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Page 27 Page 32 Page 17 - Electrical Business Magazine

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Building permits slip,but construction still strongStatsCan says the value of building permitsslipped slightly in September—although they were still well above $6billion, as gains in the residential sectorwere more than offset by declines innon-residential intentions.Municipalities issued building permits worth$6.2 billion in September, down 1.7% from $6.3billion in August. Intentions peaked at $6.9 billionin May and June. This strength during recentmonths indicates that construction sites shouldremain busy in the coming months.Non-residential permits declined 8.6% to $2.2billion, the lowest level over the last five months.The non-residential level was almost $1 billionbelow its peak in May 2007. The industrial andinstitutional components experienced double-digitdecreases, while the commercial componentremained virtually unchanged.In contrast, intentions in the residential sectorclimbed 2.6% to $4 billion. This ranked as thesecond-highest monthly value since December2005, thanks to a fourth gain in five months forthe single-family component.The total value of building permits reached$18.7 billion between July and September, down4.1% from the second quarter of 2007. This wasthe second-highest quarterly level on record for thetotal value.Unfortunately, the quarterly growth in residentialvalue of 2.1% was not enough to offset a 13%loss in non-residential intentions.Housing: Single-family reaches record highStrength in employment, growth in disposableincome, tight apartment vacancy rates in certaincentres, and attractive financing options continuedto stimulate the demand for housing.However, the deterioration of housing affordabilitydue to the rapid growth in prices for newhousing—particularly in Western Canada—andthe recent increases in mortgage rates coulderode demand.Municipalities approved single-family permitsvalued at a record-high $2.7 billion, a 9.4%increase over August. The number of single-familyunits approved rose 4.4% to 10,454, the highestlevel since January 2006.The value of multi-family permits fell 9% to$1.3 billion. The number of multi-family unitsauthorized declined 12.7% to 9041.Provincially, the value of housing permitsincreased significantly in Ontario (+<strong>27</strong>.2% to $1.6billion). This gain originated from both single andmultiple residential units, and was sufficient tocompensate for the declines in other provinces.The largest declines (in dollars) occurred inQuebec (-9.6%) and British Columbia (-9.8%),due to drops in multi-family permits. Residentialpermits incurred double-digit declines in each ofthe four Atlantic Provinces because of severe dropsin multi-family permits.In the third quarter this year, single-family intentionswere up 6.3% from the second quarter to$7.5 billion, more than offsetting a 4.6% declinein multi-family intentions to $4.3 billion.Q3 residential permit values rose in seven provinces.Increases in Quebec and Ontario wereonly partly offset by drops in Alberta and BritishColumbia, and generated a 2.1% increase at theCanada level.Non-residential sector: Western Canadapulls down the numbersSignificant declines in the three westernmost provinceswere behind the 8.6% drop in non-residentialpermits in September.In the commercial component, municipalitiesissued $1.3-billion worth of permits in September,down a slight 0.4% from August. Commercialintentions peaked in May and June 2007, reaching$2.1 billion and $1.7 billion, respectively.In September, a gain in office buildings permitswas largely offset by decreases in projects in thewarehouse and retail trade categories.In the industrial component, the value of permitsplunged 22.5% in September to its lowestlevel since April 2007. Lower construction intentionsfor manufacturing buildings were behindthe retreat. The decline in industrial permits wasspread across the country, as Quebec and Manitobawere the only provinces to show a gain.The value of institutional permits also hit itslowest level in five months, with a 15.9% drop to$5<strong>17</strong> million. This was fuelled by a lower value ofpermits for medical buildings. The decline in institutionalpermits in September came largely fromOntario and British Columbia.Provincially, the largest decline (in dollars)occurred in British Columbia, where non-residentialconstruction intentions retreated 38.7% to theirlowest level since November 2005. All three componentsexperienced reductions in the province.In Alberta, non-residential permits were at theirlowest level in the last five months in the wake of a10.1% decrease in September. In Saskatchewan, a48% drop in September followed a strong August.In both provinces, the overall decline was fuelledby retreats in the industrial and commercial components.Quebec, New Brunswick and Nova Scotiaalso reported declines.In contrast, gains were recorded in Ontario,Manitoba, and Newfoundland & Labrador. InOntario, intentions for non-residential buildingssurpassed the $1-billion mark in September foronly the third time since 1989, thanks to projectsfor office buildings.Despite the September decline, several factors arestill having a positive impact on the non-residentialsector. Low office vacancy rates, high corporateprofits, increasing demand for health and nursingfacilities, and the vigorous retail sector are allfactors helping to stimulate the demand for nonresidentialspace.The total value of commercial permits declined23.8% in the third quarter to $3.9 billion, followinga record level in the previous quarter. The valueof institutional permits rose 2.5% to their highestvalue ($1.7 billion) since the third quarter of 2005.Industrial permits increased 11.4%.Metropolitan areas: T.O. leads the packSince the beginning of 2007, 26 out of the 34census metropolitan areas posted increases in thetotal value of building permits between Januaryand September compared with the same periodin 2006.The largest gain (in dollars) came from Toronto,with its very high construction intentions fornon-residential buildings, and a strong gain in thesingle-family component. With still a full quarterto be accounted for, the value of non-residentialpermits was already above the annual totals for2005 and 2006 in Toronto.Toronto was followed by Calgary and Vancouver.In Calgary, the strong gain came in large partfrom the booming commercial sector, especially theoffice buildings category. In Vancouver, the strongdemand in the housing sector was mainly behindthe gain.24 • november/december 2007 • www. mag.com

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