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MARKET UPDATE – AFRICA | <strong>February</strong> <strong>2015</strong><br />
The Consumer<br />
Price Index<br />
continues to<br />
trend downwards<br />
further giving<br />
impetus to<br />
subdued yields<br />
in the T-Bill<br />
market. The near<br />
term outlook is<br />
bound to remain<br />
favourable for<br />
investors as<br />
inflation risk<br />
is mitigated by<br />
depressed oil<br />
prices.<br />
Service Sector Growth<br />
Source: Bank of Rwanda, StratLink <strong>Africa</strong><br />
Rising income levels have served to make<br />
the wholesale and retail segment buoyant,<br />
driving growth in the service sector. Investors<br />
are bound to maintain keen interest<br />
on this segment of the sector with a view to<br />
cashing in on growing consumption in the<br />
market.<br />
Per Capita Income (USD)<br />
Bids Accepted (USD Mln)<br />
Source: Bank of Rwanda, StratLink <strong>Africa</strong><br />
The 91 Day paper closed January <strong>2015</strong> at<br />
4.10% while the 182 Day closed the month<br />
at 5.0%, representing very marginal changes<br />
on each from December 2014. The 364<br />
Day, on the other hand, closed January <strong>2015</strong><br />
at 6.0%, twenty five bps lower than it did December<br />
2014.<br />
T-Bill Yields<br />
Source: Bank of Rwanda, StratLink <strong>Africa</strong><br />
Source: BMI 2014, StratLink <strong>Africa</strong><br />
DEBT MARKET UPDATE<br />
Yields have been largely stable in the T-Bill<br />
market reporting marginal movement in<br />
January <strong>2015</strong>. This is consistent with government<br />
appetite for domestic borrowing<br />
which has registered marginal changes in<br />
the last three months. In the latter part of<br />
2014, we witnessed volatility in yields in<br />
what we believe was occasioned by hiccups<br />
in disbursement of public funds that could<br />
have seen the government reach for domestic<br />
borrowing.<br />
The Consumer Price Index continues to<br />
trend downwards further giving impetus to<br />
subdued yields in the T-Bill market. The near<br />
term outlook is bound to remain favourable<br />
for investors as inflation risk is mitigated by<br />
depressed oil prices.<br />
Consumer Price Index<br />
Source: National Bureau of Statistics, StratLink <strong>Africa</strong><br />
20 | StratLink <strong>Africa</strong> Ltd.<br />
www.stratlinkglobal.com