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Region 8 - New York State Department of Environmental Conservation

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NEW YORK STATE<br />

DEPARTMENT OF ENVIRONMENTAL CONSERVATION<br />

<strong>Region</strong> 8<br />

2012 Deer Hunting Forecast<br />

Occupying the center third <strong>of</strong> Western <strong>New</strong> <strong>York</strong> from Lake Ontario to the Pennsylvania line, <strong>Region</strong> 8 is an ideal<br />

mix <strong>of</strong> deer habitats; productive rolling agricultural land with small woodlots to the north (the Lake Plains<br />

ecozone), and higher elevation wooded hills interspersed with valley farmland to the south (Appalachian Plateau<br />

ecozone). This mix produces not only some <strong>of</strong> the highest deer densities in the state, but some <strong>of</strong> the biggest<br />

deer as well.<br />

Harvests were up in all categories in <strong>Region</strong> 8 last fall; +5.8% for adult bucks (22,754), +1.1% for antlerless deer<br />

(34,909), and +2.9% overall (57,663). <strong>Region</strong>al buck takes have risen four <strong>of</strong> the last six years now, and although<br />

they have not done so dramatically, they do indicate a gradual increase in our herd over that time.<br />

Our six northern Wildlife Management Units (WMUs) located in the Lake Plains all have deer populations higher<br />

than we’d like them to be, and a history <strong>of</strong> plentiful Deer Management Permits (DMPs). 2012 will be a<br />

continuation <strong>of</strong> both those trends in the north. Populations in our nine Appalachian Plateau units to the south<br />

have a mixed stranding in relation to objectives though, and permit availability there will range from plentiful to<br />

fairly restricted, depending on the unit (see Unit Summaries below).<br />

The buck take was up in ten <strong>of</strong> our fifteen WMUs, down in four, and unchanged in one. Nine <strong>of</strong> our 15 units are<br />

now at or above objectives, four are under, and two are right where they should be. Reflecting an ongoing need<br />

to reduce populations , particularly in the northern half <strong>of</strong> the region, overall DMP numbers will be up about<br />

16% this fall, with over 219,000 permits available for <strong>Region</strong> 8 hunters.<br />

In general, 2012 should be a banner year for <strong>Region</strong> 8 deer hunters. Last winter’s exceedingly mild conditions<br />

established a new benchmark for just how easy a winter could be for wildlife, and deer made it through in<br />

excellent condition. Does feeding well all winter long resulted in a large crop <strong>of</strong> some very healthy fawns added<br />

to the landscape this past spring.<br />

Unit Summaries for the 2012 Season<br />

Included in the discussion <strong>of</strong> most WMUs is a term called the Buck Take Objective (BTO). A BTO for a WMU is<br />

the desired number <strong>of</strong> antlered bucks expected to be harvested per square mile when the WMU’s deer<br />

population is at the desired level as determined by the Citizen Task Force. The BTO is not the estimated take for<br />

the coming season but rather is the objective <strong>of</strong> our management efforts. The annual buck harvest is used as a<br />

gauge <strong>of</strong> population size and its relationship to the desired population level.<br />

pg. 1


WMU 8A<br />

Area = 419 mile 2<br />

BTO = 2.1 bucks harvested per mile 2<br />

2011 Buck Take = 2.6 bucks harvested per mile 2<br />

2011Total Deer Take = 7.2 deer harvested per mile 2<br />

WMU 8A is situated primarily in northern Orleans and<br />

Monroe Counties and contains very little public land.<br />

The terrain is mostly flat to gently rolling and has an<br />

abundance <strong>of</strong> agriculture interspersed with small<br />

woodlots, making for excellent habitat and large deer.<br />

The buck take didn’t move at all last fall, staying at 2.6<br />

bucks per square mile. The population remains above the objective, where it has been for some time. A record<br />

doe harvest in 2010 may send the buck take down some this fall, but it won’t be by much, and hunters will<br />

scarcely notice a change in the number <strong>of</strong> deer they see in the woods. Permit availability will be identical to last<br />

year; HIGH for both first and second permits for all applicant categories, including non-residents.<br />

WMU 8C<br />

Area = 138 mile 2<br />

BTO = None<br />

2011Buck Take = 0.9 bucks harvested per mile 2<br />

2011Total Deer Take = 2.1 deer harvested per mile 2<br />

WMU 8C is a small "bowhunting only" unit<br />

surrounding the City <strong>of</strong> Rochester in Monroe County<br />

and has historically harbored a high deer population<br />

relative to the associated human development. Deer<br />

harvest here is governed largely by land access, not<br />

number <strong>of</strong> permits available, and there is no shortage<br />

<strong>of</strong> deer for those willing to hunt the fringes <strong>of</strong> “suburbia”. If desired, anyone applying for a DMP should receive<br />

two permits. Chances <strong>of</strong> success remain high in 8C, but because hunting access is limited, applicants are advised<br />

to secure a hunting location before applying for DMPs. It is also a good idea to check local ordinances regarding<br />

the discharge <strong>of</strong> bows. Note also that deer hunters in this unit must have passed a Bowhunter Education course,<br />

and the only legal hunting implement, for all big game seasons, is bow and arrow. To assist in reducing the<br />

growth <strong>of</strong> this deer population, Bonus Permits will be available for hunters who fill their WMU 8C DMPs. Those<br />

hunters taking antlerless deer on Bonus Permits may continue to receive additional Bonus Permits as long as<br />

they continue to be used to harvest antlerless deer. Chances <strong>of</strong> selection this fall will be high for residents and<br />

nonresidents on both first and second permits.<br />

pg. 2


WMU 8F<br />

Area = 733 mile 2<br />

BTO = 2.0 bucks harvested per mile 2<br />

2011 Buck Take = 3.3 bucks harvested per mile 2<br />

2011 Total Deer Take = 9.2 deer harvested per mile 2<br />

WMU 8F occupies most <strong>of</strong> Wayne and a portion <strong>of</strong><br />

Monroe County and contains a good deal <strong>of</strong><br />

agriculture, including significant orchard acreage. The<br />

lay <strong>of</strong> the land is flat to rolling in the north with<br />

numerous drumlins (glacially carved hills) in the<br />

south. Large wetlands and significant forest cover<br />

exist, particularly in the northeast portion <strong>of</strong> the unit. There is ample public hunting land in eastern 8F. The buck<br />

take last fall in 8F shot up 14% to 3.3 bucks per square mile, and represents an historic high for the unit. The<br />

highest doe harvest on record two years ago should temper population growth some, but not nearly enough to<br />

bring this unit’s deer population down to objective. A positive historical relationship between DMPs issued and<br />

DMP harvest suggests that increasing permit numbers is a logical choice in this unit; such a relationship is not<br />

always the case in all units. Chances <strong>of</strong> selection this fall will be high for residents and nonresidents on both first<br />

and second permits.<br />

WMU 8G<br />

Area = 686 mile 2<br />

BTO = 2.3 bucks harvested per mile 2<br />

2011 Buck Take = 3.6 bucks harvested per mile 2<br />

2011 Total Deer Take = 10.7 deer harvested per mile 2<br />

WMU 8G comprises most <strong>of</strong> Genesee County and the<br />

southern portion <strong>of</strong> Orleans County. It contains a<br />

large expanse <strong>of</strong> state and federal land in the western<br />

part <strong>of</strong> the unit. This unit has some <strong>of</strong> the region's<br />

best agricultural land, and the deer habitat here is<br />

among the most productive in the state. Land is flat to gently rolling, with small wood lots interspersed with<br />

farms and wetlands. Buck harvest rose two tenths last fall, to a new unit record <strong>of</strong> 3.6 per square mile. Suffice<br />

to say, this population is still above the harvest objective <strong>of</strong> 2.3 bucks per square mile. A record doe harvest in<br />

2010 should temper growth, but don’t look for there to be noticeably less deer when on stand this fall; changes<br />

will be slight, if any. A record number <strong>of</strong> DMPs will be available for 8G hunters this fall, and chances <strong>of</strong> receiving<br />

first and second permits will be high for all categories <strong>of</strong> applicants.<br />

WMU 8H<br />

Area = 574 mile 2<br />

BTO = 2.8 bucks harvested per mile 2<br />

2011 Buck Take = 4.3 bucks harvested per mile 2<br />

2011 Total Deer Take = 13.0 deer harvested per mile 2<br />

WMU 8H includes parts <strong>of</strong> Livingston, Monroe, and<br />

Ontario Counties and has limited public land<br />

pg. 3


accessible for hunting. This is another typical Lake Plains unit; in other words, an ideal mix <strong>of</strong> habitat with big<br />

healthy deer and a productive population that has resisted our efforts at herd reduction. The buck harvest in 8H<br />

rose once again last year, and now stands at 4.3, over 50% above objective. Three years now <strong>of</strong> ever-increasing<br />

doe takes, capped with last fall’s record number, should begin to stop the expansion, if not by this fall, then by<br />

2013. 8H has super deer habitat, with plenty <strong>of</strong> agriculture, and it is proving to be, like many <strong>of</strong> its surrounding<br />

Lake Plains units, a difficult area to reign in the deer population. Deer hunting will be great in 8H this fall. A<br />

record number <strong>of</strong> DMPs will be available, with chances <strong>of</strong> selection high on first and second permits for all<br />

categories <strong>of</strong> applicants.<br />

WMU 8J<br />

Area = 712 mile 2<br />

BTO = 2.1 bucks harvested per mile 2<br />

2011 Buck Take = 3.0 bucks harvested per mile 2<br />

2011 Total Deer Take = 7.9 deer harvested per mile 2<br />

WMU 8J includes portions <strong>of</strong> Seneca, Wayne, Ontario,<br />

and Yates Counties, and a moderate amount <strong>of</strong> public<br />

hunting land available. A lot <strong>of</strong> agriculture exists here,<br />

and WMU 8J has a history <strong>of</strong> producing big healthy<br />

deer with some <strong>of</strong> the biggest antler beam diameters<br />

in the region. The buck take has risen three straight years now in 8J, and now stands at 3.0 per square mile,<br />

some 43% above the objective <strong>of</strong> 2.1. In response, we’ll <strong>of</strong>fer even more DMPs than we did last year, but, like<br />

most <strong>of</strong> our northern units, it will be an uphill battle finding enough hunters to fill them. Hunters can expect<br />

there to be plenty <strong>of</strong> deer in 8J this fall, and hunting prospects will be excellent. Almost 25,000 permits will be<br />

available for 8J deer hunters this fall, and chances <strong>of</strong> selection will be high for both resident and nonresident<br />

applicants in all categories.<br />

WMU 8M<br />

Area = 307 mile 2<br />

BTO = 3.9 bucks harvested per mile 2<br />

2011 Buck Take = 3.5 bucks harvested per mile 2<br />

2011 Total Deer Take = 8.2 deer harvested per mile 2<br />

WMU 8M is situated primarily within southern<br />

Livingston County and holds plenty <strong>of</strong> public land. A<br />

transitional unit between our Lake Plains and<br />

Southern Tier ecozones, there is both open<br />

agricultural land to the north and higher, wooded hills<br />

to the south. Even though the buck take went down slightly last fall, to 3.5 per square mile, the trend since<br />

2005’s low point has been gradually up. From a biologist’s perspective, this slow, steady upward movement<br />

toward objective is preferable to wide population swings, as it lends more stability and predictability to our<br />

management. We have every reason to believe 8M will be very close to our population objective within the<br />

next few years. A relatively low doe harvest in 2010 should allow the population to take a tick up this season,<br />

but changes in the woods will be hard to notice, and hunters can expect a similar year to last. Chances <strong>of</strong> DMP<br />

selection will be high for residents seeking first permits, but there will be no second permits or permits for<br />

nonresidents this year.<br />

pg. 4


WMU 8N<br />

Area = 314 mile 2<br />

BTO = 4.6 bucks harvested per mile 2<br />

2011 Buck Take = 5.9 bucks harvested per mile 2<br />

2011 Total Deer Take = 16.4 deer harvested per mile 2<br />

WMU 8N includes southern Ontario and portions <strong>of</strong><br />

Livingston and Yates Counties. Many diverse public<br />

hunting opportunities exist in this largely wooded and<br />

hilly Western Finger Lakes unit. After several years <strong>of</strong><br />

buck takes near the objective <strong>of</strong> 4.6 per square mile,<br />

the 8N deer population is once again on the move,<br />

and in a big way. Last fall’s buck harvest (an index to<br />

the overall population) shot from 5.0 up to 5.9 per square mile, an almost unprecedented one year increase for<br />

a WMU. This is <strong>of</strong> great concern to us, as 8N has a history <strong>of</strong> quick expansions. Returning to the kind <strong>of</strong> buck<br />

takes we saw ten years ago (7 to 8 bucks per square mile) would be a step back for the diversity <strong>of</strong> vegetation in<br />

the unit, as well as for folks trying to make their living growing things there. The good news is that hunters will<br />

see more deer in the woods this fall. From a management perspective, the down side is that a relatively low doe<br />

harvest two years ago will allow the deer population in 8N to go even higher in 2013. We need to take as many<br />

deer as we legally can in this unit, and do it now. Chances <strong>of</strong> permit selection this fall will be high for both<br />

resident and nonresident applicants in all categories.<br />

WMU 8P<br />

Area = 356 mile 2<br />

BTO = 4.2 bucks harvested per mile 2<br />

2011 Buck Take = 3.4 bucks harvested per mile 2<br />

2011 Total Deer Take = 5.9 deer harvested per mile 2<br />

WMU 8P is located in northern Steuben County and<br />

contains a fair amount <strong>of</strong> public land. The terrain is<br />

rolling to hilly, and the unit sports a balanced mix <strong>of</strong><br />

both farm land and forest. The buck take in 8P came<br />

up a little last fall, to 3.4 per square mile (indicating a<br />

slightly increasing population), but the unit is still well below the objective, as it has been since 2004. Doe<br />

harvests the last two years were very low, and we could be looking at noticeably more deer on the landscape by<br />

2013 as a result. But the unit has been fairly unresponsive to relatively low adult female harvests before, so our<br />

current recourse is to keep DMP numbers low again this year. Chances <strong>of</strong> selection will be high on first permits<br />

for residents only. No other permits will be available.<br />

pg. 5


WMU 8R<br />

Area = 270 mile 2<br />

BTO = 4.2 bucks harvested per mile 2<br />

2011 Buck Take = 5.7 bucks harvested per mile 2<br />

2011 Total Deer Take = 17.2 deer harvested per mile 2<br />

WMU 8R includes most <strong>of</strong> Yates County, as well as<br />

parts <strong>of</strong> Steuben and Schuyler Counties, and has a fair<br />

amount <strong>of</strong> public hunting land. Large rolling hills<br />

predominate, with an ample amount <strong>of</strong> farmland in<br />

the valleys and hill tops, including significant vineyard<br />

acreage. After a four-year stretch near objective in<br />

the mid 2000s, the buck take has now risen five straight years, and currently stands at 5.7 per square mile, up<br />

from 5.2 last year. A very aggressive female harvest in 2010 should help put the brakes on population<br />

expansion, but this unit has shown the ability for quick growth, and like 8N, is on the verge <strong>of</strong> getting out <strong>of</strong><br />

hand. We will need to put continued high pressure on the female segment <strong>of</strong> the herd in the coming years. We<br />

anticipate the buck take to be similar to last year, or a little higher, which means hunters will continue to see lots<br />

<strong>of</strong> deer in the fields and woods <strong>of</strong> 8R. Chances <strong>of</strong> DMP selection will be high for residents and nonresidents on<br />

both first and second permits.<br />

WMU 8S<br />

Area = 256 mile 2<br />

BTO = 2.8 bucks harvested per mile 2<br />

2011Buck Take = 3.4 bucks harvested per mile 2<br />

2011Total Deer Take = 7.1 deer harvested per mile 2<br />

WMU 8S includes portions <strong>of</strong> Schuyler and Seneca<br />

Counties and is home to the Finger Lakes National<br />

Forest, a large tract <strong>of</strong> federal land open to hunting.<br />

Agriculture is the main land use in this unit except in<br />

the southwest where the public land is located.<br />

Topography is flat in most <strong>of</strong> the unit except for the southwest corner. A lowering <strong>of</strong> this unit’s BTO in 2009 from<br />

4.2 to 2.8 has meant that for the last two years, we have been slightly over objective in 8S, after a lengthy<br />

stretch below. The buck take stayed steady last fall at 3.4 per square mile, indicating a stable population, even if<br />

it is a little over the objective <strong>of</strong> 2.8. We are currently employing a mild reducing strategy in the unit in an effort<br />

to bring down the buck take to objective level. This means there will be marginally more permits available this<br />

fall, but not drastically so. Hunters in 8S should expect to see similar numbers <strong>of</strong> deer this fall. Chances <strong>of</strong><br />

selection will be high on first permits for both residents and non-residents. The availability <strong>of</strong> second permits<br />

for residents will be low. No second permits for non-residents will be available.<br />

pg. 6


WMU 8T<br />

Area = 385 mile 2<br />

BTO = 4.8 bucks harvested per mile 2<br />

2011 Buck Take = 3.7 bucks harvested per mile 2<br />

2011 Total Deer Take = 7.4 deer harvested per mile 2<br />

WMU 8T is in central Steuben County and has ample<br />

public hunting land available. It is a typical southern<br />

tier unit in that it is hilly, with a mix <strong>of</strong> agriculture in<br />

the valleys, and forested slopes. This unit has not<br />

been above the buck harvest objective since 2002<br />

despite at least eight years <strong>of</strong> fairly low doe harvests.<br />

A reduction in female take in 2010, and again last year should, in theory, allow the population to come up, but<br />

8T has been very resistant to our efforts to grow deer numbers. Hunters here can expect similar deer sightings<br />

as last year, or perhaps a few more. This fall, permit availability will be at its lowest point since 2005 to try and<br />

induce some change. Chances <strong>of</strong> selection this year will be low on first permits for residents only. No other<br />

permits will be available.<br />

WMU 8W<br />

Area = 439 mile 2<br />

BTO = 3.8 bucks harvested per mile 2<br />

2011 Buck Take = 3.2 bucks harvested per mile 2<br />

2011 Total Deer Take = 5.8 deer harvested per mile 2<br />

WMU 8W includes portions <strong>of</strong> Chemung and Schuyler<br />

Counties and holds abundant public hunting<br />

opportunities. 8W is one <strong>of</strong> our most forested units,<br />

but open farmland does exist, particularly in the north<br />

and east portions <strong>of</strong> the unit. The buck take in WMU<br />

8W has been below objective since 2003, but is showing signs lately <strong>of</strong> upward movement. Buck take per square<br />

mile rose three tenths last fall, up to 3.2, on top <strong>of</strong> a similar increase seen in 2010. We anticipate buck take will<br />

go up again this fall, making three straight years if our predictions are correct. Our strategy here is to keep<br />

DMPs (and thus doe harvest) relatively low, to foster the upward trend we are seeing. Hunters in 8W may see a<br />

few more deer in the woods this fall, but increases will likely not be dramatic. Chances <strong>of</strong> first permit selection<br />

will be high for residents, but non-residents will require preference points. No second permits will be available.<br />

WMU 8X<br />

Area = 401 mile 2<br />

BTO = 4.1 bucks harvested per mile 2<br />

2011 Buck Take = 4.0 bucks harvested per mile 2<br />

2011 Total Deer Take = 10.0 deer harvested per mile 2<br />

WMU 8X is located in southern Steuben County and<br />

has a fair amount <strong>of</strong> public land available. The unit is<br />

hilly, with its highest elevations and most forest cover<br />

in the northern portion. A good deal <strong>of</strong> farm land<br />

pg. 7


occurs in the southern valleys, particularly along portions <strong>of</strong> the <strong>New</strong> <strong>York</strong>-Pennsylvania border. Holding the<br />

current situation stable is the order <strong>of</strong> the day in 8X as we have been very close to our population goal now for<br />

the last three years. Buck take per square mile came down two tenths last fall, but it is still right about where<br />

we want it to be, indicating a stable population. Since the population is where it should be, our strategy is to<br />

maintain the doe harvests seen the last few years. Hunters in 8X should expect to see similar numbers <strong>of</strong> deer<br />

this fall. Chances <strong>of</strong> DMP selection will be high on first permits for both residents and nonresidents, but<br />

preference points will be required for resident second permits. No second permits will be available for<br />

nonresidents.<br />

WMU 8Y<br />

Area = 354 mile 2<br />

BTO = 4.5 bucks harvested per mile 2<br />

2011 Buck Take = 3.7 bucks harvested per mile 2<br />

2011 Total Deer Take = 7.2 deer harvested per mile 2<br />

WMU 8Y occupies the southern half <strong>of</strong> Chemung and<br />

a small portion <strong>of</strong> Steuben County and has very<br />

limited public hunting opportunities. It is another <strong>of</strong><br />

our most heavily forested units, but also contains the<br />

relatively large cities <strong>of</strong> Corning and Elmira. 8W has<br />

spent a good number <strong>of</strong> years below objective now, since 2003. The buck take has risen the last two years<br />

though, and we anticipate it will increase again this fall, but it won’t be up near objective just yet. As in any unit<br />

whose population is lower than desired, our strategy will simply be to hold DMPs relatively low until we see a<br />

response by way <strong>of</strong> increased buck harvest. Still, chances <strong>of</strong> selection will be high on first permits for both<br />

residents and non-residents. Chances on second permits for residents will be medium. No second permits will<br />

be available for non-residents.<br />

Art Kirsch<br />

<strong>Region</strong> 8 Deer Biologist<br />

pg. 8

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