TROLL - Impression.be
TROLL - Impression.be
TROLL - Impression.be
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In FORECASTMOD<br />
Single linear equation:<br />
• Ordinary Least Square,<br />
variables decomposition<br />
are available,<br />
• VAR, VECM using Johansen<br />
cointegration algorithm, is<br />
programmed in such interface,<br />
• As a side effect tests are<br />
available in the flow of the<br />
computation, such as normality,<br />
heteroskedasticity,<br />
autocorrelation, etc, as well<br />
as recursive regressions<br />
for the coefficient stability<br />
analysis.<br />
FORECASTMOD is also providing<br />
all results in MS-EXCEL<br />
with tables and graphs.<br />
SofTwaRe/oVeRView<br />
FORECASTMOD is userfriendly interface making the most of the regression tasks accessible as<br />
well from a menu-drive system and as MACRO with full automation of exercises.<br />
Simulation and forecasting<br />
Definitively the state of the art<br />
Flexibility of use:<br />
DATA<br />
input<br />
DATA<br />
output<br />
Result in<br />
spreadsheet<br />
• No limit to the num<strong>be</strong>r of equations,<br />
• Many combinations to control input<br />
data to the simulation and to involve<br />
shocks,<br />
• Integration with the rest of <strong>TROLL</strong>, i.e.<br />
availability of all data transformation<br />
functions by keeping simulation information<br />
in memory<br />
• Tools for immediate comparisons of<br />
results<br />
Control<br />
consistencies<br />
Run the<br />
process<br />
TUI manager<br />
(keep version and consistency)<br />
[ Figure 4: The FORECASTMOD principles ]<br />
Process selection<br />
DATA pretransformation<br />
ACCESS/SEARCH<br />
manager<br />
Definition of<br />
sepcifications<br />
Calibrating a model? Immediate! Just insert<br />
residual variables wherever you want, in the<br />
form you want, with the names you like. Solve<br />
the model as you run the normal dynamic version<br />
on the residuals: output will <strong>be</strong> saved in<br />
databases like any other simulation and all<br />
comparison, reporting tools will <strong>be</strong> available<br />
for them.<br />
9<br />
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