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Authoritarian Rule and Democracy in Africa: A Theoretical Discourse

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<strong>Authoritarian</strong> <strong>Rule</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Democracy</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Africa</strong>: A<strong>Theoretical</strong> <strong>Discourse</strong>Discussion Paper No. 18, March 1991Yusuf BanguraContentsPREFACE 21. CONCEPTUALIZING THE BASIS OF AUTHORITARIAN RULE ANDDEMOCRACY 31.1 THE DEMOCRATIC QUESTION 31.2 ACCUMULATION, AUTHORITARIANISM AND DEMOCRACY 31.3 THE STRUCTURAL ROOTS OF AUTHORITARIANISM 41.4 THE BASIS FOR DEMOCRATIC STRUGGLES 61.5 THE DYNAMICS OF AUTHORITARIANISM AND DEMOCRACY 81.6 STRUCTURAL PRE-CONDITIONS FOR STABLE AND SUSTAINABLE DEMOCRACY 91.7 MODELS OF ACCUMULATION AND POLITICAL SYSTEMS 122. STAGES IN THE STRUGGLES FOR DEMOCRACY 142.1 DECOLONIZATION AND GUIDED DEMOCRATIZATION 142.2 STATE CAPITALIST EXPANSION AND AUTHORITARIAN RULE 162.3 ECONOMIC CRISIS AND PRESSURES FOR RE-DEMOCRATIZATION 173. AUTHORITARIAN DEMOCRATIZATION: THE NIGERIAN EXPERIENCE 213.1 ADJUSTMENT AND DEMOCRACY 213.2 DEMILITARIZATION AND CIVILIAN GOVERNMENTAL AUTHORITY 223.3 CIVIL SOCIETY AND THE STATE 243.4 THE DEMOCRATIZATION OF THE RULES OF POLITICAL COMPETITION 26CONCLUSION 27BIBLIOGRAPHY 30


(Beckman, 1989). Struggles are waged over questions of representation <strong>and</strong> accountability,<strong>and</strong> the right to free expression <strong>and</strong> organization. Although democracy is primarily concernedwith the rules <strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong>stitutions that allow for open competition <strong>and</strong> participation <strong>in</strong>government, it also embodies social <strong>and</strong> economic characteristics that are crucial <strong>in</strong>determ<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g its capacity to survive.Three major processes appear to be central to democratic transitions from authoritarianmilitary <strong>and</strong> one-party régimes: the demilitarization of social <strong>and</strong> political life; theliberalization of civil society; <strong>and</strong> the democratization of the rules govern<strong>in</strong>g political <strong>and</strong>economic competition. The first concerns the supremacy <strong>and</strong> regulation of civiliangovernmental authority; the second with the democratization of the state apparatus <strong>and</strong> therelative freedom of civil organizations; <strong>and</strong> the third with the capacity to democraticallymanage conflicts <strong>in</strong> civil <strong>and</strong> political society <strong>and</strong> economic practices. I argue, at this stage,the need to approach the question of democracy from its antithesis. Why has authoritarian rulepersisted <strong>in</strong> <strong>Africa</strong>?1.3 The structural roots of authoritarianismI focus the discussion on the structural foundations of authoritarianism <strong>and</strong> situate the analysiswith<strong>in</strong> what I consider to be the three pr<strong>in</strong>cipal forms of accumulation <strong>in</strong> <strong>Africa</strong>. I identifythese forms of accumulation as wage-exploitative monopolistic practices, <strong>in</strong>corporat<strong>in</strong>g bothnational <strong>and</strong> transnational enterprises; rent-seek<strong>in</strong>g state capitalism; <strong>and</strong> the regulation ofpetty commodity production. The three encourage the growth of authoritarian values.<strong>Authoritarian</strong>ism is <strong>in</strong>herent <strong>in</strong> the first two, whereas it expresses itself <strong>in</strong> petty productionprimarily <strong>in</strong> the way such petty production is l<strong>in</strong>ked with the reproduction of rul<strong>in</strong>g classesthat are organized around the state, local communities <strong>and</strong> markets.Transnational firms embody the problems of economic concentration which Marxist <strong>and</strong>corporate theories of the firm have highlighted. Dahl has argued that “with very fewexceptions, the <strong>in</strong>ternal governments of economic enterprises are flatly undemocratic both dejure <strong>and</strong> de facto” (Dahl, 1985: 55). The ownership <strong>and</strong> management structures oftransnationals deepen <strong>in</strong>equalities <strong>and</strong> underm<strong>in</strong>e effective participation <strong>in</strong> the governance ofthe enterprises.The rise of the transnational firm led to profound changes <strong>in</strong> Western social structures <strong>and</strong> therelationship between markets <strong>and</strong> states. Habermas, for <strong>in</strong>stance, contends that the quest forstable accumulation <strong>and</strong> political order required the state to supplant the market as thepr<strong>in</strong>cipal steer<strong>in</strong>g mechanism for the social <strong>and</strong> economic system <strong>and</strong> to effect “a partial classcompromise” through welfare programmes <strong>and</strong> high wage levels that are set “quasipolitically” (Habermas, 1973).Habermas foresees a legitimation crisis aris<strong>in</strong>g from the state’s support for accumulationwhile simultaneously attempt<strong>in</strong>g to legitimate itself to the populace. Such a crisis threatensthe democratic order of Western societies. There is little doubt, however, that the structural<strong>in</strong>corporation of the work<strong>in</strong>g class <strong>in</strong> the management of modern economies has helped tocheck the anti-democratic tendencies of transnational firms <strong>in</strong> Western societies.The problems of transnational monopolies are, however, accentuated <strong>in</strong> develop<strong>in</strong>g countriesby the firms’ supranational authority which compromises national sovereignty <strong>and</strong> allowsmanagers to impose authoritarian régimes of <strong>in</strong>dustrial relations at the work place. Thelimited transformations of <strong>Africa</strong>n economies by transnational capital produced a small labourforce, unable to <strong>in</strong>fluence the state to regulate the anti-worker practices of mult<strong>in</strong>ationalcompanies. Most decisions are taken by employers with little or no <strong>in</strong>put from the work force.The pr<strong>in</strong>ciples of collective barga<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g are poorly developed as many unions still grapple withthe problems of recognition <strong>and</strong> organization <strong>and</strong> the right to participate <strong>in</strong> the determ<strong>in</strong>ation4


of work<strong>in</strong>g conditions. Industrial disputes are more often resolved by methods of co-optation<strong>and</strong> repression than by democratic persuasion <strong>and</strong> barga<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g. 1The second mode of accumulation highlights the way dom<strong>in</strong>ant groups <strong>in</strong> the economy <strong>and</strong>society appropriate rent through the state. Transnational <strong>and</strong> local firms may comb<strong>in</strong>e theformal modes of surplus appropriation with the siphon<strong>in</strong>g of public resources. Neo-classicalpolitical economists associate economic distortions <strong>in</strong> develop<strong>in</strong>g economies with theemergence of powerful urban coalitions who use their privileged access to state resources toexploit rural communities (Bates, 1981; Lofchie, 1989). Rent-seek<strong>in</strong>g activities, it is argued,cause develop<strong>in</strong>g economies to operate at sub-optimal levels (Bhagwati, 1982; Buchanan,1980).Tornquist has analyzed, at the wider political context, the different types of rent-seek<strong>in</strong>gactivities employed by various socio-political groups <strong>in</strong> India <strong>and</strong> Indonesia <strong>and</strong> theirimplications for authoritarian <strong>and</strong> democratic forms of rule (Tornquist, 1988). Toyo <strong>and</strong> Iyayi,exam<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g the phenomenon <strong>in</strong> Nigeria, demonstrate that rent capitalism, which they callprimitive accumulation, takes the form of contract <strong>in</strong>flation, the appropriation <strong>and</strong>valorization of l<strong>and</strong>, <strong>and</strong> the use of bureaucratic positions for corrupt enrichment (Toyo, 1985;Iyayi, 1986). Patron-client relations, sometimes ethnic based, but often cross-national, arebuilt <strong>in</strong>to the alliances for the control <strong>and</strong> adm<strong>in</strong>istration of state power. Ibrahim has shownhow the methods described by Toyo <strong>and</strong> Iyayi were used by the lead<strong>in</strong>g groups <strong>in</strong> the rul<strong>in</strong>gNational Party of Nigeria to consolidate their grip on the political system of Nigeria’s SecondRepublic (Ibrahim, 1988). The state became a central organ <strong>in</strong> private accumulation <strong>and</strong> classformation. It is <strong>in</strong> this sense that Ake talks about the over-politicization of <strong>Africa</strong>n economies(Ake, 1987). The state is subjected to non-Weberian values of irrationality, <strong>in</strong>efficiency <strong>and</strong>disorder. Constitutionalism <strong>and</strong> the rule of law, central to democratic politics, fails to takeroot <strong>in</strong> the body politic.The petty commodity sector presents a contradictory picture. Its authoritarian character isdiscussed ma<strong>in</strong>ly <strong>in</strong> the context of its <strong>in</strong>corporation <strong>in</strong>to the modern economy. I use theconcept of petty commodity production <strong>in</strong> a broad sense to cover activities <strong>in</strong> which producersare basically self-employed, rely on family or non-waged labour, <strong>and</strong> use rudimentary tools<strong>and</strong> skills to susta<strong>in</strong> their livelihood. These activities embody several complex social relations<strong>and</strong> straddle both urban <strong>and</strong> rural areas. They <strong>in</strong>clude peasant production <strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong>formal sectoractivities. Colonial historiography traces the constra<strong>in</strong>ts on <strong>Africa</strong>n development to thetraditional values embedded <strong>in</strong> the social practices of the actors <strong>in</strong> these enterprises.A more sophisticated version of the thesis comb<strong>in</strong>es fragments of historical materialism withmodernization theory to highlight the resilience of the “peasant mode of production”, <strong>and</strong> theneed for a proper capitalist revolution to overcome the problems of underdevelopment,corruption <strong>and</strong> authoritarianism (Hyden, 1983). “Tribalism”, an impediment to democracy<strong>and</strong> accumulation, is understood to be a direct attribute of the “relations of affection”, rooted<strong>in</strong> “pre-capitalist” values <strong>and</strong> practices. The contemporary <strong>Africa</strong>n state is projected as apathetically poor modernizer as it has failed to “capture” the small-scale producers buried <strong>in</strong>these “relations of affection”.Other scholars <strong>and</strong> peasant-oriented activists contend that some of the essential values ofsmall-scale farm<strong>in</strong>g societies are conducive to the growth of a democratic culture <strong>and</strong> practice(Berg-Schlosser, 1985). Nyerere based his strategy of Ujamma, for <strong>in</strong>stance, on the“democratic” <strong>and</strong> growth potentials of peasant social relations (Nyerere, 1967). Informal1 I make no dist<strong>in</strong>ction between local <strong>and</strong> foreign capital <strong>in</strong> terms of the organizational practices oftheir enterprises <strong>and</strong> their policies toward labour. In fact, several studies have shown that <strong>in</strong>digenousfirms tend to be more contemptuous of the rights of workers to form labour unions. See, for <strong>in</strong>stance,Olukoshi, 1986.5


democratic processes are, undoubtedly, present <strong>in</strong> many peasant societies, expressedspecifically <strong>in</strong> the way collective decisions are taken <strong>in</strong> the governance of common resources<strong>and</strong> the resolution of conflicts. Others with a neo-liberal outlook argue that the proliferation ofnon-governmental organizations <strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong>dependent small-scale producers, follow<strong>in</strong>g the crisis<strong>and</strong> market reforms, will eventually provide the foundations for the establishment ofdemocracy (Bratton, 1989a,b).Both perspectives ignore the way petty commodity activities have been structured historically,be<strong>in</strong>g subjected to various layers of authority as capitalism <strong>and</strong> the state penetrate thecountryside. The limitations of Hyden’s central concepts <strong>and</strong> thesis have already beenexposed by a host of authors (Williams, 1987; Kasfir, 1986; Mamdani, 1985; Cliffe, 1987;Beckman, 1988; Himmelstr<strong>and</strong>, 1989). The optimism of the neo-liberals <strong>in</strong> see<strong>in</strong>g the<strong>in</strong>formal sector as the vanguard for democracy <strong>and</strong> for surviv<strong>in</strong>g the <strong>Africa</strong>n crisis is alsobe<strong>in</strong>g seriously challenged (Meager, 1990; Mustapha, 1990).Mamdani has shown, with particular reference to Ug<strong>and</strong>a, the rigidities <strong>in</strong> agrarian socialrelations brought about by the undemocratic character of the rural power structures(Mamdani, 1986 <strong>and</strong> 1987). Similar studies for other countries show the authoritarian contentof the structures that pull the peasantry <strong>in</strong>to the national economies <strong>and</strong> the world market. The<strong>in</strong>terests of the groups that dom<strong>in</strong>ate transnational monopolies <strong>and</strong> state projects hold sway <strong>in</strong>the petty commodity sector. Such <strong>in</strong>terests block the development of the democratic potentialof <strong>in</strong>dependent small-scale production. The values of communal life are manipulated by thedom<strong>in</strong>ant groups to susta<strong>in</strong> support for their struggles over political offices <strong>and</strong> economicresources. Hyden’s “tribalists”, far from be<strong>in</strong>g the product of “pre-capitalist relations ofaffection”, are rather the creation of modern conditions <strong>and</strong> activities (Mamdani, 1985; Eke,1975). Patron-client relations regulate peasant production <strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong>comes <strong>and</strong> facilitate theadm<strong>in</strong>istration of state power. Clientelism prevents self-development <strong>and</strong> social<strong>in</strong>dependence, critical for the construction of democracy.1.4 The basis for democratic strugglesThe authoritarian thrust of the three forms of accumulation is, however, not <strong>in</strong>contestable.Disadvantaged social groups challenge authoritarian rule <strong>and</strong> advance alternative, sometimesdemocratic, forms of politics. I try to capture the structural basis of such struggles <strong>in</strong> thecontradictions that are <strong>in</strong>herent <strong>in</strong> three forms of accumulation. Pressures for democratizationare not exclusively conf<strong>in</strong>ed to the politics of subord<strong>in</strong>ate groups. Bus<strong>in</strong>ess groups may alsoplay active roles <strong>in</strong> democratization, depend<strong>in</strong>g on the chang<strong>in</strong>g nature of the forms ofaccumulation <strong>and</strong> the capacity of the political system to manage conflicts between thedom<strong>in</strong>ant groups.Tornquist has argued that <strong>in</strong> discussions on classes <strong>and</strong> democracy, it is more important tohighlight “how capitalists...try to ga<strong>in</strong> <strong>and</strong> protect their economic strength” than to emphasize,as Mart<strong>in</strong>ussen does <strong>in</strong> his study on India <strong>and</strong> Pakistan (Mart<strong>in</strong>ussen, 1980), the strength ofthe national bourgeoisie <strong>and</strong> its political forms of organization (Tornquist, 1985). Thedependence of Indonesian capitalists, <strong>and</strong> by extension their Pakistani counterparts, on rentseek<strong>in</strong>gactivities is <strong>in</strong>terpreted as the basis for the failure of democracy <strong>in</strong> both societies. But<strong>in</strong> countries such as South Korea <strong>and</strong> Taiwan, prov<strong>in</strong>ce of Ch<strong>in</strong>a, where wage labour has beensufficiently generalized <strong>and</strong> where vital sectors of <strong>in</strong>dustry are manned by skilled employees,entrepreneurs may be forced to accommodate the popular pressures for democracy as a tradeofffor <strong>in</strong>dustrial stability (L<strong>in</strong>dstrom, 1989; Cheng, 1989). Most countries of <strong>Africa</strong> share thePakistani <strong>and</strong> Indonesian characteristics. The popular classes may become the primary forcefor democratization <strong>in</strong> such societies.But how does one conceptualize the basis for democratization <strong>in</strong> order not to arrive atdeterm<strong>in</strong>istic formulations? How do pressures for authoritarianism <strong>and</strong> democracy translate6


themselves at the level of civil society <strong>and</strong> the state? Barr<strong>in</strong>gton Moore has demonstrated thata s<strong>in</strong>gle mode of accumulation, situated with<strong>in</strong> specific historical contexts, can give rise tocomplex patterns of societal development, <strong>and</strong> that it is the latter that is the primarydeterm<strong>in</strong>ant of the political forms of organization (Moore, 1966). Moore’s work shares someaff<strong>in</strong>ity with Gramsci’s, whose major contribution to democratic theory is his retrieval of theconcept of civil society, which Marx had, follow<strong>in</strong>g its dom<strong>in</strong>ant usage at the time, equatedwith material relations. Gramsci situates civil society outside the realm of both materialrelations <strong>and</strong> state power. Yet <strong>in</strong> contradist<strong>in</strong>ction to liberal thought, he sees civil society asthe “soft underbelly of the capitalist system” (Pelczynski, 1988). Civil society offers thepopular classes an opportunity to deny the rul<strong>in</strong>g class hegemony <strong>in</strong> the realm of ideas, values<strong>and</strong> culture, as a basis for the ultimate seizure of power <strong>and</strong> the transformation of capitalistproperty relations <strong>and</strong> the state. The emphasis Gramsci places on civil society has led manycritics to counterpoise his theory of politics to that of Marx (Bobbio, 1988).I argue that the basis for authoritarian rule should be located primarily at the level of materialrelations, which <strong>in</strong> the framework I have sketched, represents the contradictions <strong>in</strong> the formsof accumulation. But the dynamics of authoritarian rule <strong>and</strong> struggles for democratizationdevelop at the level of civil society. Workers organize themselves <strong>in</strong>to unions <strong>and</strong> contest thepower of transnational capital at the work place <strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong> the wider society. The defence ofseem<strong>in</strong>gly economic <strong>in</strong>terests – wages <strong>and</strong> welfare – draws workers <strong>and</strong> their unions <strong>in</strong>to thearena of democratic politics. They dem<strong>and</strong> for accountability, <strong>in</strong>dependent union organization<strong>and</strong> the right to free expression <strong>and</strong> collective barga<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g, critical for the resolution of wage<strong>and</strong> welfare disputes.Similarly, rent-seek<strong>in</strong>g activities generate their own <strong>in</strong>tractable problems. Firstly, theexpansion of state expenditure creates a public-sector labour force which shares similarconcerns with workers <strong>in</strong> transnational firms for the establishment of <strong>in</strong>stitutionalizedframeworks to promote reasonable work<strong>in</strong>g conditions. Secondly, state capitalism creates alarge middle class of teachers, journalists, lawyers, doctors <strong>and</strong> students, who yearn forprofessional competence <strong>and</strong> autonomy. Thirdly, the state itself may be caught up <strong>in</strong> a “fiscalcrisis” that is structural, hav<strong>in</strong>g to defend both the dem<strong>and</strong>s of accumulation <strong>and</strong> the need forpublic revenue (O’Connor, 1973).Rent-seek<strong>in</strong>g activities may compound the fiscal crisis of the state, <strong>and</strong> may threaten the jobs,<strong>in</strong>comes <strong>and</strong> work<strong>in</strong>g conditions of the groups that owe their livelihood to the public sector.Such groups are likely to be critical, <strong>in</strong> the long run, of corruption, <strong>in</strong>efficiency <strong>and</strong>mismanagement. Rent-seek<strong>in</strong>g methods become illegitimate as the perpetrators of corruption,usually discredited rul<strong>in</strong>g groups <strong>and</strong> private entrepreneurs, come under public censure.Probes on corruption are, <strong>in</strong> fact, very common <strong>in</strong> contemporary <strong>Africa</strong>n politics. They openup possibilities for the democratic allocation of resources.F<strong>in</strong>ally, the politics of patronage at the sphere of petty commodity production can beunderm<strong>in</strong>ed by the very logic of transnational <strong>and</strong> state capitalist penetration of that sector.Two tendencies may be at work here. The authoritarian structures that <strong>in</strong>corporate peasant <strong>and</strong>small-scale producers <strong>in</strong>to the modern economy may be <strong>in</strong> conflict with the dem<strong>and</strong>s forautonomy, free transactions <strong>and</strong> secure welfare that modes of self-employment usuallygenerate. <strong>Africa</strong>n history is replete with peasant revolts aga<strong>in</strong>st unfair prices, arbitrary l<strong>and</strong>acquisitions <strong>and</strong> authoritarian rule. Similarly, the resultant social differentiation <strong>and</strong> sharp<strong>in</strong>equalities <strong>in</strong> resource use may produce an agricultural labour class <strong>and</strong> new rural alliances,possibly l<strong>in</strong>ked to mass urban social movements, <strong>and</strong> pressures for democratization.7


1.5 The dynamics of authoritarianism <strong>and</strong> democracyThe tensions of authoritarian rule <strong>and</strong> democratization enter the arena of civil society <strong>in</strong> acomplex, rather than <strong>in</strong> a determ<strong>in</strong>istic manner. The dom<strong>in</strong>ance of the rul<strong>in</strong>g class <strong>in</strong>production <strong>and</strong> state activities does not easily translate itself <strong>in</strong>to hegemony <strong>in</strong> the sphere ofcivil society. I use the term hegemony to mean the capacity of rulers to secure compliancefrom the populace through methods that are not explicitly coercive. Disadvantaged groupscan, <strong>and</strong> do, contest attempts to establish rul<strong>in</strong>g class hegemony at the civil terra<strong>in</strong>. Theircapacity to press for democratization does not lie at the productive base, but <strong>in</strong> the wider civilarena where national strategies can be formulated <strong>and</strong> broad coalitions built. Workers’agitations for <strong>in</strong>dustrial democracy become effective only when they are l<strong>in</strong>ked to broaderconcerns for national democracy. For <strong>in</strong>stance, workers’ strikes <strong>in</strong> factories become a centralforce <strong>in</strong> democratization only when such strikes have mean<strong>in</strong>g for broad sections of society.Specific agitations aga<strong>in</strong>st retrenchment <strong>and</strong> decl<strong>in</strong>es <strong>in</strong> real wages may be l<strong>in</strong>ked withpopular dissatisfaction with deteriorat<strong>in</strong>g liv<strong>in</strong>g conditions on a national scale to generatebroad public support. Problems of factory victimization may <strong>in</strong> turn be l<strong>in</strong>ked to wider issuesof organizational autonomy <strong>and</strong> the rule of law.Similarly, the compla<strong>in</strong>ts of teachers, students <strong>and</strong> doctors for better salaries, higher grants,improved work<strong>in</strong>g conditions <strong>and</strong> professional autonomy enter the democratic arena onlywhen such issues are l<strong>in</strong>ked to national concerns for fall<strong>in</strong>g educational st<strong>and</strong>ards <strong>and</strong> healthfacilities, <strong>and</strong> the general problems of state repression. Such l<strong>in</strong>kages br<strong>in</strong>g unionist <strong>and</strong>professional agitations <strong>in</strong>to the wider civil sphere, <strong>and</strong> may give rise to issue-oriented pressuregroups <strong>and</strong> national alliances for democratization. Such alliances may encompass a variety ofsocial groups such as fractions of the dom<strong>in</strong>ant power blocs, <strong>and</strong> ethnic, gender,environmental <strong>and</strong> religious social movements that feel aggrieved by the exist<strong>in</strong>g distributionof power <strong>and</strong> resources. Issue-oriented pressure groups may, <strong>in</strong> fact, play key roles <strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>itiat<strong>in</strong>g <strong>and</strong> susta<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g the dem<strong>and</strong>s for democracy.The capacity of state authorities <strong>and</strong> rul<strong>in</strong>g classes to establish hegemony <strong>in</strong> civil societydepends on their record of political legitimation <strong>and</strong> their ability to improve the quality of lifeof major sections of the population. Failures exacerbate the crisis of legitimation, erode socialhegemony <strong>and</strong> strengthen the forces press<strong>in</strong>g for democratization. Once democratization iswidely perceived as a viable mode for regulat<strong>in</strong>g social <strong>and</strong> political conflicts, it ceases to bean exclusive project of any one class or social group. Rul<strong>in</strong>g classes can <strong>in</strong>corporate, for<strong>in</strong>stance, the dem<strong>and</strong>s of subord<strong>in</strong>ate groups <strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong>fluence the democratization process. Thismay be a strategy to resolve differences among the dom<strong>in</strong>ant power blocs <strong>and</strong> to blunt themilitant dem<strong>and</strong>s of the popular groups.Conversely, leaders of dom<strong>in</strong>ated groups may employ authoritarian practices <strong>in</strong> conduct<strong>in</strong>gthe affairs of their organizations <strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong> resist<strong>in</strong>g the policies of bus<strong>in</strong>ess managers <strong>and</strong> thepower élite. Such strategies may weaken the democratic project even though they may alsoforce policy makers <strong>and</strong> managers to opt for democratic concessions. We end up with anarticulation of a multiplicity of values <strong>and</strong> strategies, travers<strong>in</strong>g the authoritarian-democraticdivide, but with the dom<strong>in</strong>ant political values determ<strong>in</strong>ed by the balance of social <strong>and</strong>political forces.There is noth<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> the modes of accumulation of <strong>Africa</strong>n societies that prevents social groupsfrom struggl<strong>in</strong>g for democracy. What we have <strong>in</strong>stead are obstacles to the realization of stabledemocratic rule. But these obstacles themselves are not fixed <strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong>contestable s<strong>in</strong>ce theyengender antithetical forms of political behaviour <strong>in</strong> the contestants for public resources <strong>and</strong>state power.8


1.6 Structural pre-conditions for stable <strong>and</strong> susta<strong>in</strong>able democracyI make a dist<strong>in</strong>ction between conditions for susta<strong>in</strong>able democracy <strong>and</strong> the struggles fordemocracy. The latter, as we have seen, can be located at the level of the contradictions ofauthoritarianism, rooted <strong>in</strong> the dynamics of accumulation <strong>and</strong> civil society. Democraticstruggles do not necessarily lead to stable democratic rule. The triumph of democracy, <strong>and</strong> itsconsolidation, not its fleet<strong>in</strong>g appearances, may require some changes <strong>in</strong> the organization ofthe patterns of accumulation themselves.I focus the discussion on the structural conditions, leav<strong>in</strong>g out st<strong>and</strong>ard explanations based on<strong>in</strong>dividualism, market <strong>in</strong>dustrialization, political culture <strong>and</strong> multi-ethnic pluralism that litterthe literature on pre-conditions for democracy <strong>in</strong> develop<strong>in</strong>g countries. These provide at bestpartial explanations to the problem. The bulk of liberal democratic theory surely establishes aclose relationship between the economy – referred to as levels of development – <strong>and</strong> stabledemocratic rule (Lipset, 1983; Dahl, 1971; Hunt<strong>in</strong>gton, 1984; Vanhanen, 1989). Levels ofdevelopment are, however, located outside the context of forms of appropriation <strong>and</strong> methodsof production, restricted primarily to questions of <strong>in</strong>comes, resource distribution <strong>and</strong> welfare.When such scholars attempt to <strong>in</strong>tegrate forms of accumulation <strong>and</strong> social classes <strong>in</strong>to theiranalysis, as Diamond does <strong>in</strong> his study of the collapse of Nigeria’s First Republic, rul<strong>in</strong>gclasses are reduced to élites <strong>and</strong> politicians, <strong>and</strong> the process of surplus appropriation isrestricted to the rent-seek<strong>in</strong>g state capitalist type (Diamond, L<strong>in</strong>z <strong>and</strong> Lipset, 1988). There isan additional normative dimension to liberal theory which renders it less useful to the analysisof Third World experiences. Theorists tend to work their way backwards by identify<strong>in</strong>g theend values of democracy <strong>in</strong> Western societies – tolerance, moderation, loyal opposition, etc.(Powell, 1982; Pye <strong>and</strong> Verba, 1965). How such values can be developed <strong>in</strong> societies markedby <strong>in</strong>tolerance, violence <strong>and</strong> polarization is left largely unexpla<strong>in</strong>ed.I am primarily concerned with the material, structural conditions that are favourable for stabledemocratic rule. I break down the framework of modes of accumulation <strong>in</strong>to six models,reflect<strong>in</strong>g the way changes <strong>in</strong> the forms <strong>and</strong> modes of accumulation condition thedevelopment of democratic <strong>and</strong> authoritarian practices. By changes <strong>in</strong> forms of accumulationI mean either the <strong>in</strong>tensification of a particular mode or its weaken<strong>in</strong>g. Thus we can have asan example an <strong>in</strong>tensification of transnational capitalist production (TCP) <strong>and</strong> rent-seek<strong>in</strong>gstate capitalism (RSC), <strong>and</strong> a weaken<strong>in</strong>g of petty commodity production (PCP). Based on thisexample, we end up with six models of forms accumulation: these are illustrated <strong>in</strong> Table 1.Table 1Illustrative models of forms of accumulationModelForms of accumulationABCDEThe <strong>in</strong>tensification of TCP; <strong>and</strong> the weaken<strong>in</strong>g of RSC <strong>and</strong> PCPThe <strong>in</strong>tensification of TCP <strong>and</strong> PCP; <strong>and</strong> the weaken<strong>in</strong>g of RSCThe <strong>in</strong>tensification of TCP <strong>and</strong> RSC; <strong>and</strong> the weaken<strong>in</strong>g of PCPThe <strong>in</strong>tensification of RSC <strong>and</strong> PCP; <strong>and</strong> the weaken<strong>in</strong>g of TCPThe <strong>in</strong>tensification of RSC; <strong>and</strong> the weaken<strong>in</strong>g of TCP <strong>and</strong> PCPF The <strong>in</strong>tensification of PCP; <strong>and</strong> the weaken<strong>in</strong>g of TCP <strong>and</strong> RSCNote: Two other permutations have been ruled out <strong>in</strong> this schema, viz. the simultaneous <strong>in</strong>tensificationor weaken<strong>in</strong>g of all three forms of accumulation. It is assumed that if TCP is be<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>tensified it may leadeither to the weaken<strong>in</strong>g of PCP <strong>and</strong> RSC, or to an <strong>in</strong>tensification of PCP <strong>and</strong> a weaken<strong>in</strong>g of RSC, or toan <strong>in</strong>tensification of RSC <strong>and</strong> a weaken<strong>in</strong>g of PCP. Similarly, it is assumed that if PCP is weaken<strong>in</strong>g,TCP <strong>and</strong> RSC may either be <strong>in</strong>tensify<strong>in</strong>g, or TCP alone is <strong>in</strong>tensify<strong>in</strong>g, or RSC is <strong>in</strong>tensify<strong>in</strong>g <strong>and</strong> TCP isweaken<strong>in</strong>g.9


I group A, B <strong>and</strong> C as models of economic expansion; <strong>and</strong> D, E <strong>and</strong> F as models of economiccrisis. Models of expansion do not rule out possibilities of crisis. In fact, crisis is embedded <strong>in</strong>all the models, given the problems usually associated with markets, state <strong>in</strong>terventions <strong>and</strong>mixed systems of accumulation. I do not discuss specific cyclical crisis situations. A model ofexpansion <strong>in</strong> this context represents positive structural transformations, <strong>and</strong> a model of crisisis associated with negative structural changes. The two deal with development processes thatlead to qualitative changes <strong>in</strong> forms of accumulation. In this context negative structuralchanges can experience periods of positive growth. These models are illustrated <strong>in</strong> thefollow<strong>in</strong>g scale:+3 +2 +1 0 -1 -2 -3A B C D E FThe focus on forms of accumulation <strong>in</strong> construct<strong>in</strong>g the models obviously downplays othercrucial variables like resource endowment <strong>and</strong> class structure – some would say it leaves themout completely. The theoretical focus is, of course, to establish a l<strong>in</strong>kage between forms ofaccumulation <strong>and</strong> political systems that can be classified as either democratic or authoritarian.In any case, some of the other variables, though not explicitly treated, could be deduced fromthe six models which, <strong>in</strong> a way, give us some idea of different patterns <strong>and</strong> levels ofdevelopment. I relate changes <strong>in</strong> forms of accumulation to questions of rural-urban<strong>in</strong>tegration, the nature of system-ma<strong>in</strong>tenance social contracts, the provision of publicwelfare, <strong>and</strong> the dynamics of state-civil society relations. These represent the crucial factors <strong>in</strong>establish<strong>in</strong>g whether <strong>Africa</strong>n countries can experience authoritarian or democratic rule. Imake no attempt, however, to develop quantifiable variables around these issues. I highlightthe qualitative l<strong>in</strong>ks between these issues <strong>and</strong> authoritarianism/democracy <strong>in</strong> Table 2.Table 2Forms of accumulation <strong>and</strong> socio-political systemsForms ofaccumulationRural-urban<strong>in</strong>tegrationWelfareSocialsystemA very high very high social contract(corporate)State/civilsocietyautonomouscivil societyB moderate moderate/high patron-client regulatedcivil societyC moderate high social contract(controlled)/patron-clientD low low collaps<strong>in</strong>gsocialcontract/resurgence ofk<strong>in</strong>ship ties<strong>and</strong> self<strong>in</strong>terestEFlow/extremedualismcollapsedmoderneconomyvery lowcollectivek<strong>in</strong>ship familywelfarecollapsedsocial contractfragmentedk<strong>in</strong>ship tiesstate/partcontrol of civilsociety<strong>in</strong>tensepressures forautonomy ofcivil society<strong>in</strong>tensepressures forautonomy ofcivil societyfusion of state<strong>and</strong> civilsocietyPotentialpoliticalsystemliberaldemocracyclientelistdemocracyauthoritarianauthoritarianauthoritarianauthoritarian/<strong>in</strong>formaldemocracyThe peasant question, which is at the heart of rural-urban <strong>in</strong>tegration, is central to anydiscussion of democracy <strong>in</strong> <strong>Africa</strong> s<strong>in</strong>ce most people live <strong>in</strong> rural areas <strong>and</strong> depend on10


agriculture for their ma<strong>in</strong> source of livelihood. Rural populations are the major source ofnational food supplies, export revenues <strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong>dustrial development (Barraclough, 1990;Mamdani, 1986 <strong>and</strong> 1987). By rural-urban <strong>in</strong>tegration, I underst<strong>and</strong> the process of susta<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>gthe economic, social <strong>and</strong> political life of rural communities, lead<strong>in</strong>g to a transformation of thestructures of dualism that have underp<strong>in</strong>ned all facets of rural-urban relations. Low levels ofnational <strong>in</strong>tegration restrict democratization to an urban phenomenon, relegate peasants to thefr<strong>in</strong>ges of civil society, <strong>and</strong> underm<strong>in</strong>es their ability to develop national strategies <strong>and</strong> enter<strong>in</strong>to broad democratic coalitions.The alienation of rural societies from the ma<strong>in</strong>stream of national life exposes the peasantry tocont<strong>in</strong>ued manipulation from state authorities <strong>and</strong> rural/urban patrons, anxious to ma<strong>in</strong>ta<strong>in</strong>authoritarian forms of rule. Solv<strong>in</strong>g the rural-urban dilemma may, <strong>in</strong> fact, provide the basisfor com<strong>in</strong>g to terms with the problems of unbalanced ethnic <strong>and</strong> regional development. Theresolution of this dilemma should obviously give prom<strong>in</strong>ence to the transformation of theregulatory mechanisms that have underm<strong>in</strong>ed the <strong>in</strong>dependence of petty producers, <strong>and</strong>provide support for the dynamics of petty accumulation. This boils down to a question ofmak<strong>in</strong>g economic development <strong>and</strong> democracy national projects, as opposed to the currentpractice where they are ma<strong>in</strong>ly an urban phenomenon dom<strong>in</strong>ated by the power élites. Table 2shows how this issue is related to the six different models of accumulation.A stable <strong>and</strong> susta<strong>in</strong>able democracy must also be able to create a social system that willaccommodate the conflict<strong>in</strong>g claims of diverse groups <strong>in</strong> society. The social groups rema<strong>in</strong>committed to the fundamentals of the exist<strong>in</strong>g order while compet<strong>in</strong>g, sometimes militantly,for overall dom<strong>in</strong>ance. Classical liberalism relies on the depoliticiz<strong>in</strong>g functions of the marketas the bedrock for the construction of such a stable social order. The hegemony of thecapitalist class is presented as anonymous <strong>and</strong> the losses <strong>in</strong>flicted by the market ondisadvantaged groups is <strong>in</strong>terpreted as a natural fate which can befall all <strong>in</strong>dividuals(Lawrence, 1989). In this context, liberals see democracy as the natural political shell ofcapitalism.There is, however, no natural correspondence between capitalism <strong>and</strong> democracy (Therbon,1977). All capitalist economies, however advanced, must devise social systems that willsusta<strong>in</strong> democratic rule. Such systems must provide welfare/economic support, howevercontestable, for the deprived majority to exercise their formal democratic rights, which <strong>in</strong> turnshould allow them to susta<strong>in</strong> <strong>and</strong> develop their livelihood aspirations. Western democracieswere consolidated <strong>in</strong> the post-1945 period with the construction of welfare states. Socialdemocratic parties provided political leadership to restless workers <strong>and</strong> deprived groups tousher <strong>in</strong> the so-called “historic class compromise”. Social democracy has strong built-<strong>in</strong>elements of corporatism as governments try to balance the conflict<strong>in</strong>g dem<strong>and</strong>s of unions <strong>and</strong>the organized private sector. The lead<strong>in</strong>g actors <strong>and</strong> their organizations barga<strong>in</strong> with the stateas <strong>in</strong>dependent entities but their co-optation <strong>in</strong>to the policy apparatus entails majorcompromises, <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g the regulation of the behaviour of their members (Cawson, 1989;Carter, 1989).The corporate type of social control is contrasted with social contracts <strong>in</strong> which the rul<strong>in</strong>gauthorities def<strong>in</strong>e the rules <strong>and</strong> regulate the participation of the other contestants. Invariablythe contend<strong>in</strong>g social actors are denied autonomous political space to canvass for the views<strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong>terests of their members. The social contract is top-down <strong>and</strong> authoritarian. Despite itsauthoritarian character, its legitimacy may rest on relatively high levels of welfare. The levelof this type of welfare may be lower than the corporate type because of the low level ofdevelopment <strong>and</strong> the political constra<strong>in</strong>ts imposed on the barga<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g positions of social actors.Another type of social control is patron-client arrangements which can operate <strong>in</strong> both formaldemocracies <strong>and</strong> authoritarian systems. Where patron-client relations susta<strong>in</strong> democratic rule,the contend<strong>in</strong>g groups <strong>and</strong> their organizations may enjoy formal autonomy, but the political11


authorities may co-opt the leadership or <strong>in</strong>troduce policies that compromise the politicaleffectiveness of the groups. Public welfare supports the patronage system even though suchwelfare does not need to be as high as <strong>in</strong> the other systems of social control. The relativefreedom of the groups frees the rul<strong>in</strong>g authorities from defend<strong>in</strong>g a costly social contract. Thestate then relies on the fragmented rural communities, through patron-client networks, tocounter the political weight of the urban groups. Where patron-client relations are used tobuttress authoritarianism, the social groups lose their formal <strong>in</strong>dependence, but they may becompensated with relatively higher expenditure on welfare to susta<strong>in</strong> compliance.1.7 Models of accumulation <strong>and</strong> political systemsModel A creates conditions for the emergence of susta<strong>in</strong>able liberal democracy. Rent-seek<strong>in</strong>gactivities become less central to the bus<strong>in</strong>ess practices of the private monopolies <strong>and</strong> the localentrepreneurs. The private capitalist sector exp<strong>and</strong>s <strong>and</strong> transforms the petty commodityenterprises. Some of the groups <strong>in</strong> this sector are transformed <strong>in</strong>to wage workers, others jo<strong>in</strong>the ranks of the power élite or rema<strong>in</strong> as peasants, but with susta<strong>in</strong>able agricultural systems.The disparities between town <strong>and</strong> country are reduced. Economic expansion encourages theestablishment of <strong>in</strong>tegrated rural enterprises. Corruption is m<strong>in</strong>imized, resources are“rationally” allocated, classes mature, <strong>and</strong> patron-clientelism is checked. The authoritarianismassociated with monopolies is restra<strong>in</strong>ed by broaden<strong>in</strong>g the social base of the firms <strong>and</strong> bymak<strong>in</strong>g extensive economic <strong>and</strong> political concessions to the dom<strong>in</strong>ated groups at the workplace <strong>and</strong> civil society <strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong> the adm<strong>in</strong>istration of state power. This may necessitate theestablishment of a corporate social contract. The nature of the concessions <strong>and</strong> the characterof the democracy may vary accord<strong>in</strong>g to the specific dem<strong>and</strong>s of the social forces.In model B the excesses of rent-seek<strong>in</strong>g activities have either been checked or m<strong>in</strong>imized.The state tends to act more rationally, <strong>in</strong> a developmental way, but largely <strong>in</strong> defence ofprivate capital. Industrial monopolies <strong>and</strong> capitalist agriculture are, however, not strongenough to transform the petty commodity sector. Although the state is still open tomanipulation from privileged groups, the political élites <strong>in</strong>sist on some rational legal order <strong>in</strong>regulat<strong>in</strong>g conflicts of <strong>in</strong>terests <strong>in</strong> the economy. The limited nature of transnational capital<strong>and</strong> the checks imposed on rent-seek<strong>in</strong>g activities forces social groups <strong>in</strong> the modern sector toma<strong>in</strong>ta<strong>in</strong> an active presence <strong>in</strong> the petty commodity sector. Patron-client relations thrive. Themodel allows for some k<strong>in</strong>d of clientelist democracy, such as those operat<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> Botswana,Senegal <strong>and</strong> the Gambia. The patronage social order acts as a constra<strong>in</strong>t on the relatively freesocial <strong>and</strong> political organizations to effectively challenge governmental authority. Suchconstra<strong>in</strong>ts limit the development of civil society.In Botswana, for <strong>in</strong>stance, the rul<strong>in</strong>g Botswana Democratic Party makes use of traditionalpolitical systems such as the kgotla to legitimize its rule <strong>and</strong> blunt the effectiveness ofopposition parties (Molokomme, 1989; Holm, 1988). High levels of susta<strong>in</strong>ed growth haveallowed the régime to raise <strong>in</strong>comes, provide public welfare <strong>and</strong> support rural schemes thatbenefit peasant farmers – the backbone of its patronage network. Weak work<strong>in</strong>g class <strong>and</strong>professional groups make less critical dem<strong>and</strong>s on the political system.The rul<strong>in</strong>g Union Progressiste Sénégalaise transformed itself from an authoritarian <strong>in</strong>to a“social democratic” party between 1978 <strong>and</strong> 1983. It attempted to <strong>in</strong>fuse greater rationality <strong>in</strong>the adm<strong>in</strong>istration of the state <strong>and</strong> economy by <strong>in</strong>sist<strong>in</strong>g on public accountability <strong>and</strong>cleans<strong>in</strong>g the party <strong>and</strong> state apparatus of corruption. But <strong>in</strong> order to adm<strong>in</strong>ister its highlycontested democracy it has had to depend on the old patronage system that co-opts themarabouts, the ma<strong>in</strong> social <strong>and</strong> political force <strong>in</strong> the countryside, <strong>in</strong>to the policy-mak<strong>in</strong>gapparatus (Coulon, 1988). But, whereas Botswana has been able to susta<strong>in</strong> its clientelistdemocracy without much opposition, that of Senegal is undergo<strong>in</strong>g serious stress. In recenttimes, opposition political parties <strong>and</strong> urban-based groups have challenged the dom<strong>in</strong>ance ofthe rul<strong>in</strong>g party. It would seem Senegal’s economic crisis is erod<strong>in</strong>g the rul<strong>in</strong>g party’s ability12


to oil its patronage mach<strong>in</strong>e <strong>and</strong> govern without much coercion. Botswana on the other h<strong>and</strong>has one of the fastest grow<strong>in</strong>g economies <strong>in</strong> <strong>Africa</strong>. Its growth rests, however, on potentiallyshaky m<strong>in</strong>eral revenues, whose collapse may stra<strong>in</strong> the patronage system that underp<strong>in</strong>s itsfledgl<strong>in</strong>g democracy.Model C represents an economy <strong>in</strong> rapid transition to capitalism, where rent-seek<strong>in</strong>gactivities play crucial roles <strong>in</strong> support<strong>in</strong>g private capital. Most <strong>Africa</strong>n economies werelaunched on this path of development at <strong>in</strong>dependence. <strong>Authoritarian</strong> rule accompanied suchexpansion. We analyze the details of this development <strong>and</strong> that of model D <strong>in</strong> the next sectiondeal<strong>in</strong>g with “stages <strong>in</strong> the struggles for democracy”. Here it is significant to po<strong>in</strong>t out thatvarious authoritarian ideologies – negritude, authenticity, <strong>Africa</strong>n socialism – <strong>and</strong> politicalrégimes such as military <strong>and</strong> one-party dictatorships were devised to push the frontiers ofaccumulation <strong>and</strong> ma<strong>in</strong>ta<strong>in</strong> a firm grip on the political process.Model D represents an economy <strong>in</strong> crisis. There is de-<strong>in</strong>dustrialization, excessive pilfer<strong>in</strong>g ofpublic resources <strong>and</strong> dependence on the petty commodity sector for social reproduction. Thefiscal crisis <strong>and</strong> adjustment measures <strong>in</strong>troduced to cope with the recession lead to furtherrepression as disaffected groups try to resist them. The social contract comes underconsiderable stress. Pressures for democratization <strong>in</strong>tensify. This may even lead to theestablishment of democratic governments as <strong>in</strong> many Lat<strong>in</strong> American countries that are <strong>in</strong>transition from authoritarian to democratic rule. But stable <strong>and</strong> susta<strong>in</strong>able democracy cannotbe guaranteed without substantial changes <strong>in</strong> the forms of accumulation <strong>and</strong> socio-economicdevelopment.Model E represents an economy <strong>in</strong> deep crisis. De-<strong>in</strong>dustrialization is buttressed by thefailure of the petty commodity sector to absorb the displaced groups <strong>in</strong> the modern sector.Rural-urban relations are marked by extreme dualism. Competition for state power <strong>in</strong>tensifies.<strong>Authoritarian</strong>ism is rife. Individualist solutions flourish, further weaken<strong>in</strong>g the collectivestruggles for democracy. State terror <strong>in</strong>tensifies with the collapse of the social contract <strong>and</strong> thefailure of patron-client relations to check the <strong>in</strong>stability generated by the depression.Model F represents the collapse of the modern economy <strong>and</strong> a return to petty commodityproduction. Economic activity is marked by subsistence production, low levels of exchange<strong>and</strong> barter. Fragmented k<strong>in</strong>ship ties tend to regulate social relations. Collective family <strong>and</strong>k<strong>in</strong>ship support systems take the place of public welfare. Civil society disappears as thepublic <strong>and</strong> private roles of <strong>in</strong>dividuals <strong>and</strong> enterprises become fused. This can lead tomixtures of authoritarian <strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong>formal, village level democracy. Recent scenarios of thewither<strong>in</strong>g away of the <strong>Africa</strong>n state <strong>and</strong> general theories of state decay, <strong>in</strong> a way, fit thismodel of accumulation (Chazan, 1983; S<strong>and</strong>brook, 1985). This perspective does not ignorethe progressive role that has been played by the petty commodity sector <strong>in</strong> most <strong>Africa</strong>nsocieties <strong>in</strong> build<strong>in</strong>g modern states <strong>and</strong> support<strong>in</strong>g the activities of large-scale capital. It isalso the case that <strong>in</strong> the current crisis, <strong>in</strong>formal sector <strong>and</strong> peasant activities provide useful fallback positions for many <strong>in</strong>dividuals <strong>and</strong> households that have been displaced by modernenterprises <strong>and</strong> the state. Some sectors also show some promise <strong>in</strong> provid<strong>in</strong>g a basis forsusta<strong>in</strong>ed economic development. Petty commodity production cannot, however, be viable <strong>in</strong>the absence of a properly function<strong>in</strong>g modern sector.Most <strong>Africa</strong>n countries are currently operat<strong>in</strong>g either model D or E. IMF <strong>and</strong> World Bankprogrammes seek to check the expansion of the state, which they believe is responsible forrent-seek<strong>in</strong>g activities <strong>and</strong> the economic crisis, <strong>and</strong> move the economies to model B <strong>and</strong>eventually to A. But there is the danger that the adjustment programmes will lead tostagnation at D or a movement to E. The scenario of decay<strong>in</strong>g states (F) should also not beruled out. Popular forces may be <strong>in</strong>terested <strong>in</strong> a strategy that pushes the economies to model Bor A <strong>in</strong> order to strengthen their barga<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g positions <strong>in</strong> the new democratic polity. Peasants13


<strong>and</strong> artisans may not be opposed to model B <strong>in</strong> order for them to cont<strong>in</strong>ue to function as pettycommodity producers; whereas workers <strong>and</strong> urban professionals may prefer model A, whichis likely to give them better leverage <strong>in</strong> improv<strong>in</strong>g their liv<strong>in</strong>g conditions <strong>and</strong> political rights.The construction of specific types of democratic systems is, at bottom, an empirical issuewhich depends on the projects social movements <strong>and</strong> rul<strong>in</strong>g classes have set for themselves<strong>and</strong> the obstacles they are likely to face <strong>in</strong> implement<strong>in</strong>g them.The basis for democratization exists <strong>in</strong> all the models but democratic rule cannot be susta<strong>in</strong>ed<strong>in</strong> models C, D, E <strong>and</strong> F. Stable <strong>and</strong> susta<strong>in</strong>able democracy requires some level of economicdevelopment, a viable social contract, <strong>and</strong> the capacity of both dom<strong>in</strong>ant <strong>and</strong> subord<strong>in</strong>ategroups to weaken the monopolistic forms of transnational capital, m<strong>in</strong>imize the role of rentcapitalism <strong>and</strong> transform patron-client relations <strong>in</strong> the petty commodity sector <strong>in</strong>to relations ofself-reliance <strong>and</strong> social <strong>in</strong>dependence.2. Stages <strong>in</strong> the Struggles for <strong>Democracy</strong>In this section I exam<strong>in</strong>e more concretely the <strong>in</strong>terplay of authoritarian <strong>and</strong> democratic rule.Of the six models outl<strong>in</strong>ed only B, C, D <strong>and</strong> perhaps E approximate to concrete <strong>Africa</strong>nexperiences. This excludes the South <strong>Africa</strong>n case, whose forms of accumulation are similarto those of model A, but whose apartheid system has prevented the development of a nationaldemocratic system. In discuss<strong>in</strong>g the stages <strong>in</strong> the struggles for democracy, I focus ma<strong>in</strong>ly onC <strong>and</strong> D. Only a few countries have practiced model B, the clientelist type of democracy. Iam, at this stage, ma<strong>in</strong>ly concerned with general historical patterns. No attempt is made tofocus on any particular country. Needless to add that such broad historical surveys tend tosimplify <strong>and</strong>, <strong>in</strong> some cases, gloss over unique characteristics.The struggle for democracy <strong>in</strong> <strong>Africa</strong> has a complex <strong>and</strong> tortuous history. Democratizationtriumphed at certa<strong>in</strong> historical conjunctures, but it was blocked <strong>and</strong> suppressed <strong>in</strong> otherphases. I identify three stages <strong>in</strong> the contemporary struggles for democracy: thedecolonization period of guided democratization; the post-colonial period of state capitalistexpansion <strong>and</strong> authoritarian rule; <strong>and</strong> the period of economic crisis which is currentlygenerat<strong>in</strong>g pressures for re-democratization. The character of the democratic project differs <strong>in</strong>each period, be<strong>in</strong>g structurally related to the underly<strong>in</strong>g forms of accumulation, the level ofdevelopment of the correspond<strong>in</strong>g civil societies, <strong>and</strong> the nature of the social contracts <strong>and</strong>public welfare.2.1 Decolonization <strong>and</strong> guided democratizationDecolonization <strong>in</strong> much of <strong>Africa</strong> occurred with<strong>in</strong> the context of guided democratization.After much prevarication, the colonial authorities were forced to embrace democracy as astrategy for ma<strong>in</strong>ta<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g core residual <strong>in</strong>terests. It was envisaged that plural forms of politicswould sharpen local differences <strong>and</strong> dilute the militancy of the anti-colonial opposition.Furthermore, the values of <strong>in</strong>dividual self-<strong>in</strong>terest were expected to permeate the social milieuof the lead<strong>in</strong>g nationalists. The emerg<strong>in</strong>g élites, on the other h<strong>and</strong>, saw democracy as astrategy to end their subord<strong>in</strong>ate positions <strong>in</strong> the colonial economy. Educated professionalswanted greater access to state resources <strong>and</strong> an improved st<strong>and</strong>ard of liv<strong>in</strong>g that would reflecttheir tra<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g <strong>and</strong> perceived social status. Those <strong>in</strong> the commercial sector were anxious tobreak the monopolistic power of the colonial banks <strong>and</strong> trad<strong>in</strong>g companies.Subord<strong>in</strong>ate groups also pushed through their own dem<strong>and</strong>s. Workers wanted to have<strong>in</strong>dependent unions to negotiate freely with employers realistic wages <strong>and</strong> benefits that wouldreflect the post-war cost of liv<strong>in</strong>g. Peasants <strong>and</strong> artisans were concerned about improvedprices for their products; <strong>and</strong> students wanted to exp<strong>and</strong> the frontiers of <strong>Africa</strong>n education <strong>and</strong>political power. Democratization provided an <strong>in</strong>stitutional framework for reconcil<strong>in</strong>g theconflict<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>terests thrown up by the authoritarian colonial economy. It checked the14


absolutism of colonial rule by open<strong>in</strong>g up space for popular participation <strong>in</strong> government <strong>and</strong>the rise of <strong>in</strong>dependent organizations.But the authoritarian character of the colonial economy prevented the growth of liberaldemocracy. The colonial state forcibly restructured pre-exist<strong>in</strong>g economies <strong>and</strong> subsequentlyregulated peasant production through monopolistic trad<strong>in</strong>g companies <strong>and</strong> market<strong>in</strong>g boards.The trad<strong>in</strong>g monopolies <strong>and</strong> the state failed to transform the petty commodity sector <strong>and</strong> ruralsociety <strong>in</strong> general. There was also hardly any major form of urban <strong>in</strong>dustrialization.Underdevelopment <strong>and</strong> dependency theory has adequately described the enclave dynamics<strong>and</strong> rural-urban socio-economic disarticulation that <strong>in</strong>formed this type of development. Whatis more, public welfare occupied very low priority <strong>in</strong> the governance of those societies as veryconservative fiscal <strong>and</strong> monetary policies were pursued. Public welfare did not become amajor issue <strong>in</strong> state policy until the structures of decolonization were put <strong>in</strong> place <strong>in</strong> the1940s. 2 Colonial rule was ma<strong>in</strong>ta<strong>in</strong>ed through the use of force <strong>and</strong> the clientelist structures of<strong>in</strong>direct rule.Democratization <strong>and</strong> decolonization took place aga<strong>in</strong>st the background of a poorly developedcivil society. Intense struggles had to be waged over the question of mak<strong>in</strong>g the modern élites<strong>and</strong> their political parties the vanguard <strong>and</strong> pathways to self-government, rather than thetraditional structures of authority which were dom<strong>in</strong>ated by the state (Nordman, 1979).The orig<strong>in</strong>al colonial agenda was subsequently defeated. The struggle for democracy <strong>and</strong> selfrulewas conducted ma<strong>in</strong>ly through the medium of urban-based political parties, communalassociations <strong>and</strong> workers unions. Although a class structure was already discernible, thosewho participated <strong>in</strong> the nationalist struggles did so ma<strong>in</strong>ly as <strong>in</strong>dividuals rather than asrepresentatives of corporate organizations. This was the case whether the actors werejournalists, academics, doctors, students, farmers, artisans or market women. Their respectiveorganizations, where they existed, were poorly developed to advance any viable corporatestrategy. Individuals tended to act almost unilaterally on behalf of their social groups. Theunderdevelopment of civil organizations allowed the educated élites to determ<strong>in</strong>e the directionof decolonization. The élites were the only group with the capacity to pull the disparate socialforces together <strong>and</strong> articulate national development strategies.But democratization also strengthened the alliance between the emerg<strong>in</strong>g élites <strong>and</strong> thecolonial authorities. This facilitated the growth of a nascent local bourgeoisie. It gave the anticolonialalliance a decidedly class character <strong>and</strong> blunted the popular orientation of thedemocratic project. Rather than democratize the colonial economy, the nationalist élites ruledthrough the state monopolies <strong>and</strong> the colonial patronage networks to consolidate <strong>and</strong> exp<strong>and</strong>their economic <strong>and</strong> political power. In Nigeria, for <strong>in</strong>stance, the regionalization of themarket<strong>in</strong>g boards <strong>in</strong> the run up to <strong>in</strong>dependence led to the transfer of accumulated peasantsurpluses <strong>in</strong>to the h<strong>and</strong>s of compet<strong>in</strong>g politicians <strong>and</strong> bus<strong>in</strong>ess groups. Public probes showedhow these resources were plundered by the emerg<strong>in</strong>g dom<strong>in</strong>ant power élite (Osoba, 1978).Decolonization did not fully establish democratic rule, even though the period st<strong>and</strong>s out as amajor l<strong>and</strong>mark <strong>in</strong> democratic experiments <strong>in</strong> <strong>Africa</strong>. Representative governments were<strong>in</strong>troduced <strong>in</strong> controlled stages (Collier, 1982); the right to free expression <strong>and</strong> associationwas coloured with proscriptions, the bann<strong>in</strong>g of radical literature <strong>and</strong> the arrest of activistsconsidered to be too militant for the transition process.2 Riots <strong>in</strong> the West Indies, Mauritius <strong>and</strong> the Gold Coast culm<strong>in</strong>ated <strong>in</strong> the decision by the Britishgovernment to review the Colonial Development Act of 1929. The Watson Report on the riots set thestage for the Colonial Development <strong>and</strong> Welfare Act of 1945. See Parliamentary Comm<strong>and</strong> Papers6174 <strong>and</strong> 6175 (UK) 1940.15


2.2 State capitalist expansion <strong>and</strong> authoritarian ruleThe first decade <strong>and</strong> a half of <strong>in</strong>dependence was remarkable for the emergence of a model ofaccumulation that questioned the limited advances <strong>in</strong> democratization. Elaborate strategieswere formulated by the new rulers, donor agencies <strong>and</strong> the World Bank to accelerate the paceof development. The basic model was <strong>in</strong>fluenced by the dom<strong>in</strong>ant Keynesian-orientedparadigm <strong>in</strong> development economics, which stressed the need for state <strong>in</strong>tervention to correctmarket failures <strong>and</strong> stimulate the process of <strong>in</strong>dustrialization (Taylor <strong>and</strong> Shapiro, 1990). Thestate would use the proceeds of peasant surplus <strong>and</strong> rents from extractive <strong>in</strong>dustries to f<strong>in</strong>ancerégimes of import-substitution <strong>in</strong>dustrialization. Where such surpluses were not enough,donor agencies <strong>and</strong> private foreign capital would provide the extra f<strong>in</strong>ance. The state was tooffer a package of <strong>in</strong>centives to foreign enterprises, subsidize the growth of local capital <strong>and</strong>transform the petty commodity sector. Social expenditure projects were to be launched toprovide basic <strong>in</strong>frastructure for development, <strong>and</strong> to susta<strong>in</strong> the loyalty of the subord<strong>in</strong>ategroups of the anti-colonial alliance. The fledgl<strong>in</strong>g bus<strong>in</strong>ess groups would ultimatelyappropriate a large chunk of the resources of such projects for their own development.The model registered some <strong>in</strong>terest<strong>in</strong>g rates of growth <strong>in</strong> a number of <strong>Africa</strong>n countries,particularly Cameroon, Côte d’Ivoire, Gabon, Kenya, Malawi, <strong>and</strong> Nigeria, prompt<strong>in</strong>g manyMarxists <strong>and</strong> liberal development economists to question the static assumptions <strong>and</strong>predictions of underdevelopment theory. As Mk<strong>and</strong>awire notes, “...Between 1960 <strong>and</strong>1975...<strong>Africa</strong>’s <strong>in</strong>dustry (which) grew at the annual rate of 7.5 per cent...compared favourablywith the 7.8 per cent for Lat<strong>in</strong> America (<strong>and</strong> the) 7.5 per cent for South-East Asia”(Mk<strong>and</strong>awire, 1988a: 31). The GDP growth rates for the period 1965-1973 was 6.1 per cent(World Bank, 1989). In most countries, the state became the major source of <strong>in</strong>vestment <strong>and</strong>national employment. State expenditure <strong>in</strong> schools, health, public services <strong>and</strong> food suppliesgrew exponentially. In 1972, just a year before the first world oil price shocks, centralgovernment expenditure for 21 sub-Saharan <strong>Africa</strong>n countries for which data are availablewas 21.1 per cent of the gross national products 3 (World Bank, 1989). Although there wereattempts <strong>in</strong> a number of countries to promote <strong>in</strong>tegrated rural development, the overalldevelopment strategy worsened the rural-urban terms of trade <strong>and</strong> led to flights of ruralpopulations <strong>in</strong>to urban centres. Economic growth <strong>in</strong>tensified class differentiation <strong>and</strong>encouraged the growth of <strong>in</strong>stitutional forms of social organization with m<strong>and</strong>ates frommembers to barga<strong>in</strong> for the exp<strong>and</strong><strong>in</strong>g public resources. The era of rent-seek<strong>in</strong>g forms of statecapitalism had arrived.What was the social <strong>and</strong> political basis of this model of accumulation? In his sem<strong>in</strong>al work of1973, O’Donnell challenged one of the central hypotheses of liberal democratic theory thatassociates rapid economic development with political democracy. In the Lat<strong>in</strong> Americancontext of the 1960s <strong>and</strong> 1970s, high rates of growth <strong>and</strong> modernization produced, <strong>in</strong>stead,what O’Donnell called “bureaucratic-authoritarianism” (O’Donnell, 1973). Indeed, Brazil’smilitary rulers relied on their country’s record of high growth rates to legitimize theirauthoritarian rule for much of that period (Mart<strong>in</strong>s, 1986).Tak<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>to account <strong>Africa</strong>’s lower levels of <strong>in</strong>dustrialization <strong>and</strong> bureaucratic development,it seems to me that O’Donnell’s proposition captures some aspects of the <strong>Africa</strong>n experienceof the same period. <strong>Democracy</strong> was seen by the new <strong>Africa</strong>n rulers <strong>and</strong> emerg<strong>in</strong>g localentrepreneurs as obstructive of both corporate <strong>and</strong> private accumulation. It encourageddem<strong>and</strong>s for redistribution as opposed to production, <strong>and</strong> forced rulers <strong>and</strong> entrepreneurs to beaccountable to the wider populace for the way they h<strong>and</strong>led public resources; it was also feltthat democracy would facilitate ethnic polarization at the expense of national unity. Military<strong>and</strong> one-party dictatorships were defended as necessary political arrangements for nation3 Botswana, Burk<strong>in</strong>a Faso, Burundi, Chad, Ethiopia, Gabon, Ghana, Kenya, Lesotho, Madagascar,Malawi, Nigeria, Rw<strong>and</strong>a, Senegal, Sierra Leone, Somalia, Sudan, Tanzania, Ug<strong>and</strong>a, Zaire, Zambia.16


uild<strong>in</strong>g <strong>and</strong> economic development. In the context of <strong>Africa</strong>’s chang<strong>in</strong>g societies, democracywas seen as a source of political <strong>in</strong>stability (Hunt<strong>in</strong>gton, 1968; Mamdani, Mk<strong>and</strong>awire <strong>and</strong>Wamba-dia-Wamba, 1988; Anyang' Nyong'o, 1988b).Several ideologies, rang<strong>in</strong>g from <strong>Africa</strong>n socialism <strong>and</strong> humanism to negritude <strong>and</strong>authenticity, were propagated by the new rulers to control dissent <strong>and</strong> project <strong>Africa</strong>nsocieties as homogeneous. The democratic impulse of the decolonization period had taughtthe emergent social groups the power of collective action <strong>in</strong> the politics of resource allocation.The logical growth of civil society that the expansion of unions, professional associations <strong>and</strong><strong>in</strong>terest group organizations created was seen by the dom<strong>in</strong>ant groups <strong>and</strong> state authorities asa threat to economic development <strong>and</strong> private accumulation.Various strategies were employed to regulate the activities of the social groups. One-partyrégimes with “socialist orientations” simply co-opted some of the popular organizations <strong>in</strong>tothe party structures <strong>and</strong> floated alternative organizations at various levels of society to checkthe development of new autonomous organizations. Such practices were common <strong>in</strong> Ben<strong>in</strong>,the Congo, Ghana under Nkrumah, Gu<strong>in</strong>ea under Sekou Toure, <strong>and</strong> Tanzania. Other lessideological one-party states imposed restrictions on the activities of unions <strong>and</strong> associations,co-opted the leadership of popular organizations <strong>in</strong>to policy-mak<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>stitutions, <strong>and</strong>strengthened patron-client relations with traditional authority. Cameroon, Côte d’Ivoire,Kenya, Malawi, Senegal (before the democratic reforms) <strong>and</strong> Sierra Leone fall under thiscategory. Military régimes such as those of Mali, Niger, Nigeria, Togo <strong>and</strong> Zaire tended tofollow the practices of the latter, although some, like Nigeria, were relatively less successful<strong>in</strong> controll<strong>in</strong>g dissent <strong>and</strong> co-opt<strong>in</strong>g popular organizations. The relative openness of politicallife that flourished under decolonization was severely curtailed <strong>in</strong> most countries.<strong>Authoritarian</strong>ism did not however destroy the social contract that underp<strong>in</strong>ned the nationaliststruggles. Indeed, the legitimacy of authoritarian rule rested on the ability <strong>and</strong> will<strong>in</strong>gness ofthe political authorities to promote public welfare. Such an ability depended on thesusta<strong>in</strong>ability of economic growth. The social contract that provided such legitimacy wasunabashedly top-down. Popular struggles aga<strong>in</strong>st these repressive arrangements were <strong>in</strong>itiated<strong>and</strong> susta<strong>in</strong>ed <strong>in</strong> a number of countries (Anyang' Nyong'o, 1988a), but the balance wasunmistakably <strong>in</strong> favour of generalized authoritarian rule.2.3 Economic crisis <strong>and</strong> pressures for re-democratizationThe authoritarian model based its legitimacy on cont<strong>in</strong>ued accumulation, positive rates ofgrowth <strong>and</strong> the provision of public welfare. But <strong>Africa</strong>n societies entered a stage of profoundcrisis <strong>in</strong> the late 1970s/early 1980s as a result of the recession <strong>in</strong> the world market <strong>and</strong> thestructural problems of the state capitalist model of development. Where as only 10 out of 34sub-Saharan <strong>Africa</strong>n countries experienced negative per capita GDP growth rates between1965 <strong>and</strong> 1980, only n<strong>in</strong>e registered any per capita GDP growth rate between 1980 <strong>and</strong> 1987(Helle<strong>in</strong>er, 1990; World Bank, 1989). Average GDP growth rates for all SSA countries fellfrom 6.1 per cent <strong>in</strong> 1965-73 to -1.3 per cent <strong>in</strong> 1987. Agriculture, <strong>in</strong>dustry <strong>and</strong> servicesregistered marked decl<strong>in</strong>es <strong>in</strong> rates of growth, with <strong>in</strong>dustry fall<strong>in</strong>g from 13.5 per cent <strong>in</strong>1965-73 to -1.2 per cent <strong>in</strong> 1980-87. The same poor record is demonstrated <strong>in</strong> export volume<strong>and</strong> terms of trade. The total debt of SSA countries jumped from US $21.1 billion <strong>in</strong> 1976 toUS $137.8 billion <strong>in</strong> 1987. The ratio of external debt to GDP <strong>in</strong>creased from 45.2 per cent <strong>in</strong>1981 to 66.1 per cent <strong>in</strong> 1986 (IMF, 1988; Taylor, 1989). Table 3 highlights some of thenegative trends <strong>in</strong> economic performance.17


Table 3GDP growth rates, sector growth rates,growth of export volume <strong>and</strong> terms of trade (1965-1987)1965-1973 1973-1980 1980-1985 1986 1987GDP growth rates 6.1 3.2 -0.5 3.2 -1.3Sector growth ratesAgriculture 2.4 0.3 1.2 (1980-1987)Industry 13.5 4.7 -1.2 (1980-1987)Services 4.1 3.6 1.5 (1980-1987)Growth of export volume 15.1 0.2 -3.3 1.1 -3.3Manufactures 7.6 5.6 4.4 1.3 4.8Primary goods 15.4 -0.0 -3.7 1.1 -3.5Terms of trade -8.5 5.0 -2.3 -23.2 3.3The figures for export volumes <strong>in</strong> 1987 are estimates. Source: World Bank, World DevelopmentReport, 1989.The crisis narrowed urban-rural terms of trade <strong>and</strong> differentials <strong>in</strong> social livelihood (Jamal <strong>and</strong>Weeks, 1988). This did not, however, strengthen rural welfare <strong>and</strong> urban-rural <strong>in</strong>tegration asmost economies experienced sharp decl<strong>in</strong>es <strong>in</strong> their major macro-economic <strong>and</strong> social<strong>in</strong>dicators. It was ma<strong>in</strong>ly a question of lower<strong>in</strong>g urban liv<strong>in</strong>g st<strong>and</strong>ards without necessarilyrais<strong>in</strong>g those of the rural communities. Available data for 11 <strong>Africa</strong>n countries <strong>in</strong> Table 4show the effects of the crisis on public expenditure on education <strong>and</strong> health. The percentageof total expenditure on education decl<strong>in</strong>ed <strong>in</strong> seven countries, <strong>and</strong> on health it decl<strong>in</strong>ed <strong>in</strong>n<strong>in</strong>e, even though only four countries cut their overall budget deficits as a percentage of theirgross national product. Stewart reckoned that real government expenditure per head fell <strong>in</strong> 55per cent of <strong>Africa</strong>n countries between 1980 <strong>and</strong> 1984 (Stewart, 1987). The situation wouldhave deteriorated <strong>in</strong> most countries <strong>in</strong> the mid-to-late 1980s.18


Table 4Central government expenditure <strong>in</strong> selected countriesPercentage of total expenditureEducationHealthTotal expenditure(% of GNP)Overall surplus/deficit (% of GNP)1972 1987 1972 1987 1972 1987 1972 1987Botswana 10.0 18.4 6.0 5.9 33.7 47.5 -23.8 28.2Burk<strong>in</strong>aFaso 20.6 19.0 8.2 5.8 11.1 16.3 0.3 1. 6Ghana 20.1 23.9 6.3 8.3 19.5 14.1 -5.8 0.6Kenya 21.9 23.1 7.9 6.6 21.0 25.0 -3.9 -4.6Liberia 15.2 16.2 9.8 7.1 16.7 24.8 1.1 -7.9Lesotho 22.4 15.5 7.4 6.9 14.5 24.3 3.5 -2.6Malawi 15.8 10.8 5.5 7.1 22.1 35.1 -6.2 -10.3Nigeria 4.5 2.8 3.6 0.8 8.3 27.7 -0.7 -10.3Tanzania 17.3 8.3 7.2 5.7 19.7 20.9 -5.0 -4.9Ug<strong>and</strong>a 15.3 15.0 5.3 2.4 21.8 15.0 -8.1 -4.4Zambia 19.0 8.3 7.4 4.7 34.0 40.3 -13.8 -15.8Source: World Bank, World Development Report, 1989.Radical reform programmes, <strong>in</strong>fluenced or <strong>in</strong>itiated by the IMF <strong>and</strong> the World Bank, havebeen <strong>in</strong>troduced to check the unprecedented economic decl<strong>in</strong>e. The reforms aim to restructureeconomic relations <strong>in</strong> the production <strong>and</strong> consumption of commodities. The restructur<strong>in</strong>gprimarily affects <strong>in</strong>comes, public welfare <strong>and</strong> prices, which <strong>in</strong> turn affect the configurations ofpower. The aim is to elim<strong>in</strong>ate distortions associated with the expansion of the post-colonialstate by giv<strong>in</strong>g the market a relatively freer h<strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong> the allocation of resources. Thesedistortions are to be found <strong>in</strong> the exchange rates, tariff régimes, the organization ofparastatals, <strong>in</strong>terest rates <strong>and</strong> public expenditure. It is a major challenge to the state capitalistmodel of macro-economic management <strong>and</strong> the values <strong>and</strong> group <strong>in</strong>terests that have beennurtured around it.Roll<strong>in</strong>g back the state does not only affect popular classes <strong>and</strong> groups, it also affects rul<strong>in</strong>gclass forces. Large-scale public expenditure, as we have seen, was not just a strategy forprotect<strong>in</strong>g the poor, it was also an avenue for dom<strong>in</strong>ant groups to siphon off public resources.The same applies to over-valued exchange rates, discrim<strong>in</strong>atory tariffs, the establishment ofparastatals <strong>and</strong> low <strong>in</strong>terest rates, all of which played crucial roles <strong>in</strong> the accumulation ofcapital, class formation <strong>and</strong> the subsidy of the consumption habits of the rich <strong>and</strong> powerful.Structural adjustment poses, therefore, problems for all classes <strong>and</strong> groups. In fact, theeconomic reforms seek to purify the bus<strong>in</strong>ess groups, provide a new type of legitimacy fortheir class rule <strong>and</strong> consolidate their positions <strong>in</strong> the wider political economy. Such a projectis to be achieved at the expense of the nationalist coalition <strong>and</strong> social contract thatunderp<strong>in</strong>ned the state capitalist model of development.Market reformers seek to reconstitute the relationship between foreign <strong>and</strong> local capital(liberalization strengthens the h<strong>and</strong>s of the former), restructure agrarian relations to supportexport agriculture <strong>and</strong> hold back the urban classes of workers, sections of middle classprofessionals <strong>and</strong> the urban poor. It is not surpris<strong>in</strong>g that the strongest opponents of thereforms are a new coalition of middle class professionals, <strong>in</strong>dustrial unions, studentorganizations <strong>and</strong> the urban dispossessed. Pressures from such coalitions have led to a numberof riots <strong>in</strong> Algeria, Ben<strong>in</strong>, Egypt, Ghana, Liberia, Nigeria, Sierra Leone, Sudan, Tunisia <strong>and</strong>Zambia. Given the benefits that are likely to accrue to rural communities because of the price19


eforms <strong>and</strong> devaluation, some governments have tried to mobilize the rural groups to counterthe political weight of the organized urban sector (Gyimah-Boadi, 1989), but the response sofar has been lukewarm. Peasants rema<strong>in</strong> sceptical of crucial aspects of the reforms such asfluctuations <strong>in</strong> prices, the withdrawal of subsidies from farm <strong>in</strong>puts, escalat<strong>in</strong>g costs ofproduction, <strong>and</strong> general levels of <strong>in</strong>flation that affect their consumption of traded goods.Struggles to protect liv<strong>in</strong>g st<strong>and</strong>ards <strong>in</strong> the context of crisis <strong>and</strong> adjustment tend to take on ademocratic character. Organized groups dem<strong>and</strong> the <strong>in</strong>stitutionalization of collectivebarga<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g, the <strong>in</strong>dependence of unions <strong>and</strong> associations <strong>and</strong> respect for the rule of law <strong>and</strong>civil liberties. These are considered to be critical for hold<strong>in</strong>g employers <strong>and</strong> state authoritiesaccountable for their economic policies. Social movements are emboldened by the collapse ofthe post-colonial social contract <strong>and</strong> growth rates to press for the reconstitution of therelationship between the state <strong>and</strong> civil society. Repressive policies to support theimplementation of adjustment programmes have not been effective <strong>in</strong> controll<strong>in</strong>g dissent.Military <strong>and</strong> one-party forms of rule have come under <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g opposition from organizedgroups <strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong>dividuals. Co-opted unions <strong>and</strong> associations agitate for organizational autonomyfrom established parties <strong>and</strong> governments to defend the decl<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g welfare of their members(the Congo, Zambia). Current developments seem to contradict the predictions of neo-liberaltheory which expects the bus<strong>in</strong>ess class to play a lead<strong>in</strong>g role <strong>in</strong> democratization (Diamond,1988). The market reforms, it is argued, will liberate the enterpris<strong>in</strong>g potentials of thebus<strong>in</strong>ess groups <strong>and</strong> encourage them to opt for more democratic modes of government.Although some bus<strong>in</strong>ess groups <strong>and</strong> organizations have sided with the popular groups <strong>in</strong>dem<strong>and</strong><strong>in</strong>g the re<strong>in</strong>troduction of multi-party rule <strong>in</strong> such countries as Ben<strong>in</strong>, Kenya, <strong>and</strong>Zambia, most of the demonstrations for democracy have been organized by opposition groups<strong>and</strong> parties with traditional sympathies for the aspirations of the poor. Even those who havejo<strong>in</strong>ed the pro-democracy movement from the top have done so <strong>in</strong> the context of advanc<strong>in</strong>gthe general <strong>in</strong>terests of the populace <strong>and</strong> advocat<strong>in</strong>g for development programmes that wouldprotect the poor <strong>and</strong> vulnerable sections of society. Contrary to neo-liberal formulations,democratization is seen by the majority of dissident groups as an <strong>in</strong>strument for obstruct<strong>in</strong>gstructural adjustment <strong>and</strong> protect<strong>in</strong>g some of the ga<strong>in</strong>s <strong>in</strong> public welfare <strong>and</strong> liv<strong>in</strong>g st<strong>and</strong>ardsthreatened by the reforms. A number of military <strong>and</strong> one-party régimes have come underconsiderable pressure to <strong>in</strong>itiate programmes for transitions to multi-party rule. Indeed, partlyencouraged by the experiences <strong>in</strong> Eastern Europe, there has been an <strong>in</strong>tense debate for multipartydemocracy <strong>in</strong> most <strong>Africa</strong>n countries. The l<strong>in</strong>k between alternative strategies ofdevelopment <strong>and</strong> democracy has featured <strong>in</strong> most of these debates. Some governments, suchas Ben<strong>in</strong>, Côte d’Ivoire, Gabon, Mozambique, Zaire <strong>and</strong> Zambia, have even been forced to<strong>in</strong>itiate plans for transitions to multi-party rule. Other régimes like those of Kenya <strong>and</strong> SierraLeone have not conceded much ground to the opposition groups. Similarly, struggles <strong>in</strong> theexist<strong>in</strong>g democracies of the Gambia, Senegal <strong>and</strong> Zimbabwe have focused on the question ofcurtail<strong>in</strong>g the post-colonial dom<strong>in</strong>ance of the rul<strong>in</strong>g parties <strong>and</strong> extend<strong>in</strong>g the social content ofdemocracy (Bathily, 1989; Moyo, 1989).The next section exam<strong>in</strong>es the politics of transition from authoritarian military rule todemocracy. Issues relat<strong>in</strong>g to democratization are different from those of susta<strong>in</strong>abledemocracy. Susta<strong>in</strong>ability, as we have seen, deals with a complex of economic, social <strong>and</strong>political factors which may profoundly <strong>in</strong>fluence the orientation <strong>and</strong> character ofdemocratization. Democratization is, however, explicitly political. It concerns the processesof liberalization <strong>in</strong> the key areas of political life, viz. the demilitarization of the stateapparatus; the strengthen<strong>in</strong>g of civil society <strong>and</strong> its <strong>in</strong>stitutions; <strong>and</strong> the democratization of therules of economic <strong>and</strong> political competition. The nature of the l<strong>in</strong>ks between civil <strong>and</strong>political society occupies a central position <strong>in</strong> the dynamics <strong>and</strong> regulation ofdemocratization. I discuss these issues aga<strong>in</strong>st the background of the Nigerian experience.20


3. <strong>Authoritarian</strong> Democratization: The Nigerian Experience3.1 Adjustment <strong>and</strong> democracyNigeria is one of the few <strong>Africa</strong>n countries whose leaders have tried to l<strong>in</strong>k democratizationwith structural adjustment. Democratization <strong>in</strong> the late 1970s produced a civilian régime thatlasted only four years. But the two transitions <strong>and</strong> the circumstances that produced them aredifferent. The democratic experiment of 1979-83 co<strong>in</strong>cided with extensive state <strong>in</strong>terventions<strong>in</strong> the economy. Democratization was carried out <strong>in</strong> the context of massive oil revenues <strong>and</strong>boom<strong>in</strong>g economic activities. The current experiment is tak<strong>in</strong>g place <strong>in</strong> an environment of<strong>in</strong>dustrial crisis (MAN, 1987 <strong>and</strong> 1989), negative rates of GDP growth, a sharp drop <strong>in</strong> formalemployment <strong>and</strong> real <strong>in</strong>comes, an expansion of low value added <strong>in</strong>formal sector activities, <strong>and</strong>huge cuts <strong>in</strong> public spend<strong>in</strong>g on social development, particularly health <strong>and</strong> education. Table5 highlights some of these negative trends.Table 5Performance of GDP, education <strong>and</strong> health sectors (1980/81-1987)A 1981 1985 1986 1987GDP at 1984 values (millions) 80,354 77,092 78,905 78,799B 1980/81 1985/86 1987Number of primary schools 35,625 35,433 31,454Number of primary schoolteachers 393,144 292,821 280,344Number of primary schoolstudents (thous<strong>and</strong>s) 13,760 12,915 10,817Recurrent expenditure oneducation (millions) 712.8 697.2 483.8Capital expenditure oneducation (millions) 217.2 126.2 391.4C 1980 1985 1986 1987Number of hospitals 694 764 765 763Number of beds 44,208 48,994 48,136 50,126Recurrent expenditureon health (millions) 172.5 164.3 247.0 65.0*Capital expenditureon health (millions) 188.1 59.1 65.2 59.2** Provisional figure. Source: Federal Office of Statistics (Nigeria), Lagos.The structural adjustment programme launched <strong>in</strong> 1986 emphasized the pr<strong>in</strong>cipal role of themarket <strong>in</strong> correct<strong>in</strong>g structural distortions <strong>and</strong> gett<strong>in</strong>g the economy out of the crisis. Acompetitive foreign exchange market is expected to elim<strong>in</strong>ate import licences <strong>and</strong> thecorruption associated with them; privatization <strong>and</strong> balanced budgets are to end subventions<strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong>flated contracts; <strong>and</strong> trade liberalization is to allow the pr<strong>in</strong>ciples of comparativeadvantage to determ<strong>in</strong>e production activities <strong>and</strong> check state support for <strong>in</strong>efficient firms. Proreformtheorists contend, therefore, that the state’s liberalization programme is <strong>in</strong> agreementwith liberal democratic theory which identifies the market <strong>and</strong> an enterpris<strong>in</strong>g bourgeoisie asconditions for democratic rule (Diamond, L<strong>in</strong>z <strong>and</strong> Lipset, 1988; Diamond, 1988).21


But is liberal democracy the political shell of structural adjustment? Will market reformsliberate the “political class” <strong>and</strong> bus<strong>in</strong>ess groups from rent-seek<strong>in</strong>g activities <strong>and</strong> transformthe petty commodity sector <strong>in</strong>to supportive avenues for democratization? If, on the otherh<strong>and</strong>, democracy <strong>and</strong> structural adjustment are a bad mix, as radical critics argue, whataccounts for the military’s keen <strong>in</strong>terest <strong>in</strong> democratization? Why doesn’t the military simplyimplement its economic programme without recourse to democratization? Can the militaryusher <strong>in</strong> a successful <strong>and</strong> stable democratic order? How strong are the popular groups <strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>fluenc<strong>in</strong>g the direction of the democratization process?3.2 Demilitarization <strong>and</strong> civilian governmental authorityCentral to democratic theory <strong>and</strong> politics is the question of the supremacy of civilgovernmental authority over the armed forces. The military is expected to be <strong>in</strong>sulated frompolitics <strong>and</strong> civil society <strong>in</strong> general. But the Nigerian military has been <strong>in</strong> power for 20 of thecountry’s 30 years of <strong>in</strong>dependence. Civil authority collapsed <strong>in</strong> January 1966 after about fiveyears of self-rule. Military rule lasted until 1979 when civil rule was reconstituted with<strong>in</strong> theframework of a Second Republic. It survived four years before the military aga<strong>in</strong> seizedpower <strong>in</strong> December 1983. Factional differences led to a coup <strong>in</strong> 1985 <strong>and</strong> the launch<strong>in</strong>g ofboth a structural adjustment programme <strong>and</strong> an elaborate programme of re-democratization, tobe completed <strong>in</strong> 1992. A political bureau was established to monitor a nationwide debate onan appropriate political system. A new constitution was drafted by a Constituent Assembly <strong>in</strong>which a fifth of the members were appo<strong>in</strong>ted by the government. Local government electionswere held on non-party basis, followed by the formation of two government-imposed politicalparties <strong>and</strong> the promise of elections at state <strong>and</strong> federal levels. What prospects does thetransition programme hold for the demilitarization of the state apparatus? Can the militarypreside over a democratic transition that will subord<strong>in</strong>ate its role to that of civil politicalauthority?The military has been a central <strong>in</strong>stitution <strong>in</strong> the development of the state capitalist model ofdevelopment (Othman, 1989; Turner, 1982; Ekuahare, 1984; Fadahunsi, 1984). It hasextended its grip on the national economy through its conquest of state <strong>in</strong>stitutions <strong>and</strong> theaward of contracts <strong>and</strong> company directorships to retired <strong>and</strong> serv<strong>in</strong>g officers. Despite themassive cuts <strong>in</strong> budget deficits (from 10.3 per cent as a percentage of GDP <strong>in</strong> 1986 to 2.9 percent <strong>in</strong> 1989), the military cont<strong>in</strong>ues to enjoy a disproportionate share of the federal budget<strong>and</strong> an array of privileges. The ratio of military expenditure to health <strong>and</strong> educationexpenditure was reckoned to be 56 per cent <strong>in</strong> 1986; <strong>and</strong> military expenditure as a percentageof GNP rose from 0.2 <strong>in</strong> 1960 to 1.0 <strong>in</strong> 1986 (UNDP,1990). The military’s share of the state’scapital expenditure jumped from 0.8 per cent <strong>in</strong> 1986 to 4.6 per cent <strong>in</strong> 1988. That of <strong>in</strong>ternalsecurity jumped from a mere 0.1 per cent to 3.9 per cent. These figures contrast sharply witheducation’s share which fell from 4.3 per cent to 3.9 per cent <strong>and</strong> the health sector’s sharewhich <strong>in</strong>creased from 0.7 per cent to 1.9 per cent for the same period (CBN, 1988).A similar picture emerges at the recurrent expenditure sector where the military’s sharejumped from 9.5 per cent <strong>in</strong> 1986 to 12.6 per cent <strong>in</strong> 1987; whereas that of education <strong>and</strong>health dropped from 6.3 per cent <strong>and</strong> 3.2 per cent to 2.3 per cent <strong>and</strong> 0.4 per cent respectively.Defence took a relatively hard knock <strong>in</strong> the reflationary budget of 1988, follow<strong>in</strong>g widespreadprotests, enjoy<strong>in</strong>g 6.9 per cent of the total compared to 7.5 per cent <strong>and</strong> 2.2 per cent foreducation <strong>and</strong> health respectively (CBN, 1988).Many of the corporate strategies of consolidat<strong>in</strong>g the military’s dom<strong>in</strong>ance <strong>in</strong> the society <strong>and</strong>polity ga<strong>in</strong>ed momentum after the transition programme was launched. These strategies<strong>in</strong>clude the establishment of the defence, air force <strong>and</strong> naval academies, the procurement of anarmoured carrier assembly plant, the formation of a research development cell with<strong>in</strong> thedefence m<strong>in</strong>istry, the proposal to have an army bank, <strong>and</strong> the expansion of the output capacityof the defence <strong>in</strong>dustry corporation (Othman, 1987). Military officers are also be<strong>in</strong>g posted to22


the diplomatic service <strong>and</strong> appo<strong>in</strong>ted to head parastatal organizations. They also sit on thecouncils <strong>and</strong> boards of educational establishments <strong>and</strong> social service <strong>in</strong>stitutions.It is not surpris<strong>in</strong>g that several Nigerian scholars <strong>and</strong> politicians see the military as a brute factof life – an alternative political party to the civilians. 4 Ideas of a civil-military diarchy haveeven been advocated by prom<strong>in</strong>ent politicians <strong>and</strong> bus<strong>in</strong>ess groups as a framework forpolitical stability (Ibrahim, 1986; Bangura, 1986). Popular consciousness questions, however,the expansive presence of the military <strong>in</strong> civic life. Conflicts have erupted between civilians<strong>and</strong> military personnel, result<strong>in</strong>g, <strong>in</strong> several cases, <strong>in</strong> considerable loss of life <strong>and</strong> the violationof legal procedures <strong>and</strong> civil liberties. (Newswatch, 1989a).Democratization has been coloured with strong authoritarian practices. Elected local councilchairmen have either been dismissed, 5 or not sworn <strong>in</strong> by military governors even when thecouncillors get favourable verdicts from the courts. 6 Other acts of <strong>in</strong>discretion <strong>in</strong>clude thearbitrary dissolution of all the local government councils before their full tenure <strong>and</strong> theappo<strong>in</strong>tment of sole adm<strong>in</strong>istrators to run the councils; the creation of a military consultativecouncil to co-exist with the evolv<strong>in</strong>g representative civil <strong>in</strong>stitutions; <strong>and</strong> the anomaloussituation where the federal military government would have to supervise elected state <strong>and</strong>local governments between 1990 <strong>and</strong> 1992.Why is the military <strong>in</strong>terested <strong>in</strong> democratization if it cannot tolerate liberal democraticpractices <strong>and</strong> the rule of law? And what are the implications of the authoritarian conduct ofthe military for the democratization project? F<strong>in</strong>er has developed a model that seeks toexpla<strong>in</strong> why the military <strong>in</strong>stitutionalizes or abdicates power. He constructs a matrix ofseveral variables which are related to two summary variables, viz. “dispositions” <strong>and</strong> “societalconditions”, which <strong>in</strong> turn are related to “motivations” <strong>and</strong> “necessary conditions”. Thevariables on dispositions <strong>in</strong>clude belief <strong>in</strong> civilian supremacy, threat to the cohesiveness of themilitary, lack of self-confidence, <strong>in</strong>ternal consensus to withdraw from power, <strong>and</strong> adequateprotection of corporate <strong>in</strong>terests. The last two are seen as necessary conditions, while theothers are strictly motivational. The societal conditions <strong>in</strong>clude <strong>in</strong>ternal challenges, externalfactors, <strong>and</strong> the availability of a civilian organization to h<strong>and</strong> over power to. The first two aremotivational <strong>and</strong> the last is a necessary condition (F<strong>in</strong>er, 1985).Despite the <strong>in</strong>sights it offers, the model does not fit the Nigerian case. Even though themilitary is highly visible <strong>in</strong> most public <strong>in</strong>stitutions, the leadership has not ab<strong>and</strong>oned its“stratocratic” character 7 to rule through a civilian cab<strong>in</strong>et, a party <strong>and</strong> a legislature. Nor is theprogrammed retreat to the barracks a result of the military’s belief <strong>in</strong> civilian supremacy, thethreat to the <strong>in</strong>ternal coherence of the military, 8 or its lack of self-confidence. The military’scontempt of “bloody civilians” is deep-rooted. Its belief <strong>in</strong> its capacity to rule has not been4 The former president of the Second Republic, Shehu Shagari, was among the first group of politiciansto argue that the only two political parties <strong>in</strong> Nigeria are the military <strong>and</strong> the civilians. Some Left<strong>in</strong>tellectuals see sections of the military as capable of provid<strong>in</strong>g a vanguard for revolutionary change.For a review see Beckman (1986).5 The chairman of the Enugu local government council was removed from office <strong>in</strong> September 1988for his “actions, utterances <strong>and</strong> activities”.6 The Nigerian Bar Association ordered its members to boycott all courts <strong>in</strong> the country for a few daysto protest the refusal of the Gongola state governor to respect the rul<strong>in</strong>g that had upheld the petition oftwo c<strong>and</strong>idates for the posts of two local government areas <strong>in</strong> the state.7 Some of the features of <strong>in</strong>stitutionalization can, however, be recognized. Babangida is the firstmilitary leader to declare himself president; the first to dismiss his second <strong>in</strong> comm<strong>and</strong>; <strong>and</strong> the first todissolve the entire Armed Forces Rul<strong>in</strong>g Council; he also makes use of civil patronage to co-opt <strong>and</strong>neutralize opponents. The press calls him the “Maradona” of Nigerian politics.8 The decision to democratize came before the abortive military putsch of April 1990. The putschcerta<strong>in</strong>ly re<strong>in</strong>forced calls for the speedy implementation of the transition programme.23


seriously dented, as it was <strong>in</strong> 1974-75. Explanations for the military’s <strong>in</strong>terest <strong>in</strong>democratization should be sought elsewhere.It seems to me that the political traditions that govern civil-military relations, the irrepressiblenature of civil society (Ibrahim, 1989), the circumstances that gave birth to the current régime<strong>and</strong> the political imperatives of the adjustment programme are crucial factors <strong>in</strong> expla<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g therégime’s commitment to some form of democratization. Despite the military’s profounddistrust of civilian rule, a tradition has developed that sees the military as an aberration.Gowon’s (1966-75) attempt to postpone <strong>in</strong>def<strong>in</strong>itely the return to civil rule precipitated hisoverthrow <strong>in</strong> 1975. Buhari’s régime (1984-85) also became unpopular when the leadershiprefused to discuss the question of civil rule as part of the stabilization programme.Babangida’s régime (1985-) was forced by the circumstances of its birth <strong>and</strong> its determ<strong>in</strong>ationto w<strong>in</strong> popular support to make the issue of civil rule central to its economic programme. Themost important factor, I believe, is the political imperative of the structural adjustmentprogramme. It made strategic sense to take the <strong>in</strong>itiative at the political arena <strong>in</strong> order toprevent the civil groups from emerg<strong>in</strong>g as a hegemonic force at the political level. Thisallowed the régime to co-opt sections of the “political class” to its controversial programme,<strong>and</strong> confront the more unyield<strong>in</strong>g groups at the terra<strong>in</strong> of the economy <strong>and</strong> civil society.Democratization appears, therefore, to be a strategy to regulate the anticipated popularopposition to the economic reform programme. In this regard, the military wieldsconsiderable authority <strong>in</strong> determ<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g the evolution of the transition plan. The contend<strong>in</strong>gpolitical forces that are to form the bedrock of civil governmental authority rema<strong>in</strong> extremelyweak. Of the 13 political parties that applied for registration to contest for the slots of thedecreed two parties, none attempted to challenge the authority of the military <strong>in</strong> anysignificant way. The four dom<strong>in</strong>ant parties – the People’s Solidarity Party, the NigerianNational Congress, the People’s Front of Nigeria <strong>and</strong> the Liberal Convention – were eitherre<strong>in</strong>carnations of old political formations or new outfits for launch<strong>in</strong>g new millionaires <strong>in</strong>topolitics. The four parties were outspoken, <strong>in</strong> vary<strong>in</strong>g degrees, <strong>in</strong> their support of the military’seconomic programme even though it was widely believed they did this for clearlyopportunistic reasons. While the Nigeria Labour Party, which was expected to be themouthpiece of workers <strong>and</strong> other deprived social groups, rema<strong>in</strong>ed ambivalent on thequestion of structural adjustment – the leadership be<strong>in</strong>g careful not to antagonize thegovernment <strong>and</strong> ru<strong>in</strong> its chances of becom<strong>in</strong>g one of the registered parties (Olukoshi,forthcom<strong>in</strong>g). A major contradiction, therefore, exists between the liberal pressures <strong>in</strong> civilsociety <strong>and</strong> the authoritarian practices at the level of political society. Democratic <strong>in</strong>stitutions<strong>and</strong> values are not likely to grow <strong>in</strong> such an environment.3.3 Civil society <strong>and</strong> the stateThe military, act<strong>in</strong>g through the state, has found it much more difficult to impose itshegemony <strong>in</strong> civil society. There is generalized dissatisfaction with the economic reforms.Pressures for democratization <strong>and</strong> the protection of civil liberties are much more potent <strong>in</strong> therealm of civil society. It will be wrong to counterpoise the state <strong>and</strong> civil society <strong>in</strong> absoluteterms. Indeed, it is virtually impossible to separate the two spheres, given their <strong>in</strong>terpenetrability.The state plays a key role <strong>in</strong> manag<strong>in</strong>g all modern economies <strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong> regulat<strong>in</strong>gsocial organizations <strong>and</strong> the lives of ord<strong>in</strong>ary citizens. But the complex <strong>in</strong>ter-connectionsbetween the two spheres does not reduce the state to all facets of civil society. There areseveral social organizations, cover<strong>in</strong>g occupational, household, community, voluntary,gender, media, religious, <strong>and</strong> ethnic activities that do not fall under the direct control of thestate <strong>in</strong> many societies. Although the class hierarchies <strong>in</strong> civil society are conditioned by the<strong>in</strong>equalities <strong>in</strong> property relations we should also refra<strong>in</strong> from collaps<strong>in</strong>g civil society with theeconomy. The state-civil society relationship presents contrast<strong>in</strong>g pictures across socioeconomicsystems. The state, civil society <strong>and</strong> the economy should be treated as problematic24


concepts <strong>in</strong> order to be able to ask <strong>in</strong>terest<strong>in</strong>g questions about how social groups perceive ofthe relationships <strong>and</strong> what their programmes are <strong>in</strong> restructur<strong>in</strong>g the three spheres.Neo-liberals talk of civil society <strong>in</strong> terms of privatization <strong>and</strong> a market-based economy. Butthere is no reason why such a limited view of the concept should hold for all theorists <strong>and</strong>social actors. We have seen <strong>in</strong> a previous section that for Gramsci, civil society is dist<strong>in</strong>ctfrom the economy <strong>and</strong> constitutes “the soft underbelly” of bourgeois rule <strong>and</strong> an arena forpeople’s power. The concept as Keane has recently demonstrated, never <strong>in</strong> fact had a s<strong>in</strong>gleunproblematic mean<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> classical political thought (Keane, 1988a,b).There is a wide spectrum of positions <strong>in</strong> contemporary discources on the relationship betweenthe state <strong>and</strong> civil society. In Taiwan, democratization led to a slacken<strong>in</strong>g of the state’s gripon the economy <strong>and</strong> the strengthen<strong>in</strong>g of private civil <strong>in</strong>stitutions (Cheng, 1989). Most of theauthors of the four volume study on Lat<strong>in</strong> America’s transition from authoritarian rule believethe social hegemony of capitalism <strong>and</strong> the retreat of the socialist revolutionary alternative iswhat will ultimately consolidate the cont<strong>in</strong>ent’s democratic experiments (O’Donnell,Schmitter <strong>and</strong> Whitehead, 1986). Yet a pre-1989 reform programme of the Solidaritymovement <strong>in</strong> Pol<strong>and</strong> emphasized the need for the transfer of the control <strong>and</strong> management offactories from the state to democratically elected workers councils, <strong>and</strong> the <strong>in</strong>troduction of asystem of self-management for educational, cultural <strong>and</strong> media organizations (Pelczynski,1988).The Nigerian situation is rather complex. Both the Left <strong>and</strong> the Right hold statist positions,even though they also advocate for the autonomy of sections of civil society. Nigerianentrepreneurs have comb<strong>in</strong>ed their statist outlooks with passionate calls for the privatizationof public enterprises. Major sections of this group still <strong>in</strong>sist on state protection <strong>and</strong>adjudication on how the enterprises should be distributed. The Left, of course, sees the stateas the custodian of common resources with a m<strong>and</strong>ate to protect popular welfare. Theconvergence of Left <strong>and</strong> Right positions on the state should not be surpris<strong>in</strong>g. The state is thelargest employer of labour, controls substantial resources <strong>and</strong> an array of social services.Schools, universities, hospitals <strong>and</strong> vital sections of public transportation would collapsewithout state support. Industries, commercial enterprises <strong>and</strong> modern agriculture would notfunction without the state’s fund<strong>in</strong>g of the foreign exchange market.Most urban social groups, such as trade unions, student organizations <strong>and</strong> academic unions,advocate for the reform of the state apparatus. But they rema<strong>in</strong> extremely critical of the powerof the market <strong>in</strong> effect<strong>in</strong>g the required changes. In fact, their alternative programmes to thecurrent structural adjustment programme <strong>in</strong>sist on an extension of the state sector, underpopular control, <strong>and</strong> the <strong>in</strong>troduction of a plann<strong>in</strong>g system (ASUU, 1984; NLC, 1985; NANS,1984). Such a statist outlook does not prevent them from agitat<strong>in</strong>g for the autonomy of theirorganizations <strong>and</strong> the defence of the rule of law <strong>and</strong> civil liberties. Academics, for <strong>in</strong>stance,operate largely with<strong>in</strong> state structures, but agitate for union <strong>in</strong>dependence, academic freedom<strong>and</strong> university autonomy. Workers accept the union structures imposed on them by the state<strong>in</strong> 1978, but advocate for union autonomy, free collective barga<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g <strong>and</strong> accountability. Thesame can be said of the judiciary, large sections of the press <strong>and</strong> religious/ethnic organizationswhich are heavily dependent on the state for funds <strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong>frastructure support, yet struggle forautonomous civil space to conduct their respective activities. This contradiction between theacceptance of state <strong>in</strong>tervention <strong>and</strong> the campaign by the disparate social forces for liberalcivil relations is underp<strong>in</strong>ned by a complex system of checks <strong>and</strong> balances which, Ibrahim hasargued, “has prevented the rise of tyrannic or even oligarchic régimes at the national level”(Ibrahim, 1990).How has the military related to the problematic of the state <strong>and</strong> civil society <strong>in</strong> the context ofits reform programme? The neo-liberal prediction that the market reforms will promote25


liberalization at the social <strong>and</strong> political levels has not been borne out by the evidence.Conditionality has certa<strong>in</strong>ly <strong>in</strong>creased the tempo of the pressures call<strong>in</strong>g for democratization,but state authorities see such pressures as obstructive of the reforms. The state has <strong>in</strong>tervened<strong>in</strong> civil society <strong>in</strong> many <strong>in</strong>stances to control dissent <strong>and</strong> block the popular will for alternatives(Bangura <strong>and</strong> Beckman, 1989). Many unions <strong>and</strong> professional associations have been banned;the state security <strong>and</strong> transition to civil rule decrees (Nos. 2 <strong>and</strong> 25) have been usedextensively to silence critics; academics <strong>and</strong> journalists have been dismissed from their jobson political grounds; students, labour activists, journalists <strong>and</strong> academics have beenconsistently arrested <strong>and</strong> deta<strong>in</strong>ed; organizations have been formed to underm<strong>in</strong>e <strong>in</strong>dustrialstrikes <strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong>timidate student activists; <strong>and</strong> the formation of a special anti-strike squad isbe<strong>in</strong>g contemplated to control national demonstrations aga<strong>in</strong>st the adjustment measures(Mustapha, 1988; Ibrahim, 1990).The state has not been able, however, to impose its hegemony <strong>in</strong> civil society. State repressionis be<strong>in</strong>g resisted by several <strong>in</strong>terest groups <strong>and</strong> voluntary organizations. Internal differenceswith<strong>in</strong> the military, which at times mirror the geopolitical divisions <strong>in</strong> the country, help tostrengthen the resistance of the civil forces. New organizations have emerged specificallyfocus<strong>in</strong>g on human rights abuses <strong>and</strong> civil liberties. 9 Traditionally conservative organizations,such as the Nigerian Bar Association, are be<strong>in</strong>g pulled <strong>in</strong>to the arena of democratic politics(Jega, 1989). There is a radical impulse for democratization struggl<strong>in</strong>g for expression <strong>and</strong>dom<strong>in</strong>ance <strong>in</strong> an atmosphere of controlled political competition.3.4 The democratization of the rules of political competitionA central theme <strong>in</strong> democratization is the extent to which political actors can developdemocratic rules to regulate conflicts emanat<strong>in</strong>g from the spheres of production <strong>and</strong> politicalsociety. Exist<strong>in</strong>g democracies <strong>in</strong> <strong>Africa</strong> <strong>and</strong> elsewhere are still bedevilled with the problemsof manag<strong>in</strong>g competition between legitimate political parties (the Gambia, India, Jamaica,Mexico, Senegal, Sri Lanka, Zimbabwe). A culture of “w<strong>in</strong>ner takes all” encourages politicalleaders to be distrustful of each other. The strongest dictates the rules.Nigeria’s current transition programme has not broken with this tradition. Politicalcompetition has been restricted to just two parties, appo<strong>in</strong>ted by the military. This is <strong>in</strong>marked contrast to the five parties registered <strong>in</strong> the Second Republic <strong>and</strong> the open-partysystem of the First. Even the rules govern<strong>in</strong>g the transition programme rema<strong>in</strong> fluid. Insteadof choos<strong>in</strong>g the two parties (itself a restriction <strong>in</strong> liberalization) from the National ElectoralCommission’s list of 13 applicants, the state decided to establish two parties whoseconstitutions, programmes <strong>and</strong> ideologies were developed by the government <strong>and</strong> the nationalelectoral commission (Babangida, 1989). Several <strong>in</strong>dividuals have been banned fromparticipat<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> the established parties, <strong>and</strong> current participants are wary about the frequentchanges <strong>in</strong> the rules of political contestation (The Guardian, 1990). A “cat <strong>and</strong> mouse” gameis be<strong>in</strong>g played between banned politicians who rema<strong>in</strong> powerful brokers <strong>in</strong> theirconstituencies (<strong>and</strong>, therefore, comm<strong>and</strong> the loyalties of government-approved politicians)<strong>and</strong> the military, which is determ<strong>in</strong>ed to block the ambitions of the “old politicians” <strong>and</strong> letthe “new breed” run the show.The policy of exclud<strong>in</strong>g old politicians from politics stems from the general belief that it wasthe traditional political class that is responsible for wreck<strong>in</strong>g the economy. Most of theprom<strong>in</strong>ent politicians of the Second Republic <strong>and</strong> some bus<strong>in</strong>ess persons were deta<strong>in</strong>eddur<strong>in</strong>g the brief rule of Buhari <strong>and</strong> Idiagbon, follow<strong>in</strong>g the overthrow of the Shagari9 The most prom<strong>in</strong>ent of the new human rights organizations is the Civil Liberties Organization. Itscourageous <strong>in</strong>tervention <strong>in</strong> the struggles for democratic rights earned it a cover story <strong>in</strong> one of thelead<strong>in</strong>g national weeklies, the Newswatch (1989b). Other organizations <strong>in</strong>clude the Committee for theDefence of Human Rights <strong>and</strong> the National Association of Democratic Lawyers.26


government. Although they subsequently ga<strong>in</strong>ed their freedom under Babangida, the feel<strong>in</strong>gpersisted that old politicians would fundamentally review the adjustment programme <strong>and</strong>cont<strong>in</strong>ue with the reckless spend<strong>in</strong>g programmes of the past, if they were allowed to get back<strong>in</strong>to power. The manner <strong>in</strong> which the conflict between the military <strong>and</strong> the old politicians isbe<strong>in</strong>g conducted makes it difficult for open democratic rules of barga<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g to emerge <strong>and</strong> getconsolidated. The military uses its executive authority to impose new rules; <strong>and</strong> the politiciansuse their <strong>in</strong>formal networks <strong>and</strong> concealed political power to underm<strong>in</strong>e the objectives of therules.The problems of establish<strong>in</strong>g democratic frameworks to regulate social conflicts are broughtout <strong>in</strong> bold relief <strong>in</strong> the area of <strong>in</strong>dustrial relations. To be sure, there are several <strong>in</strong>stitutionsthat have been created to regulate <strong>in</strong>dustrial disputes. These <strong>in</strong>clude the Industrial ArbitrationPanel, ad hoc worker-management committees <strong>and</strong> consultative meet<strong>in</strong>gs, <strong>and</strong> the courts(Yesufu, 1982). But such <strong>in</strong>stitutions have either been manipulated by the state <strong>and</strong> employersor have failed to take <strong>in</strong>to account the current problems of the recession for workers’ welfare.Collective barga<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g has been suspended; employers arbitrarily dismiss workers, slash takehomepay, <strong>and</strong> impose levies on dw<strong>in</strong>dl<strong>in</strong>g wages (Bangura, 1989). The state has also<strong>in</strong>tervened <strong>in</strong> <strong>in</strong>dustrial relations to weaken workers’ organizations <strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong> some cases to arrestunionists.Some unions have opted for militant methods of protest because of the <strong>in</strong>transigence ofemployers <strong>and</strong> the limitations of the exist<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>stitutions for manag<strong>in</strong>g disputes. The state hastried to exploit the <strong>in</strong>ternal divisions among unionists as a basis to either tilt the <strong>in</strong>ternalbalance of power <strong>in</strong> favour of its preferred c<strong>and</strong>idates or to suspend the organization <strong>and</strong> bluntwhat it perceives to be a radical union orientation toward the reforms. The rules govern<strong>in</strong>g theelection of officials to the executive of the Nigeria Labour Congress were set aside <strong>in</strong>February 1988, <strong>in</strong> an attempt by the government to impose its will on the leadership of theorganization. The transition programme has failed to provide a democratic framework forh<strong>and</strong>l<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>dustrial, political <strong>and</strong> systemic disputes.ConclusionWhat are the general conclusions to be drawn from the Nigerian experience? The first is thetension between economic liberalization <strong>and</strong> political authoritarianism. Economicliberalization imposes tremendous hardships on disadvantaged groups <strong>and</strong> underm<strong>in</strong>es thesocial contract of the post-colonial development model. 10 Experiences elsewhere, such as <strong>in</strong>Lat<strong>in</strong> America <strong>and</strong> Eastern Europe, show that democratic régimes come under considerablepressure as they try to manage complex transition programmes <strong>in</strong> the context of economiccrisis <strong>and</strong> restructur<strong>in</strong>g. Attempts to impose a sense of realism on the population, i.e. gett<strong>in</strong>gpeople to accept the macro-economic policies of stabilization, is often accompanied by callsfor welfare support, which would entail some relaxation of budgetary discipl<strong>in</strong>e. The need tomake concessions to vulnerable groups has been recognized by most governments. The<strong>in</strong>ternational f<strong>in</strong>ancial <strong>in</strong>stitutions have also been try<strong>in</strong>g to l<strong>in</strong>k adjustment policies withpoverty alleviation programmes <strong>in</strong> many <strong>Africa</strong>n countries.It is apparent that economic reforms of the type formulated <strong>in</strong> most <strong>Africa</strong>n countries <strong>in</strong> the1980s will be difficult to implement <strong>in</strong> a liberal democratic framework. And yet the reformsthemselves require a new political legitimacy for their success. Democratization is supposedto provide the basis for a new social contract predicated on new social <strong>and</strong> political alliances.But the forces <strong>in</strong> support of the reforms (or those likely to benefit from them) rema<strong>in</strong>fragmented <strong>and</strong> politically weak. Given the state’s cont<strong>in</strong>ued control of huge oil revenues,10 The civil war of 1966-1970 seriously weakened the social contract of the early post-colonial modelof development. The social contract was re-launched <strong>in</strong> Gowon’s Dawn of National Reconstructionspeech of January 1970 (New Nigerian, 1970).27


most of the dom<strong>in</strong>ant social groups still perceive of politics as the struggle for the control <strong>and</strong>appropriation of public resources. Difficulties <strong>in</strong> forg<strong>in</strong>g a susta<strong>in</strong>able social alliance 11 havecontributed to the <strong>in</strong>tensification of authoritarian practices. The adverse conditions created byboth economic liberalization <strong>and</strong> authoritarian rule provide an “enabl<strong>in</strong>g environment” forcivil groups to press for democratization. Democratization <strong>in</strong> this context is an antidote tostructural adjustment. This dist<strong>in</strong>guishes the democracy movement <strong>in</strong> <strong>Africa</strong> from that ofEastern Europe <strong>and</strong> expla<strong>in</strong>s the ambivalence of Western powers <strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong>ternational f<strong>in</strong>ancial<strong>in</strong>stitutions toward the struggles for democracy <strong>in</strong> <strong>Africa</strong>. 12 While <strong>in</strong> support of democracy,they rema<strong>in</strong> opposed to any attempts to change the direction of the economic reforms.The second conclusion is the contradiction between the dynamic pressures fordemocratization at the civil arena <strong>and</strong> the conformist thrust of the political actors at the statelevel. Democratization requires the liberalization of both civil <strong>and</strong> political society. Most ofthe active groups <strong>in</strong> civil society have not been able to make much impact at the widerpolitical arena. The military <strong>and</strong> the pr<strong>in</strong>cipal political parties cont<strong>in</strong>ue to dom<strong>in</strong>ate thissphere. The decision by the civil political class to accept the military-decreed parties is an<strong>in</strong>dication of its reluctance to open up the political system to democratic challenges <strong>and</strong>establish effective l<strong>in</strong>ks between the pressures <strong>in</strong> civil society <strong>and</strong> the democratization of statepractices. On the other h<strong>and</strong>, the strength of the civil groups is compromised by the virtuallack of participation of the peasant communities <strong>in</strong> the pro-democracy movement. Both themilitary <strong>and</strong> the politicians rely on the disarticulations <strong>in</strong> rural-urban relations, <strong>and</strong> thepatronage networks that arise therefrom, to ma<strong>in</strong>ta<strong>in</strong> the status quo at the political level.Underly<strong>in</strong>g the authoritarian character of democratization is the crisis of state power <strong>and</strong>capitalist hegemony <strong>in</strong> civil society. The debate on capitalism <strong>in</strong> <strong>Africa</strong> has been concernedprimarily with the dom<strong>in</strong>ance of capitalist property relations rather than with the socialcontext <strong>in</strong> which they operate. 13 Radical political economists tend to assume that thehegemony of the bus<strong>in</strong>ess class <strong>and</strong> the power élite will naturally follow from thedevelopment of capitalism. But the recession <strong>and</strong> the market reforms seem to have generatedan <strong>in</strong>tense ideological <strong>and</strong> cultural opposition to capitalist rule. The rate of popular rebellions<strong>and</strong> withdrawals from formal state <strong>and</strong> transnational projects is a function of weak rul<strong>in</strong>g classhegemony (Rudebeck, 1989 <strong>and</strong> 1990). This weakness has underm<strong>in</strong>ed the capacity of therul<strong>in</strong>g authorities (both civil <strong>and</strong> military) <strong>and</strong> bus<strong>in</strong>ess groups to opt for democratic forms ofgovernment. Beckman’s advocacy for a “bourgeois democracy” <strong>in</strong> <strong>Africa</strong>, with strongpressures from popular forces, is difficult to susta<strong>in</strong> <strong>in</strong> this context (Beckman, 1990). AsGutto puts it, <strong>Africa</strong>n rul<strong>in</strong>g classes “fear free <strong>and</strong> fair elections” (Gutto, 1988). Elections,conducted fairly, will impose some accountability on state practices <strong>and</strong> check the excesses ofrent-seek<strong>in</strong>g activities. The dilemmas of the rul<strong>in</strong>g groups have meant that <strong>in</strong> most countries<strong>in</strong> the cont<strong>in</strong>ent, popular social movements have come to play a major role <strong>in</strong> the struggles fordemocracy. This has not excluded sections of the dom<strong>in</strong>ant power groups from jo<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g theseforces <strong>in</strong> the pro-democracy movement.The central role of the poor <strong>and</strong> disadvantaged <strong>in</strong> the democracy project underl<strong>in</strong>es the needto l<strong>in</strong>k formal democracy with more substantive forms of popular rule. I highlight twoarguments for this l<strong>in</strong>kage. The first, primarily theoretical, is derived from my orig<strong>in</strong>al11 Programmes such as MAMSER (mass mobilization for self-reliance) <strong>and</strong> DFRRI (directorate forfood, roads <strong>and</strong> rural <strong>in</strong>frastructure) have not achieved their objects of creat<strong>in</strong>g a new social orderdespite the huge resources they comm<strong>and</strong> <strong>and</strong> their co-optation of many professionals.12 French troops were sent to oil-rich Gabon <strong>in</strong> 1990 to defend Oman Bongo’s régime aga<strong>in</strong>st the massdemonstrations for democratization.13 The debates on capitalism <strong>in</strong> Kenya <strong>in</strong> the Review of <strong>Africa</strong>n Political Economy (Nos. 8, 17, 19)<strong>and</strong> on classes <strong>and</strong> imperialism <strong>in</strong> <strong>Africa</strong>, <strong>in</strong> Dar es Salaam (Y. T<strong>and</strong>on (ed.), State, class <strong>and</strong>imperialism, Tanzania Publish<strong>in</strong>g House) did not address the social dimensions of capitalism.28


formulation of the problem, <strong>in</strong> which authoritarianism is l<strong>in</strong>ked with particular forms ofaccumulation <strong>and</strong> social structures. Stable democratization logically assumes significantchanges <strong>in</strong> the structure <strong>and</strong> forms of accumulation, than an exclusive focus on rules <strong>and</strong><strong>in</strong>stitution build<strong>in</strong>g. Such changes, as we have argued, <strong>in</strong>volve the <strong>in</strong>tegration of rural-urbanrelations, <strong>and</strong> an improvement <strong>in</strong> the democratic participation of popular groups <strong>in</strong> thegovernance of economic enterprises. This calls for the empowerment of the majority, butsocially deprived groups, the provision of popular welfare <strong>and</strong> the reduction of <strong>in</strong>equalities.The second argument is political or normative. Social movements have themselves l<strong>in</strong>ked thestruggles for democracy with questions of alternative development strategies (Anyang'Nyong'o, 1987; Mamdani, Mk<strong>and</strong>awire <strong>and</strong> Wamba-dia-Wamba, 1988). Indeed, it isprimarily the debate on how to overcome the economic <strong>and</strong> political problems of the crisis<strong>and</strong> economic reforms that has brought to the fore questions of political rights <strong>and</strong>accountable government. For <strong>in</strong>stance, the orig<strong>in</strong>al decision of the Nigeria Labour Congressto launch a Labour Party was to provide a platform to strengthen workers’ struggles aga<strong>in</strong>strepression <strong>and</strong> the economic hardship of structural adjustment (Olukoshi, forthcom<strong>in</strong>g). ALabour Party <strong>in</strong> government was expected to implement the union’s alternative programme tothe economic reforms (NLC, 1985).This l<strong>in</strong>kage between democracy <strong>and</strong> alternative development questions an aspect of thecurrent <strong>Africa</strong>n debate that emphasizes the struggle for “democracy <strong>in</strong> its own right” (Anyang'Nyong'o, 1988b,c; Mk<strong>and</strong>awire, 1988b; Gutto, 1988; Shivji, 1990; Ibrahim, 1990). Pressuresfor democratization do not present themselves <strong>in</strong> such idealist <strong>and</strong> abstract terms. While it isan ideal to be cherished, democracy must make sense to the <strong>in</strong>terests of the contend<strong>in</strong>g socialgroups. These <strong>in</strong>terests do not have to be narrowly def<strong>in</strong>ed as economic; they can also besocial <strong>and</strong> political. L<strong>in</strong>k<strong>in</strong>g democracy to the restructur<strong>in</strong>g of the economy allows <strong>in</strong>dividuals<strong>and</strong> organizations to pose the question of democratic governance of public resources muchmore sharply. It is a more realistic way of surmount<strong>in</strong>g the colossal tasks of launch<strong>in</strong>gunderdeveloped crisis economies along the paths of stable <strong>and</strong> susta<strong>in</strong>able democratization.29


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