Province of Balochistan Pakistan

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Table: 4.2: Drought types and their intensity scale based on evidence from the field (Source: Survey 2015; drought categorization according to Union Councils) Drought type Mild drought Moderate drought Meteorological Agricultural Hydrological Socio-economic • Untimely and less than average annual precipitation • Khushkaba, sailaba, rainfed crops sown, but not harvested • Start of effect on pasture land • Either pasture or water deficient • Moisture stress • Farmers struggle to save existing crops/orchards • Farmers change cropping plan • Reduction in fodder cultivation • Less than average precipitation • Less/no stream flows • Less/no recharge of groundwater • Reduced discharge flow of water from springs, karezes and tubewells • Reduced incomes from agriculture and livestock • Unemployment • Forced sale of household assets • Forced sale of land • Malnutrition and decrease in health conditions • Increase in crime rate • Very little precipitation • Khushkaba,sailaba, rainfed crops not sown • Yield losses of irrigated crops • No pasture or water for grazing animals • Great moisture stress • Areas for crop cultivation reduces • Low yields • Poor quality produce • Drying of crops and trees begins • Drying of springs, karezes and tubewells • Farmers strive to save orchards/crops by supplying water from other areas through pipelines or tankers • Drinking water shortage • Loss of sources of livelihood • Migration • Seeking laborer and other jobs in other areas/sectors 26
Figure 4.11: Severity of drought in Balochistan based on the sample results 4.2.8 Population at risk from drought According to the survey results, the projected rise of population at risk to drought, directly or indirectly, is around 60-70 % in Balochistan (Figure 4.11). Some 50-60% of the population is affected by a moderate drought and are at risk in Pishin, Killa Abdullah, Mastung, Kalat and Loralai districts. Among other districts, Loralai district is the worst affected and the socio-economic impact of drought can be observed in the form of loss of sources of livelihood, unemployment, migration, etc. The degree of drought effect in Killa Saifullah, Zhob, Sherani, Kohlu, Lasbela, Gawader and Kech districts is 30-55% as shown in Figure 4.11. The districts of Noshki, Chagai, Kharan, Quetta, Ziarat, Sibi, Nasirabad, Jaffarabad, Bolan, Dera Bugti, Musa Khal, Barkhan and Jhal Magsi are at drought risk by 40-65% due to different types of drought that exist in varying degrees. 4.3 Vulnerability context: drought impact and respondents’ perceptions Drought vulnerability is a complex concept that includes both biophysical and socio-economic drivers of drought impact that influence coping capacity. The term vulnerability is used here to convey the characteristics of a system or social group that make it susceptible to suffering the consequences of drought. Vulnerability in the context of disasters can be defined as the prevailing or consequential 27
Page 1 and 2: Drought Risk Assessment in the Prov
Page 3 and 4: 4.2.4 Hydrological drought 20 4.2.5
Page 5 and 6: List of Tables Table 3.1: District
Page 7 and 8: Executive summary • Recurring dro
Page 9 and 10: • The drought has differentially
Page 11 and 12: Chapter 1: Introduction Drought is
Page 13 and 14: Chapter 2: Overview of the study ar
Page 15 and 16: district of which some 6.8 persons
Page 17 and 18: The district headquarter is Uthal.
Page 19 and 20: Chapter 3: Methodology 3.1 Assessme
Page 21 and 22: Figure 3.1: Case study districts of
Page 23 and 24: At the province and district levels
Page 25 and 26: east, returning every 8, 20, and 60
Page 27 and 28: across temporal and spatial scales.
Page 29 and 30: Figure 4.4: Severity of meteorologi
Page 31 and 32: hydrological year to study the effe
Page 33 and 34: 4.2.5 Standardized water level inde
Page 35: Figure 4.10: Severity of socio-econ
Page 39 and 40: intrusion (V8) was marked higher th
Page 41 and 42: Chena Alizai, and in some villages
Page 43 and 44: Figure 4.16: Drying fruit trees due
Page 45 and 46: 0% -10% -20% Pishin Killa Saifullah
Page 47 and 48: Figure 4.22: A view of Zanginawar L
Page 49 and 50: 35.0 30.0 25.0 20.0 15.0 10.0 5.0 0
Page 51 and 52: one daily meal (FAO/WFP, 2000). But
Page 53 and 54: 100 Killa Saifullah Loralai Pishin
Page 55 and 56: Figure 4.30: Vineyards considered a
Page 57 and 58: So far, the provincial government o
Page 59 and 60: Non-Governmental Organizations (NGO
Page 61 and 62: Chapter 5: Policy recommendations f
Page 63 and 64: sectoral involvement of government
Page 65 and 66: • Define the duties and responsib
Page 67 and 68: important process of enforcing the
Page 69 and 70: To date, however, a common response
Page 71 and 72: Chapter 6: Conclusion Drought in Ba
Page 73 and 74: References Abarquez, I. and Murshed
Page 75 and 76: PDMA (Provincial Disaster Managemen
Page 77 and 78: Appendix B: Groundwater balance in
Page 79 and 80: Appendix D: Household survey drough
Page 81 and 82: 5. Crop patterns and changes over t
Page 83 and 84: 8. Estimated gross family income (R
Page 85 and 86: 10. Water resources and management
Page 87 and 88:
13. Vulnerability context Indicate
Page 89 and 90:
Appendix E: Key informants survey q
Page 91 and 92:
Please indicate the significance of
Page 93 and 94:
How many Karezes and springs are fu
Page 95 and 96:
Appendix F: Stakeholders survey que
Page 97:
Have there been any changes occurri
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Province of Balochistan Pakistan

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