Prof. Keiichi Ishihara, Kyoto University, Japan - The Joint Graduate ...
Prof. Keiichi Ishihara, Kyoto University, Japan - The Joint Graduate ...
Prof. Keiichi Ishihara, Kyoto University, Japan - The Joint Graduate ...
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Some scenarios of electricity mix<br />
<strong>Keiichi</strong> <strong>Ishihara</strong><br />
<strong>Graduate</strong> School of Energy Science<br />
<strong>Kyoto</strong> <strong>University</strong>, <strong>Japan</strong>
<strong>Japan</strong>ese Energy Policy<br />
• Three main factors, safety of NPP, energy<br />
security (sustainable supply), and climate<br />
security by GHG emission should be taken into<br />
account.<br />
• What energy mix can satisfy those three<br />
issues<br />
2
14<br />
12<br />
10<br />
8<br />
6<br />
4<br />
2<br />
0<br />
Nuclear Power Scenarios<br />
Install Capacity Increase of NP in <strong>Japan</strong> (GWe)<br />
History<br />
Plan<br />
1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025<br />
S1<br />
S2<br />
S3<br />
Negative<br />
Conservative<br />
Active pursuit<br />
PV:100GWe<br />
Wind:50GWe<br />
3
Result: Electricity Mix (Maximizing RE)<br />
Nuclear (GWe)<br />
S1 14.3<br />
S2 50.4<br />
S3 60.8<br />
4<br />
Energy Saving<br />
D1 0%<br />
D2 15%<br />
D3 30%
Costs and CO2 emissions<br />
Cost (yen/kWh)<br />
12<br />
10<br />
8<br />
6<br />
S2D3 S2D2<br />
S3D3<br />
S3D2<br />
S1D3<br />
S3D1<br />
S2D1<br />
S1D2<br />
S1D1<br />
No NPP nor EE<br />
4<br />
NPP+EE<br />
NPP or EE<br />
2010<br />
Level<br />
2<br />
0<br />
0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400<br />
CO 2 排 出 量 ( g/kWh)<br />
NPP (GWe) EE<br />
S1 14.3 D1 0%<br />
S2 50.4 D2 15%<br />
S3 60.8 D3 30%<br />
Page 5
Acknowledgement<br />
• Dr. Zhang Qi<br />
• <strong>Prof</strong>. Tetsuo Tezuka<br />
• <strong>Prof</strong>. Satoshi Konishi<br />
• <strong>Prof</strong>. Hironobu Unesaki
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