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Report On Heavy Rainfall That Caused Floods in Johore and south ...

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REPORT ON THE SECOND HEAVY RAINFALL EPISODE<br />

THAT CAUSED FLOODS IN<br />

JOHOR AND SOUTHERN PAHANG<br />

DURING THE PERIOD<br />

11 – 14 JANUARY 2007<br />

PREPARED BY:<br />

RESEARCH DIVISION<br />

MALAYSIAN METEOROLOGICAL DEPARTMENT<br />

MINISTRY OF SCIENCE, TECHNOLOGY AND INNOVASION<br />

16 JANUARY 2007


1.Introduction<br />

Johor <strong>and</strong> <strong>south</strong>ern Pahang experienced a second heavy ra<strong>in</strong>fall episode from 11 to 14<br />

January 2007. This heavy ra<strong>in</strong>fall episode was the first event <strong>in</strong> which heavy ra<strong>in</strong>fall reoccurred<br />

with<strong>in</strong> a period of 22 days (19 December 2006 – 11 January 2007). This abnormal heavy ra<strong>in</strong>fall<br />

event was due to the convergence of the strong w<strong>in</strong>ds from the western Pacific Ocean <strong>and</strong> the<br />

northeasterly surge form Rusia/ Ch<strong>in</strong>a over the South Ch<strong>in</strong>a Sea.<br />

2.Analysis of ra<strong>in</strong>fall from 11 – 14 January 2007<br />

Table 1: Daily Accumulated <strong>Ra<strong>in</strong>fall</strong> (mm) from 11 January 2007 to 14 January 2007<br />

State<br />

Station<br />

Thursday<br />

(11/1/07)<br />

Friday<br />

(12/1/07)<br />

Saturday<br />

(13/1/07)<br />

Sunday<br />

(14/1/07)<br />

Total<br />

Pahang<br />

Muadzam<br />

Shah<br />

67.0 58.0 69.0 36.0 230.0<br />

Johor Mers<strong>in</strong>g 64.0 134.0 237.0 167.0 602.0<br />

Senai 264.0 213.0 9.0 19.0 505.0<br />

Kluang 171.0 222.0 42.0 16.0 451.0<br />

Batu Pahat 121.0 94.0 9.0 0.4 224.4<br />

Table 2: January Accumulated <strong>Ra<strong>in</strong>fall</strong> (1/1/2007-14/1/2007) <strong>in</strong> comparison with the Monthly<br />

Accumulated Mean.<br />

State Station<br />

Total <strong>Ra<strong>in</strong>fall</strong> (mm) Monthly Mean Monthly Monthly<br />

1/1/07 - 14/1/07 (mm) Maximum (mm) M<strong>in</strong>imum (mm)<br />

Pahang Muadzam Shah 298.6 267.0 644.0 8.0<br />

Johor Mers<strong>in</strong>g 739.2 328.0 834.0 1.0<br />

Senai 607.0 194.0 478.0 8.0<br />

Kluang 488.4 158.0 496.0 1.8<br />

Batu Pahat 275.8 167.0 301.0 27.0<br />

Table 1 <strong>in</strong>dicates that the daily ra<strong>in</strong>fall recorded at Mers<strong>in</strong>g station from 11 until 13 January<br />

has <strong>in</strong>creased dur<strong>in</strong>g these 3 days. Daily ra<strong>in</strong>fall recorded at Mers<strong>in</strong>g station started to decrease on<br />

14 January 2007. Kluang station also had recorded an <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> the daily ra<strong>in</strong>fall from 11 until 12<br />

January 2007. <strong>On</strong> 13 <strong>and</strong> 14 January 2007, the daily accumulated ra<strong>in</strong>fall had decreased drastically<br />

to 42.0 mm <strong>and</strong> 16.0 mm. <strong>On</strong> 11 Januari 2007, Senai <strong>and</strong> Batu Pahat stations started to record daily<br />

ra<strong>in</strong>fall of about 264.0 mm <strong>and</strong> 121.0 mm respectively. The daily ra<strong>in</strong>fall began to decrease on<br />

12 January 2007. <strong>On</strong> 13 <strong>and</strong> 14 January 2007, there was a further decrease <strong>in</strong> the daily ra<strong>in</strong>fall. For<br />

the period of 11 to 14 January 2007, the daily ra<strong>in</strong>fall recorded by Muadzam Shah station was<br />

almost similar to the January monthly mean. The daily accumulated ra<strong>in</strong>fall recorded by all stations<br />

except Muadzam Shah station exceeded the January monthly mean for the respective stations.<br />

(Refer Table 2).


3.Radar imageries from 11 – 14 January 2007<br />

Weather radar imageries from the radar network stations <strong>in</strong> Pen<strong>in</strong>sular Malaysia are shown <strong>in</strong><br />

Appendix A. (Figure (a) to (h)) shows the development of the heavy ra<strong>in</strong>fall occurrence <strong>in</strong> detail.<br />

Radar imageries were taken <strong>in</strong> twelve hour <strong>in</strong>tervals start<strong>in</strong>g from the 11 January 2007 (8.00 am)<br />

until the 14 January 2007 (8.00 pm). These imageries are a composite of radar echoes taken from<br />

the six weather radar stations <strong>in</strong> Pen<strong>in</strong>sular Malaysia. The development of the heavy ra<strong>in</strong>fall event<br />

could be seen from the sequence of the radar echoes. Johor <strong>and</strong> <strong>south</strong>ern Pahang have been<br />

receiv<strong>in</strong>g heavy ra<strong>in</strong>fall start<strong>in</strong>g on 11 January 2007. The ra<strong>in</strong>fall <strong>in</strong>tensity <strong>in</strong> both states <strong>in</strong>creased<br />

<strong>and</strong> peaked on 12 January 2007 (8.00 pm). Most of the ra<strong>in</strong>fall was concentrated <strong>in</strong> Johor. <strong>On</strong> 13<br />

January (8.00 pm), the ra<strong>in</strong>fall was still concentrated <strong>in</strong> the same state but with reduced <strong>in</strong>tensity.<br />

<strong>On</strong> 14 January 2007, the ra<strong>in</strong>fall <strong>in</strong> Johor began to reduce substantially.<br />

4.Weather Satellite Imageries from 11 – 14 January 2007<br />

MTSAT weather satellite imageries from 11 until 14 January 2007 are shown <strong>in</strong> Appendix<br />

B (Figure (a) to (h)). Cloud developments were observed over the <strong>south</strong>ern part of Pen<strong>in</strong>sular<br />

Malaysia on 11 January 2007 (8.30 am). Cloud <strong>in</strong>tensity decreased further on 12 January 2007<br />

(8.30 am) but re-<strong>in</strong>tensified at 8.30 pm. <strong>On</strong> 13 January 2007 around 8.30 am ra<strong>in</strong> clouds began to<br />

cover <strong>south</strong>ern Pen<strong>in</strong>sular Malaysia. However, the situation began to improve by 8.30 pm. Cloud<br />

development began to decrease at 8.30 am, 14 January 2007.<br />

5.Conclusion<br />

The Northeast monsoon is currently active over the South Ch<strong>in</strong>a Sea <strong>and</strong> is expected to<br />

cont<strong>in</strong>ue until 20 January 2007. Moderate to occasionally heavy ra<strong>in</strong>fall is still expected over Johor<br />

<strong>and</strong> Pahang.


APPENDIX A<br />

Sequence of Radar Imageries at 8.00 am <strong>and</strong> 8.00 pm from 11 to 14 January 2007 [(a) to (h)]<br />

a) 8.00 am, 11 January 2007 b) 8.00 pm, 11 January 2007<br />

c) 8.00 am, 12 January 2007 d) 8.00 pm, 12 January 2007


APPENDIX A (cont<strong>in</strong>ued)<br />

e) 8.00 am, 13 January 2007 f) 8.00 pm, 13 January 2007<br />

l<br />

g) 8.00 am, 14 January 2007 h) 8.00 pm, 14 January 2007


APPENDIX B<br />

Sequence of MTSAT Weather Satellite Images at 8.30 am <strong>and</strong> 8.30 pm<br />

from 11 to 14 January 2007 [(a) to (h)]<br />

(a) 8.30 am, 11 January 2007 (b) 8.30 pm, 11 January 2007<br />

(c) 8.30 am, 12 January 2007 (d) 8.30 pm, 12 January 2007


APPENDIX B (cont<strong>in</strong>ued)<br />

(e) 8.30 am, 13 January 2007 (f) 8.30 pm, 13 January 2007<br />

(g) 8.30 am, 14 January 2007 (h) 8.30 pm, 14 January 2007

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