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Coral Bleaching Response Plan - Great Barrier Reef Marine Park ...

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<strong>Great</strong> <strong>Barrier</strong> <strong>Reef</strong> <strong>Coral</strong> <strong>Bleaching</strong> <strong>Response</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> 2005/2006<br />

the reef system? including mortality/recovery (transects/quadrats) taxonomic resolution<br />

(transects/quadrats)<br />

• Transects include other macroinvertebrates<br />

• Fish abundance and diversity<br />

surveys<br />

E.<br />

Are adjacent human<br />

impacts causing or<br />

exacerbating the<br />

bleaching?<br />

E1<br />

• Note location, timing (onset,<br />

duration, cessation) and<br />

severity of local human<br />

impacts<br />

• Ask other reef users to give<br />

you similar information<br />

E2<br />

• Collect information on key<br />

environmental variables at<br />

impacts sites (turbidity,<br />

sedimentation, gross pollution<br />

indicators)<br />

E3<br />

• Detailed surveys at control and<br />

impact sites<br />

• Collate existing data on human<br />

impacts such as water quality,<br />

chronic disturbance from<br />

destructive fishing<br />

2. Early Warning System<br />

Mass coral bleaching is preceded by a series of stages. Beginning with the build-up of climatic<br />

conditions that warm sea temperatures, above-average water temperatures follow, which in turn can<br />

lead to patchy bleaching or bleaching of more vulnerable coral species. If stressful conditions persist,<br />

widespread bleaching of a range of coral species can ensue, resulting in a mass bleaching event. The<br />

onset of each of these stages can be used the to provide an early warning of a mass bleaching event.<br />

The GBRMPA Early Warning System consists of three elements designed to detect the onset of each of<br />

the three stages that lead to a mass coral bleaching event:<br />

1. Climate Monitoring: Development of weather conditions that are conducive to elevated sea<br />

temperatures;<br />

2. Sea Temperature Monitoring: Persistence of increased sea temperatures to levels known to cause<br />

stress to corals; and<br />

3. BleachWatch: Early signs of bleaching on reefs and the spatial extent and severity of any bleaching.<br />

2.1 Climate Monitoring<br />

Above-average sea temperatures are associated with El Niño conditions in many reef regions around the<br />

world. While the El Niño Southern Oscillation is an important influence on weather patterns over<br />

eastern Australia, other factors are also known to result in high sea temperatures in the GBR region. In<br />

particular, delayed or weak development of the monsoonal trough over northern Australia during<br />

summer appears to be a strong precursor to the anomalously warm conditions that cause stress to corals.<br />

Based on an emerging understanding of the relationship between weather and sea temperatures for the<br />

GBR, current and forecast weather conditions can provide a useful indicator of pending warming of<br />

waters in the GBR, and thus serve as early warnings of potential stress.<br />

Seasonal climate predictions will be reviewed in the early stages of summer to monitor the development<br />

of regional weather patterns that may lead to anomalous sea temperatures. These will be complemented<br />

with long- to mid-range weather forecasts as the summer progresses.<br />

Objectives: Monitor climate and weather conditions in the lead up to summer to assess risk of<br />

elevated sea temperatures<br />

Strategies: • Monitor long-range climate predictions and weather forecasts<br />

• Obtain 4-Day forecasts and weather summaries from the Bureau of Meteorology<br />

• Explore value of long-range forecast for predicting potential warming conditions<br />

Triggers: Forecasts of calm clear conditions, above average summer temperatures, or below<br />

average rainfall will trigger logistic preparations for the <strong>Bleaching</strong> Assessment and<br />

Monitoring component<br />

Climate Change <strong>Response</strong> Programme - GBRMPA 3

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