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Report on the remanufacturing of refrigerated display cabinets

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©Centre for Remanufacturing & Reuse 2009<br />

The reliability and lifetime <strong>of</strong> high quality (UK manufactured) RDCs has<br />

been increasing since 1998 due to changes in technology. Although we<br />

estimate that <strong>the</strong> replacement level <strong>of</strong> stock will c<strong>on</strong>tinue at <strong>the</strong> level <strong>of</strong><br />

20% it is more likely that with increased lifetime and a gradual slow down<br />

in <strong>the</strong> growth <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> RDC market <strong>the</strong> level <strong>of</strong> replacement will fall from a<br />

level <strong>of</strong> 15% in 2008 to 10% in 2015.<br />

The increase in <strong>the</strong> number <strong>of</strong> remote RDCs in use is likely to slow in <strong>the</strong><br />

coming years and, after 2015, <strong>the</strong> number <strong>of</strong> units in use will remain<br />

c<strong>on</strong>stant i.e. <strong>the</strong> market for new <strong>cabinets</strong>, after 2015 will be solely to<br />

replace EoL <strong>cabinets</strong>. We estimate that this scenario will result in a slow<br />

down in <strong>the</strong> increase in <strong>the</strong> number <strong>of</strong> RDCs in use from its present level<br />

<strong>of</strong> 7% per annum to approximately 2% per annum in 2015.<br />

The total stock <strong>of</strong> integral RDCs is higher than that <strong>of</strong> remote RDCs but<br />

<strong>the</strong>re should still be a slowing <strong>of</strong> growth over <strong>the</strong> next 10 years. This<br />

growth will not diminish as much as for remote RDCs. The estimate is<br />

that this slowdown in growth will reflect in a decrease in <strong>the</strong> percentage <strong>of</strong><br />

new units from its current level <strong>of</strong> 6% per annum to approximately 4% per<br />

annum in 2015.<br />

Using <strong>the</strong>se assumpti<strong>on</strong>s gives us <strong>the</strong> following overview <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> RDC market<br />

(Table 3.2, Figure 3.1 and Figure 3.2):<br />

Year<br />

Table 3.2: Estimated market for Total RDCs 1999-2015<br />

Total<br />

stock<br />

(units)<br />

Estimated old<br />

stock to be<br />

renewed or<br />

refurbished<br />

(units)<br />

Stock<br />

refurbished<br />

each year<br />

(units)<br />

New stock<br />

purchased to<br />

replace old<br />

stock<br />

(units)<br />

Additi<strong>on</strong>al<br />

new units to<br />

increase<br />

capacity<br />

(units)<br />

1999 360,590 69,071 6,907 62,164 23,590<br />

2000 385,831 73,906 7,391 66,515 25,241<br />

2001 412,839 79,079 6,326 72,753 27,008<br />

2002 441,738 84,614 6,769 77,845 28,899<br />

2003 472,660 90,537 7,243 83,294 30,922<br />

2004 505,746 96,875 7,750 89,125 33,086<br />

2005 537,882 103,656 6,219 97,437 32,136<br />

2006 568,238 98,543 9,854 88,689 30,357<br />

2007 598,309 86,443 8,644 77,799 30,070<br />

2008 630,023 91,002 10,920 80,082 31,714<br />

2009e 663,472 95,809 11,497 84,312 33,449<br />

2010e 692,119 100,539 12,065 88,474 28,647<br />

2011e 722,063 83,893 10,067 73,826 29,944<br />

2012e 753,364 87,512 10,501 77,010 31,301<br />

2013e 778,553 75,831 9,100 66,731 25,189<br />

2014e 804,650 78,360 11,754 66,606 26,097<br />

2015e 831,690 80,980 12,147 68,833 27,040<br />

Page 22 <strong>of</strong> 38

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