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Democratic Breakthroughs and Revolutions in Five Post-Communist ...

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16Kostunica. This division <strong>in</strong> the democratic opposition between radicals (Dj<strong>in</strong>djic) <strong>and</strong>moderates (Kostunica) is common to democratic coalitions <strong>in</strong> post-communist stateswho are united more by what they oppose than what they support.In Georgia the opposition united around the EM-DP dur<strong>in</strong>g the RoseRevolution <strong>and</strong> is the only example of their merg<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>to one party, the UnitedNational Movement. There was little opposition to the EM-DP from pro-Shevardnadze political forces, unlike <strong>in</strong> Slovakia, Croatia, Serbia <strong>and</strong> Ukra<strong>in</strong>e frompolitical forces led by Meciar, Tudjman, Milosevic <strong>and</strong> Kuchma. Georgia alsofundamentally differed from Ukra<strong>in</strong>e <strong>in</strong> not hav<strong>in</strong>g a powerful domestic pro-Russianpolitical force as the <strong>Communist</strong> Party is weak. Igor Giorgadze heads a small pro-Russian force but he is <strong>in</strong> exile <strong>in</strong> Russia follow<strong>in</strong>g accusations of his <strong>in</strong>volvement <strong>in</strong>assass<strong>in</strong>ation attempts on Shevardnadze. Giorgadze’s pro-Russian Party of Justice hasm<strong>in</strong>imal support <strong>in</strong> Georgia. In Ukra<strong>in</strong>e a triangular opposition consist<strong>in</strong>g ofYushchenko (Our Ukra<strong>in</strong>e), the Tymoshenko bloc <strong>and</strong> Socialists had existed s<strong>in</strong>ce2001. This triangular alliance re-emerged <strong>in</strong> round two of the 2004 elections <strong>and</strong>played a vital role <strong>in</strong> creat<strong>in</strong>g a broad-based Orange Revolution coalition. The onlyopposition group marg<strong>in</strong>alized from the Orange Revolution coalition was the<strong>Communist</strong> Party which declared its neutrality <strong>in</strong> round two but its voters probablybacked Yanukovych.In authoritarian states the democratic opposition is often fractured, divided,<strong>and</strong> marg<strong>in</strong>alized from public life <strong>and</strong> state <strong>in</strong>stitutions. In Russia, the Union of RightForces <strong>and</strong> Yabloko failed to enter the 2003 State Duma. Both political forces havefailed to unite <strong>in</strong> the face of the threat from an authoritarian regime. In Belarus theregime places heavy restrictions on the activities of the democratic opposition <strong>and</strong>blocks them from obta<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g large numbers of deputies <strong>in</strong> parliament. In Azerbaijan,

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