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Final Report of the Evaluation of the Pupil Learning Credits Pilot ...

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10<br />

As part <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> evaluation <strong>of</strong> Excellence in Cities, national value-added data linking<br />

Key Stage 3 (KS3) and Key Stage 4 (KS4) results in 2003 to prior attainment and<br />

information from <strong>the</strong> <strong>Pupil</strong> Level Annual School Census (PLASC) were modelled 13<br />

in order to assess <strong>the</strong> possible impact <strong>of</strong> EiC on pupils’ progress during Key Stage 3<br />

and Key Stage 4. Given that <strong>the</strong> PLC pilot scheme targeted additional resources on<br />

particular schools that were also part <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Excellence in Cities Policy, statistical<br />

analyses were undertaken in order to establish any associations between <strong>the</strong> PLC pilot<br />

scheme and various attainment outcomes, having controlled for o<strong>the</strong>r variables.<br />

Economic evaluation<br />

The economic evaluation involved analyses <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> effect <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> PLC pilot scheme on<br />

pupil attainment and school attendance. It uses a ‘difference-in-differences’ approach<br />

that compares PLC and comparison group schools before and after <strong>the</strong> pilot scheme<br />

(i.e., outcomes for 2003 relative to 2001), whilst controlling for changes in a set <strong>of</strong><br />

background variables known to be associated with attainment. Two comparison<br />

groups are used, non-PLC schools in areas designated as EiC Phase 1 and non-PLC<br />

schools in areas designated as EiC Phase 1 or Phase 2. A cost-benefit analysis is also<br />

presented which considers <strong>the</strong> possible impact <strong>of</strong> any increase in attainment resulting<br />

from <strong>the</strong> PLC pilot scheme on subsequent labour market earnings.<br />

13<br />

This modelling was carried out by Ian Schagen at NFER and we are grateful to him for allowing us<br />

to present extracts from his analysis in this report.

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