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Elements of a National Food- Fortification Program for Bangladesh

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Section 3: Potential <strong>Food</strong>-<strong>Fortification</strong> VehiclesThe similarity between estimates based ontrade data and those derived from nationalnutrition-survey data suggests that un<strong>of</strong>ficialsugar imports in recent years have beennegligible. This conclusion is at variancewith the commonly held view in <strong>Bangladesh</strong>that un<strong>of</strong>ficial cross-border sugar importsare significant. A possible explanation<strong>for</strong> the divergence is that sugar importedthrough in<strong>for</strong>mal channels tends to declinesubstantially in years when BSFIC is active inthe sugar trade. Although BSFIC imported anaverage <strong>of</strong> 100,000 MT per year between 1999-00 and 2002-03, it did not import any sugarbe<strong>for</strong>e 1998-99, nor does it intend to importany sugar in the current year. A longer timeserieswould undoubtedly show that <strong>of</strong>ficialimports increase as BSFIC ceases or otherwisereduces sugar-import activities. However, acomparison <strong>of</strong> BSFIC and un<strong>of</strong>ficial imports isunlikely to show an inverse relationship, sinceprivate imports are expected to substitute <strong>for</strong>at least part <strong>of</strong> BSFIC imports.As can be derived from tables 3.3 and3.4, local sugar production in <strong>Bangladesh</strong>is estimated at 20-25 percent <strong>of</strong> total sugarconsumption. This finding points to animportant conclusion: since only localproduction can be <strong>for</strong>tified, per capitaconsumption <strong>of</strong> <strong>for</strong>tified sugar would beproportionately lower than current per capitasugar consumption, and the vast majority <strong>of</strong>the population would not have access to the<strong>for</strong>tified product.Per capita consumption <strong>of</strong> <strong>for</strong>tified sugarin rural areas would be even lower, reflectingthe country’s current geographic consumptionpatterns. According to the <strong>Bangladesh</strong> Bureau<strong>of</strong> Statistics, sugar consumption in 2000 was8.78/day in urban areas but only 6.37g/day inrural areas. Such differences in consumptionare further detailed in table 3.5.Table 3.5. Sugar Consumption Patterns in<strong>Bangladesh</strong> in 1995-96 (g/day)Age Group & Gender Rural Urban All1-3 years 6.3 10.8 7.24-6 years 4.7 6.0 5.07-9 years 7.8 7.7 7.8Female 5.6 6.8 5.8Male 10.0 10.0 10.0Source: Jahan and Hossein 1998Per capita consumption <strong>of</strong> <strong>for</strong>tified sugarin rural areas is likely to be much lower thanthe national average <strong>for</strong> two reasons: percapita sugar consumption in rural areas islower than in urban areas, and also gur — a<strong>for</strong>m <strong>of</strong> molasses not suitable <strong>for</strong> <strong>for</strong>tification— represents a significant component <strong>of</strong> sugarconsumption in rural areas.10 MOST The USAID Micronutrient <strong>Program</strong>

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