December Quarter 2010 - Western Australian Planning Commission
December Quarter 2010 - Western Australian Planning Commission
December Quarter 2010 - Western Australian Planning Commission
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March 2011<br />
<strong>December</strong> <strong>Quarter</strong> <strong>2010</strong>
Department of <strong>Planning</strong> – <strong>December</strong> <strong>Quarter</strong> <strong>2010</strong><br />
CONTENTS<br />
<strong>December</strong> quarter <strong>2010</strong> contains:<br />
Data for Release date and<br />
period:<br />
comments<br />
Page<br />
SUMMARY AND KEY FACTS 1<br />
HOUSING ACTIVITY<br />
Housing Finance<br />
(Source: ABS)<br />
<strong>December</strong> <strong>2010</strong> 14 February 2011<br />
3<br />
Dwelling Units Approved<br />
(Source: ABS)<br />
Dwellings Under Construction<br />
(Source: ABS)<br />
LAND AND HOUSING SALES<br />
ACTIVITY<br />
Lots Sold and Prices<br />
(Source: VGO)<br />
Lot Median and Lower Quartile Sale<br />
Price<br />
(Source: VGO)<br />
Dwelling Sales and Prices<br />
(Source: VGO)<br />
Dwelling Median and Lower Quartile<br />
Sale Price<br />
(Source: VGO)<br />
RENTAL ACTIVITY<br />
Median Rent and Vacancy Rate<br />
(Source: REIWA)<br />
RESIDENTIAL SUBDIVISION<br />
ACTIVITY<br />
Applications received<br />
(Source: DoP)<br />
Applications & lots awaiting decision<br />
(Source: DoP)<br />
Conditional Approvals<br />
(Source: DoP)<br />
Developers' stock of current<br />
conditional approvals<br />
(Source: DoP)<br />
Active Lots<br />
(Source: WaterCorporation)<br />
Final Approvals<br />
(Source: DoP)<br />
Prepared by Research, Department of <strong>Planning</strong><br />
Email: research@planning.wa.gov.au<br />
<strong>December</strong> Qtr<br />
<strong>2010</strong><br />
September Qtr<br />
<strong>2010</strong><br />
<strong>December</strong> Qtr<br />
<strong>2010</strong><br />
<strong>December</strong> Qtr<br />
<strong>2010</strong><br />
<strong>December</strong> Qtr<br />
<strong>2010</strong><br />
<strong>December</strong> Qtr<br />
<strong>2010</strong><br />
<strong>December</strong> Qtr<br />
<strong>2010</strong><br />
<strong>December</strong> Qtr<br />
<strong>2010</strong><br />
<strong>December</strong> Qtr<br />
<strong>2010</strong><br />
<strong>December</strong> Qtr<br />
<strong>2010</strong><br />
<strong>December</strong> Qtr<br />
<strong>2010</strong><br />
<strong>December</strong> Qtr<br />
<strong>2010</strong><br />
<strong>December</strong> Qtr<br />
<strong>2010</strong><br />
3 February 2011 4<br />
20 January 2011.<br />
<strong>December</strong> Qtr <strong>2010</strong><br />
expected release<br />
19 April 2011<br />
24 February 2011<br />
The contract date of sale<br />
event is after settlement<br />
8<br />
resulting in the recent<br />
quarters being incomplete<br />
and preliminary.<br />
9<br />
Revisions to this statistic<br />
will appear in subsequent<br />
issues, 10<br />
March 2011 11<br />
March 2011 12<br />
March 2011 14<br />
March 2011 15<br />
March 2011 16<br />
Customised monthly data 17<br />
March 2011 18<br />
6<br />
7<br />
i
Department of <strong>Planning</strong> – <strong>December</strong> <strong>Quarter</strong> <strong>2010</strong><br />
Metropolitan Perth and Peel (Mandurah, Murray)<br />
Land Development Flow<br />
Developers control<br />
flow by lodging<br />
applications to<br />
subdivide in response<br />
to market conditions.<br />
18,400ha stock of undeveloped<br />
Urban zoned land at end of 2009.<br />
Assuming historical consumption<br />
trends results in<br />
21 years of land supply.<br />
(Source: Urban Growth Monitor (DoP, August <strong>2010</strong>)<br />
1,472 lots in applications received<br />
during Dec Qtr <strong>2010</strong>.<br />
Is three times the urban<br />
developed area of Greater<br />
Bunbury.<br />
Is 20 percent of all land<br />
zoned urban in the Perth<br />
Metropolitan region.<br />
Is equivalent to the number of lots<br />
In the suburb of Yanchep<br />
392 more lots<br />
than the City of<br />
South Perth<br />
Stock of 10,688 lots in<br />
Applications under<br />
assessment<br />
Dec Qtr <strong>2010</strong><br />
5,128 lots given Conditional<br />
Approval during Dec Qtr <strong>2010</strong>.<br />
WAPC / DoP under<br />
statutory timeframes<br />
assess applications<br />
jointly with referral<br />
authorities<br />
Is the equivalent to the number of lots in the<br />
suburb of Duncraig.<br />
Developers in<br />
response to market<br />
conditions control<br />
flow by constructing<br />
lots in accordance<br />
with conditions<br />
Developers clear<br />
conditions and<br />
lodge a final<br />
diagram of survey<br />
with WAPC<br />
Stock of 51,358 conditionally<br />
approved lots for Developers<br />
to construct within 4 years<br />
in accordance with conditions<br />
as at <strong>December</strong> <strong>2010</strong>.<br />
11,400 lots were deemed as Active lots<br />
proceeding to construction where<br />
clearance of conditions were initiated<br />
with WaterCorporation, <strong>December</strong> <strong>2010</strong>.<br />
WAPC / DoP under statute<br />
grant Final Approval to lots<br />
constructed in accordance<br />
with conditions.<br />
Is almost the same as the<br />
whole of the City of Joondalup.<br />
Approximately equivalent to the<br />
number of lots in the<br />
City of Belmont<br />
3,298 lots given Final<br />
Approval during<br />
Dec Qtr <strong>2010</strong><br />
Approximately the same lot count as the suburb of Balga<br />
In response to market conditions<br />
Developer provides lots to market<br />
for sale and for housing construction.<br />
ii
Department of <strong>Planning</strong> – <strong>December</strong> <strong>Quarter</strong> <strong>2010</strong><br />
SUMMARY AND KEY FACTS<br />
Housing Market and the Economy<br />
The outlook for the <strong>Western</strong> <strong>Australian</strong> economy appears positive with the Chinese economy, a major<br />
driver of growth in the State, growing by approximately 10% per annum over <strong>2010</strong> 1 . Solid demand for<br />
minerals and other resources, mainly from China and India, will continue to be the key driver of growth<br />
and income in WA and Australia throughout <strong>2010</strong>-11 and at least for most of the next decade with a<br />
number of new mining projects such as the Gorgon gas project and BHP Billiton’s iron ore expansions<br />
going ahead. Consequently, employment in WA increased over the past year, with the seasonally<br />
adjusted unemployment rate remaining below 5% since the beginning of <strong>2010</strong> 2 .<br />
Although there has been some increase in dwelling approvals in 2009/10 over 2008/09, demand for<br />
housing remains subdued. The median dwelling price had a succession of increases from the<br />
<strong>December</strong> quarter 2008 until March quarter <strong>2010</strong> across the entire State. It has subsequently fallen in<br />
each quarter until the present time in the Metro/Peel 3 Region, with the remainder of the State also<br />
displaying a negative trend but with some stabilisation in the current quarter. The preliminary median<br />
price for the Perth/Peel Region in the <strong>December</strong> quarter <strong>2010</strong> is $475,000 while for Regional WA it is<br />
$380,000.<br />
In terms of land release over the previous financial year, final residential lot approvals decreased by<br />
about 900 lots to 8,371 lots in the Perth/Peel Region. Declines in final residential lot approvals in<br />
country regions were almost of the same magnitude (960) but relative decline was much higher, being<br />
27% over the previous financial year, 2008/09.<br />
The property market contracted in the last three years. Although some growth in residential<br />
construction is forecast for the next two years, the consequences of poor housing affordability<br />
(substantially reduced disposable income and consumption level of first homebuyers due to high<br />
housing costs) may become more manifest especially if accompanied by declining immigration levels.<br />
Housing Activity<br />
• The <strong>December</strong> quarter <strong>2010</strong> figure of 5,793 housing loans for owner-occupied dwellings in WA<br />
continues a small upward trend that has been occurring over the last six months but is still only<br />
consistent with loan numbers last seen in 2000.<br />
• Dwelling approval numbers rose slightly in the <strong>December</strong> quarters <strong>2010</strong> and totalled 5,503<br />
overall. When considering the components of this total, the number of approvals for houses<br />
dropped between the September (4,658) and <strong>December</strong> (4,427) quarter but approvals for other<br />
dwelling types rose from 812 to 1,076. Total approvals for Perth/Peel dropped from 4,202 to<br />
4,187 over the quarter but the rest of WA saw an increase from 1,268 to 1,316.<br />
• By the end of the September quarter <strong>2010</strong>, the number of dwellings under construction in<br />
WA had decreased by almost 400 to 18,493 over the end of June quarter which ended the<br />
upward trend experienced in the previous three quarters.<br />
1<br />
Source – Reserve Bank of Australia, Statement on Monetary Policy (February 2011).<br />
2<br />
Source – <strong>Australian</strong> Bureau of Statistics, Labour Force Australia (Cat 6202.0 February 2011).<br />
3 Metro/Peel Region is defined as the Perth Metropolitan Region and the local authorities of Mandurah and Murray.<br />
1
Department of <strong>Planning</strong> – <strong>December</strong> <strong>Quarter</strong> <strong>2010</strong><br />
Land and Housing Sales Activity<br />
• Lot Sales and Prices<br />
The <strong>December</strong> quarter <strong>2010</strong> continued the downward trend in the number of lot sales that<br />
started in <strong>December</strong> 2009. A total of 1,237 sales were made during the most recent quarter.<br />
Median lot prices in WA increased during the 2009/<strong>2010</strong> financial year with the preliminary<br />
median vacant lot sales price in the Metro/Peel Region and remainder of the State reported as<br />
$245,344 and $170,000, respectively, for the current quarter <strong>December</strong> <strong>2010</strong>.<br />
• Dwelling Sales and Prices<br />
Sales of established dwellings in WA have declined for five quarters in succession, with 7,238<br />
sales reported in the <strong>December</strong> quarter <strong>2010</strong>. The median dwelling price for the State<br />
($460,000, preliminary figure) is approximately equal to the figure reported for the <strong>December</strong><br />
quarter 2009.<br />
Rental Activity<br />
• The vacancy rate in Metropolitan Perth has tightened in the previous year, falling to 3.2% in the<br />
<strong>December</strong> quarter <strong>2010</strong> from 4.7% in the <strong>December</strong> quarter 2009.<br />
• Rents in Perth remained flat over the last year and the preliminary figure for the overall median<br />
weekly rent remained unchanged at $370.<br />
Residential Subdivision Activity<br />
• Applications Received<br />
Applications lodged across WA rose by 10 percent over the previous quarter to 658 applications<br />
during the <strong>December</strong> quarter <strong>2010</strong>. The <strong>December</strong> quarter also witnessed a 70% increase in<br />
the number of residential lots proposed in the State over the previous quarter, with the total<br />
number of lots equal to 8,971.<br />
• Applications and lots awaiting decision<br />
Total number of applications under assessment in WA at the end of the <strong>December</strong> quarter <strong>2010</strong><br />
was 617 – a 2.7% percent decrease on the previous quarter. The number of residential lots in<br />
applications under assessment across the State totalled 14,213 at the end of the <strong>December</strong><br />
quarter – this was 13 percent higher than the previous quarter.<br />
• Conditional Approvals<br />
Conditional approvals were granted to 6,962 residential lots in WA during the <strong>December</strong> quarter<br />
<strong>2010</strong>. Total conditional approvals were just above the five year average for the <strong>December</strong><br />
quarter and 7% lower than in the previous quarter.<br />
• Stock of Lots Available for Development<br />
By the end of the <strong>December</strong> quarter <strong>2010</strong>, the developer’s stock of conditionally approved<br />
residential lots totalled 76,816 – about 700 more than in the previous quarter.<br />
• Active Lots<br />
Based on Water Corporation data for the Metro/Peel Region, approximately 11,400 residential<br />
lots were considered as actively progressing to Final Approval in <strong>December</strong> <strong>2010</strong>. Country WA<br />
had 2,600 such lots.<br />
• Final Approvals<br />
3,298 lots were given final approval in Metro Perth/Peel in <strong>December</strong> <strong>2010</strong> quarter which was<br />
almost 1,000 more than in the previous quarter. In country areas approvals dropped marginally<br />
to 389.<br />
2
Department of <strong>Planning</strong> – <strong>December</strong> <strong>Quarter</strong> <strong>2010</strong><br />
HOUSING ACTIVITY<br />
Housing finance<br />
Figure 1<br />
Housing loans for owner-occupied dwellings, <strong>Western</strong> Australia, seasonally adjusted<br />
Scope<br />
Housing finance<br />
commitments made<br />
by significant<br />
lenders for the<br />
construction or<br />
purchase of owner<br />
occupied dwellings.<br />
Seasonally adjusted<br />
data<br />
Source<br />
Housing Finance,<br />
Australia, ABS Cat.<br />
No. 5609.0 Table 5.<br />
<strong>December</strong> <strong>2010</strong>.<br />
Number of housing<br />
finance commitments<br />
11,000<br />
10,000<br />
9,000<br />
8,000<br />
7,000<br />
6,000<br />
5,000<br />
4,000<br />
3,000<br />
2,000<br />
1,000<br />
0<br />
Dec-05<br />
Jan-06<br />
Feb-06<br />
Mar-06<br />
Apr-06<br />
May-06<br />
Jun-06<br />
Jul-06<br />
Aug-06<br />
Sep-06<br />
Oct-06<br />
Nov-06<br />
Dec-06<br />
Jan-07<br />
Feb-07<br />
Mar-07<br />
Apr-07<br />
May-07<br />
Jun-07<br />
Jul-07<br />
Aug-07<br />
Sep-07<br />
Oct-07<br />
Nov-07<br />
Dec-07<br />
Jan-08<br />
Feb-08<br />
Mar-08<br />
Apr-08<br />
May-08<br />
Jun-08<br />
Jul-08<br />
Aug-08<br />
Sep-08<br />
Oct-08<br />
Nov-08<br />
Dec-08<br />
Jan-09<br />
Feb-09<br />
Mar-09<br />
Apr-09<br />
May-09<br />
Jun-09<br />
Jul-09<br />
Aug-09<br />
Sep-09<br />
Oct-09<br />
Nov-09<br />
Dec-09<br />
Jan-10<br />
Feb-10<br />
Mar-10<br />
Apr-10<br />
May-10<br />
Jun-10<br />
Jul-10<br />
Aug-10<br />
Sep-10<br />
Oct-10<br />
Nov-10<br />
Dec-10<br />
Month<br />
Table 1<br />
Housing loans* for owner occupied dwellings – annual summary and monthly comparison<br />
<strong>Western</strong> Australia, seasonally adjusted<br />
Five<br />
year<br />
average<br />
Five year<br />
average<br />
for Dec<br />
2005/ 2006/ 2007/ 2008/ 2009/<br />
Dec Dec<br />
2006 2007 2008 2009 <strong>2010</strong><br />
2009 <strong>2010</strong><br />
Number 106,661 104,967 92,828 81,900 78,873 93,046 6,845 5,793 7,147<br />
Annual<br />
change<br />
-1.59 -11.6 -11.8 -3.7 -15.4<br />
*Note:<br />
Source:<br />
Housing loans are housing finance commitments made by significant lenders. Includes secured finance commitments for the construction or purchase of<br />
owner occupied dwellings<br />
Based on data from Housing Finance Australia, <strong>Australian</strong> Bureau of Statistics Cat. No. 5609.0, Table 5. <strong>December</strong> <strong>2010</strong>. Recent data is revised.<br />
Seasonally adjusted housing finance commitments in <strong>Western</strong> Australia have decreased by 15.4%<br />
over the last 12 months to <strong>December</strong> <strong>2010</strong>. The five year annual trend in the State’s housing finance<br />
commitments continues to decline but the rate of decline has slowed. It appears that commitment<br />
numbers have passed the minimum point in the current cycle and a small growth trend is likely to<br />
continue in the immediate future. However, the most recent RBA Monetary Policy Statement 4<br />
indicated that the household sector was still displaying considerable caution in spending and<br />
borrowing and there is an expectation that this caution will restrain activity in this area.<br />
4 Source – Reserve Bank of Australia, Statement on Monetary Policy (February 2011)<br />
3
Department of <strong>Planning</strong> – <strong>December</strong> <strong>Quarter</strong> <strong>2010</strong><br />
Dwelling units approved<br />
Figure 2<br />
Dwelling units approved per quarter<br />
6000<br />
Scope<br />
New houses and<br />
other new 5000<br />
residential<br />
buildings. Exc.<br />
alterations, 4000<br />
additions and<br />
conversions to<br />
residential.<br />
3000<br />
Source<br />
Building Approvals<br />
Australia<br />
2000<br />
ABS Cat.No.<br />
8731.0. February<br />
2011.<br />
1000<br />
Dwelling units<br />
HOUSES<br />
UNITS<br />
0<br />
Dec-<br />
05<br />
Mar-<br />
06<br />
Jun-<br />
06<br />
Sep-<br />
06<br />
Dec-<br />
06<br />
Mar-<br />
07<br />
Jun-<br />
07<br />
Sep-<br />
07<br />
Dec-<br />
07<br />
Mar-<br />
08<br />
Rest of WA 1300 1086 1160 1268 1187 1071 1112 1138 1035 981 1115 1218 932 780 1132 1231 1318 1178 1234 1101 1099<br />
Metro/Peel 4292 4149 4491 4199 3973 3197 3492 3417 3358 2810 3232 3186 2897 2511 3301 4082 3956 3666 3710 3557 3328<br />
Rest of WA 112 67 219 126 195 182 254 181 188 82 150 188 197 64 106 232 196 286 282 167 217<br />
Metro/Peel 892 714 977 1678 989 652 1298 980 1209 1418 952 1067 412 657 621 535 838 1827 746 645 859<br />
Jun-<br />
08<br />
Sep-<br />
08<br />
Dec-<br />
08<br />
Mar-<br />
09<br />
Jun-<br />
09<br />
Sep-<br />
09<br />
Dec-<br />
09<br />
Mar-<br />
10<br />
Jun-<br />
10<br />
Sep-<br />
10<br />
Dec-<br />
10<br />
Note:<br />
Metro/Peel includes the Perth Metropolitan Region plus the City of Mandurah and the Shire of Murray in the Peel Region.<br />
Table 2<br />
Dwelling units approved – annual summary and quarterly comparison<br />
2005/<br />
2006<br />
2006/<br />
2007<br />
2007/<br />
2008<br />
2008/<br />
2009<br />
2009/<br />
<strong>2010</strong><br />
Five<br />
year<br />
average<br />
Dec<br />
Qtr<br />
2009<br />
Dec<br />
Qtr<br />
<strong>2010</strong><br />
Five year<br />
average<br />
for Dec<br />
Qtr 2<br />
Houses<br />
Metro/Peel 1 16,855 14,861 12,817 11,895 15,414 14,368 3,956 3,328 3,502<br />
Rest of WA 4,914 4,638 4,269 4,062 4,961 4,569 1,318 1,099 1,114<br />
WA 21,769 19,499 17,086 15,957 20,375 18,937 5,274 4,427 4,616<br />
Units & Other<br />
Metro/Peel 1 3,341 4,617 4,559 2,757 3,946 3,844 838 859 861<br />
Rest of WA 545 757 601 555 996 691 196 217 199<br />
WA 3,886 5,374 5,160 3,312 4942 4,535 1,034 1,076 1,060<br />
Total Dwelling Units<br />
Metro/Peel 1 20,196 19,478 17,376 14,652 19,360 18,212 4,794 4,187 4,363<br />
Rest of WA 5,459 5,395 4,870 4,617 5,957 5,260 1,514 1,316 1,313<br />
WA 25,655 24,873 22,246 19,269 25,317 23,472 6,308 5,503 5,676<br />
Note: 1. Metro/Peel includes the Perth Metropolitan Region plus the City of Mandurah and the Shire of Murray in the Peel Region.<br />
2. Average of five <strong>December</strong> quarters – <strong>December</strong> 2006, <strong>December</strong> 2007, <strong>December</strong> 2008, <strong>December</strong> 2009 and <strong>December</strong> <strong>2010</strong>.<br />
3. Dwelling units include houses, units and other residential buildings. Excludes conversions and dwelling units approved as part of alterations and additions or<br />
the construction of non-residential buildings.<br />
Source: Building Approvals Australia, <strong>Australian</strong> Bureau of Statistics Cat. No. 8731.0. February <strong>2010</strong>.<br />
4
Department of <strong>Planning</strong> – <strong>December</strong> <strong>Quarter</strong> <strong>2010</strong><br />
The 2009/<strong>2010</strong> financial year witnessed a significant improvement in State-wide building approvals.<br />
During this period, the total number of dwelling units (houses plus units) granted approval in W.A. was<br />
up 31% on the previous financial year and 7% above the five year average for the State.<br />
When considering quarter by quarter comparisons, the <strong>December</strong> <strong>2010</strong> figures indicate a 16% drop in<br />
house approvals from <strong>December</strong> 2009, with the reduction in approvals occurring in both Perth/Peel<br />
and the country. Total unit and other approvals were relatively stable over this period. The high<br />
proportion of house approvals in the total numbers and the reduction in house approval numbers<br />
contributed to the 13% reduction in overall approvals between the two quarters.<br />
5
Department of <strong>Planning</strong> – <strong>December</strong> <strong>Quarter</strong> <strong>2010</strong><br />
Dwellings under construction<br />
Figure 3<br />
Dwelling units under construction at the end of the quarter, <strong>Western</strong> Australia<br />
Dwelling units under construction<br />
Scope<br />
Houses and<br />
units within<br />
other<br />
residential<br />
buildings.<br />
Excludes<br />
alterations/<br />
additions and<br />
conversions.<br />
All sectors and<br />
types of<br />
owners.<br />
Source<br />
Building<br />
Activity<br />
Australia, ABS<br />
Cat. No.<br />
8752.0. Table<br />
77. January<br />
2011.<br />
25000<br />
20000<br />
15000<br />
10000<br />
5000<br />
0<br />
Sep- Dec- Mar-<br />
2005 2005 2006<br />
Jun-<br />
2006<br />
Sep- Dec- Mar-<br />
2006 2006 2007<br />
Jun-<br />
2007<br />
Sep- Dec- Mar-<br />
2007 2007 2008<br />
Other residential 5059 4836 4862 5577 6191 6514 6705 6440 6520 6318 6963 7244 7989 7161 6856 5839 5063 4493 5119 6045 6145<br />
Houses 14568 14957 15715 16176 16798 16520 16646 15057 14323 13623 13344 13145 12611 11481 11671 10737 11010 11338 12675 12837 12348<br />
Jun-<br />
2008<br />
Sep- Dec- Mar-<br />
2008 2008 2009<br />
Jun-<br />
2009<br />
Sep- Dec- Mar-<br />
2009 2009 <strong>2010</strong><br />
Jun-<br />
<strong>2010</strong><br />
Sep-<br />
<strong>2010</strong><br />
Dec-<br />
<strong>2010</strong><br />
Note: Data for <strong>December</strong> quarter <strong>2010</strong> is not yet available. Data for the most recent quarters are revised.<br />
Table 3<br />
Dwelling units under construction, <strong>Western</strong> Australia – quarterly comparison and summary<br />
Sept<br />
Qtr<br />
2006<br />
Sept<br />
Qtr<br />
2007<br />
Sept<br />
Qtr<br />
2008<br />
Sept<br />
Qtr<br />
2009<br />
Sept<br />
Qtr<br />
<strong>2010</strong><br />
Five year<br />
average for<br />
Sept Qtr 3<br />
At the end of the<br />
quarter<br />
Houses 1 16,798 14,323 12,611 11,010 12,348 13,418<br />
Other residential<br />
buildings 2 6,191 6,520 7,989 5,053 6,145 6,382<br />
Total 22,989 20,843 20,600 16,073 18,493 19,800<br />
Note:<br />
Source:<br />
1. Houses are defined as a detached building predominantly used for long-term residential purposes and consisting of only one dwelling unit.<br />
2. Other residential buildings are defined as a building other than a house primarily used for long-term residential purposes and which contains (or has<br />
attached to it) more than one dwelling unit (e.g. includes blocks of flats , home units, attached townhouses, villa units, terrace houses, semidetached<br />
houses, maisonettes, duplexes, apartment buildings, etc.<br />
3. Average of five September quarters – September 2006, September 2007, September 2008, September 2009 and September <strong>2010</strong>.<br />
Based on data from Building Activity Australia, Table 77. <strong>Australian</strong> Bureau of Statistics Cat. No. 8752.0, January 2011. Note that data for recent<br />
quarters is subject to revision at a future date.<br />
During the September quarter <strong>2010</strong> the number of dwellings under construction decreased by two<br />
percent to 18,493. Houses under construction decreased by 3.8 percent to 12,348, while other<br />
residential buildings under construction increased by 1.7 percent to 6,145. Comparing the September<br />
quarter <strong>2010</strong> to the September quarter 2009, dwellings under construction increased by 15 percent. In<br />
the September quarter <strong>2010</strong>, houses comprised 67 percent of total dwellings under construction.<br />
6
Department of <strong>Planning</strong> – <strong>December</strong> <strong>Quarter</strong> <strong>2010</strong><br />
LAND AND HOUSING SALES ACTIVITY<br />
Lots sold and prices<br />
Figure 4<br />
Vacant residential lot sales and median sale price during the quarter<br />
S cope<br />
Vacant lots of all sizes<br />
with residential zoning<br />
Excludes multi-lot,<br />
related party and<br />
institutional sales<br />
Median price ($)<br />
275,000<br />
250,000<br />
225,000<br />
200,000<br />
Lots sold<br />
8,000<br />
7,000<br />
6,000<br />
Source<br />
Valuer General's<br />
database, Landgate<br />
Note<br />
Date of sale is the<br />
contract date recorded<br />
in the database after<br />
settlement. Recent<br />
quarters especially the<br />
last two quarters are<br />
incomplete due to this<br />
lag.<br />
175,000<br />
150,000<br />
125,000<br />
100,000<br />
75,000<br />
50,000<br />
25,000<br />
0<br />
Dec-<br />
05<br />
Mar-<br />
06<br />
Jun-<br />
06<br />
Sep-<br />
06<br />
Dec-<br />
06<br />
Mar-<br />
07<br />
Jun-<br />
07<br />
Sep-<br />
07<br />
Dec-<br />
07<br />
Mar-<br />
08<br />
Jun-<br />
08<br />
Sep-<br />
08<br />
Dec-<br />
08<br />
Mar-<br />
09<br />
Jun-<br />
09<br />
Sep-<br />
09<br />
Dec-<br />
09<br />
Mar-<br />
10<br />
Jun-<br />
10<br />
Sep-<br />
10<br />
Dec-<br />
10<br />
5,000<br />
4,000<br />
3,000<br />
2,000<br />
1,000<br />
0<br />
Sales - Metro/Peel<br />
Median price - Metro/Peel<br />
Median price - WA<br />
Sales - Rest of WA<br />
Median price - Rest of WA<br />
Note: Metro/Peel includes the Perth Metropolitan Region plus the City of Mandurah and the Shire of Murray in the Peel Region.<br />
Source: Valuer General’s database, Valuation Services, Landgate. Data for <strong>December</strong> 2008 to <strong>December</strong> <strong>2010</strong> updated on 24 February 2011.<br />
Table 4<br />
Vacant residential lot sales – annual summary and quarterly comparison<br />
2005/<br />
2006<br />
2006/<br />
2007<br />
2007/<br />
2008<br />
2008/<br />
2009<br />
2009/<br />
<strong>2010</strong><br />
Five<br />
year<br />
average<br />
Dec<br />
Qtr<br />
2009<br />
Five year<br />
Dec average<br />
Qtr for Dec<br />
<strong>2010</strong> 2 Qtr 3<br />
Metro/Peel 1 19,684 11,628 7,536 10,090 13,087 12,405 3,387 848 2,201<br />
Rest of WA 7,360 5,323 3,406 3,097 3,945 4,626 1,024 389 803<br />
WA 27,044 16,951 10,942 13,187 17,032 17,031 4,411 1,237 3,003<br />
Note: 1. Metro/Peel includes the Perth Metropolitan Region plus the City of Mandurah and the Shire of Murray in the Peel Region.<br />
2. Date of sale is the contract date recorded in the database after settlement. Recent quarters are incomplete due to this lag.<br />
3. Average of five <strong>December</strong> quarters – <strong>December</strong> 2006, <strong>December</strong> 2007, <strong>December</strong> 2008, <strong>December</strong> 2009 and <strong>December</strong> <strong>2010</strong>.<br />
4. Residential lots are those with residential zoning under a local planning scheme.<br />
Source: Valuer General’s database, Valuation Services, Landgate. Data for <strong>December</strong> 2008 to <strong>December</strong> <strong>2010</strong> updated on 24 February 2011<br />
Recent trends are difficult to measure because the data may not be complete for many months. When<br />
a property is sold, the recorded date of sale is the contract date. However this information is not<br />
available until after settlement which may happen much later. For this reason data for recent quarters<br />
is only indicative. Figure 4 provides some evidence of a slight upward trend in median land prices from<br />
mid 2009 with this effect being more pronounced in Perth/Peel than in country WA. The number of lot<br />
sales has been falling steadily since the September 2009 quarter.<br />
7
Department of <strong>Planning</strong> – <strong>December</strong> <strong>Quarter</strong> <strong>2010</strong><br />
Lot median and lower quartile sale price<br />
Figure 5<br />
Vacant residential median and lower quartile lot sale prices<br />
Scope<br />
Vacant lots of all<br />
sizes with residential<br />
zoning<br />
Excludes multi-lot,<br />
related party and<br />
institutional sales<br />
Price ($)<br />
300,000<br />
250,000<br />
Source<br />
Valuer General's<br />
database, Landgate<br />
(as at 7 <strong>December</strong><br />
<strong>2010</strong>)<br />
200,000<br />
Note<br />
Date of sale is the<br />
contract date<br />
recorded in the<br />
database after<br />
settlement. Recent<br />
quarters especially<br />
the last two quarters<br />
incomplete due to<br />
this lag<br />
150,000<br />
100,000<br />
50,000<br />
0<br />
Dec-<br />
05<br />
Mar-<br />
06<br />
Jun-<br />
06<br />
Sep-<br />
06<br />
Dec-<br />
06<br />
Mar-<br />
07<br />
Jun-<br />
07<br />
Sep-<br />
07<br />
Dec-<br />
07<br />
Mar-<br />
08<br />
Jun-<br />
08<br />
Sep-<br />
08<br />
Dec-<br />
08<br />
Mar-<br />
09<br />
Jun-<br />
09<br />
Sep-<br />
09<br />
Dec-<br />
09<br />
Mar-<br />
10<br />
Jun-<br />
10<br />
Sep-<br />
10<br />
Dec-<br />
10<br />
Low er Quartile - Metro/Peel<br />
Low er Quartile - Rest of WA<br />
Median - Metro/Peel<br />
Median - Rest of WA<br />
Note: Metro/Peel includes the Perth Metropolitan Region plus the City of Mandurah and the Shire of Murray in the Peel Region.<br />
Source: Valuer General’s database, Valuation Services, Landgate. Data for <strong>December</strong> 2008 to <strong>December</strong> <strong>2010</strong> updated on 24 February 2011.<br />
Table 5<br />
Residential lot prices ($) – annual summary and quarterly comparison<br />
Dec Qtr<br />
2005<br />
Dec Qtr<br />
2006<br />
Dec Qtr<br />
2007<br />
Dec Qtr<br />
2008<br />
Dec Qtr<br />
2009<br />
Dec Qtr<br />
<strong>2010</strong><br />
Metro/Peel 1 Median 160,000 250,000 264,000 220,000 235,000 245,344<br />
Lower quartile 135,000 206,000 220,500 195,000 181,500 185,000<br />
Rest of WA<br />
Median 125,300 167,500 180,000 150,000 165,000 170,000<br />
Lower quartile 90,000 128,000 137,000 130,000 135,000 129,750<br />
Total WA<br />
Median 152,000 231,000 250,000 215,000 220,000 223,687<br />
Lower quartile 126,000 173,000 199,000 180,000 170,000 168,000<br />
Note:<br />
Source:<br />
1. Metro/Peel includes the Perth Metropolitan Region plus the City of Mandurah and the Shire of Murray in the Peel Region.<br />
2. Date of sale is the contract date recorded in the database after settlement. Recent quarters are incomplete due to this lag.<br />
Valuer General’s database, Valuation Services.<br />
The graph above illustrates the median and lower quartile vacant lot sale prices. Median prices in both<br />
the Metro/Peel Region and the remainder of the State have displayed a slight upward trend since<br />
early/mid 2009 after a year of decline, with country WA lagging approximately a period behind<br />
Perth/Peel. The preliminary median vacant lot sales prices in the Metro/Peel Region and Rest of WA<br />
were reported as $245,344 and $170,000, respectively, for the <strong>December</strong> <strong>2010</strong> quarter. The lower<br />
quartile price has followed a fairly flat trajectory in both Perth/Peel and country WA. This has been<br />
occurring for approximately two years in country WA, while in Perth/Peel it has come after a period of<br />
downward trend from <strong>December</strong> 2007.<br />
8
P<br />
37,620<br />
P<br />
14,789<br />
P<br />
52,409<br />
Department of <strong>Planning</strong> – <strong>December</strong> <strong>Quarter</strong> <strong>2010</strong><br />
Dwelling sales and prices<br />
Figure 6<br />
Dwelling sales and median sale price during the quarter<br />
Scope<br />
Houses plus units<br />
and other<br />
residential type<br />
properties.<br />
Excludes multilot,<br />
related party<br />
and institutional<br />
sales<br />
Median Price ($)<br />
600,000<br />
500,000<br />
400,000<br />
Number sold<br />
18,000<br />
16,000<br />
14,000<br />
12,000<br />
Source<br />
Valuer General's<br />
database,<br />
Landgate<br />
300,000<br />
10,000<br />
8,000<br />
Note<br />
200,000<br />
6,000<br />
Date of sale is<br />
the contract<br />
date. Recorded in<br />
the database<br />
after settlement.<br />
Recent quarters<br />
especially the last<br />
two quarters are<br />
incomplete due to<br />
this lag<br />
100,000<br />
0<br />
Dec-<br />
05<br />
Mar-<br />
06<br />
Jun -<br />
06<br />
Sep -<br />
06<br />
Dec-<br />
06<br />
Mar-<br />
07<br />
Jun -<br />
07<br />
Sep-<br />
07<br />
Dec-<br />
07<br />
Mar-<br />
08<br />
Sales - Metro/Peel<br />
Jun -<br />
08<br />
Median price - Metro/Peel<br />
Median price - WA<br />
Sep-<br />
08<br />
Dec-<br />
08<br />
Mar-<br />
09<br />
Jun -<br />
09<br />
Sep-<br />
09<br />
Dec-<br />
09<br />
Mar -<br />
10<br />
Sales - Rest of WA<br />
Jun -<br />
10<br />
Median price - Rest of WA<br />
Sep -<br />
10<br />
Dec -<br />
10<br />
4,000<br />
2,000<br />
0<br />
Note: Metro/Peel includes the Perth Metropolitan Region plus the City of Mandurah and the Shire of Murray in the Peel Region.<br />
Source: Valuer General’s database, Valuation Services, Landgate. Data for <strong>December</strong> 2008 to <strong>December</strong> <strong>2010</strong> updated on 24 February 2011.<br />
Table 6<br />
Dwelling sales – annual summary and quarterly comparison<br />
2005/<br />
2006<br />
2006/<br />
2007<br />
2007/<br />
2008<br />
2008/<br />
2009<br />
2009/<br />
<strong>2010</strong><br />
Five<br />
year<br />
average<br />
Dec<br />
Qtr<br />
2009<br />
Dec<br />
Qtr<br />
<strong>2010</strong><br />
Five year<br />
average for<br />
Dec Qtr 3<br />
Houses<br />
1<br />
Metro/PeelP<br />
25,881 21,178 23,606 25,560 26,769 6,400 4,057 5,273<br />
Rest of WA 12,001 9,093 6,856 5,973 6,378 8,060 1,664 983 1,579<br />
WA 49,621 34,974 28,034 29,579 31,938 34,829 8,064 5,040 6,851<br />
Units & Other<br />
1<br />
Metro/PeelP<br />
11,774 9,251 10,558 12,016 11,678 3,034 1,932 2,395<br />
Rest of WA 1,841 1,448 1,154 995 1,066 1,301 291 146 246<br />
WA 16,630 13,222 10,405 11,553 13,082 12,978 3,325 2,078 2,641<br />
Total<br />
1<br />
Metro/PeelP<br />
37,545 30,339 34,204 37,632 38,426 9,421 6,059 7,683<br />
Rest of WA 13,842 10,902 8,282 7,135 7,698 9,572 2,033 1,179 1,880<br />
WA 66,251 48,447 38,621 41,339 45,330 47,998 11,454 7,238 9,563<br />
Note: 1. Metro/Peel includes the Perth Metropolitan Region plus the City of Mandurah and the Shire of Murray in the Peel Region.<br />
2. Date of sale is the contract date recorded in the database after settlement. Recent quarters are incomplete due to this lag.<br />
3. Average of five <strong>December</strong> quarters – <strong>December</strong> 2006, <strong>December</strong> 2007, <strong>December</strong> 2008, <strong>December</strong> 2009 and <strong>December</strong> <strong>2010</strong>.<br />
4. Residential lots are those with residential zoning under a local planning scheme.<br />
Source: Valuer General’s database, Valuation Services, Landgate. Data for <strong>December</strong> 2008 to <strong>December</strong> <strong>2010</strong> updated on 24 February 2011.<br />
Sales of established dwellings in WA have declined since September 2009, with the <strong>December</strong> <strong>2010</strong><br />
quarter having the lowest figure in the five year period displayed in Figure 6. The Metro/Peel Region<br />
median price for the <strong>December</strong> quarter <strong>2010</strong> is $475,000 which is basically equivalent to the previous<br />
<strong>December</strong> quarter figure. Prices in Regional WA have stabilised in the last year with a median price of<br />
$380,000 recorded in the <strong>December</strong> quarters of 2009 and <strong>2010</strong>. Recent quarters’ figures should be<br />
used with care as they are preliminary.<br />
9
326,000<br />
Department of <strong>Planning</strong> – <strong>December</strong> <strong>Quarter</strong> <strong>2010</strong><br />
Dwelling median and lower quartile sale price<br />
Figure 7<br />
Dwelling median and lower quartile sale price<br />
Scope<br />
Vacant lots of<br />
all sizes with<br />
residential<br />
zoning<br />
Excludes multilot,<br />
related<br />
party and<br />
institutional<br />
sales<br />
Source<br />
Valuer<br />
General's<br />
database,<br />
Landgate<br />
Price ($)<br />
600,000<br />
550,000<br />
500,000<br />
450,000<br />
400,000<br />
350,000<br />
300,000<br />
250,000<br />
Note<br />
200,000<br />
Date of sale is<br />
the contract<br />
date. Recorded<br />
in the<br />
database after<br />
settlement.<br />
Recent<br />
quarters<br />
expecially the<br />
last two<br />
quarters<br />
150,000<br />
100,000<br />
50,000<br />
0<br />
Dec-<br />
05<br />
Mar-<br />
06<br />
Jun -<br />
06<br />
Sep -<br />
06<br />
Dec-<br />
06<br />
Mar-<br />
07<br />
Jun -<br />
07<br />
Sep-<br />
07<br />
Dec-<br />
07<br />
Mar-<br />
08<br />
Median price - Metro/Peel<br />
Jun -<br />
08<br />
Low er quartile price - Metro/Peel<br />
Sep-<br />
08<br />
Dec-<br />
08<br />
Mar-<br />
09<br />
Jun -<br />
09<br />
Sep-<br />
09<br />
Dec-<br />
09<br />
Mar -<br />
10<br />
Median price - Rest of WA<br />
Jun -<br />
10<br />
Low er quartile price - Rest of WA<br />
Sep -<br />
10<br />
Dec -<br />
10<br />
Note: Metro/Peel includes the Perth Metropolitan Region plus the City of Mandurah and the Shire of Murray in the Peel Region.<br />
Source: Valuer General’s database, Valuation Services, Landgate. Data for <strong>December</strong> 2008 to <strong>December</strong> <strong>2010</strong> updated on 24 February 2011<br />
Table 7<br />
Dwelling prices – annual summary and quarterly comparison<br />
Dec Qtr<br />
2005<br />
Dec Qtr<br />
2006<br />
Dec Qtr<br />
2007<br />
Dec Qtr<br />
2008<br />
Dec Qtr<br />
2009<br />
Dec Qtr<br />
<strong>2010</strong><br />
Metro/Peel 1<br />
Median 440,000 465,000 410,000 476,000 475,000<br />
Lower quartile 257,000 355,000 374,000 340,000 380,000 375,000<br />
Rest of WA<br />
Median 240,000 330,000 360,000 335,000 380,000 380,000<br />
Lower quartile 143,000 210,000 255,000 245,000 277,500 280,000<br />
WA<br />
Median 312,000 418,000 445,000 400,000 462,000 460,000<br />
Lower quartile 238,200 328,000 350,000 325,000 365,000 360,000<br />
Note: 1. Metro/Peel includes the Perth Metropolitan Region plus the City of Mandurah and the Shire of Murray in the Peel Region.<br />
2. Date of sale is the contract date recorded in the database after settlement. Recent quarters are incomplete due to this lag.<br />
Source: Valuer General’s database, Valuation Services, Landgate. Data for <strong>December</strong> 2008 to <strong>December</strong> <strong>2010</strong> updated on 24 February 2011<br />
Median prices in Perth/Peel and country WA have generally trended upwards in the five year period<br />
displayed in Figure 7 with occasional fluctuations, in particularly the low point in <strong>December</strong> 2008. As<br />
an approximate rule, median prices have increased on average by $5000 per quarter in Perth/Peel<br />
and $5,500 per quarter in country WA over the five year period. When considering short term trends,<br />
the data for <strong>2010</strong> shows median prices trending slightly downward in Perth/Peel while remaining<br />
reasonably constant across the rest of the State.<br />
10
T<br />
Department of <strong>Planning</strong> – <strong>December</strong> <strong>Quarter</strong> <strong>2010</strong><br />
RENTAL ACTIVITY<br />
Median rent and vacancy rate<br />
Rental information is obtained from a survey of REIWA members who manage residential properties<br />
for rent. As such, it is assumed that public housing and rental properties not managed by REIWA<br />
members are excluded.<br />
Figure 8<br />
Median weekly rent and vacancy rate per quarter, Metropolitan Perth<br />
Vacancy rate (%)<br />
5.0<br />
Scope:<br />
All types of rental 4.5<br />
dwellings in<br />
4.0<br />
Metropolitan Perth<br />
managed by REIWA 3.5<br />
members<br />
3.0<br />
Source:<br />
Market Update, 2.5<br />
Real Estate<br />
Institute of 2.0<br />
Australia. March<br />
1.5<br />
<strong>2010</strong>.<br />
1.0<br />
0.5<br />
Median weekly rent ($)<br />
400<br />
360<br />
320<br />
280<br />
240<br />
200<br />
160<br />
120<br />
80<br />
40<br />
0.0<br />
Dec-<br />
05<br />
Mar-<br />
06<br />
Jun-<br />
06<br />
Sep-<br />
06<br />
Dec-<br />
06<br />
Mar-<br />
07<br />
Jun-<br />
07<br />
Sep-<br />
07<br />
Dec-<br />
07<br />
Vacancy rate (%) 1.6 1.4 1.8 1.8 1.0 0.8 2.1 2.5 1.6 1.4 2.8 2.6 2.4 2.9 3.5 4.6 4.7 4.6 4.3 3.4 3.2<br />
Median weekly rent ($) 220 230 240 250 260 270 290 300 320 330 350 350 360 360 360 360 370 370 370 370 370<br />
Mar-<br />
08<br />
Jun-<br />
08<br />
Sep-<br />
08<br />
Dec-<br />
08<br />
Mar-<br />
09<br />
Jun-<br />
09<br />
Sep-<br />
09<br />
Dec-<br />
09<br />
Mar-<br />
10<br />
Jun-<br />
10<br />
Sep-<br />
10<br />
Dec-<br />
10<br />
0<br />
Table 8<br />
Median rent and vacancy rate, Perth Metropolitan Region – annual summary and quarterly<br />
update<br />
Dec Qtr Dec Qtr Dec Qtr Dec Qtr Dec Qtr Dec Qtr<br />
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 <strong>2010</strong><br />
Vacancy rate (%) 1.6 1.0 1.6 2.4 4.7 3.2<br />
Median weekly rent ($) 220 260 320 360 370 370<br />
Annual change (%) 18.2 23.1 12.5 2.8 0.0<br />
*Note: Data for <strong>December</strong> quarter <strong>2010</strong> is preliminary data and may be subject to revision at a future date.<br />
Source: <strong>Western</strong> Australia Real Estate Indicators – <strong>December</strong> <strong>Quarter</strong> <strong>2010</strong>. Market Update, Real Estate Institute of <strong>Western</strong> Australia. March 2011.<br />
The vacancy rate declined slightly in the <strong>December</strong> quarter <strong>2010</strong> dropping to 3.2% from the 3.4%<br />
figure noted in the previous quarter. The vacancy rate has now declined for four consecutive quarters<br />
from a rate of 4.7% in the <strong>December</strong> quarter 2009. It is notable that approximately 18% of dwellings<br />
financed were for first home buyers as at <strong>December</strong> <strong>2010</strong> compared with over 25% as at <strong>December</strong><br />
2009 5 , potentially indicating first home buyers are being forced into the rental market as home<br />
ownership becomes increasing unaffordable. The median weekly rent for the <strong>December</strong> quarter <strong>2010</strong><br />
was $370 and this level has remained constant since <strong>December</strong> 2009.<br />
5 Source – <strong>Australian</strong> Bureau of Statistics, Housing Finance Commitments (Cat. 5609.0 January 2011).<br />
11
Department of <strong>Planning</strong> – <strong>December</strong> <strong>Quarter</strong> <strong>2010</strong><br />
RESIDENTIAL SUBDIVISION ACTIVITY<br />
Applications received<br />
Figure 9<br />
Residential subdivision applications and lots received during the quarter<br />
Applications received<br />
Scope<br />
Residential<br />
subdivision<br />
applications<br />
and lots<br />
Department of <strong>Planning</strong> – <strong>December</strong> <strong>Quarter</strong> <strong>2010</strong><br />
Applications<br />
The <strong>December</strong> quarter <strong>2010</strong> saw 658 applications, a 10% increase on the previous quarter. Although<br />
there is random variation from quarter to quarter, total application numbers appear to be following an<br />
upward trend from the September 2009 quarter to the present time. It should be noted that much of<br />
this trend is driven by activity in the Perth/Peel Region as country applications have essentially<br />
remained constant since <strong>December</strong> 2008.<br />
Lots<br />
As with the applications, the <strong>December</strong> quarter <strong>2010</strong> witnessed a considerable increase in the number<br />
of residential lots proposed in WA. The figure for this quarter was 8,971, a 70% increase on the<br />
September quarter <strong>2010</strong>. Since mid 2009, the lot number figures have followed a pattern of oscillating<br />
between approximately 5,000 and 9,000 lots in alternate quarters, which is particularly noticeable from<br />
Figure 9.<br />
13
Department of <strong>Planning</strong> – <strong>December</strong> <strong>Quarter</strong> <strong>2010</strong><br />
Applications and lots awaiting decision<br />
Figure 10<br />
Stock of residential subdivision applications and lots awaiting decision at the end of the quarter<br />
Scope<br />
Residential<br />
subdivision<br />
applications and<br />
lots < 3,000m2<br />
therein subject to<br />
approval by the<br />
WAPC. Excludes<br />
built strata<br />
subdivisions<br />
subject to<br />
approval by local<br />
government.<br />
Source<br />
State Lot Activity,<br />
WAPC, March<br />
2011.<br />
1,600<br />
1,400<br />
1,200<br />
1,000<br />
800<br />
600<br />
400<br />
Applications pending<br />
Lots<br />
80,000<br />
70,000<br />
60,000<br />
50,000<br />
40,000<br />
30,000<br />
20,000<br />
200<br />
10,000<br />
0<br />
Dec-<br />
05<br />
Mar-<br />
06<br />
Jun-<br />
06<br />
Sep-<br />
06<br />
Dec-<br />
06<br />
Mar-<br />
07<br />
Jun-<br />
07<br />
Sep-<br />
07<br />
Dec-<br />
07<br />
Lots - Rest of WA 6933 6952 7151 8470 9936 8552 9877 10224 10294 9019 9402 9273 8269 7206 6769 2851 5922 5780 5001 3841 3525<br />
Lots - Metro/Peel 17769 15683 12109 11477 13043 14674 15616 13232 12450 11416 12604 12310 12370 9642 9479 3204 11356 10446 9983 8716 10688<br />
Applications - WA 981 940 1132 1189 1125 1097 1491 1013 1118 1181 1386 1116 940 769 708 328 710 714 668 634 617<br />
Applications - Rest of WA 240 259 339 394 363 336 418 310 337 374 379 311 261 216 207 100 151 133 120 118 115<br />
Applications - Metro/Peel 741 681 793 795 762 761 1073 703 781 807 1007 805 679 553 501 228 559 581 548 516 502<br />
Note: 1. Metro/Peel includes the Perth Metropolitan Region plus the City of Mandurah and the Shire of Murray in the Peel Region.<br />
Source: State Lot Activity, <strong>Western</strong> <strong>Australian</strong> <strong>Planning</strong> <strong>Commission</strong>, March 2011.<br />
Applications<br />
After the State’s applications awaiting decision spiked in the June quarter 2008, there was a 76<br />
percent fall in applications over the fifteen months up to the September quarter 2009 (Figure 10 - line<br />
chart, left hand axis). Although <strong>December</strong> quarter 2009 rebounded, the number of applications<br />
pending for the have gradually decreased over the following four quarters. The total number of<br />
applications under assessment in WA at the end of the <strong>December</strong> quarter <strong>2010</strong> was 617 - a 2.7<br />
percent decline on the previous quarter.<br />
Lots<br />
The number of residential lots in applications under assessment across the State totalled 14,213 at<br />
the end of the <strong>December</strong> quarter <strong>2010</strong> (Figure 10 – bar chart, right hand axis). This was a 13%<br />
increase on the previous quarter which offset the 13% drop between the previous two quarters. The<br />
number of lots under consideration decreased in the Metro/Peel area from <strong>December</strong> quarter 2009 to<br />
<strong>December</strong> quarter <strong>2010</strong>.<br />
Mar-<br />
08<br />
Jun-<br />
08<br />
Sep-<br />
08<br />
Dec-<br />
08<br />
Mar-<br />
09<br />
Jun-<br />
09<br />
Sep-<br />
09<br />
Dec-<br />
09<br />
Mar-<br />
10<br />
Jun -<br />
10<br />
Sep-<br />
10<br />
Dec-<br />
10<br />
0<br />
14
Department of <strong>Planning</strong> – <strong>December</strong> <strong>Quarter</strong> <strong>2010</strong><br />
Conditional approvals<br />
Conditional approvals issued by the <strong>Western</strong> <strong>Australian</strong> <strong>Planning</strong> <strong>Commission</strong> authorise developers to<br />
commence the servicing and construction of proposed subdivisions in accordance with conditions<br />
recommended by State government agencies, local governments and utility service providers.<br />
Figure 11<br />
Residential lots granted conditional approval during the quarter<br />
Scope:<br />
Residential<br />
lots<br />
Department of <strong>Planning</strong> – <strong>December</strong> <strong>Quarter</strong> <strong>2010</strong><br />
Developers' stock of current conditional approvals<br />
Land developers have four years from the date of the conditional approval to submit an application for<br />
Final Approval with the WAPC. The stock of lots with conditional approval provides an estimate of lots<br />
available for development within four years of the approval date. These lots include those active lots<br />
under construction, where road works and utility servicing have commenced.<br />
In large subdivisions the conditional approvals may be the later stages of a large project where some<br />
lots have already proceeded to final approval. Lots with final approval in these applications are<br />
excluded from the stock figure, although the application itself is included in the count of applications.<br />
Figure 12<br />
Stock of residential applications and lots with conditional approval at the end of the quarter<br />
Applications<br />
8,000<br />
Stock of Lots<br />
80,000<br />
Scope<br />
Residential<br />
subdivision<br />
applications and<br />
lots
Department of <strong>Planning</strong> – <strong>December</strong> <strong>Quarter</strong> <strong>2010</strong><br />
Active lots<br />
For subdivisions granted conditional approval Water Corporation data gives an indication of those<br />
which are being actively developed in preparation for the release of titles and building construction.<br />
The developer undertakes considerable professional investment to apply for a servicing agreement<br />
with WaterCorp that establishes a cost for the provision of water, sewerage and drainage services.<br />
This professional investment connotes a real intent to proceed with the construction of the subdivision.<br />
There is no obligation for the applicant to act on the agreement with some agreements never being<br />
progressed. Those agreements not acted on mainly comprise small residential developments (ones<br />
into twos and so on) where novice applicants are ill prepared. In greenfield locations most agreements<br />
are progressed with experienced developers prepared to meet the imposed conditions and costs.<br />
Caution must be used when interpreting the following statistics for active lots. They are for agreements<br />
that have been prepared by WaterCorp and the applicant is yet to finish the required works or pay the<br />
required fees.<br />
Figure 13<br />
Residential lots with servicing agreement with the Water Corporation<br />
Active Lots<br />
18,000<br />
16,000<br />
14,000<br />
12,000<br />
10,000<br />
8,000<br />
6,000<br />
4,000<br />
2,000<br />
0<br />
Dec-<br />
08<br />
Jan-<br />
09<br />
Feb-<br />
09<br />
Mar-<br />
09<br />
Apr-<br />
09<br />
May-<br />
09<br />
Jun-<br />
09<br />
Jul-<br />
09<br />
Aug-<br />
09<br />
Sep-<br />
09<br />
Oct-<br />
09<br />
Nov-<br />
09<br />
Rest of WA 4,700 4,400 4,300 4,000 4,000 3,500 3,300 3,500 3,400 3,300 3,400 3,300 3,300 3,200 3,300 3,300 3,400 3,100 3,000 3,000 2,800 2,800 2,700 2,500 2,600<br />
Metro/Peel 11,100 11,300 11,00010,60010,60010,90010,90010,900 11,100 10,40010,20010,100 10,000 10,100 10,70010,600 11,300 11,400 11,300 11,400 11,800 12,000 11,700 11,000 11,400<br />
Dec-<br />
09<br />
Jan-<br />
10<br />
Feb-<br />
10<br />
Mar-<br />
10<br />
Apr-<br />
10<br />
May-<br />
10<br />
Jun-<br />
10<br />
Jul-<br />
10<br />
Aug-<br />
10<br />
Sep-<br />
10<br />
Oct-<br />
10<br />
Nov-<br />
10<br />
Dec-<br />
10<br />
Source:<br />
Note:<br />
Water Corporation:<br />
1. The data presented here for the past two years in WA includes predominantly residential lots but also comprises a small proportion of other<br />
land uses. Data includes strata lots approved by the WAPC. Strata lots approved by local government are excluded. Data refers to lots on<br />
non-cleared agreements. Non-cleared agreements are matched on WAPC sub division application numbers. Data are rounded.<br />
2. The total figures for October, November and <strong>December</strong> <strong>2010</strong> have been estimated from analysis of a partial data set and historical trends<br />
due to a change in reporting methodologies. Therefore, caution is advised when considering these data for decision making purposes.<br />
The data will be revised as further information becomes available<br />
17
Department of <strong>Planning</strong> – <strong>December</strong> <strong>Quarter</strong> <strong>2010</strong><br />
Final Approvals<br />
Final approval is granted by the <strong>Western</strong> <strong>Australian</strong> <strong>Planning</strong> <strong>Commission</strong> when the developer has<br />
satisfied all approval conditions, including the construction of roads and provision of utility services to<br />
the new lots. Final approval permits the issue of new titles by Landgate.<br />
Figure 14<br />
Residential lots granted final approval during the quarter<br />
Scope<br />
Residential<br />
lots
Department of <strong>Planning</strong> – <strong>December</strong> <strong>Quarter</strong> <strong>2010</strong><br />
<strong>December</strong> quarter <strong>2010</strong> State figure was lower than the average, mainly due to the low level of<br />
country approvals.<br />
In the Metro/Peel Region, planning sectors with the highest proportion of approvals were North West<br />
and North East (both 22% of total), followed by the South East sector with 21%. In the country regions<br />
of the State, the South-West and the Pilbara regions contributed to approximately 70% of the number<br />
of residential lots granted final approval.<br />
19
Department of <strong>Planning</strong> – <strong>December</strong> <strong>Quarter</strong> <strong>2010</strong><br />
Disclaimer<br />
This document is published by the Department of <strong>Planning</strong>. Any representation, statement, opinion or<br />
advice expressed or implied in this publication is made in good faith and on the basis that the<br />
government, its employees and agents are not liable for any damage or loss whatsoever which may<br />
occur as a result of action taken or not taken, as the case may be, in respect of any representation,<br />
statement, opinion or advice referred to herein. Professional advice should be obtained before<br />
applying the information contained in this document to particular circumstances.<br />
Published March 2011<br />
Website: www.planning.wa.gov.au<br />
E-mail: research@planning.wa.gov.au<br />
Telephone: (08) 9264 7990<br />
Fax: (08) 9264 7566<br />
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