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Africa Market Update - April 2015

Includes economies of Kenya, Uganda, Tanzania, Rwanda, Ethiopia and Angola

Includes economies of Kenya, Uganda, Tanzania, Rwanda, Ethiopia and Angola

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MARKET UPDATE – AFRICA | March <strong>2015</strong><br />

Interbank Rate<br />

Source: Central Bank of Kenya, StratLink <strong>Africa</strong><br />

EQUITY MARKET UPDATE<br />

One: Companies Post Depressed<br />

Performance in 2014<br />

Media service provider, Nation, reported a<br />

2.9% decline in net profits for the full year<br />

ended 2014 to USD 26.8 Million with revenues<br />

remaining near flat at USD 145.4 Million.<br />

Similarly, top tier bank, Co-operative,<br />

saw its net profit drop by 7.0% to USD 91.0<br />

Million on the back of major restructuring in<br />

2014. CIC Insurance also reported a decline<br />

in net profit, by 16.6% in 2014, to USD 11.9<br />

Million. The decline in profit was occasioned<br />

by a 42.6% surge in total expenses to USD<br />

143.2 Million.<br />

Co-operative Bank vs Nation Media<br />

Share Price (Kes)<br />

+6.1 %<br />

NSE 20 Share Index<br />

change year-on-year<br />

NSE 20 Share Index Trend<br />

-3.5 %<br />

NSE 20 Share Index<br />

change month-onmonth<br />

Source: Bloomberg, StratLink <strong>Africa</strong><br />

NSE 20 Share Index Month-on-Month<br />

Source: Bloomberg, StratLink <strong>Africa</strong><br />

Source: Bloomberg, StratLink <strong>Africa</strong><br />

Such performance has played a major role<br />

in subduing aggregate market performance<br />

in March <strong>2015</strong>. The performance points to<br />

an adverse business climate confronted by<br />

corporates in 2014. Notable strain on the<br />

business climate in 2014 stemmed from<br />

high terror risk that affected players in the<br />

service sector.<br />

Two: Capital Gains Tax Hangover<br />

The market has also been decelerated by<br />

uncertainty over the fate of the Capital<br />

Gains Tax that is likely to have left many<br />

investors adopting a wait and see stance.<br />

In February <strong>2015</strong>, brokers threatened to<br />

suspend trading for a month over disagreement<br />

with the Kenya Revenue Authority on<br />

their role as collecting agents.<br />

6 | StratLink <strong>Africa</strong> Ltd.<br />

It has been a bearish season at the exchange<br />

in what we assess can be attributed<br />

to two main factors:<br />

www.stratlinkglobal.com

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