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Active versus Passive Management of International Mutual Funds ...

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Efficient market hypothesis<br />

In 1970, Fama published the EMH theory. The theory is concerned with whether or not<br />

stock prices fully reflect all available information. The weak form <strong>of</strong> the EMH theory tests<br />

historical information and is fairly well supported. The semi-strong form tests all publicly<br />

available information. The strong-form tests whether or not advantages can be gained by<br />

insiders. As stated earlier, the weak form is fairly well supported, as is the semi-strong form.<br />

Support for the strong-form is not as well documented [35]. If one believes in the EMH, then one<br />

would believe that mutual fund managers cannot beat the market, and should therefore invest in a<br />

passive index.<br />

Treynor and Black [83] contributed to the debate regarding ownership <strong>of</strong> the index or<br />

seeking active management. Their question was whether or not a manager should balance<br />

underpriced long securities positions and underpriced short securities positions or should the<br />

portfolio be diversified until only market risk remains. In their model, they assume that security<br />

analysis can improve the performance <strong>of</strong> the portfolio. They conclude that it is useful to<br />

rebalance a portfolio. A portfolio consists <strong>of</strong> three parts: a riskless part, a diversified part, and an<br />

active part. The active part will depend upon security analysis and be independent <strong>of</strong> the active<br />

index [83].<br />

Origin <strong>of</strong> index funds<br />

Samuelson [70] restated that most money managers would not outperform the market. If<br />

they do, their returns are reduced by the transaction costs making it more appropriate to hold a<br />

specifically weighted segment <strong>of</strong> the market. The thinking, therefore, was to emulate the market<br />

with an index fund [70].<br />

Ellis [30] reiterated the call <strong>of</strong> Samuelson [70] to form index funds, as he could not find a<br />

group <strong>of</strong> managers that would consistently beat the market. Since individuals continue to believe<br />

they can beat the market, active management will continue as a concept <strong>of</strong> one’s self-esteem and<br />

self-worth. He termed investing in the market a “Loser’s Game,” as the more you tried to win the<br />

better chance you had to lose. He did not state that the evidence led to a passive or index fund,<br />

but the null hypothesis was hard to disprove [30]. Bogle took the challenge and started the first<br />

index fund in 1975, called the Vanguard 500 index trust. The fund started with $11 million under<br />

management and by 1995 reached $18 billion [19].<br />

Transaction costs and benchmark measures<br />

Ambachtsheer and Farrell [3] found that successful active management is not dependent<br />

on any specific valuation method. They found that successful active management is dependent<br />

on the ability to make judgments with predictive content that can be placed into unbiased<br />

valuations. The managers must then deal with the transaction costs and risk control. The use <strong>of</strong><br />

computers in providing the processing needs was essential [3].<br />

Lehmann and Modest [59] argued that it was necessary to have a benchmark for normal<br />

performance. The usual proxy for the market portfolio was the Capital Asset Pricing Model<br />

benchmarks. In their research they utilized the Arbitrage Pricing Model. The study examined 130<br />

mutual funds from January 1968 through December 1982, finding considerable differences<br />

between the performance measures given by the Capital Asset Pricing Model and Arbitrage<br />

Pricing Model benchmarks. The importance <strong>of</strong> the study indicated that knowing the benchmark<br />

was critical when comparing mutual fund performance [59].<br />

Essayyad and Wu [32] conducted a study that compared the performance <strong>of</strong> 18<br />

international mutual funds as identified in Wiesenberger Investment Company Services. Their<br />

study addressed the period from January 1, 1977 to June 30, 1984. Previous studies incorporated<br />

8

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