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Matthew C. Van de Bogert, Stephen R. Carpenter, Jonathan J. Cole ...

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<strong>Van</strong> <strong>de</strong> <strong>Bogert</strong> et al.Benthic and pelagic metabolismFig. 6. Comparison of metabolism values based on 3 different methods.Estimates from the center of the lake are shown in squares, estimatesbased on volume-weighted averages of all sensor locations are shown incircles, and spatially explicit whole-lake mo<strong>de</strong>l estimates for the 12 dayswhen the mo<strong>de</strong>l was run are shown with triangles. Estimates based onsingle, central sensors are often much lower than estimates whichaccount for spatial variability in metabolism.When average 5-min wind speeds topped 2.75 m s –1 for morethan a total of 1 of the first 18 h of a day (nearly half of alldays studied in 2003), standard <strong>de</strong>viation in daily metabolismestimates among sites was 5 mmol O 2m –2 d –1 and of these, 9 displayed the hypothesizedpattern of highest metabolism near shore and lowest atthe center of the lake (Fig. 8).DiscussionMo<strong>de</strong>ls of dissolved oxygen at individual locations withina lake as well as simultaneous mo<strong>de</strong>ls of whole transectsrevealed that dynamics were not homogenous throughoutspace in our study lake. In<strong>de</strong>ed, severalfold differences inmetabolism estimates from site to site were common.Although these differences did not always follow predictableFig. 7. Estimates of whole-lake GPP and R (mmol O 2m –2 d –1 ) and thebenthic contribution of each based on the spatially explicit mo<strong>de</strong>l. Errorbars show 95% confi<strong>de</strong>nce intervals based on 10,000 bootstrap iterations.Data from 2002 (fertilized) are shown using squares and data from2003 (not fertilized) are shown using circles.patterns, on average an estimate based on a single, centrallocation un<strong>de</strong>restimated whole lake values.Epilimnetic water circulation may be one factor that <strong>de</strong>terminesthe <strong>de</strong>gree to which a single son<strong>de</strong> estimate of metabolisma<strong>de</strong>quately represents whole-lake metabolism. Water circulation(and the differential rates and patterns of that circulation throughtime) can mask the real heterogeneity in un<strong>de</strong>rlying ecosystemprocesses which occur at slower rates. When circulation occursquickly relative to the un<strong>de</strong>rlying biotic processes, measurementsof metabolism will be similar regardless of location, and a singlemeasurement location may provi<strong>de</strong> a reliable estimate of wholelakeepilimnetic metabolism. When circulation occurs muchmore slowly relative to the biotic processes, site-to-site variationshould occur in a predictable manner, with highest values nearshore and lowest values in the center of the lake.As a driver of water circulation, measurements of wind speedcan provi<strong>de</strong> one prediction of the <strong>de</strong>gree of homogenizationin metabolism estimates among sites. When wind speeds arehigh, metabolism estimates are quite similar between locations.Even short periods of high wind are enough to set cir-152

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