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TROLL - Impression.be

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State of the art simulation methods:<br />

• Standard backward (NEWTON, relaxation),<br />

• Forward looking simulation (FAIR-<br />

TAYLOR, stack-time),<br />

• Simulate dynamic,<br />

dynamic equation by equation,<br />

static<br />

semi-static,<br />

• Losts of parameters to tune the simulation<br />

progress, more possibilities to go<br />

through non-convergence events.<br />

With <strong>TROLL</strong>, just pay attention to the system<br />

of equations and use all the integrated tools<br />

available to you. It is simply <strong>be</strong>autiful: flexible,<br />

efficient, with state of the art algorithms (see<br />

<strong>be</strong>low).<br />

All kinds of simulations are possible: static every<br />

period or ‘semi-static’, dynamic equationby-equation,<br />

dynamic on the full system.<br />

By switching from static to dynamic step-bystep,<br />

you may avoid a lot of trouble in the<br />

convergence process; therefore, you will save<br />

time.<br />

SofTwaRe/oVeRView<br />

Optimisation<br />

Advanced techniques to complement regressions and simulation<br />

Find out the stability of you model’s parameters,<br />

the <strong>be</strong>st estimators of complex systems<br />

by defining your own objective function. Optimising<br />

on a maximum log-likelihood function<br />

is possible and thanks to the <strong>TROLL</strong> Programming<br />

Language, you will control any kind of<br />

surrounding effects.<br />

Efficiency:<br />

• Intensive use of RAM for speed,<br />

• Exogenise a variable in the simulation,<br />

• Tools for model structure analysis,<br />

• Selective storage of variables in databanks,<br />

• DEFINITION to avoid preparing a database<br />

for all symbols of the system.<br />

Don’t forget <strong>TROLL</strong> also has a stochastic simulator.<br />

Even if these kinds of simulations are<br />

costly, both with regard to the volume of output<br />

stored as well as RAM requirements, the<br />

simulator is optimised enough in terms of performance<br />

to make many exercises feasible on<br />

your computer.<br />

<strong>TROLL</strong> also contains a famous module for advanced<br />

modellers, called LKROOTS. Its aim is<br />

to perform eigenanalysis on a linearized version<br />

of the model, for both backward and forward-looking<br />

models. Analysis of the num<strong>be</strong>r<br />

of roots and their modulus will indicate perhaps<br />

an explosive growth mode on some variables<br />

of a backward model, or, for a forward-looking<br />

model, you will immediately verify if the system<br />

follows the “Blanchard-Khan” condition.<br />

This approach is for example applied in determining<br />

a set of coefficients, where some<br />

of them are constrained. The variance/covariance<br />

matrix may <strong>be</strong> produced as an output<br />

of the process. <strong>TROLL</strong> <strong>be</strong>comes a powerful research<br />

environment.<br />

10<br />

www.hendyplan.com - info@hendyplan.com - BRUSSELS - FRANkFURT - LUXEMBOURG - PARIS - TEL : +352 26 64 44<br />

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