15.01.2015 Views

Current results and problems analysing road pricing policies - MATSim

Current results and problems analysing road pricing policies - MATSim

Current results and problems analysing road pricing policies - MATSim

SHOW MORE
SHOW LESS

Create successful ePaper yourself

Turn your PDF publications into a flip-book with our unique Google optimized e-Paper software.

On the analysis of multi-agent transport<br />

simulations: <strong>Current</strong> <strong>results</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>problems</strong><br />

<strong>analysing</strong> <strong>road</strong> <strong>pricing</strong> <strong>policies</strong><br />

Dominik Grether<br />

www.matsim.org<br />

Transport Systems Planning <strong>and</strong> Transport Telematics<br />

Technical University Berlin<br />

09.09.2008<br />

Dominik Grether (TU Berlin) On the analysis of <strong>MATSim</strong> 09.09.2008 1 / 22


Introduction<br />

What we intended to do<br />

• Simulation of time–dependent <strong>road</strong>–<strong>pricing</strong> <strong>policies</strong><br />

• Analysis:<br />

• Car– <strong>and</strong> non–car traffic<br />

• Benefits of system<br />

• Winner / Loser<br />

• Speed up computation by “better” initial plans<br />

Dominik Grether (TU Berlin) On the analysis of <strong>MATSim</strong> 09.09.2008 2 / 22


Outline<br />

• <strong>Current</strong> <strong>road</strong>–<strong>pricing</strong> resuts<br />

• Problems on analysis<br />

• Initial plans<br />

Dominik Grether (TU Berlin) On the analysis of <strong>MATSim</strong> 09.09.2008 3 / 22


Scenario Zurich, Switzerl<strong>and</strong><br />

Dominik Grether (TU Berlin) On the analysis of <strong>MATSim</strong> 09.09.2008 4 / 22


Agents on Route<br />

Dominik Grether (TU Berlin) On the analysis of <strong>MATSim</strong> 09.09.2008 5 / 22


Average Speed<br />

Dominik Grether (TU Berlin) On the analysis of <strong>MATSim</strong> 09.09.2008 6 / 22


Winner / Loser<br />

Dominik Grether (TU Berlin) On the analysis of <strong>MATSim</strong> 09.09.2008 7 / 22


Mode Reactions<br />

Dominik Grether (TU Berlin) On the analysis of <strong>MATSim</strong> 09.09.2008 8 / 22


Mode Reactions No Toll<br />

Dominik Grether (TU Berlin) On the analysis of <strong>MATSim</strong> 09.09.2008 9 / 22


Mode Reactions Comparision<br />

Dominik Grether (TU Berlin) On the analysis of <strong>MATSim</strong> 09.09.2008 10 / 22


Relative Traffic Deviation<br />

Dominik Grether (TU Berlin) On the analysis of <strong>MATSim</strong> 09.09.2008 11 / 22


Benefits<br />

Dominik Grether (TU Berlin) On the analysis of <strong>MATSim</strong> 09.09.2008 12 / 22


Daganzo’s Theory of Multiple Equilibria<br />

Introduction<br />

Daganzo, C. (1998), Queue spillovers in transportation networks with a<br />

route choice. Transportation Science 32(1): 3–11:<br />

1 DTA problem in dynamic network: Increased capacity of a link can<br />

lead to oversaturation<br />

2 Over- <strong>and</strong> Undersaturated states in static network<br />

3 Initial conditions <strong>and</strong> temporary perturbations (endogenous <strong>and</strong><br />

exogenous) which can lead to 2<br />

Dominik Grether (TU Berlin) On the analysis of <strong>MATSim</strong> 09.09.2008 13 / 22


Physical Queues & Transitions toward a Final Static<br />

State<br />

Variables<br />

• Q total flow<br />

• q i flow on link i<br />

• τ i freespeed tt on link i<br />

• c i capacity of link i<br />

• n i number of vehicles on link i<br />

• ˆn i storage capacity of link i<br />

• t i travel time in equilibrium on link i<br />

Dominik Grether (TU Berlin) On the analysis of <strong>MATSim</strong> 09.09.2008 14 / 22


Daganzo’s Theory of Multiple Equilibria<br />

Network & Model<br />

• Link 2 shorter than Link 1 but has<br />

bottleneck with capacity c 2<br />

⇒ τ 2 < τ 1<br />

• No flow limitation on Link 1<br />

⇒ Traveltime is constant τ 1<br />

• Wardropian model of driver behavior<br />

⇒ Number of vehicles on link 2 n 2<br />

determined by capacity of link 2 c 2<br />

<strong>and</strong> freespeed travel time on link 1 τ 1 :<br />

n 2 = τ 1 c 2<br />

Dominik Grether (TU Berlin) On the analysis of <strong>MATSim</strong> 09.09.2008 15 / 22


Daganzo’s Theory of Multiple Equilibria<br />

Oversaturated Equilibrium<br />

• Link 2 has a storage capacity of ˆn 2<br />

• Spillback emerges if c 2 > c 2crit = ˆn 2 /τ 1<br />

<strong>and</strong> traffic inflow greater than the<br />

bottleneck capacity ⇒ τ 1 > ˆn 2 /c 2<br />

⇒ No traffic on Link 1<br />

⇒ System oversaturated<br />

Dominik Grether (TU Berlin) On the analysis of <strong>MATSim</strong> 09.09.2008 16 / 22


Daganzo’s Theory of Multiple Equilibria<br />

Undersaturated Equilibrium<br />

• Undersaturated Equilibrium exisits if<br />

c 2crit τ 1 ≤ ˆn 2<br />

• As n 2 = τ 1 c 2<br />

⇒ q 2 = c 2<br />

⇒ q 1 = Q − c 2 ,<br />

⇒ t 1 = t 2 = τ 1<br />

Dominik Grether (TU Berlin) On the analysis of <strong>MATSim</strong> 09.09.2008 17 / 22


Daganzo’s Theory of Multiple Equilibria<br />

Static network<br />

• Traffic on link 2 has to yield right of<br />

way<br />

⇒ c 2 nonincreasing function of q 1 :<br />

c 2 = c 2 (q 1 )<br />

• Oversaturated state: Q > c 2 (0) > c 2crit<br />

• Undersaturated state:<br />

q 2 > c 2 (q 1 ) < c 2crit<br />

Dominik Grether (TU Berlin) On the analysis of <strong>MATSim</strong> 09.09.2008 18 / 22


Occurrence in <strong>MATSim</strong><br />

Importance of initial plans<br />

• Multiple equilibria in <strong>MATSim</strong><br />

• How to choose initial plans<br />

• Need of a simple test–network<br />

⇒ Daganzo’s theory in the <strong>MATSim</strong> model<br />

• Problem: No right of way, no adaptive traffic lights<br />

• But: Multiple equilibria occur anyway<br />

Dominik Grether (TU Berlin) On the analysis of <strong>MATSim</strong> 09.09.2008 19 / 22


Daganzo’s theory in the <strong>MATSim</strong> Model<br />

Network & Model<br />

Dominik Grether (TU Berlin) On the analysis of <strong>MATSim</strong> 09.09.2008 20 / 22


<strong>MATSim</strong> network<br />

Network with multiple equilibria<br />

Show demo...<br />

Dominik Grether (TU Berlin) On the analysis of <strong>MATSim</strong> 09.09.2008 21 / 22


Summary<br />

• Need for better run management<br />

• Need for better analysis methods<br />

• Need for more methodology before growing too fast<br />

Dominik Grether (TU Berlin) On the analysis of <strong>MATSim</strong> 09.09.2008 22 / 22

Hooray! Your file is uploaded and ready to be published.

Saved successfully!

Ooh no, something went wrong!