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Global Iron Ore Supply<br />

• Currently supply barely meets demand<br />

• Continued very tight supply over the next few years<br />

• ”Swing producers” in China operating at 120–140 USD/tonne<br />

(62% Fe equivalent)<br />

• Large expansion projects primarily in Australia, South America and Africa<br />

of which the “Big three” (Vale, BHP Billiton and Rio Tinto) plus FMG account<br />

for the lion’s share<br />

• Great difficulties to meet project timelines due to environmental permitting<br />

issues (Brazil), bottlenecks in logistics solutions (globally) and political<br />

instability (West Africa)<br />

• Exports from India to diminish due to high costs and increasing domestic<br />

demand<br />

Sources: Industry Sources (e.g. SBB, RMG, AME)<br />

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