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The Impact of Extending Marriage to Same-Sex Couples on the ...

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WEDDING AND TOURISM SPENDING<str<strong>on</strong>g>The</str<strong>on</strong>g> extensi<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> marriage rights <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> same-sexcouples will generate ec<strong>on</strong>omic gains forCalifornia businesses, generating tax revenuesfor state and local governments. Weddingscreate ec<strong>on</strong>omic activity as well as jobs,providing a boost <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> ec<strong>on</strong>omy. Forbesmagazine projects that if same-sex marriagerights were granted nati<strong>on</strong>-wide, same-sexweddings would generate $16.8 billi<strong>on</strong> dollars inexpenditures, adding significantly <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> America’sannual $70 billi<strong>on</strong> wedding industry. 34 Ano<strong>the</strong>rrecent estimate c<strong>on</strong>cludes that gay marriage willgenerate a billi<strong>on</strong> dollars per year in spending inincrease in state and local From 2008-2010,government revenues. spending <strong>on</strong><strong>the</strong> United States. 35 Based <strong>on</strong> our analysis, weestimate that allowing<str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g>urism andFor over twenty years, analyses <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> o<strong>the</strong>r states’ same-sex couples <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> wed in weddings by samesexcouples wouldc<strong>on</strong>siderati<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> opening marriage <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> same-sex California could result incouples have argued that <strong>the</strong> first state or states approximately $683.6<str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> do so would experience a wave <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> increased milli<strong>on</strong> in additi<strong>on</strong>al boost California’s<str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g>urism from out-<str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>-state couples that would spending <strong>on</strong> weddings and ec<strong>on</strong>omy by overbring milli<strong>on</strong>s <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> additi<strong>on</strong>al dollars in revenue <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g>urism in <strong>the</strong> State overstate businesses.$683 milli<strong>on</strong>,36 In <strong>the</strong> Spring <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> 2004, <strong>the</strong> <strong>the</strong> next three years,issuance <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> gay marriage licenses in Portland, creating approximately creating almostOreg<strong>on</strong> and San Francisco, California provided2,200 new jobssupport for <strong>the</strong>se predicti<strong>on</strong>s. <str<strong>on</strong>g>The</str<strong>on</strong>g> actualexperience <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> businesses in Portland 37 and SanFrancisco 38 dem<strong>on</strong>strated that allowing samesexcouples <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> marry does in fact generate<str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g>urism and additi<strong>on</strong>al revenue for businesses.In fact, same-sex couples from forty-six statesand eight countries traveled <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> San Francisco <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g>get married during <strong>the</strong> <strong>on</strong>e m<strong>on</strong>th that <strong>the</strong> cityissued marriage licenses. Fur<strong>the</strong>rmore, inanticipati<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> availability <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> same-sexmarriage in Massachusetts, cities in that stateexperienced a spike in hotel reservati<strong>on</strong>s,catering requests, and o<strong>the</strong>r wedding-relatedorders. 39Estimates <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Massachusetts’ potential gain fromout-<str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>-state couples coming <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> state <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g>marry have exceeded $100 milli<strong>on</strong>. 40 However,<strong>the</strong> Supreme Court <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Massachusetts hasinterpreted a 1913 Massachusetts state law <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g>prohibit gay and lesbian couples from outside <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g><strong>the</strong> state from marrying in Massachusetts unless<strong>the</strong>y live in a state, namely New Mexico, NewYork and Rhode Island, which has a public policythat would support <strong>the</strong> recogniti<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong>irmarriages. 41 As a result, California is poised <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g>be <strong>the</strong> first state <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> take full advantage <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong>same-sex <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g>urism and wedding windfall.In this secti<strong>on</strong>, we estimate <strong>the</strong> potentialec<strong>on</strong>omic impact <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> weddings and <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g>urism bysame-sex couples. By allowing same-sexcouples <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> marry—regardless <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> residencystatus—California’s businesses will experience alarge increase in wedding and <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g>urism revenuethat will also result in an2,178 new jobs 42 andresulting in additi<strong>on</strong>al stateand local tax revenues <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> $63.8 milli<strong>on</strong>. To put<strong>the</strong>se figures in c<strong>on</strong>text, $97 billi<strong>on</strong> was spen<str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g>n <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g>urism in California in 2007, supporting924,100 jobs and generating $6.1 billi<strong>on</strong> in localand state tax revenues. 43<str<strong>on</strong>g>Couples</str<strong>on</strong>g> From O<strong>the</strong>r StatesIn order <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> estimate <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g>urism expendituresderived from <strong>the</strong> 67,513 out-<str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>-state coupleswho we estimate will likely marry in Californiaover <strong>the</strong> next three years, we draw <strong>on</strong> California<str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g>urism data that indicate <strong>the</strong> average perpers<strong>on</strong> per diem spending for California <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g>uristsas $162.80, and <strong>the</strong> average length <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> stay as4.15 days. 44 We estimate, <strong>the</strong>n, that <strong>the</strong>secouples will spend an average <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> $1,351 <strong>on</strong>travel-related expenses during <strong>the</strong>ir stay inCalifornia.In additi<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g>urism expenses, spending willalso be generated by <strong>the</strong> wedding preparati<strong>on</strong>s<strong>the</strong>mselves, including items such as cerem<strong>on</strong>ies,meals, parties, transportati<strong>on</strong>, flowers,6

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