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Sample Average Approximation Method for Chance Constrained ...

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no more than γN times the event “G(¯x, ξ j ) > 0” happens in N trials. Since probabilityof the event “G(¯x, ξ j ) > 0” is p(¯x), it follows thatprob {ˆp N (¯x) ≤ γ } = B ( ⌊γN⌋; p(¯x), N ) . (11)Recall that by Chernoff inequality [14], <strong>for</strong> k > Np,B(k; p, N) ≥ 1 − exp { −N(k/N − p) 2 /(2p) } .It follows that if p(¯x) ≤ α and γ > α, then 1 − prob {ˆp N (¯x) ≤ γ } approaches zero ata rate of exp(−κN), where κ := (γ − α) 2 /(2α). Of course, if ¯x is an optimal solutionof the true problem and ¯x is feasible <strong>for</strong> the SAA problem, then ˆϑ N ≤ ϑ ∗ . That is, ifγ > α, then the probability of the event “ˆϑ N ≤ ϑ ∗ ” approaches one exponentially fast.Similarly, we have that if p(¯x) = α and γ < α, then probability that ¯x is a feasiblepoint of the corresponding SAA problem approaches zero exponentially fast (cf., [11]).In order to get a lower bound <strong>for</strong> the optimal value ϑ ∗ we proceed as follows. Let13

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