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MEASUREMENT & VERIFICATION

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METERING BILLING CRM/CIS<br />

CONFERENCE 2005<br />

Le Meridien at Rialto, Melbourne Australia<br />

16 March 2005<br />

PROVING THE SAVINGS:<br />

<strong>MEASUREMENT</strong> & <strong>VERIFICATION</strong><br />

Presented by<br />

Fred Nicolosi<br />

© Copyright 2004 Energy Decisions Pty Ltd ABN 99 902 246 763


What I Will Talk About<br />

Evolution of M&V Protocols and Guidelines<br />

Australian Best Practice Guide to M&V<br />

M&V Concepts and Methodologies<br />

M&V Plan<br />

M&V Options<br />

Energy Savings Determination<br />

Cost Avoidance<br />

M&V Examples<br />

Questions


About Fred Nicolosi<br />

Electrical Engineer (light current)<br />

BE, MEngSc, MBA, CMVP<br />

Certified Measurement and Verification Professional<br />

- http://www.ipmvp.org/cmvplist<br />

25 years in Queensland electricity industry<br />

- power system control, SCADA, metering and communications<br />

5 years in Qld Govt<br />

- Director of Queensland Telecommunications<br />

2 years in Qld software company<br />

– Utility Customer Information and Billing Systems<br />

Provider of Energy Information Products and Service<br />

since 1998


Evolution of M&V Protocols & Guidelines


Australian Best Practice Guide for M&V<br />

BPG-M&V Objectives<br />

• Improved M&V Understanding – especially Energy Users<br />

• Improved M&V Precision and Quality<br />

• Improved M&V Cost/Benefit/Value<br />

• Establish Minimum Acceptable M&V Implementation<br />

• Facilitate Operational Implementation<br />

• Promote M&V for Public and Private Sector Use<br />

BPG-M&V<br />

- Applicable Parts for Australia<br />

• IPMVP – ”The Bible”<br />

http://www.ipmvp.org/<br />

• ASHRAE Guideline 14-2002<br />

– Measurement of Energy and<br />

Demand Savings<br />

• FEMP - Federal Energy Management Program M&V Guidelines<br />

• Other Overseas M&V Publications


BPG-M&V Project Status and Funding<br />

The Australian Government's Innovation Access Program - Industry<br />

provides grants for industry-led projects as part of it's support for<br />

innovation, investment and international competitiveness of<br />

Australian businesses. Industry and Customer Consultation<br />

Funds provided by AusIndustry to AEPCA<br />

Contracted to AEPCA to author BPG-M&V<br />

Stakeholder’s s Group for guidance and consultation<br />

Current Status – Final Release in January 2005<br />

Future updates to incorporate continuing M&V<br />

developments and user feedback<br />

Visit http://www.aepca.asn.au/


M&V for Energy Savings Projects<br />

Any Type, EPC, In-House or Multi-Site<br />

Projects<br />

Site-specific energy savings projects<br />

Different to Rating, Benchmarking, and<br />

Targeting<br />

Savings Over Time Pays for Retrofit Costs<br />

EPC Process<br />

Project Implementation Phases<br />

• Baseyear Period – Planning & Design - M&V Plan and<br />

Baselines<br />

• Installation Period – Construction & Commissioning<br />

• Performance Period – Savings Reconciliation


Simplified Energy Savings Project Scenario


Measurements for Energy Savings Projects


Energy Savings Determination


Energy Savings Determination<br />

During Baseyear Period, Create and Agree<br />

• Baseyear Measurements & Calculation Methods<br />

• Baseyear Conditions and Assumptions<br />

• Create Baseyear Model to be used to calculate Baseline Energy for<br />

Performance<br />

During Performance Period<br />

• Calculate Baseline Energy that Would Have Been Consumed<br />

If ECMs Had Not Been Installed<br />

• Adjust Baseline Energy for Other Changes in Conditions and<br />

Assumptions<br />

• Measure Actual Energy Consumed with ECMs Installed<br />

For Current Period<br />

• Achieved Savings = Adjusted Baseline – Post-Retrofit Actual<br />

• Savings Reconciliation = Guaranteed Savings – Achieved Savings


Importance of M&V Plan<br />

An M&V Plan is mandatory<br />

When should the M&V Plan be<br />

developed<br />

How to develop an M&V Plan<br />

Who should prepare the M&V Plan<br />

Who should verify the M&V Plan<br />

adherence


IPMVP M&V Options<br />

Realized Savings = f (Performance, Operation)<br />

Responsibility Sharing for Performance and Operation<br />

Option A - Partially Measured Retrofit Isolation<br />

• Partial short-term/continuous term/continuous measurements – some but not all stipulated<br />

• For Separable ECM Savings Determination - Lighting<br />

Option B - Retrofit Isolation<br />

• Full short-tern tern or continuous field measurement - no stipulations<br />

• For Separable ECM Savings Determination - HVAC subsystem<br />

Option C - Whole (or Part) Building<br />

• Full continuous energy use and demand measurement during Baseline e and<br />

Post- Retrofit Periods<br />

• Collective Savings of all ECMs for Area monitored by a Single Meter<br />

Option D – Calibrated Simulation<br />

• Computer-based simulation of energy use of building components<br />

• Simulation Calibration, Considerable skills, Costly ????


Option C - Baseyear Model Creation<br />

kWh = (34,609.8 x Days) + (4,666 x HDD) + (4,440.6 x CDD)


Importance of Measurements<br />

Use Best Practice for each specific energy measurement<br />

situation<br />

Minimise inherent errors & avoid data management errors<br />

Billing and Smart Meter Data from Utilities<br />

- advantages and difficulties<br />

Sub-metering may be required - advantages and disadvantages<br />

Other Data – Weather, Areas, Occupancy, Production Levels<br />

Need policies, practices and business processes to assure<br />

completeness, timeliness and quality of the energy<br />

measurements and other data


Cost Avoidance<br />

Cost Savings = Quantity Savings x Price<br />

• Baseline Adjustments Reduce Energy Quantity Risks<br />

• Neither Party Controls Price Risk on Cost Savings<br />

When Prices Go Down<br />

• Customer Benefits from Reduced Billed Charges<br />

• Cost Savings Reduced – Cost Savings Risk Impact ???<br />

When Prices Go Up<br />

• Customer Pays Higher Billed Charges<br />

• Cost Savings Increased – Cost Savings Risk Impact ???<br />

Selecting the Price – Use Current Price ???<br />

Use Agreed Stipulated Prices to Remove Price Risk


Case 1: Water Savings Performance<br />

Baseline kL = f (Days)<br />

Goodness of Fit = 00.0%


Case 2: Gas Savings Performance<br />

Baseline MJ = f (Days, Heating Severity)<br />

Goodness of Fit = 96.0%


Case 3: Water Baseline Adjustment<br />

Baseline kL = f (Days)<br />

Goodness of Fit = 00.0%


Case 4: Energy Baseline Creation<br />

Baseline kWh = f (Days, Cooling Severity)<br />

Goodness of Fit = 57.3%


Case 4: Energy Baseline Creation<br />

Baseline kWh = f (Days, Cooling, Occupancy)<br />

Goodness of Fit = 85.3%


Case 5: Portfolio Energy Savings<br />

Comparative Monthly Consumption<br />

Base Year = 2000/2001 Reporting Year = 2001/2002


Cases 5: Portfolio Energy Savings Performance<br />

Annual & Monthly Cooling Severity Comparison<br />

Base Year = 2000/2001 Reporting Year = 2001/2002


Case 5: Portfolio Energy Savings – Base Year<br />

Baseline Energy (kWh) = f (Days, Cooling Severity)<br />

Goodness of Fit = 99.2%


Case 5: Portfolio Energy Savings - Reporting Year<br />

Can Agency take credit for apparent energy reduction ???


Case 5: Energy Savings Reporting Errors<br />

Non-Adjusted Energy Savings<br />

Actual Consumption for 2000/2001 in kWh 1,605,138<br />

Actual Consumption for 2001/2002 in kWh 1,197,135<br />

Consumption Reduction before Weather Correction 408,003<br />

Percentage Reduction relative to Base Reference Year………<br />

………..…..25.42%..25.42%<br />

Adjusted Energy Savings<br />

Estimated Baseline Energy for 2001/2002 in kWh 1,079,412<br />

Actual Consumption for 2001/2002 in kWh 1,197,135<br />

Consumption Increase After Weather Correction 117,723<br />

Percentage Increase relative to Weather-Corrected Baseline……<br />

……..10.91%


Concluding Messages<br />

Adopt proven and trustworthy M&V policies<br />

and practices for energy savings projects<br />

Adopt proven and trustworthy policies and<br />

practices for determining Energy Baselines for<br />

reporting energy savings<br />

Adopt proven policies and practices to assure<br />

the completeness, timeliness and quality of the<br />

energy data<br />

Use the Best Practice Guide for M&V as your<br />

starting point – it is an AEPCA free issue


Questions ?

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