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Notes to Submission to the Productivity Commission Inquiry into the ...

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From an analytical economics perspective, <strong>the</strong> only meaningful benchmark is economicprofit, and <strong>the</strong> only issue relevant <strong>to</strong> whe<strong>the</strong>r a cost impost is likely <strong>to</strong> cause hardship iswhe<strong>the</strong>r <strong>the</strong> firm nets or does not net an economic profit. The percentage of economicprofit would be irrelevant, since <strong>the</strong> existence of economic profit would be enough <strong>to</strong>suggest capacity <strong>to</strong> afford a cost impost. In practice, however, economic cost is difficult<strong>to</strong> estimate since by definition, economic cost seeks <strong>to</strong> estimate ‘next best alternatives’,which necessarily involve speculation, and makes <strong>the</strong> estimate an art ra<strong>the</strong>r than science.Practical standard accounting benchmarks such as turnover, accounting profits, cash flowetc… are less speculative estimates, but using <strong>the</strong>se benchmarks raises o<strong>the</strong>r problem.Firstly, benchmarks for thresholds which show hardship will vary across industries andorganisational types. Thus, in low margin industries 1% of turnover may be anunjustifiably high cost while in high margin industries, 1% may not be considered high.This implies that it would be inappropriate <strong>to</strong> use a single benchmark across allindustries. More critically, <strong>the</strong> purpose of profit/loss and balance sheet statements areonly indicative estimates of financial position and hardship, implying that no singleaccounting ratio would suffice as an indica<strong>to</strong>r of hardship, and that <strong>the</strong> interpretation of<strong>the</strong>se estimates also involve art ra<strong>the</strong>r than science. Finally, accounting ratios arebackward looking, whereas economic hardship is more a matter of future opportunitiesthan of past performance.The above suggests that any single standardardised threshold measure involves anelement of arbitrary “art”, and that it is <strong>the</strong>refore impossible <strong>to</strong> create a single benchmarkwhich a court could follow and which would eliminate <strong>the</strong> uncertainties faced bycomplainants and respondents.It does not follow that a range of benchmarks and criteria for <strong>the</strong> court <strong>to</strong> take in<strong>to</strong>account in a flexible manner would not reduce uncertainty. It is more than likely that thisis <strong>the</strong> approach that has been taken by <strong>the</strong> Federal Court on a case by case basis. Theproblem <strong>the</strong>n is one of transparency and accountability, where <strong>the</strong> current inadequateguidelines and legislative direction creates excess uncertainty.Viewpoint 3: Cost Passed Backward <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> Property OwnerEconomic analysis suggests that Jaxxjazz is unlikely <strong>to</strong> bear that portion of <strong>the</strong> capitalcost that accrues outside <strong>the</strong> period of its tenancy. The ramp would presumably havevalue <strong>to</strong> a future tenant, so Jaxxjazz would be able <strong>to</strong> “sell” <strong>the</strong> ramp <strong>to</strong> ZLK Life, whichin turn could pass <strong>the</strong> cost of <strong>the</strong> ramp on <strong>to</strong> next tenant in <strong>the</strong> form of a higher rent. With<strong>the</strong> $10,000 cost capitalised at $1,000 p.a., it would not be unreasonable <strong>to</strong> suggest thatJaxxJazz would bear $2,000 over <strong>the</strong> two years remaining of <strong>the</strong> lease and while ZLKLife would bear $8,000 over <strong>the</strong> balance of <strong>the</strong> ramp’s useful life.This case is relevant if <strong>the</strong> court recognises that costs can be passed on by <strong>the</strong> respondentclaiming unjustifiable hardship. By recognising that <strong>the</strong> costs can be passed on <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong>ZLK Life, <strong>the</strong>re is a greater likelihood that <strong>the</strong> court will find for Sandra ra<strong>the</strong>r thanJaxxJazz unless <strong>the</strong> court also accounts for <strong>the</strong> cost <strong>to</strong> be born by ZLK Life.32

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