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Rolling stock<br />
of HSTs w<strong>as</strong> designed to l<strong>as</strong>t only until<br />
2013-2015. It could be coupled with a ‘pick<br />
and mix’ approach towards buying off-theshelf<br />
electric trains that are already in service<br />
around the world.<br />
‘Existing stock will need to be<br />
replaced in the short-to-medium-term.<br />
Their specification would ideally allow<br />
manufacturers to tender a development of<br />
their existing product range.’<br />
Music to the ears of Bombardier,<br />
Siemens, CAF, Alstom and the Chinese CSR.<br />
They could be back in the game.<br />
‘It seems likely that more than half of<br />
the benefit on the E<strong>as</strong>t Co<strong>as</strong>t route, and<br />
probably around three-quarters of it on the<br />
Great Western routes, could be captured for<br />
between 40 per cent and 60 per cent of the<br />
cost.’<br />
Now to the really illuminating<br />
conclusions and recommendations. They are<br />
spot-on in line with the observations of <strong>Rail</strong><br />
<strong>Professional</strong> over the l<strong>as</strong>t year and, indeed,<br />
the industry in general. ‘In particular,’ says<br />
Foster, ‘there is a pressing need to ensure<br />
that experienced railway engineering<br />
managers, with commercial experience, are<br />
actively involved in the key decisions of the<br />
procurement process.’<br />
Ouch! So the DfT should employ people<br />
who know what they are talking about, ‘and<br />
reduce its reliance on external advisers’.<br />
Michael Roberts of the Association<br />
of Train Operating companies says the<br />
government h<strong>as</strong> spent £21m in consultancy<br />
fees since 2005, ‘and h<strong>as</strong> so far failed to<br />
produce a single train.’<br />
The report concludes that buying<br />
alternative trains ‘could provide sufficient<br />
benefits… with a lower cost and risk profile<br />
than IEP. These alternatives warrant serious<br />
scrutiny.’<br />
So the report is saying the DfT w<strong>as</strong> so<br />
focused on its narrow pursuit of a one-sizefits-all<br />
brand new bespoke design that it<br />
didn’t bother to see cheaper, simpler, quicker<br />
solutions.<br />
So complex w<strong>as</strong> the discussion with<br />
Hitachi after it won preferred-bidder<br />
status that Foster admitted: ‘my team and I<br />
sometimes struggled to make sense of the<br />
multiple changes to programme specification,<br />
and their effect on the BCR upon which<br />
value-for-money is b<strong>as</strong>ed.’<br />
In 2009 when Hitachi w<strong>as</strong> named<br />
preferred bidder, the order w<strong>as</strong> for 10-car and<br />
five-car trains. It now includes seven, eight<br />
and nine-car formations.<br />
‘In short, there is a good deal about the<br />
programme <strong>as</strong> it stands that is unresolved,<br />
unproven, uncertain and carries risk.’<br />
In the private sector, a report this critical<br />
of an eye-wateringly expensive, 30-year<br />
project would, without doubt, lead to the<br />
sacking of the chief executive and the<br />
resignation of the board directors responsible<br />
for such m<strong>as</strong>sive errors of judgement.<br />
Understatement<br />
‘There are,’ says Foster with polite<br />
understatement, ‘some issues around DfT’s<br />
management approach and its engagement<br />
and communication with the railway<br />
industry.<br />
‘In summary, industry stakeholders feel<br />
unengaged and distanced from IEP.’<br />
Put another way, he believes civil servants<br />
in Marsham Street simply did not pay<br />
attention to what rail professionals at First<br />
Great Western, Atoc and Network <strong>Rail</strong> were<br />
telling them.<br />
It had all started out so well. When<br />
the project w<strong>as</strong> called HS2, the level of<br />
consultation with train and track operators<br />
w<strong>as</strong> well-regarded. ‘The turning point<br />
is felt to have been the launch of formal<br />
Artist’s impression of<br />
Hitachi’s design, for which<br />
Agility Trains w<strong>as</strong> named<br />
preferred bidder<br />
AUGUST 2010 PAGE 23