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Short Articles (PDF) - Excellence in Financial Management

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The follow<strong>in</strong>g guidel<strong>in</strong>e is used to score an organization:<br />

If the Z Score is 1.8 or less, very high probability of bankruptcy.<br />

If the Z Score is 1.81 to 2.99, not sure about bankruptcy.<br />

If the Z Score is 3.0 or higher, bankruptcy is unlikely.<br />

Example: Total Assets = $ 1,000, Reta<strong>in</strong>ed Earn<strong>in</strong>gs = $ 400, Earn<strong>in</strong>gs Before<br />

Interest Taxes = $ 50, Sales = $ 1,500, Market Value of Stock = $ 600, Book Value of<br />

Debt = $ 700, Work<strong>in</strong>g Capital = $ 100.<br />

1.2 x ( $ 100 / $ 1,000) = .120<br />

1.4 x ( $ 400 / $ 1,000) = .560<br />

3.3 x ( $ 50 / $ 1,000) = .165<br />

.6 x ( $ 600 / $ 700 ) = .514<br />

.999 x ( $ 1,500 / $ 1,000) = 1.499<br />

Total Z Score = 2.86 Not Sure<br />

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