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Foreign Trade Sector: Aggregate Position • Total Exports in 2005-06 and 2006-07 close to US $ 16 billion and in 2007-08 US $ 20.1 billion; July-April 07-08 US$ 16.4 b and July-April 08-09 US $ 16 b. • Total Imports two years ago US $27 billion, in 2007-08 around US $ 35 billion, July-April 07-08 US$ 28.7 b and July-April 08-09 US $ 26.7 b. • Resultantly the trade balance and CAD that worsened have improved slightly (8.5% from 10.1% and 5.1% from 6.7%, respectively) • Previously foreign flows in the shape of portfolio investment and FDI rescued the economy, in 2007-08 draw down on reserves also. 86
Export Side • Narrow concentration: Nearly 73% of total exports during July-April 2007-08 related to five commodity-groups: 53% cotton manufacturers, 6.1% leather products, 7.1% rice, 2.9% synthetic textile, and 1.6% sports goods • Within cotton-group five commodities had 80% share: cotton yarn 13%, cotton cloth 18%, Knitwear 17%, Bed wear 18%, and RM Garments 14%. • There is no substantial change in this composition over the last ten years. • The destination of exports have also remained few without major changes. 87
Page 1 and 2:
ASIM MAJID KHAN Chief Instructor, N
Page 3 and 4:
Additions to GDP - Various Periods
Page 5 and 6:
• LICENCING SYSTEM, OFFICIAL EXCH
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• GREEN REVOLUTION SEEDS, FERTILI
Page 9 and 10:
Bhutto and Socialism 1971--77 • G
Page 11 and 12:
ZIA 1977 -- 1988 • GDP GROWTH 6%
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THE LOST DECADE 1989--1999 • GDP
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Macroeconomic Performance in Pakist
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1999-2007 MAJOR ECONOMIC REFORMS 17
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Investment rate started declining a
Page 21 and 22:
Yearly Changes in Net Credit to The
Page 23 and 24:
The country remained vulnerable to
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Development Spending (Billion $) 3.
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Installed capacity (MW) 27
Page 29 and 30:
Recent economic downturn 29
Page 31 and 32:
Oil Import Bill ($ Billion) -12.0 3
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Foreign Investment (US $ million) F
Page 35 and 36: Debt servicing (Rs millions) 35
Page 37 and 38: PUBLIC DEBT (As % of GDP) 60.0 37
Page 39 and 40: Progress is Reflected in the Rating
Page 41 and 42: SUMMARY OF FEDERAL BUDGETARY POSITI
Page 43 and 44: o Indirect Taxes Stamp Duty Motor
Page 45 and 46: Growth in Fiscal Sector Variables (
Page 47 and 48: Structure of Federal Taxes Year FBR
Page 49 and 50: Relatively Recent Macroeconomic Per
Page 51 and 52: REVENUE, EXPENDITURE AND DEFICIT SI
Page 53 and 54: Challenges After a period of reaso
Page 55 and 56: Macroeconomic Challenges Growth De
Page 57 and 58: Measures to Regain Macroeconomic St
Page 59 and 60: Source: World Bank 59 59
Page 61 and 62: Pakistan is assured of a Demographi
Page 63 and 64: Emergence of a strong middle class
Page 65 and 66: Per Capita Income ($) 65
Page 67 and 68: Workers’ Remittances ($ Million)
Page 69 and 70: • Pillar IV: Financial Sector Dee
Page 71 and 72: • Eliminate subsidies • Ensure
Page 73 and 74: FISCAL CHALLENGES 73
Page 75 and 76: Structure of Expenditure (% Share)
Page 77 and 78: Structure of Current Expenditure (%
Page 79 and 80: Revenue collection lacks vigor; Ex
Page 81 and 82: Medium Term Challenges (Cont…) -
Page 83 and 84: Pressing Macroeconomic Issues • H
Page 85: REVENUE GENERATION AND ITS CHALLENG
Page 89: TRADE BREAKUP World vs Pakistan-200
Page 95 and 96: Collection Collection Growth Growth
Page 97: Tax Heads Q1: 10-11 Q1: 09-10 Growt
Page 100 and 101: 100
Page 102 and 103: July - September No of No of Filers
Page 104 and 105: PCT Description CD Collection July-
Page 106 and 107: DOMESTIC CHALLENGES 106
Page 108 and 109: • Pakistan has extreme poverty co
Page 110 and 111: INVESTMENT CHALLENGES AND BUSINESS
Page 112 and 113: • Low participation of women in e
Page 114 and 115: Policy Roadmap For The Next Five Ye
Page 116 and 117: • Youth has to be facilitated on
Page 118 and 119: • Water resources and energy reso
Page 120 and 121: All new projects as well as old ind
Page 122 and 123: Development needs should be shifted
Page 124 and 125: • New laws to be enacted based on
Page 126 and 127: PUBLIC Enterprise Reform and Privat
Page 128 and 129: • Improved and wider markets for
Page 130 and 131: Economic vision should include 1. F
Page 132 and 133: Second generation reforms Strengthe
Page 134 and 135: System
Page 136 and 137:
Why Institutional is more imp than
Page 138 and 139:
The Accountability Framework
Page 140 and 141:
Movement And Performance
Page 142 and 143:
Indicators
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IN A NUTSHELL… VISION SKILLS MOTI
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Thankyou 146
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