TROLL - Impression.be
TROLL - Impression.be
TROLL - Impression.be
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State of the art simulation methods:<br />
• Standard backward (NEWTON, relaxation),<br />
• Forward looking simulation (FAIR-<br />
TAYLOR, stack-time),<br />
• Simulate dynamic,<br />
dynamic equation by equation,<br />
static<br />
semi-static,<br />
• Losts of parameters to tune the simulation<br />
progress, more possibilities to go<br />
through non-convergence events.<br />
With <strong>TROLL</strong>, just pay attention to the system<br />
of equations and use all the integrated tools<br />
available to you. It is simply <strong>be</strong>autiful: flexible,<br />
efficient, with state of the art algorithms (see<br />
<strong>be</strong>low).<br />
All kinds of simulations are possible: static every<br />
period or ‘semi-static’, dynamic equationby-equation,<br />
dynamic on the full system.<br />
By switching from static to dynamic step-bystep,<br />
you may avoid a lot of trouble in the<br />
convergence process; therefore, you will save<br />
time.<br />
SofTwaRe/oVeRView<br />
Optimisation<br />
Advanced techniques to complement regressions and simulation<br />
Find out the stability of you model’s parameters,<br />
the <strong>be</strong>st estimators of complex systems<br />
by defining your own objective function. Optimising<br />
on a maximum log-likelihood function<br />
is possible and thanks to the <strong>TROLL</strong> Programming<br />
Language, you will control any kind of<br />
surrounding effects.<br />
Efficiency:<br />
• Intensive use of RAM for speed,<br />
• Exogenise a variable in the simulation,<br />
• Tools for model structure analysis,<br />
• Selective storage of variables in databanks,<br />
• DEFINITION to avoid preparing a database<br />
for all symbols of the system.<br />
Don’t forget <strong>TROLL</strong> also has a stochastic simulator.<br />
Even if these kinds of simulations are<br />
costly, both with regard to the volume of output<br />
stored as well as RAM requirements, the<br />
simulator is optimised enough in terms of performance<br />
to make many exercises feasible on<br />
your computer.<br />
<strong>TROLL</strong> also contains a famous module for advanced<br />
modellers, called LKROOTS. Its aim is<br />
to perform eigenanalysis on a linearized version<br />
of the model, for both backward and forward-looking<br />
models. Analysis of the num<strong>be</strong>r<br />
of roots and their modulus will indicate perhaps<br />
an explosive growth mode on some variables<br />
of a backward model, or, for a forward-looking<br />
model, you will immediately verify if the system<br />
follows the “Blanchard-Khan” condition.<br />
This approach is for example applied in determining<br />
a set of coefficients, where some<br />
of them are constrained. The variance/covariance<br />
matrix may <strong>be</strong> produced as an output<br />
of the process. <strong>TROLL</strong> <strong>be</strong>comes a powerful research<br />
environment.<br />
10<br />
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