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Diplomatic Negotiation

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Chapter XI: Simulating <strong>Diplomatic</strong> <strong>Negotiation</strong><br />

295<br />

Although the teams were asked to avoid procedural discussions and to focus on the<br />

subject matter as much as possible, more than half of the negotiation time was lost because<br />

of a prolonged procedural struggle. A ‘fight’ over the explanation and interpretation of<br />

things that were or were not allowed during the upcoming inspection period dominated<br />

the first half of the negotiation and bedevilled the second half. This was not coincidental;<br />

everybody recognized it as a strategy used by the ISP, and the flow of the bargaining<br />

process clearly showed that it was extremely difficult for the IT to break through the ISP’s<br />

defences. The rules and regulations of the CTBTO and its Manual – which is still under<br />

consideration in reality – clearly give the high ground to the state to be inspected. It is<br />

thus quite easy for the ISP to use procedural issues to postpone discussions on content.<br />

This avoidance strategy provoked escalation, which did not really foster an integrative<br />

bargaining process. While the ISP had a pulling strategy from the start, the IT had – because<br />

of its time problem – no choice but to implement a pushing approach. In this situation, it<br />

was more difficult for the ‘offensive’ party to stay balanced than for the ‘defensive’ party.<br />

Positional bargaining characterized the process, although some useful integrative aspects<br />

were inserted into the second half of the interaction by a group of experts of both parties,<br />

which had reached agreement on a few important issues during their break-out session.<br />

Being experts, so not being too bothered by the political process enfolding between<br />

the two teams, it was not too difficult to bridge some rifts. Obviously, the back-channel<br />

negotiations did not suffer from the loss-of-face problems with which the delegations in<br />

the ‘plenary’ session noted above were confronted. However, these positive results forged<br />

by the expert group could not (yet) turn the negotiation process into a problem-solving<br />

process. Slowly but surely, the issue-specific power of the IT shifted to the ISP, with no<br />

substantial results at the end of the bargaining process.<br />

The lesson from this section is therefore that the CTBTO’s rules and regulations do<br />

not – at least not in the context of this TTE – allow for enough space for the inspection<br />

team to have a successful negotiation on on-site inspection with the inspected state party.<br />

MULTILATERAL LESSONS FOR PRACTICE 3<br />

Post-agreement negotiation was extensively dealt with in the book Getting it Done,<br />

edited by Bertram Spector and William Zartman (Spector and Zartman, 2003), which<br />

provides us with interesting lessons for theory and practice, foremost on stability. With<br />

this book in mind, a simulation was created to test the impact of process, stages and<br />

stakeholders, as three of the five stability factors mentioned in the book (Spector, 2003:<br />

272–292). The occasion for this simulation was the tenth anniversary of the creation of the<br />

OPCW, the Organization for the Prohibition of Chemical Weapons (Krutzsch and Trapp,<br />

1999; Yepes-Enríquez and Tabassi, 2002; Kenyon and Feakes, 2007). The Nobel Peace<br />

Prize 2013 was awarded to the OPCW for its work on the monitoring and destruction<br />

This section on ‘Multilateral Lessons’ is based on Meerts (2007), with the<br />

support of Wilbur Perlot.

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