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Bio - Bio Project - European Soil Portal - Europa

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and leaching. However, the results are still under<br />

analysis. The paper will present only the modelling<br />

results.<br />

2. Materials and methods<br />

2.1 Modelling Approach<br />

2.1.1 STATISTICAL MODEL<br />

The statistical modelling approach consists of a<br />

simplified conceptual model, considering two different<br />

pathways in nutrient transfer from sources to the<br />

catchment outlet. Diffuse sources (DS), include applied<br />

fertiliser (artificial and manure), atmospheric<br />

deposition, and scattered dwellings, are first reduced in<br />

the soil and then retained partially in the streams, while<br />

point sources (PS) which include discharges from<br />

sewers, waste water treatment plants, industries, and<br />

paved areas are only retained in the streams (Grizzetti et<br />

al., 2005).<br />

2.1.2 EPIC MODEL<br />

The EPIC (Erosion-Productivity Impact Calculator;<br />

Williams et al., 1995) is a field scale model, originally<br />

developed to simulate the long-term effects of soil<br />

erosion on soil productivity. A nutrient cycling and<br />

pesticide fate routines were added later on. The various<br />

developments of EPIC are given by Gassman et al.<br />

(2005).<br />

2.2 EU Database<br />

The data used in this study was derived from a<br />

harmonized database developed for EU15. Three major<br />

data sets are being used which include a soil map, a<br />

land-cover land use map, and a climatic database. Pan-<br />

<strong>European</strong> soil data collected for this research includes<br />

the <strong>European</strong> <strong>Soil</strong> Bureau Database (ESBD) v1.0, which<br />

provides an important source of information for the EC<br />

in the monitoring of soil quality, soil organic matter,<br />

degradation, contamination, and for assistance in the<br />

formation and evaluation of policies towards sustainable<br />

agriculture (ESB, 1998). Landover data are available<br />

from the Corine (Coordination of information on the<br />

environment) database. Meteorological data for the<br />

years 1990 to 2003 were obtained from the Monitoring<br />

Agriculture and Regional Information Systems (MARS)<br />

Unit of the JRC. The MARS meteorological database<br />

contains daily data spatially interpolated on a 50 km x<br />

50 km grid-cell.<br />

In addition, atmospheric N deposition data was derived<br />

from the Precipitation Chemistry Database of the Co-<br />

EUR 22245 EN (2006) <strong>Bio</strong>-<strong>Bio</strong> <strong>Project</strong><br />

27<br />

operative Programme for the Monitoring and Evaluation<br />

of the Long-Range Transmission of Air Pollutants in<br />

Europe (EMEP). Nitrogen and phosphorous input data<br />

for both mineral and manure fertiliser was taken at<br />

NUTS level 2 from the Capri (Common Agricultural<br />

Policy Regional Impact Analysis economic) model<br />

(Heckelei and Britz, 2000).<br />

3. Results<br />

The tier 1 approach was applied to the whole Italian<br />

territory. The map of the diffuse emission is shown in<br />

Figure 1.<br />

Figure 1. Calculated nitrogen diffuse emission (kg N/ha) for Italy.<br />

The highest emission of nitrate occurs in the Po valley,<br />

the area of intensive agriculture in Italy. Agriculture is<br />

indeed predicted to be the major source of nitrate in the<br />

Po River (Figure 2) with local contribution ranging from<br />

50 to 70% of the total nitrogen load. This value is in<br />

agreement with the OECD that estimates the<br />

contribution of agriculture to total nitrogen loading to be<br />

around 60% (OECD, 2001).

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