Investment Views - VP Bank
Investment Views - VP Bank
Investment Views - VP Bank
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Current Market Assessment<br />
The tables below summarize <strong>VP</strong> <strong>Bank</strong>'s trend assessments for all asset classes in our investment universe. The arrows reflect<br />
the forecasts of our investment strategists for the coming three to six months. The trends for currencies, equities and alternative<br />
investments indicate expected percentage changes in value. The bond assessments indicate expected changes in yields,<br />
expressed in basis points. The symbols are explained in the key at the bottom of the page.<br />
Money Markets (pages 13–17)<br />
Currencies<br />
EUR vs. USD<br />
GBP vs. USD<br />
JPY vs. USD<br />
USD vs. CHF<br />
EUR vs. CHF<br />
GBP vs. CHF<br />
JPY vs. CHF<br />
Key Interest Rates<br />
Switzerland<br />
Europe (EMU)<br />
US<br />
Bond Yields (pages 19–27)<br />
<strong>Investment</strong> Grade Government Bonds<br />
Switzerland<br />
Europe<br />
US<br />
<strong>Investment</strong> Grade Corporate Bonds<br />
Switzerland<br />
Europe<br />
US<br />
Emerging Market Bonds<br />
High Yield Bonds<br />
October 2010 November 2010<br />
Equities (pages 29–41)<br />
Switzerland<br />
Europe<br />
North America<br />
Pacific<br />
Emerging Markets<br />
Alternative <strong>Investment</strong>s (pages 43– 49)<br />
Commodities<br />
Real Estate Stocks<br />
Private Equity<br />
Convertible Bonds<br />
Hedge Funds<br />
Currencies – Expected appreciation/depreciation:<br />
> +5% +2% to +5% –2% to +2% –5% to –2% < –5%<br />
Equities, Alternative <strong>Investment</strong>s – Upside/downside ranges indicated by our 3–6 month absolute performance assessments:<br />
> +5% +2% to +5% –2% to +2% –5% to –2% < –5%<br />
Bond Yields, Key Interest Rates – Upside/downside ranges indicated by our 3–6 month absolute performance assessments:<br />
> +50 basis points +25 basis points No change –25 basis points < –50 basis points<br />
Legal notes on page 60.<br />
October 2010 November 2010<br />
5 | November 2010 | Current Market Assessment