Ipswich Housing Market Area Strategic Housing Market Assessment

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Figure 10.4.2 Proportional increase in population of older people 2011-2030. POPPI, ONS200.0%180.0%160.0%140.0%120.0%100.0%80.0%60.0%40.0%20.0%0.0%65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90 and over Total population65 and overBabergh Ipswich Mid Suffolk Suffolk Coastal Ipswich HMA10.4.3 Following the publication of Putting People First in December 2007, significant policychanges have been made reducing reliance on residential and nursing homes, insteadfacilitating older people to remain in their own homes. There is also an emphasis onspecialist accommodation such as modified housing, which provides a cost effectivealternative to residential care. In general, this will mean that a greater number of olderpeople will require conventional accommodation for longer.10.4.4 When remaining in conventional accommodation is no longer possible, and specialistaccommodation is needed, older people are then also expected to live longer, increasing theamount of time in specialist accommodation. Without an increase in supply, the amount ofspecialist housing (e.g. leaseholds in retirement schemes and adapted homes) coming up forresale or re-letting will decrease.10.4.5 Given current policy trends and their impacts on the structure of housing and of carefor older people, an examination of past trends in specific types of care and housing wouldnot be effective. However, a general understanding of future needs could be gained bylooking at the projections around older peoples’ health & support needs, as well as thecurrent stock of housing designed for older people.Older people with dementia10.4.6 The figure below shows the projected change in the number of older people withdementia between 2011 and 2030. These projections show that Suffolk Coastal is likely tohave the greatest increase in the total number of older people with dementia, while Ipswich,with the youngest population of the four districts, has the smallest.Ipswich Study Area SHMA Update August 2012 127
Change in Older People with DementiaFigure 10.4.6 Change in number of older people with dementia between 2011 and 2030.ONS, POPPI, using research for Dementia UK. 1112500200015001000500065-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90 and over Totalpopulation 65Babergh Ipswich Mid Suffolk Suffolk Coastaland overOlder People with Learning Disabilities.10.4.7 The table below shows the change in the number of older people with learningdisabilities between 2011 and 2030. Suffolk Coastal again shows the largest increase, whileIpswich shows the smallest increase, except in the 65 to 74 age group.Table 10.4.7 Change in older people with learning disabilities between 2011 and 2030.ONS, IHR 112 Babergh Ipswich Mid Suffolk Suffolk Coastal65-74 69 93 120 17275-84 90 64 120 16685 and over 71 47 73 110Total 228 204 313 448Impact of changing policy provision10.4.8 The table below shows the number of sheltered and very sheltered housing units inthe Ipswich HMA compared to the population over 75. The recommended proportions are12.5% for sheltered and 2.5% for very sheltered housing. 113 The results show that onlyIpswich has the recommended proportion of sheltered units and the provision of verysheltered housing is below recommended levels throughout the area.111 A report into the prevalence and cost of dementia prepared by the Personal Social Services Research Unit(PSSRU) at the London School of Economics and the Institute of Psychiatry at King's College London, for theAlzheimer's Society, 2007112 Eric Emerson and Chris Hatton of the Institute for Health Research, Lancaster University, "Estimating FutureNeed/Demand for Supports for Adults with Learning Disabilities in England".113 DCLG (2008) More Choice, Greater Voice, page 45Ipswich Study Area SHMA Update August 2012 128
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Ipswich Housing Market AreaStrategi
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6.4 Total Dwelling Stock ..........
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Executive SummaryContextThis docume
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One consequence of an aging populat
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Low-Cost Home Ownership is likely t
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Structure of this update1.6 This re
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2.2 Co-ordination of effort with th
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4. Policy and Strategic ContextThe
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4.1.9 The original SHMA followed si
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4.2 Economic ContextNational Econom
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applicants to confirm whether they
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Estimate indexed to populationat 19
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11701400Figure 5.3.3 Migration to/
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Number of migrantsFigure 5.3.7 Age
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Number in each group (Thousands)5.5
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Age groupFigure 5.6.2 Population py
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5.8 Housing Types5.8.1 The original
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Recipients per 1,000 householdsJan-
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% of working age population unemplo
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6.5%7.5%2.0%8.5%6.2%6.4%12.0%11.3%F
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Figure 5.17.2 Lower Quartile Weekly
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20012003200520072009201120132015201
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5.19.4 The former Crane fluid syste
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6. Current Housing StockThe purpose
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Number of dwellingsFigure 6.4.1 Tot
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6.5.3 Figure 6.5.2 shows the estima
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Table 6.7.3 Estimated stock by bedr
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6.10 Overcrowding6.10.1 There was n
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7. The Active Housing MarketThe pur
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Trends in House Prices7.2.3 Residen
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Table 7.2.5 Average (Median) house
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Sale Price (£)Detached350,000330,0
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PriceFigure 7.4.3 Lower quartile ho
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£Figure 7.5.3 Average rental costs
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Table 7.7.3 Entry-level Rental Cost
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1997/981998/991999/002000/012001/02
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single earner household or 2.9 time
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Ratio7.13.9 The 2007 Guide also rec
Page 78 and 79: 7.14 Affordability of Entry-Level P
Page 80 and 81: 7.16 Overcrowding and Under-Occupat
Page 82 and 83: %%21.510.52001 2002 2003 2004 2005
Page 84 and 85: Table 7.19.2 Local Plan Housing Tar
Page 86 and 87: %7.22 Turnover in the Social Rented
Page 88 and 89: 8. Projections for Households and E
Page 90 and 91: - More people than projected lived
Page 92 and 93: Table 8.3.6 Comparison between ONS
Page 94 and 95: contributes 13%. To provide some co
Page 96 and 97: Total Households8.5.3 The differenc
Page 98 and 99: 8.5.11 The very different results f
Page 100 and 101: Numberof residents (Thousands)8.6.1
Page 102 and 103: Table 8.6.16 Comparison between the
Page 104 and 105: Comparison with 2011 Census8.6.21 W
Page 106 and 107: CONCLUSIONSHousehold projections an
Page 108 and 109: STAGE 1: CURRENT NEED (Gross)1.1 Ho
Page 110 and 111: 9.4 Affordability of Unsuitably Hou
Page 112 and 113: Table 9.5.5 Projected number of new
Page 114 and 115: Table 9.6.9 First Time Buyer Househ
Page 116 and 117: 9.11 Step 5.3.2 Surplus Stock9.11.1
Page 118 and 119: 9.16 Step 5.3.7 Future Annual Suppl
Page 120 and 121: Table 9.19.4 Derivation of annual n
Page 122 and 123: Table 9.21.5 Affordable Homes compl
Page 124 and 125: 10. The Housing Needs of Specific H
Page 126 and 127: Number of BME LettingsTotal of All
Page 130 and 131: Table 10.4.8 Sheltered and very she
Page 132 and 133: 10.7 Students10.7.1 The original SH
Page 134 and 135: 10.7.10 There has been an increase
Page 136 and 137: 10.9.2 Approximately 650 civilians
Page 138 and 139: 11. Current Policy and Trends in Ho
Page 140 and 141: Affordable Homes11.2.10 The Council
Page 142 and 143: equired. However, the results provi
Page 144 and 145: Table 12.1.14 Estimated demand for
Page 146 and 147: Number (LCHO)12.1.27 According to t
Page 148 and 149: Young Hidden Households12.2.6 The f
Page 150 and 151: CONCLUSIONSThe projected growth in
Page 152 and 153: Cost per Week (£)Cost per Week (£
Page 154 and 155: the maximum rate can be set. 159 Th
Page 156 and 157: CONCLUSIONSGaps identified in the h
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Ipswich Housing Market Area Strategic Housing Market Assessment

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