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Statistical Estimation and Tracking of Refractivity from Radar Clutter

Statistical Estimation and Tracking of Refractivity from Radar Clutter

Statistical Estimation and Tracking of Refractivity from Radar Clutter

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2.3.3 Final Sampling Phase <strong>and</strong> Convergence . . . . . . . . . . . . 42<br />

2.3.4 Post-Processing . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 44<br />

2.4 Examples . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 44<br />

2.4.1 Algorithm Validation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 44<br />

2.4.2 Wallops Isl<strong>and</strong> Experiment . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 48<br />

2.5 Conclusion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 55<br />

2.6 Acknowledgment . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 57<br />

Bibliography . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 60<br />

3 <strong>Statistical</strong> Maritime <strong>Radar</strong> Duct <strong>Estimation</strong> Using a Hybrid Genetic<br />

Algorithms – Markov Chain Monte Carlo Method . . . . . . . . . . . . 63<br />

3.1 Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 64<br />

3.2 Model Formulation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 66<br />

3.3 The Hybrid GA-MCMC Method . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 69<br />

3.3.1 Monte Carlo Integration <strong>and</strong> Genetic Algorithms . . . . . . . 69<br />

3.3.2 Voronoi Decomposition . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 70<br />

3.3.3 MCMC (Gibbs) Resampling . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 72<br />

3.4 Examples . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 74<br />

3.4.1 Synthetic Data . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 74<br />

3.4.2 Wallops’98 Data . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 82<br />

3.5 Conclusion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 90<br />

3.6 Acknowledgment . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 91<br />

Bibliography . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 93<br />

4 <strong>Tracking</strong> <strong>Refractivity</strong> From <strong>Clutter</strong> . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 96<br />

4.1 Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 97<br />

4.2 Theory . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 98<br />

4.2.1 Creation <strong>of</strong> the 2-D Modified <strong>Refractivity</strong> Pr<strong>of</strong>ile <strong>from</strong> State<br />

Variables . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 100<br />

4.2.2 State Equation – Environmental Model . . . . . . . . . . . . 101<br />

4.2.3 Measurement Equation – Propagation Model . . . . . . . . . 103<br />

4.3 <strong>Tracking</strong> Algorithms . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 105<br />

4.3.1 Extended Kalman Filter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 105<br />

4.3.2 Unscented Kalman Filter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 106<br />

4.3.3 Particle Filter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 108<br />

4.3.4 Posterior Cramér-Rao Lower Bound . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 109<br />

4.4 Examples . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 111<br />

4.4.1 Case Study I: Temporal <strong>Tracking</strong> <strong>of</strong> a Range-Independent<br />

Surface-Based Duct . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 111<br />

4.4.2 Case Study II: Divergence in Surface-Based Duct <strong>Tracking</strong> . . 116<br />

4.4.3 Case Study III: Range-Dependent Evaporation Duct <strong>Tracking</strong><br />

in Coastal Regions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 119<br />

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