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Mig-29 - Take-off Magazine

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cosmonautics | in brief<br />

FSA Chief on prospects of Russian space exploration<br />

The head of the Federal Space<br />

Agency, Anatoly Perminov, has<br />

held several news conferences<br />

over the recent months, in<br />

which he shared with the media<br />

his vision of the state and future<br />

of the Russian space exploration<br />

industry.<br />

According to the FSA chief,<br />

Russia will have orbited six more<br />

spacecraft of the GLONASS satellite<br />

navigation system that is<br />

to start serving Russian users<br />

already in 2007 and provide global<br />

coverage by late 2009.<br />

According to Anatoly Perminov,<br />

the Russian constellation will have<br />

numbered 103 spacecraft, and its<br />

status has improved considerably<br />

since 2004 with the number<br />

of improve navsats having hiked<br />

from 25 per cent in 2004 to 60 per<br />

cent at present.<br />

The FSA head said the space<br />

companies’ net income had tripled<br />

over the past three years, with<br />

their earning capacity having more<br />

than doubled. “There remained<br />

only seven loss-making companies<br />

out of the 103. The annual<br />

salary growth in the industry is 25<br />

percent,” Perminov said.<br />

Dwelling on the future of manned<br />

flight in space, he remarked that<br />

the Clipper reusable spacecraft had<br />

not been approved by a scientific<br />

and technical council. “Scientists<br />

believes that another stage of<br />

developing an advanced manned<br />

transport space system should be<br />

the deriving of a spacecraft from<br />

an existing design”. According to<br />

Perminov, in the world there is<br />

“an aerospace-plane programme<br />

graveyard: there were eight to 12<br />

such spacecraft under development.<br />

Unfortunately, none of the<br />

programmes, except the US Space<br />

Shuttle, has succeeded”.<br />

The chief of FSA thinks that an<br />

advanced Russian manned system<br />

will have been developed by 2015,<br />

and by 2020 with the ISS to wrap<br />

up its operation, there will have<br />

been a new-type Russian space<br />

station in orbit to be used for inorbit<br />

assembly of spacecraft for<br />

46<br />

lunar and other planetary missions.<br />

Anatoly Perminov did not rule out<br />

foreign participation in developing<br />

such a station. Construction<br />

of the new orbital ‘base’ is now<br />

part of the medium-term Russian<br />

space exploration programme for<br />

the period until 2025.<br />

The FSA leader specified that<br />

the agency was not going to pull<br />

out from the Baikonur space<br />

launch facility in the near future.<br />

Responding to the question whether<br />

there is a chill in the Russian-<br />

Kazakh joint space operations,<br />

he said, “The idea is outlandish”.<br />

Perminov sad he had had talks<br />

with Talgat Musabayev, head of<br />

Kazakhstan’s space agency. “We<br />

have got no problems, and more<br />

than 40 agreements on joint work<br />

have been signed”, he maintained,<br />

saying that recurring minor disagreements<br />

and technical issues<br />

are settled in the regular course<br />

of work. “I see no alternative to<br />

Kazakhstan as far as manned<br />

space flights are concerned,” the<br />

FSA boss concluded.<br />

Speaking about plans to explore<br />

the Moon and Mars, Anatoly<br />

Perminov said that they should<br />

have a scientific base and “one<br />

should not stoop to resort to<br />

adventurism”. In his opinion, the<br />

cost of sending a manned spacecraft<br />

to the Mars is estimated at<br />

$40–50 billions. “Russia’s budget<br />

would, probably, survive that, but<br />

FSA’s c<strong>off</strong>ers cannot”, he added.<br />

Nonetheless, Perminov specified,<br />

“We have come up with proposals<br />

for space exploration for<br />

the period until 2040. The proposals<br />

cover all aspects, including<br />

lunar and Martian missions.<br />

Now we have to obtain relevant<br />

financial and material resources”.<br />

The proposals cover several<br />

fields, particularly, further use of<br />

near-Earth space, development of<br />

the Moon and a flight to Mars.<br />

Readiness for landing on the Moon<br />

is to be achieved by 2025, a lunar<br />

base is to be set up between 2027<br />

and 2035 and a mission to Mars is<br />

slated for 2035 or later.<br />

According to Anatoly Perminov,<br />

FSA has not decided yet on the<br />

location for a new space launch<br />

centre. “If we develop an advanced<br />

manned spacecraft, e.g. for Moon<br />

missions, it will need an advanced<br />

launch vehicle that needs a new<br />

launch pad. Where the latter<br />

should be built remains undecided<br />

yet, but I think we should consider<br />

not only Baikonur to this end, but<br />

the territory of Russia as well”,<br />

Perminov said. “No matter where<br />

we start [construction of a new<br />

launch pad], we have to start from<br />

scratch. It is a very difficult thing<br />

to do in economic and technological<br />

terms. Still, it is doable”.<br />

Touching on international cooperation,<br />

FSA’s chief noted that cooperation<br />

with other countries has<br />

surged recently. The agency cooperates<br />

with 38 countries. Perminov<br />

noted, among other things, that<br />

“good relations with Arab countries<br />

are evolving” as far as remote<br />

Earth sensing, space communications<br />

systems and manned flight<br />

programmes are concerned.<br />

Commenting the South Korean<br />

launch vehicle development pro-<br />

gramme and construction of a<br />

launch centre in the Republic of<br />

Korea, Anatoly Perminov said<br />

relevant agreements had been<br />

reached and contracts signed<br />

and Khrunichev would roll up its<br />

sleeves in late 2007. “Essentially,<br />

Russia is <strong>off</strong>ering one stage and<br />

the launch complex. Full-scale<br />

work is to begin in 2008, and the<br />

first flight under programme may<br />

take place in 2009”, he added.<br />

As to a first Russian space<br />

tourist planned to fly to the ISS in<br />

2009, Anatoly Perminov said he<br />

would be a businessman turned<br />

politician. FSA’s chief decline to<br />

name the man, citing the cosmonaut<br />

candidate’s personal<br />

request of anonymity for a while.<br />

Commenting on rumours of the<br />

feasibility of Russian President<br />

Vladimir Putin’s space flight,<br />

Perminov denied any FSA plans<br />

to this end, “I do not think it is<br />

serious. We have not planned any<br />

thing of the kind, let alone doing<br />

it for the president. The matter<br />

is not on the agenda. I guess the<br />

President has enough places to<br />

visit and enough work to do”.<br />

take-<strong>off</strong> november 2007 www.take-<strong>off</strong>.ru

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