br />
into these formerly inaccessible <strong>region</strong>s including in difficult and<br />
complex countries. With dropping data rates, mobile internet has<br />
begun to rapidly penetrate all geographies. In Rural China, one in<br />
four internet users are introduced to the web for the first time via<br />
their mobile phone.<br />
At APAC, Fergusson and Williams will argue that these factors<br />
alone provide compelling evidence that the <strong>Asia</strong> market <strong>research</strong><br />
industries must focus a greater investment emphasis on fast tracking<br />
the use of mobile phones to be a viable and commonly accepted<br />
data collection medium.<br />
‘In a global context this is far more important to our industry than<br />
the online revolution was in the early 2000s,’ they say.<br />
According to ESOMAR’s latest Global Market Research Report,<br />
Japan is the biggest <strong>research</strong> market by turnover in the <strong>Asia</strong> <strong>Pacific</strong><br />
<strong>region</strong> – yet to be trumped by China, where the industry has only<br />
operated for about 23 years – and the Japanese <strong>research</strong> industry<br />
is also being radically transformed by technology.<br />
Dominic Carter, who founded Carter Associates KK in 2004 a few<br />
years after emigrating from Australia to Japan to work for Millward<br />
Brown, says his business was not that badly affected by the GFC because<br />
he had ongoing contracts focused on the domestic market.<br />
But he says that despite his company’s apparent immunity from<br />
the GFC, many market <strong>research</strong> companies are doing it tough. Carter<br />
says there has been considerable consolidation among foreign<br />
suppliers in Japan and now most of the major foreign players are<br />
owned by the WPP Group and are operating (or soon will be) under<br />
one brand, Japan Kantar Research.<br />
‘It has proven difficult for the multinational <strong>research</strong> agencies to<br />
develop their branded product solutions in the Japanese market on<br />
a scale that justifies their independent existence.<br />
‘The rest of the industry in Japan is under pretty severe pressure,<br />
especially when it competes with online panels. A lot of the work in<br />
the past few years has gone to the relatively new companies Yahoo<br />
Value Insights and Macromill, which have now merged,’ he explains.<br />
‘The industry, which has never been much of a value-added insightsdriven<br />
industry, has really been changed by the move towards online<br />
panels. Technology is driving everything towards being quicker, faster<br />
and cheaper. Clients are cutting budgets to the bone.’<br />
Online shopping company Rakuten has even moved into the<br />
consumer <strong>research</strong> space. It operates a <strong>research</strong> panel and has<br />
launched a do-it-yourself survey solution.<br />
Carter says while there are some Western-style <strong>research</strong> users<br />
in Japan who demand quality insight generation from their agencies,<br />
they are the exception rather than the rule. Japanese clients<br />
are less likely to make decisions based on <strong>research</strong> than their<br />
Western counterparts.<br />
‘Domestic companies tend not to do as much MR as we know it,’<br />
he explains. ‘As a percentage of GDP, spend on MR is much lower<br />
than it is in other markets. Japanese clients have never really demanded<br />
much by way of insights from their suppliers, so this very<br />
utilitarian, quick, cheap solution [offered by online panels] really<br />
serves the market well.’<br />
Carter believes the days of <strong>research</strong> ‘as we know it’ are numbered<br />
(and not just in Japan) and that <strong>research</strong>ers, in the quantitative area<br />
at least, need to get much more au fait with technology and better understand<br />
what advances in mobile internet mean for market <strong>research</strong>.<br />
This is one of the reasons he has recently launched a new Japanese<br />
joint venture with Australian market <strong>research</strong> technology company<br />
Potentiate (formed recently by the consolidation of software firm Infotools<br />
Australia, panel management and survey deployment specialist<br />
Plenari and online sample firm Sampleworx under one brand).<br />
‘The way we do <strong>research</strong> is going to change. Japanese don’t have<br />
any preconceived notions that you shouldn’t exploit technology. There<br />
are also newer players who don’t necessarily make the distinction<br />
between other branches of marketing and <strong>research</strong>. Potentiate is<br />
very, very appropriate to the times when everything becomes much<br />
more technology driven. We have developed and are developing<br />
products that are very empowering for the client, allowing them to<br />
achieve a lot more in the areas of <strong>research</strong> data collection, analysis<br />
and communication, a lot more quickly.’<br />
‘CATI versus online panels shouldn’t even be a conversation,’ argues<br />
Fergusson. ‘We’re caught up in a debate that’s 10 years old.’<br />
Reassuringly, he believes there are real opportunities for Australian<br />
<strong>research</strong>ers to lead the mobile <strong>research</strong> revolution. These<br />
will no doubt be explored further at APAC 2011.<br />
Kerry Sunderland, managing editor, Research News<br />
Research News March 2011 15
FEATURE<br />
Meeting the MR needs<br />
of Vietnamese SMEs<br />
Multi-tasking and non-traditional<br />
<strong>research</strong> approaches are required<br />
when working in Vietnam, write<br />
Tran Ngoc Dun and Tuong Tuan Thong.<br />
Small and medium enterprises (SMEs), employing fewer<br />
than 300 employees, account for a significant proportion<br />
of national wealth and growth in less developed countries.<br />
In Vietnam, a typical developing and emerging country,<br />
the number of SMEs is reaching 400,000. They represent 99<br />
per cent of the number of businesses of the country; employ<br />
77 per cent of the workforce and account for 80 per cent of<br />
the retail market.<br />
Growth in the market <strong>research</strong> industry in Vietnam will come<br />
from SMEs and not just the big multinational corporations. This is<br />
because SMEs have been consistently the source of growth in Vietnam;<br />
on average, their profits grow about 20 per cent each year.<br />
SMEs in Vietnam receive great attention from the Vietnamese<br />
government as well as non-government organisations (NGOs) in<br />
initiatives designed to improve their competitiveness. Organisations<br />
such as the Vietnam Chamber of Commerce and Industry (VCCI),<br />
the World Bank and the <strong>Asia</strong>n Development Bank (ADB) have<br />
implemented a variety of programs supporting SMEs to help them<br />
improve working skills for their employees and business management<br />
skills for leaders.<br />
In particular, recent initiatives by the Ministry of Trade and<br />
Industry and VCCI have helped Vietnamese SMEs conduct professional<br />
market <strong>research</strong> by financing part of the <strong>research</strong> costs.<br />
This <strong>research</strong>, which has focused on finding ways for Vietnamese<br />
brands to enter rural markets, has generated strong awareness<br />
among SMEs about the benefits of using market <strong>research</strong>. Market<br />
<strong>research</strong> agencies in Vietnam have been encouraged to participate<br />
into these initiatives to support SMEs and also to promote the agencies’<br />
names to this sector.<br />
Until 2007, large businesses (mostly multinational) remained<br />
the biggest spenders on <strong>research</strong> in the country. However, after<br />
joining the World Trade Organisation (WTO) in 2007, many SMEs<br />
in Vietnam have grown to be significant players in their industries.<br />
Typical cases are Nutifood Nutrition & Dairy, THP Beverage and<br />
Masanfood. These companies (established approximately nine to<br />
10 years ago) have grown from small enterprises to become substantial<br />
players, with <strong>research</strong> budgets that have grown significantly<br />
and are now comparable with multinationals in the same category.<br />
Before 2007, the list of top 10 advertising spenders included typical<br />
names such as Unilever, P&G, Coca Cola and Pepsi. By 2010, THP<br />
and Masan were ranked number one and number three respectively<br />
in ad expenditure.<br />
This illustrates how market <strong>research</strong> agencies that effectively<br />
promote and sell their services to SMEs could potentially grow<br />
alongside these companies.<br />
16 Research News March 2011
FEATURE<br />
Current market <strong>research</strong><br />
awareness and usage<br />
However, in a recent survey of 200 local fast moving consumer<br />
goods (FMCG) SMEs in Ho Chi Minh and Hanoi, conducted by<br />
FTA Marketing Research, less than 30 per cent had a separate<br />
marketing department. None had a functional market <strong>research</strong><br />
department.<br />
Therefore, it is not surprising that only half of these SMEs agree<br />
that market <strong>research</strong> is the tool for understanding target consumers.<br />
Only about 45 per cent agree that market <strong>research</strong> should be<br />
the foundation for business strategy. Only 30 per cent agree that<br />
market <strong>research</strong> should be used to improve current product offers<br />
or develop new products.<br />
Fifty one per cent had never used services from a market<br />
<strong>research</strong> agency. Instead, they used mostly information from their<br />
sales force, from staff, from informal talk with consumers at point<br />
of sale or with others in the same industry. They relied on business<br />
owners’ experience and learning from trial and error.<br />
While 49 per cent reported they had tried outsourcing market<br />
<strong>research</strong> services in the past three years, nearly half were not<br />
satisfied. The top three reasons for being dissatisfied and saying<br />
they are not likely to use market <strong>research</strong> again were:<br />
1. Did not provide value for money<br />
2. Did not solve business problem (after doing the <strong>research</strong>, the<br />
owners received only general results and recommendations<br />
from <strong>research</strong> agencies that were considered as too broad, not<br />
practical and not particularly feasible to their business)<br />
3. Based on inaccurate information (as a result of inappropriate<br />
<strong>research</strong> design, from talking to the wrong target, or from not<br />
asking the right questions).<br />
Key barriers to usage<br />
The most significant barrier to <strong>research</strong> usage among SMEs in<br />
Vietnam is that it is perceived to be a cost item, not an investment.<br />
This is the result of not being able to see the benefits of <strong>research</strong>,<br />
nor seeing the linkage between market <strong>research</strong> and business<br />
success and failure.<br />
The second barrier comes from the low awareness of what<br />
<strong>research</strong> is and how it could be used. Technical <strong>research</strong> terms<br />
such as qualitative, quantitative, usage and attitudes (U&A), concept<br />
test, price sensitivity and retail audit could be hard for SMEs (with<br />
no <strong>research</strong> background, no marketing background and even no<br />
formal business training background) to understand.<br />
If market <strong>research</strong> products could be seen to help generate<br />
sales reports, consumer feedbacks reports, promotion preference<br />
reports, product rating reports and so on, then SMEs could link<br />
these to the immediate benefits of using <strong>research</strong>.<br />
The third most serious barrier is SMEs’ management vision.<br />
Usually, if the owners do not trust market <strong>research</strong> agencies (as<br />
a result of either perception or past trial experience), then this<br />
would largely result in limited resources (people to absorb and use<br />
<strong>research</strong>) and limited or no budget for <strong>research</strong>.<br />
On the other hand, agencies need to better demonstrate their<br />
ability to understand SMEs’ business, background, structure,<br />
people, and financial resources. Research products and models that<br />
are used for multinational corporations might not be appropriate<br />
in the SME sector.<br />
To be more relevant, there needs to be a shift from <strong>research</strong><br />
language to business language. Not only does the <strong>research</strong> product<br />
name need to change, but also the <strong>research</strong> tools need to be<br />
relevant to SME’s day-to-day business. These are the outcomes<br />
SMEs want to see:<br />
• Sales reports<br />
• Distribution updates<br />
• Sales intelligence<br />
• Consumption trends<br />
• Product benchmarking<br />
• Price intelligence<br />
• Promotion plan<br />
• Investment maximisation<br />
• Growth maximisation<br />
• New market / product development (associated with new<br />
risks, far away from experience and core expertise).<br />
Key drivers<br />
Among SMEs interviewed in the survey, the most important<br />
driver of market <strong>research</strong> usage was the expectation that<br />
<strong>research</strong> should clearly identify SME’s strategic direction and<br />
also how to reach the end goal – the destination. They expect<br />
to see the <strong>research</strong>er’s ability to act as a business and marketing<br />
consultant. Not only do they expect to hear ‘what to do’,<br />
they also want to hear ‘how others did’. For them, <strong>research</strong><br />
is a fact based business solution, thus <strong>research</strong> must show<br />
how it could actually solve the business problem. They expect<br />
<strong>research</strong>ers to show experience and real market validation<br />
from servicing other big multinational clients and explain how<br />
the big fishes did it.<br />
Researchers need to conduct comprehensive pre-<strong>research</strong> discussions<br />
and effectively act as an internal <strong>research</strong> department.<br />
Adoption process<br />
Key decision makers for marketing strategy and market <strong>research</strong><br />
remain the SME’s owner, the managing director and the marketing<br />
director (normally head hunted and hired from multinational<br />
companies).<br />
Over the past five years in Vietnam, many SME owners have<br />
attended practical training courses in marketing and market <strong>research</strong>.<br />
They, in turn, send their marketing staff to these courses.<br />
As a result, they are getting to know about marketing and market<br />
<strong>research</strong> concepts and services.<br />
In our recent survey with SMEs, the top source of <strong>research</strong> awareness<br />
and adoption is training. Usually, SMEs talk to the trainers for<br />
advice and also seek marketing consultant from this source.<br />
In many other SMEs, the restructuring processes to cope with<br />
growth results in the employment of experienced marketing seniors<br />
(who used to work for multinational companies) and this also facilitates<br />
the adoption of market <strong>research</strong>. These are often SMEs that<br />
sell, process and export raw materials. Now they are focusing more<br />
on domestic market, which requires serious brand building. They are<br />
seeing opportunities in the domestic growth but also seeing strong<br />
competition from multinationals. They feel the risk is high, they are<br />
now pulled out of their comfort zone and realise that relying on their<br />
own experience isn’t enough.<br />
SMEs (in particular those operating in the FMCG sector) represent<br />
an area of potentially strong growth for those operating in the<br />
Vietnamese market <strong>research</strong> industry. This segment is not easy to<br />
penetrate, with many barriers for <strong>research</strong> agencies to overcome.<br />
However, once SMEs trust and adopt <strong>research</strong>, a <strong>research</strong> agency<br />
could win a full annual <strong>research</strong> package and an exclusive deal.<br />
Tran Ngoc Dung (executive director, FTA Marketing Research)<br />
and Tuong Tuan Thong (FTA Marketing Research) will present<br />
their paper titled ‘Market <strong>research</strong> for local SMEs in less<br />
developed countries’ at ESOMAR APAC 2011. The presentation<br />
will include a case study illustrating how Vietnamese company<br />
Nutifood used market <strong>research</strong> to grow its business.<br />
Tran Ngoc Dung<br />
Tuong Tuan Thong<br />
Research News March 2011 17
FEATURE<br />
fdd ducks<br />
Doing market <strong>research</strong> in China keeps even the most experienced <strong>research</strong>ers<br />
on their toes. In a diverse market that is constantly changing it takes guts and<br />
commitment to keep up with the demands of clients. Katarina Olausson spoke<br />
with three expats about what it is like working and living in Shanghai.<br />
Gerline Soo, who moved to Shanghai from Singapore<br />
in 2003 and speaks Mandarin and Cantonese, is the<br />
<strong>region</strong>al director for Firefly Millward Brown.<br />
‘Here in China you have a bigger budget and more clients who<br />
are hungry for information and need to be updated very quickly.<br />
The market is new to them but it is not only new, it is changing<br />
rapidly,’ she says.<br />
Soo says that in comparison to markets like Singapore, lots of<br />
new product development projects and campaigns are developed<br />
specifically for China.<br />
‘But the problem is that a lot of clients think that China is just<br />
one market when it is clearly not. They think it is good enough to<br />
know about Shanghai, Guangzhou and Beijing, they think that is 100<br />
per cent China, but this is not the case. It’s not just the geographical<br />
differences, every city has its own characteristics.’<br />
This point was put into sharp relief when Soo and her team<br />
undertook an ethnographic study in a small town in inland China.<br />
‘We went to the village and stayed with people for two days,<br />
tracking and observing their lives. It was really quite different.<br />
The living standard is basic and they don’t have much entertainment.<br />
There is one restaurant in the hotel and that’s it. People<br />
go to sleep at 7 o’clock, and the streets are dark. So things that<br />
we take for granted here don’t exist there. That study left a deep<br />
impression on me.’<br />
Soo explains that local brands are very strong in these areas.<br />
‘There is no competition; it’s old China, so people are not exposed<br />
to a better brand or product. They tend to think that is the best, but<br />
if they were exposed to a different brand you’ll find they are very<br />
receptive to it. It is always easier for global brands to establish themselves<br />
in the bigger cities than in the smaller cities and villages.’<br />
Shiri Atsmon is living in Shanghai with her husband and three<br />
children. She came to Shanghai in 2006 and works as an associate<br />
director at Oracle Added Value. Atsmon grew up in Israel and spent<br />
time working at a law firm in the US and as a psycho-diagnostician<br />
for the Israeli Defences Forces.<br />
‘I was certified as an attorney but before that I was working<br />
in the Israeli army. It is a very interesting profession and gave me<br />
great interviewing skills.’<br />
Atsmon says that marketing teams in China are very open to<br />
new <strong>research</strong>. ‘People are humble and open to you as a <strong>research</strong>er.<br />
You can help them to improve things or even to come up with<br />
completely new ideas - the impact you have as a <strong>research</strong>er is<br />
meaningful and that is very satisfying. It just shows how dynamic<br />
China is, I have more exposure here to business and strategy issues,<br />
different categories and market development stages.’<br />
The most successful international brands in China are those<br />
that commit wholeheartedly to understand the specificities of the<br />
Chinese consumer. Atsmon explains, ‘Many decide to launch a<br />
product that is a version of a European product; it’s not tailored to<br />
the local market. The brands that are doing the best are the brands<br />
that are designed for China.’<br />
When asked about what the workplace is typically like, Atsmon<br />
says that the environment is supportive yet that there are, of course,<br />
some cultural differences.<br />
‘The pressure to succeed in China is extremely high. For example, if<br />
you are a guy you can’t get married until you have an apartment. I hope<br />
in the future everyone can feel like they can take a break and devote<br />
more time for work and life balance. As an expat I am a bit of an odd<br />
Shiri Atsmon Gerline Soo Jason Spencer<br />
18 Research News March 2011
FEATURE<br />
duck because I say, “Now I have to go home and tend to my kids”.’<br />
Before moving to China, Atsmon spent a couple of months<br />
learning Mandarin. ‘Many people, when they arrive here, are totally<br />
immersed in their careers and it is difficult to take time off to learn<br />
a bit of Chinese. But if you have done a foundation course prior to<br />
coming it can be a springboard to further learning.’<br />
It is rare for expats to end up in qualitative moderating roles<br />
because of the language barrier. Atsmon explains that even local<br />
moderators sometimes have difficulties because of the many different<br />
dialects.<br />
Another thing to keep in mind when working in China is that<br />
there is no such thing as an awkward silence and that it is important<br />
to be persistent and patient.<br />
‘They can be silent until tomorrow. But once they talk they are<br />
blunt. It can be very refreshing so you just have to develop a thick<br />
skin. It is never intended to be malicious, it is about being communal,<br />
everyone is your friend and wants to help you,’ Atsmon explains.<br />
Jason Spencer is the managing director for Millward Brown<br />
ACSR. He arrived in Shanghai from Australia for the first time in<br />
1993. After a couple of years working in market <strong>research</strong> and as<br />
interpreter in both Hong Kong and Taiwan, Spencer had the opportunity<br />
to assist a colleague in starting up a new <strong>research</strong> company.<br />
‘I was in a fairly senior position by that stage, working as a<br />
<strong>research</strong> director. But I didn’t feel like I had the knowledge and experience<br />
to back me up. I felt that I was the white guy being pushed<br />
out there to face the client and I didn’t think I had the substance to<br />
support that. So I spoke to a contact of mine at Millward Brown. He<br />
said, “OK I’ll train you” and gave me a pay cut and put me down a<br />
level which was OK, I suggested he’d do that.’<br />
Within 12 months Spencer was promoted and had gained a lot<br />
of experience and skills. ‘I really found that I had achieved what I<br />
wanted to achieve in terms of having the substance to stand up<br />
there and speak confidently to clients.’<br />
What attracts Jason to working in China is that it is challenging.<br />
‘In the last few years we have a group of clients that are extremely<br />
sophisticated and I would say even more sophisticated than what<br />
you would consider best practice in North America, Western Europe,<br />
Australia and New Zealand.’<br />
Spencer explains that there are also those clients who are less<br />
experienced in using and disseminating market <strong>research</strong> throughout<br />
their organisations and these require a different set of skills.<br />
‘We have to convince them of the value of doing market <strong>research</strong>;<br />
we have to work hard at that and be emphatic with them. We need<br />
to take ourselves out of the comfort zone and experience someone<br />
else’s concerns and anxieties. So the spectrum that we need to cover<br />
can be quite diverse.’<br />
Local Chinese companies are becoming more interested in doing<br />
<strong>research</strong>, Spencer says. ‘We recently finished the top 50 Chinese<br />
Brands study that looks at quantifying the value of a brand. We have<br />
a unique situation where a lot of Chinese brands are starting to appreciate<br />
the value of a brand.’<br />
He adds, ‘the market is constantly evolving, constantly developing;<br />
it’s a changing environment that suits certain personality types.<br />
There are times when I just need to get out of the country and go<br />
somewhere and lie on a beach to recover. But that’s fine, after a week<br />
I always find myself wanting to get back to the dynamism and the<br />
challenging environment that China is. It’s a beautiful<br />
lifestyle in Australia but after a couple of weeks<br />
back home I find myself with itchy feet.’<br />
‘Most <strong>research</strong>ers in Australia will end up doing<br />
international projects in parts of <strong>Asia</strong> at some point<br />
in the careers,’ says Tracey Rankin from Yellow Door<br />
Research, which has conducted multi-country studies<br />
in the <strong>Asia</strong> <strong>Pacific</strong> <strong>region</strong> for many years. She says one<br />
thing you quickly learn when it comes to qualitative<br />
<strong>research</strong>, is that if you just hand the materials to a<br />
local field team you’ll get a mess.<br />
‘Most of us learn the hard way that you have to be<br />
there on the ground, to make sure they’re asking the<br />
right questions and probing in the right way. You really<br />
get to know a culture when you get things wrong.<br />
And your results are only as good as your<br />
simultaneous translator. Once you establish a good<br />
network in <strong>Asia</strong>, you can tap into that.’<br />
Rankin, who is heading back to India this month to<br />
present her <strong>research</strong> findings to an local client, says<br />
she believes there is a growing market for <strong>research</strong><br />
in the <strong>Asia</strong> <strong>Pacific</strong> <strong>region</strong> and clients are showing<br />
increasing interest in more complex methodologies.<br />
Katarina Olausson moved to Shanghai last<br />
month to work as an account manager at<br />
Firefly Millward Brown<br />
Research News March 2011 19
STATISTICS<br />
Something slightly significant<br />
If I asked how many clients you had inadvertently<br />
misled in the past 12 months,<br />
you might be justly indignant. So, I will<br />
rephrase the question. How many times have<br />
you reported results simply because they were<br />
statistically significant How often have you<br />
scanned through a set of tables, searching for<br />
the little asterisks denoting significant results,<br />
reporting findings on that basis How often have<br />
you agonised about leaving out results that were<br />
‘almost significant’<br />
How can I use ‘misled’ and ‘statistically significant’<br />
in the same paragraph Everyone knows<br />
that testing quant findings in this way is standard<br />
practice and is taught in the finest academies.<br />
Our own Code of Professional Behaviour,<br />
when discussing what a client is entitled to (Section<br />
D; point 4), includes ‘… and of the levels of<br />
statistical significance of differences between<br />
key figures’. You can’t get more authoritative<br />
than that.<br />
So, what is my concern about statistical significance<br />
testing and the way it is often applied<br />
in marketing <strong>research</strong> Does it matter<br />
I will point to two issues in particular. One is<br />
the logic of significance testing; the other is the<br />
poor way it is implemented.<br />
We market <strong>research</strong>ers often work under<br />
pressure to complete projects and get the results<br />
to a client. Anything that makes it easier for us to<br />
unravel the key findings is welcome. So, we look<br />
for the little asterisks. We want to tell our clients<br />
what is important and what is not. So we report<br />
significance. Fine goals; bad technique.<br />
As the 1800s morphed into the 1900s, a<br />
number of people sought a way to distinguish<br />
random ‘noise’ from ‘real’ differences in data.<br />
One was William Gosset (the ‘student’ of the<br />
famous Student’s t-test who, happily, worked<br />
to perfect Guinness stout). Another was Ronald<br />
Fisher. They argued about the way a test for<br />
a real difference should be applied and the<br />
forceful Fisher won out. This left social science<br />
inheriting a flawed approach.<br />
There are problems with the logic Fisher advocated<br />
and most <strong>research</strong>ers misunderstand<br />
it anyway. Indeed, if you ask <strong>research</strong>ers to<br />
interpret what a significance test is telling them,<br />
they are usually wrong — and studies amongst<br />
groups of academics have shown that the majority<br />
of them don’t understand the meaning<br />
either. Amazing, I know, but that just shows<br />
how a poorly understood idea can take hold and<br />
become a part of <strong>research</strong> tradecraft.<br />
Fisher left us with a bizarre idea - that is<br />
that there is a specific level of probability at<br />
which the whole world changes from ‘no’ to<br />
‘yes’. One outcome is that we <strong>research</strong>ers are<br />
not supposed to take account of the costs of<br />
being wrong and the benefits of being right<br />
when deciding the worth of a result.<br />
If you were <strong>research</strong>ing the efficacy of a<br />
cancer cure, would you think the balance of the<br />
costs of being wrong with benefits of being right<br />
are the same as when you test the preferred<br />
flavour for a new ice cream Fisher’s logic says<br />
both situations are to be treated in the same<br />
way. An implication is that we <strong>research</strong>ers can’t<br />
take account of clients’ differential willingness<br />
to accept the consequences of uncertainty in<br />
<strong>research</strong> findings. All clients, all risks and all<br />
benefits are the same.<br />
In addition, whatever the logic, we do not<br />
give clients the level of skilled service for which<br />
they think they are paying when we:<br />
• Carry out significance tests after the data<br />
are in, missing the point that if we did<br />
Power Analysis before the <strong>research</strong> was<br />
conducted we would have known that there<br />
was no way the sample could deliver a<br />
significant result. Might a client make a<br />
case for deceptive and misleading conduct<br />
or negligence<br />
• Ignore the fact that whether or not a result<br />
is significant is a function of the sample<br />
size. This means that we might report<br />
‘significant’ findings when they are in fact<br />
trivially small. This makes <strong>research</strong> look<br />
disconnected from the realities of the commercial<br />
environment.<br />
• Don’t report the confidence intervals for<br />
results, hence not giving the client (or ourselves)<br />
the chance to see just how large a<br />
difference really is in the context for which<br />
the findings are to be used.<br />
Rob Hall, director, Environmetrics<br />
There will be a NewMR virtual event<br />
that explores text analytics. Titled<br />
‘Listening is the New Asking!’ it takes<br />
place online on 8 March. To find out<br />
more visit http://newmr.org/page/<br />
listening-2011. Research News will<br />
look at text analysis in more detail in<br />
the April edition.<br />
If you’d like to contribute,<br />
email editor@amsrs.com.au<br />
20 Research News March 2011
THE WORD’S OUT<br />
Language, social media and thought<br />
Social media is all about language and the<br />
written word. People are writing more than<br />
ever before with status updates, tweets<br />
and blogs. There is now a constant stream of text<br />
about what we do and think. Of course this is a<br />
huge opportunity for market <strong>research</strong>.<br />
The question becomes how to process the<br />
never-ending streams of text available on social<br />
media. Computers are good at calculations, but<br />
text analysis has always been the problem child.<br />
Language has a complexity that simple numbers<br />
can’t capture.<br />
Two schools of thought seem to be crystallising<br />
as to how we analyse social media. The first<br />
emphasises what is generally called ‘natural<br />
language processing’. Using this approach comprehension<br />
comes via computerised parsing and<br />
analysis of the text based on our understanding<br />
of language. Grammar is the key. The second<br />
approach is statistical. It emphasises analytical<br />
techniques such as Latent Semantic Analysis<br />
(LSA), which uses the statistical properties of text<br />
to glean meaning from it.<br />
Text analytics is the new frontier that market<br />
<strong>research</strong> must conquer. The sheer volume of text<br />
can’t be ignored, but it can’t be coded and tabulated<br />
the same way open ends are today. There is simply<br />
too much. In some senses the contest of grammar<br />
versus statistics has already been decided. When<br />
you look at text from social media it isn’t grammatically<br />
correct, because we don’t speak and<br />
communicate in formal blocks of text using perfect<br />
grammar. Hence the grammar route is fundamentally<br />
at a disadvantage. The argot of web may well<br />
defy parsing. It’s significant that search engines<br />
such as Google and Yahoo use techniques very close<br />
to LSA to process documents and decide how they<br />
are related. The core metric of LSA is word counts<br />
and co-occurrence of words in documents. Given<br />
that search engines are the tools that have made the<br />
web usable it is worth paying attention to this.<br />
The problem is sentiment. One of the critical<br />
tasks for analysis of social media is deciding if a<br />
tweet or status update has a positive or negative<br />
tone. Is the buzz about a product good or bad If you<br />
can automatically tell the sentiment of comments<br />
relating to products or services you have a powerful<br />
<strong>research</strong> tool. Sentiment analysis is currently a hard<br />
thing to do accurately. Anything over 75 per cent accuracy<br />
in sentiment analysis is currently regarded<br />
as pretty good, but this still leaves a large margin<br />
for error. At the moment the only accurate way to<br />
assess sentiment is for a human to read the text,<br />
but there is simply too much text being produced by<br />
social media for this to be practical.<br />
Sentiment analysis of social media is rapidly<br />
becoming the ultimate goal for text analysis and<br />
market <strong>research</strong>. We need more sentiment to<br />
master social media.<br />
Andrew Jeavons is a member of Nebu,<br />
which is working to bring innovation to<br />
survey software. You can contact him at<br />
andrewjeavons@nebu.com<br />
This article was first published in Research<br />
World, the magazine for marketing<br />
intelligence and decision making published<br />
by ESOMAR. For more details go to<br />
http://rwconnect.esomar.org<br />
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NARRATIVES<br />
In praise of the humble potato<br />
‘I do not keep a diary. Never have. To write a diary every day is like returning to one’s own<br />
vomit,’ says J. Enoch Powell. Luckily for most of us, writing and reading diaries – both our<br />
own and those of others – is actually quite a pleasant experience. Namita Mediratta reports.<br />
Namita Mediratta<br />
Though many <strong>research</strong>ers have indeed<br />
capitalised beautifully on the power of<br />
the medium, one can still say it’s underexploited,<br />
and seems to me a bit like the potato<br />
of <strong>research</strong>; a versatile and humble option<br />
which, given its merits, never quite seems to<br />
get the appreciation it deserves.<br />
Why does a diary work Well, fundamentally,<br />
recording a diary is an intensely personal experience.<br />
It’s almost like talking to one’s alter ego,<br />
and thereby limiting filtration or sanitisation in<br />
its responses to the <strong>research</strong>er’s questions.<br />
A diary is also very well contextualised in the<br />
‘now’, painting the moment in the moods and<br />
flavours of the instant, rather than looking at it<br />
through the lens of distant recall or post facto<br />
evaluation. Indeed Picasso had once called his<br />
art a kind of ‘visual diary’, which seems like a<br />
nice simile for the whole process of diarisation<br />
– just in reverse.<br />
The other thing I personally love about the diary<br />
is its space for creativity – both on the part of<br />
the consumer and on the part of the <strong>research</strong>er.<br />
Where else would one be able to put in pictures,<br />
collages or free text for one study, and switch to a<br />
much more structured approach in the next It’s<br />
precisely this ability to be tailored that makes the<br />
diary such a versatile instrument.<br />
Here are some examples of what I like, pulled<br />
out from papers, journals and work we’ve done<br />
in the past, both quantitative and qualitative, and<br />
the internet, which demonstrates the power of<br />
this instrument.<br />
A brand equity <strong>research</strong> study was actually<br />
my first exposure to using a diary, and we used<br />
it as a supplement to ‘regular’ consumer groups<br />
in this study. The ‘spontaneous response’ argument<br />
aside, sometimes it helps to give (at least<br />
some respondents) a moment of introspection<br />
before we bombard them with questions, and the<br />
diary was our version of consumer homework.<br />
We’d given these women an (identical) stack of<br />
magazines, and a blank set of notebooks, along<br />
with some thought-provoking assignments, instructing<br />
them to select pictures which reminded<br />
them of various brands within the category, their<br />
relationships with these brands, how using these<br />
brands made them feel and so on. In sum, much<br />
of the regular stuff one would want to explore<br />
in an equity brand study. What stood out for us<br />
in this study was how enthusiastically (and creatively)<br />
consumers expressed themselves, and<br />
the richness of the responses. It was almost as<br />
if the diary, coloured pens and magazines set the<br />
respondents free to go back and explore their<br />
inner worlds with an almost childlike pleasure.<br />
We got passionate (or tepid) love letters to the<br />
brand, collages that clearly demonstrated how<br />
two brands, both premium, could speak in different<br />
tones, moods and language (think Polo Club<br />
pictures vs. the F1) and much more. Really rich,<br />
textured output, and from a client perspective,<br />
easy to hold up to the guys who develop ads to<br />
say ‘See, this is what we mean!’<br />
Since then we’ve used diaries extensively in<br />
qualitative <strong>research</strong> to explore communication,<br />
brand cues, moods, feelings and associations,<br />
and they have never disappointed. Just when<br />
we thought we’d done what we could with the<br />
diary, we were faced with an interesting business<br />
problem; how to evaluate consumer reactions<br />
for a new category we wanted to enter.<br />
Any <strong>research</strong>er faced with this question knows<br />
there’s really no point in asking consumers<br />
what they think about something they’ve never<br />
seen or used. At the same time, we did want<br />
to get a more ‘real’ response, based on what<br />
consumers were likely to go through when they<br />
actually used the product.<br />
So, the task was to get something that told<br />
us what they felt ‘in the now’ rather than on the<br />
spur of the moment (freshly exposed), or days<br />
later in a reconvened group (when they may<br />
not remember they’d had a hard time opening<br />
the pack, for example). Here, a semi-structured<br />
usage diary helped quite a bit. When people<br />
told us they put on something and ‘massaged<br />
it onto the scalp’ for example, we could easily<br />
link it back to their subsequent dissatisfaction<br />
with the product (that’s not how it was meant to<br />
be used!). Similarly, when a 25-year-old wrote<br />
about a little test she did to evaluate whether<br />
the product worked, we could translate those<br />
cues into communications almost immediately.<br />
And when we did, guess what, the communication<br />
worked really well!<br />
From a quantitative perspective, usage diaries<br />
have been used in social <strong>research</strong> forever. Typical<br />
uses have included monitoring how people manage<br />
time or money and monitoring media consumption,<br />
all before the advanced measurement<br />
options became available today. The ‘time-budget’<br />
schedule, pioneered by Sorokin in the 1930s,<br />
(Sorokin & Berger 1938) involved respondents<br />
keeping a detailed log of how they allocated their<br />
time during the day. Since then, diaries have been<br />
used in transport planning studies, expenditure<br />
monitoring studies and to set weights for the retail<br />
price index in the UK.<br />
Our exposure to quantitatively using diaries<br />
came with the Unilever Social Mission on Oral<br />
Care, where we were faced with the daunting task<br />
of evaluating behaviour (and behaviour change) on<br />
a ‘real’ and not a claimed basis. To make matters<br />
worse, our target respondent was the bottom of<br />
the pyramid consumer, with possibly low literacy.<br />
High technology solutions did exist, but finally<br />
22 Research News March 2011
NARRATIVES<br />
implementing those came down to infrastructure<br />
adequacy and time-cost constraints. We needed<br />
something that could be rolled out easily and<br />
simply – not a budget-eating gorilla.<br />
The brains at TNS came to our rescue, and<br />
designed a nice visual sticker diary which involved<br />
the respondent and her child sticking visually attractive<br />
stickers to help the respondent keep track<br />
of her daily schedule (including media habits, food<br />
and drink schedules and, no surprises here, the<br />
child’s brushing habits, among other things). In<br />
administering this like a dipstick, we could get<br />
real behaviour change data including consumer<br />
response to stimulus. This had many advantages<br />
– it was simple, adaptable, and engaging for<br />
mother and child to do collaboratively, without<br />
being overly dependent on literacy rates.<br />
Surprisingly for us, both at the pilot stage<br />
and in the study itself, we didn’t get people<br />
randomly sticking things on the diary or low<br />
income kids getting carried away by the novelty<br />
of the stickers. In fact, if anything, the opposite<br />
was true. At the pilot stage, people came to us<br />
saying they’d mistakenly stuck a wrong sticker<br />
somewhere, how could they erase it Or worse,<br />
they had watched a TV channel that didn’t have<br />
a corresponding sticker in the diary! And we had<br />
to include blank ‘correction’ stickers in the diary<br />
for just such eventualities. So people did have<br />
fun with the instrument, but they didn’t abuse<br />
it. I assume that conscientiousness varies by<br />
target group of course, though I’m more inclined<br />
to trust consumers in the first instance and see<br />
how it goes in a pilot.<br />
Praising the humble potato is one thing – one<br />
has to acknowledge that too much of it does make<br />
you fat. So there came a time when we did feel<br />
we might end up stretching it a bit. For example,<br />
like it or not, people don’t carry diaries around, or<br />
have the willpower to jot down every insignificant<br />
thing - so let’s say you’re trying to measure outof-home<br />
ice cream consumption, or you want to<br />
know how many tissues are used in a day when<br />
someone has a cold. These are possibly instances<br />
where diaries won’t work as well. Neither should<br />
we expect people to stick to the regime day in<br />
and day out. I can certainly see how respondent<br />
fatigue could set in after being asked to record,<br />
say, ‘Did you drink coffee in the morning’ for<br />
weeks on end. If it’s not a habit that’s at least<br />
slightly variable, or if the task is not in some way<br />
interesting, dairies may not be the answer.<br />
Maggie Golding, qualitative <strong>research</strong>er at<br />
Millward Brown Singapore, emphasises the<br />
importance of keeping a diary interesting. She<br />
uses colours, visuals, collages, and provocative<br />
questions to lead the consumer into a more<br />
introspective frame of mind where they’re more<br />
involved, rather than a ‘Let’s tick the boxes’<br />
kind of thinking.<br />
And then maybe it is time to switch over to<br />
the newer avatars of the diary – online journals<br />
with timers that automatically monitor compliance<br />
rates and remind you to fill it in, picture<br />
banks from the internet, using the mobile<br />
phone creatively to get ‘diary-like’ questions<br />
or video-based diaries. ‘Auto-ethnography’ is<br />
one of the words <strong>research</strong>ers are using. Well,<br />
a genetically modified potato remains, after all,<br />
a potato, and it’s still as versatile!<br />
Namita Mediratta is <strong>region</strong>al consumer<br />
and market insights director of hair care at<br />
Unilever <strong>Asia</strong><br />
This article was first published in Research<br />
World, the magazine for marketing<br />
intelligence and decision making published<br />
by ESOMAR. For more details go to<br />
http://rwconnect.esomar.org<br />
Editor’s note: There has also been significant<br />
academic <strong>research</strong> that has tested diary reliability.<br />
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COVER TO COVER<br />
Nudge, nudge; wink, wink<br />
Damian Vanderwolf reviews Nudge – Improving decisions about health, wealth and happiness by<br />
Richard H Thaler & Cass R Sunstein<br />
When combined with a wink, a little<br />
tongue-in-cheek sassy is thrown into<br />
the mix – always a preferred blend<br />
in my book. And you A little ‘wink’ with your<br />
‘nudge’ Otherwise, without a little ‘wink’ things<br />
may deteriorate into nothing more than a ‘noodge’<br />
(as the book explains, ‘noodge’ is a ‘Yiddishism’<br />
for a ‘pest, annoying nag or persistent complainer’).<br />
And no-one likes a ‘noodge’, do they<br />
Nudge’s opening chapters are roseate, with a<br />
delicate scent of ‘a wink’ in the wind – the promise<br />
of new ideas or even inspiration. As the book<br />
progresses, however, the presence of the ‘noodge’<br />
becomes apparent. Don’t lose hope though, that<br />
rosy aroma returns at the conclusion of the book.<br />
The authors Thaler and Sunstein start off by explaining<br />
the political potency of the ‘nudge’ and provide<br />
some intriguing examples of how nudges have<br />
been effectively used in everyday situations. They<br />
even entreat their readers to solve riddles in their<br />
efforts to build their case. These examples were<br />
enough for me (already a convert to their ‘liberal<br />
paternalism’ prior to reading the first page) to have<br />
their case built successfully. My appetite was whet<br />
for ideas. Unfortunately, as the book wears on so do<br />
the examples they use to build their case. Some of<br />
the case studies were a little too obvious, repetitive<br />
and, in some instances, not structured well enough<br />
to be convincing. And despite warning their readers<br />
of the dangers of creating a dichotomous world,<br />
they often use this paradigm as a tool to express<br />
their point of view – the ‘noodge’ pervades.<br />
Fortunately, the allure of the ‘wink’ returns,<br />
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some ‘pie-in-the sky’ examples of how governments<br />
could implement ‘nudges’ with regard to some of the<br />
greater challenges the world is confronting, such<br />
as global warming. The authors’ deconstruction<br />
(and subsequent reconstruction) of ‘marriage’ also<br />
provides some nutritious morsels for thought.<br />
One of the key successes of Nudge is the<br />
concept of ‘choice architecture’. The idea is one of<br />
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It is a powerful reminder of the role that we play<br />
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These are considerations that encompass all that<br />
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from designing a survey, to the way we collect our<br />
data and reward participants to the data we chose<br />
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some thinking about how I can influence choice not<br />
only as a <strong>research</strong>er but also as a human being. As<br />
‘choice architects’, we are encouraged to explore,<br />
uncover and drive change.<br />
Thusly, I was ‘nudged’ – how about you (Wink,<br />
wink.)<br />
Damian Vanderwolf, discoverer, Tribe Research<br />
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To: Research executive, Vivid<br />
From: English teacher<br />
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CONTINUED ON PAGE 27<br />
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Research News March 2011 25
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CONTINUED FROM PAGE 25<br />
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From: Associate director (social policy), Urbis<br />
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Recruitment and Alison in particular, to<br />
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constructive comments for improving<br />
my application for the position, and<br />
routinely kept me informed of how the<br />
recruitment process was proceeding.<br />
I would happily use Research<br />
Recruitment again, and have no<br />
hesitation in recommending<br />
them to employers and others<br />
seeking employment. ”<br />
Regards<br />
Michelle - Happy Candidate<br />
For even more positions call Cathy Boyle, Alison O’Connell, Amanda Wilcox,<br />
Elaine Taylor or Hellen Andreou for further information on 02 9953 5833 or email your resume<br />
to enquiries@<strong>research</strong>recruitment.com.au or visit us at www.<strong>research</strong>recruitment.com.au
HR, LEADERSHIP & MANAGEMENT<br />
AN ETHICAL QUESTION<br />
Candidate driven market<br />
A recent global salary survey compiled by international recruitment consultancy Robert Walters<br />
predicts that demand for sales, marketing and communications professionals is expected to<br />
increase this year in Sydney, Melbourne and Brisbane. Research News asked recruitment<br />
consultants who specialise in the market and social <strong>research</strong> industry to comment.<br />
The Robert Walters survey found that<br />
recruitment activity increased steadily<br />
during 2010, as companies recovered<br />
from the economic downturn and sought to<br />
rebuild marketing and sales teams. The survey<br />
concluded that recruitment activity across all<br />
sectors is expected to increase in 2011, as<br />
companies seek to grow headcount and deliver<br />
major projects.<br />
Rowan Haylett from the Resources Group<br />
agrees with the findings.<br />
‘2010 was a far busier year in the market<br />
<strong>research</strong> and insights sector than 2009, with<br />
demand for staff across all levels and specialisations<br />
increasing as the year went on. This demand<br />
appears to be continuing into 2011 and is resulting<br />
in a strengthening of offers in the sector as<br />
employers compete for the best applicants. The<br />
increased demand for talent has also opened the<br />
door once again to overseas applicants.’<br />
Andy McLellan from AML Resources also says<br />
that demand for market <strong>research</strong> professionals<br />
has increased in the Sydney and Melbourne markets<br />
and, to a lesser extent, Brisbane.<br />
‘In the main, this has mostly been at the<br />
senior end as those with 10 or more years exit<br />
to either start up their own small and medium<br />
enterprises (SMEs), join the smaller niche<br />
boutiques or pursue other vocations outside<br />
the industry.’<br />
McLellan says that in particular demand<br />
exceeds supply on the agency side, as clientside<br />
roles appeal to and attract mid and senior<br />
level <strong>research</strong>ers.<br />
There is a lot of demand for candidates<br />
with experience in qualitative <strong>research</strong>, business<br />
development and people management,<br />
however McLellan says there is a lack of<br />
investment in developing people’s skills to<br />
undertake these roles.<br />
‘Investment in bringing in juniors is also<br />
required, so we are still able to compete in five<br />
to 10 years. New managers need to be trained<br />
in how to mentor and develop their staff, and<br />
not everyone is suited to a business development<br />
role.’<br />
McLellan says there are a number of senior<br />
people looking for part-time employment (three<br />
to four days per week) due to family commitments<br />
and only a small number of agencies are<br />
able to offer such flexibility. He believes parttime<br />
work is more accepted on the client side.<br />
McLellan adds, ‘Account directors in both<br />
qual and quant roles are in high demand,<br />
particularly those with experience in shopper<br />
insights, fast moving consumer goods (FMCG),<br />
telecommunications and the social and government<br />
sector. Currently it is a candidate driven<br />
market.’<br />
CONTINUED ON PAGE 29<br />
No. 188 in a series based on the Code of Professional Behaviour<br />
Storing data overseas<br />
Mid-level/Senior Quallies – Where are You Numerous<br />
opportunities for mid-level to senior quallies – Sydney and Melbourne.<br />
Common to these roles is a real focus on work/life balance, on-going<br />
training and development, excellent $’s. These roles are URGENT!<br />
Brand Manager – Sydney Leadership role for ambitious &<br />
experienced Brand Manager with a minimum of 3 years experience in<br />
blue chip organization – extensive travel to emerging markets (China &<br />
UAE) – Suit innovative, creative team player. $100K ++<br />
Account Director – Sydney Senior strategic <strong>research</strong>er – key role<br />
working on major FMCG client. Make your mark with this leadership role<br />
– Qual/quant (leaning to quant) agency background a must! Join this<br />
clever and innovative team of professionals and enjoy the rewards of<br />
working with a team which strives to do it better than the rest!<br />
Quant Consultant – Sydney Leading Brand Consultancy needs<br />
your solid background in quant. <strong>research</strong> methodologies/segmentation<br />
(min 4 yrs. agency) – great collaborative team of professionals.<br />
Make 2001 your year!<br />
Contact Kaye Neilson on 0408499567<br />
www.neilson-res-ex.com.au<br />
We’re based in Australia and have just<br />
completed a merger with another company<br />
based in Singapore and as a result have moved<br />
into modern offices that don’t have much storage.<br />
My company has a lot of paper records including<br />
questionnaires, hand written notes from depth<br />
interviews and copies of reports. We are<br />
considering merging some of our files with the<br />
Singapore based firm and keeping some records<br />
there and some of theirs here. What do we need<br />
to keep and where do we need to keep it<br />
You don’t have to keep anything in its<br />
original form; electronic versions including<br />
scans of documents are sufficient providing<br />
records are kept in a manner that allows you to<br />
reconstruct the originals with the exception of<br />
personal identifiers. The notes to Rule 22 of the<br />
Code of Professional Behaviour list the following<br />
requirements for data storage:<br />
• Identified data should be de-identified as soon<br />
as practicable after completion of the project.<br />
• Where there is no upfront agreement on the<br />
length of time for which records should be kept,<br />
the default is to keep de-identified primary<br />
field records (questionnaires, transcripts etc)<br />
for ad hoc projects for a minimum of one year<br />
following completion of fieldwork and the data<br />
for two years.<br />
• The length that records should be kept relates<br />
to the nature of the information, for example,<br />
tracking studies run over lengthy periods and<br />
it is appropriate to keep data for more than two<br />
years, longitudinal data must be kept so that it<br />
can be re-identified and also for lengthy periods<br />
if the study is continuing over a long period.<br />
It is best to agree the length of time that<br />
records will be kept prior to commencing a<br />
project. In the case of a company merger, any<br />
such agreements from any of the merging<br />
companies should be honoured.<br />
Regarding where you should store the records, it<br />
is best to store them where they have been collected<br />
and will be needed, especially if the information<br />
would be stored in countries that do not have<br />
equivalent data protection laws to Australia or ‘safe<br />
harbour’ arrangements.<br />
Jayne Van Souwe is the convenor of the<br />
National Ethics Committee. To ask an<br />
ethical question contact Jayne on 03 9621<br />
1066 or JayneVS@wallisgroup.com.au<br />
28 Research News March 2011
HR, LEADERSHIP & MANAGEMENT<br />
SOCIETY NEWS<br />
However, Christine Crowe at CCI says, ‘We<br />
can’t see a huge growth in wages in market<br />
<strong>research</strong> based on the placements over the last<br />
year. They appear to be consistent across all companies<br />
and haven’t risen significantly for the past<br />
couple of years. Who knows how hiring managers<br />
will react when they can no longer attract appropriate<br />
candidates to fill their vacancies This is<br />
starting to happen, as we have 142 vacancies to<br />
fill in Sydney alone and are finding it increasingly<br />
difficult to find candidates, particularly as the<br />
government has taken market <strong>research</strong> off the<br />
skilled migration occupation list.<br />
‘Rather than focus on salaries perhaps the<br />
market <strong>research</strong> industry on a whole should be<br />
focusing on lobbying the government to put market<br />
<strong>research</strong> back on the skills shortage list.’<br />
Market Search’s founder Lyn Tanner is a<br />
member of Recruitment Consulting Services<br />
Australasia (RCSA) so is in close contact with<br />
a number of her industry colleagues and subsequently<br />
receives regular feedback on the<br />
activity in a number of sectors. She also participates<br />
in the quarterly industry survey that<br />
is done to measure the activity in the market<br />
on both present and anticipated growth and<br />
salary variations.<br />
While she agrees that the year has started<br />
steadily in the market <strong>research</strong> industry with an<br />
anticipation of growth during 2011, she believes<br />
there is still considerable caution being exercised<br />
because employers are uncertain how international<br />
markets will affect the economy. Colleagues<br />
in other sectors have confirmed this as well.<br />
‘In general market <strong>research</strong> companies have<br />
commented that the year has started well and<br />
they are expecting that this will be a year of<br />
consolidation and slight growth. I was delighted<br />
to learn that Millward Brown had just taken on<br />
a number of new graduates (I believe eight),<br />
which positively augurs well for the industry<br />
in general.<br />
‘Most MR companies have commented that<br />
they are busy and doing well (“and it’s a far cry<br />
from 2009”) and while there has been a reasonably<br />
high demand for new staff from director to<br />
junior <strong>research</strong>ers, the recruitment and decision<br />
making process remains slow and deliberate.<br />
This to me indicates that there is no great urgency<br />
to employ despite initial requests of immediacy.<br />
The four-interview process continues and thus,<br />
due to the candidate shortage in all skill areas,<br />
a number of desired candidates can be lost to<br />
the competition.’<br />
Research News<br />
April 2011 edition<br />
INTUITION AND<br />
GUT FEELING<br />
Should we ask the following question<br />
more often: ‘I know the answer - why<br />
are we doing this <strong>research</strong>’ What<br />
happens when clients disregard<br />
<strong>research</strong> findings A look at ‘ensemble<br />
methods’ such as ‘wisdom of the<br />
crowds’ and ‘random forests’. The HR<br />
perspective - psych testing vs ‘fire in<br />
the belly’ and ‘spark in the eye’. What<br />
have <strong>research</strong>ers learnt from Malcolm<br />
Gladwell, Harry Klein and Jonah Lehrer.<br />
Are women really more intuitive<br />
DEADLINE: 10 MARCH 2011<br />
SOCIETY NEWS<br />
AMSRS invests in interactive tools<br />
The Society now supports the AMSRS LinkedIn<br />
discussion group at http://www.linkedin.com/<br />
groupsmostPopular=&gid=2205881<br />
At the time of writing, there were about 500<br />
members following the AMSRS discussion group<br />
on LinkedIn (while about one in six were actively<br />
participating – a percentage the Society would<br />
like to increase).<br />
We want high quality discussions and depth<br />
of member engagement - but we do want to<br />
have ‘critical mass’ in terms of sufficient numbers,<br />
a broad cross-section of the Australian<br />
<strong>research</strong> community, and all those regarded as<br />
‘key stakeholders’ involved whenever a topic is<br />
being discussed. <br />
Encourage your colleagues, clients and<br />
<strong>research</strong>er friends to join the group. If you go to<br />
the top right of the main group page, you can click<br />
on ‘Invite others’ and send invitations out direct<br />
to others you are connected with on LinkedIn<br />
who you think would be interested in joining the<br />
AMSRS Group.<br />
Other things you can do to help are: <br />
• Add a message on your status update saying<br />
something like ‘AMSRS LinkedIn Group<br />
nearing xxx members. Please join and<br />
spread the word.’<br />
• Send out a tweet and/or re-tweet others’<br />
messages of encouragement to join <br />
• Add a post on the AMSRS LinkedIn group<br />
board or click ‘like’ for discussions you like<br />
and want to follow so this flags up the existence<br />
of the group to your LinkedIn contacts. <br />
Also check out:<br />
• The AMSRS page on Facebook at www.face-<br />
book.com/pages/AMSRS-The-Australian-<br />
Market-and-Social-Research-Society/<br />
• The Society on Twitter at www.twitter.com/<br />
amsrs_au<br />
• Research News at www.twitter.com/<br />
<strong>research</strong>newsmag<br />
Research News March 2011 29
PDP CALENDAR<br />
PDP<br />
The Society wishes to thank ORC International, the major sponsor<br />
of the 2010-2011 Professional Development Program (PDP)<br />
TAKE THE BULL BY THE HORNS<br />
Fundamentals of<br />
qualitative <strong>research</strong><br />
VIC: 8 March 2011<br />
NSW: 15 March 2011<br />
Cost: $462 AMSRS members, $660 nonmembers<br />
This course provides an overview of qualitative<br />
<strong>research</strong>. Content includes the logistics involved<br />
in running a qualitative project, the main types of<br />
qualitative data collection, the role of the moderator<br />
and how to create the right environment for<br />
respondents, different ways of eliciting a deeper<br />
consumer response and the process of analysis<br />
and report writing for qualitative <strong>research</strong>.<br />
Designed for those who are new to qualitative<br />
<strong>research</strong> – on the buyer or supplier side.<br />
Effective <strong>research</strong> buying<br />
ACT: 16 March 2011<br />
Cost: $462 AMSRS members, $660 nonmembers<br />
This course is aimed at those on the buyer side<br />
of the industry, specifically current and aspiring<br />
market and social <strong>research</strong>, information<br />
and communication managers and government<br />
officers involved in the preparation of programs<br />
and implementation of policies. Speakers will<br />
be from both the public and private sectors.<br />
On completion of the course, participants will<br />
have a good understanding of why market and<br />
social <strong>research</strong> is valuable to an organisation,<br />
defining <strong>research</strong> requirements and preparing<br />
a brief, managing a major <strong>research</strong> project, the<br />
relationship with the supplier and going beyond<br />
the report to getting the results heard. Course<br />
presenters are professional practising market<br />
<strong>research</strong> managers and buyers who are able<br />
to provide unique, ‘real world’ insights in their<br />
areas of expertise.<br />
Webinar – How to incorporate<br />
social media into your business<br />
NATIONAL: 5 April 2011<br />
NSW, VIC, ACT, TAS: 3.30pm – 4.30pm<br />
QLD: 3.30pm – 4.30pm<br />
SA: 3pm – 4pm<br />
NT: 3pm – 4pm<br />
WA: 1.30pm – 2.30pm<br />
Cost: $55 AMSRS members; $77 non-members<br />
With the mass adoption of social media and online<br />
networking tools such as Linkedin, Facebook<br />
and Twitter, there is an opportunity for agencies<br />
to learn more about - and connect directly with -<br />
their most valuable asset base – their customers.<br />
This webinar, with Prashant Hari, discusses how<br />
an agency of any size can establish an online<br />
presence that generates awareness, inquiries<br />
and leads using key social media platforms.<br />
QPMR recognition: 5 points<br />
Statistics today<br />
QLD: 6 April 2011<br />
Cost: $462 AMSRS members; $638 nonmembers<br />
Critical to the successful application of statistics<br />
in business is the need to clearly identify which<br />
analytical approach is best suited to addressing<br />
the need and to provide business insight founded<br />
on the analytical outcomes. The objective of this<br />
course is therefore about making the right choice<br />
of statistical techniques and then drawing the<br />
best inferences from the output. Course leader<br />
is Gerrie Roberts from Monash University &<br />
Roberts Research Group<br />
QPMR recognition: 30 points<br />
Presentation and influencing<br />
skills<br />
NSW: 13 April 2011<br />
VIC: 12 April 2011<br />
Cost: $550 AMSRS members; $770 nonmembers<br />
This is an intensive one-day workshop, limited<br />
to10 participants. Conducted by Belinda Giblin,<br />
a well-known corporate trainer, presenter and<br />
actor, this workshop deals with structuring a<br />
presentation and delivering it for maximum impact.<br />
Impromptu presentations are also covered.<br />
This is hands-on and each participant will receive<br />
personalised tuition.<br />
QPMR recognition: 30 points<br />
For full course information and to register visit: www.amsrs.com.au<br />
NOTE: ALL PRICES INCLUDE GST<br />
For full program, times, and sponsorship<br />
opportunities, please visit www.amsrs.com.au<br />
The WA State Conference<br />
Platinum Sponsor:<br />
30 Research News March 2011
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NWC Opinion Research is changing its name to ORC International.<br />
This change recognises the combined size, strength and diversity of the global ORC International<br />
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