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Active versus Passive Management of International Mutual Funds ...

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6<br />

Risk adjusted return. The fund’s yearly return adjusted for the risk undertaken by the<br />

fund manager is the risk adjusted return [73].<br />

Summary<br />

The introduction provided the background and history <strong>of</strong> the problem associated with<br />

active <strong>versus</strong> passive management. The justification for the study and the research question were<br />

identified. The next section, the literature review, will provide the support for the research<br />

question <strong>of</strong> the study and will lead to the development <strong>of</strong> the hypotheses that will be addressed.<br />

LITERATURE REVIEW<br />

The literature review will encompass the studies and findings <strong>of</strong> various financial authors<br />

predominantly from 1964 to the present. The information will be provided in chronological<br />

order.<br />

Keynes [56] acknowledged that our decisions are based on the state <strong>of</strong> long-term<br />

expectation which includes not only our assessment <strong>of</strong> the probability <strong>of</strong> occurrence but our level<br />

<strong>of</strong> confidence the desire outcome will be achieved. If our confidence level is high, then we will<br />

be more likely to invest in a particular security. His belief was that the investor must select the<br />

security that everyone else desires. This selection will lead to an increase in value <strong>of</strong> the<br />

underlying asset as other investors will desire to obtain the same asset. This process <strong>of</strong> selection<br />

<strong>of</strong> the optimal security created the need for investment analysis and portfolio management [56].<br />

The first major break through in portfolio management was the identification <strong>of</strong> MPT by<br />

Markowitz in 1952. Markowitz believed investors would seek maximum returns through<br />

maximizing expected returns with acceptable levels <strong>of</strong> variances <strong>of</strong> these returns based on their<br />

utility. He believed in diversification across industries with different economic conditions to<br />

achieve this end [63]. The Markowitz model is based on the following assumptions <strong>of</strong> investor<br />

behavior [63]:<br />

1. Investments are considered based on the probability <strong>of</strong> expected returns while being<br />

held.<br />

2. Investors desire to maximize utility during the time the investment is held.<br />

3. Risk is estimated based on the variability <strong>of</strong> expected returns.<br />

4. Utility curves are a function <strong>of</strong> expected returns and variance.<br />

5. Investors prefer higher returns for a given level <strong>of</strong> risk and they prefer less risk instead<br />

<strong>of</strong> more risk.<br />

Tobin [81] identified a weakness in the Markowitz model. Tobin showed the risk <strong>of</strong><br />

portfolio could be reduced by holding cash or cash equivalents. The rationale to hold such<br />

instruments was to maintain transactional balances and investment balances. As interest rates<br />

increased the propensity to hold cash balances increased. Portfolios would be constructed based<br />

on investors’ risk tolerance using varying combinations <strong>of</strong> securities and risk free assets [81].<br />

Sharpe [77] extended the work <strong>of</strong> the Markowitz model by analyzing the future<br />

performance <strong>of</strong> securities to determine an efficient set <strong>of</strong> portfolios using the computer. This<br />

work further identified that diversification will allow the investor to eliminate all <strong>of</strong> the risk<br />

except economic activity cycles [76]. The study marked the development <strong>of</strong> the Capital Market<br />

Theory for which Sharpe won the Nobel Prize. The risk-free asset would provide the risk-free<br />

rate <strong>of</strong> return that would serve as the foundation for the expected rate <strong>of</strong> return. The capital<br />

market line delineates the highest level <strong>of</strong> expected return in excess <strong>of</strong> the risk free rate per unit<br />

<strong>of</strong> risk for any available portfolio <strong>of</strong> risky assets [68].

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