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The California Cap-and-Trade Program<br />

Looking Back on the First Phase<br />

David Clegern & Mary Jane Coombs, California Air Resources Board<br />

Background on California’s program<br />

Groundbreaking legislation passed in 2006 by the California<br />

State Legislature requires that the state return to 1990 levels of<br />

greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions by 2020. The economy-wide<br />

California Cap-and-Trade Program (the Program) is a key element<br />

of California’s climate plan. It sets a statewide limit on sources<br />

responsible for 85% of California’s GHG emissions, and establishes<br />

a price signal in order to drive long-term investment in cleaner<br />

fuels and a more efficient use of energy.<br />

The Program is designed as part of a comprehensive set of<br />

policies. It works in concert with California’s Low Carbon Fuel<br />

Standard which reduces the carbon intensity of transportation fuels,<br />

California’s Advanced Clean Car Program which forces the transition<br />

to a largely zero-emission vehicle fleet, and California’s Renewables<br />

Portfolio Standard which obliges electricity utilities to increase purchases<br />

of renewable electricity to 33% of their total by 2020, and to<br />

50% by 2030. Together, these policies drive down emissions while<br />

spurring economic growth and technology development.<br />

This combination of policies also spreads the costs and benefits<br />

of fighting climate change across the economy. They not only<br />

reduce emissions, but also encourage the development of new<br />

and more efficient businesses and generate a growing number of<br />

jobs. Since these policies have come into effect, California’s carbon<br />

emissions have continued to drop while the economy has<br />

grown at a pace well beyond the national average.<br />

“This high compliance rate demonstrates<br />

that industry can fulfill the key role it must<br />

play in California’s effort to curb the<br />

impacts of climate change. It also shows<br />

that our staff has designed a program<br />

which is manageable for those who must<br />

participate.”<br />

1 The emissions cap for 2013 was 162.8 million metrics tons of CO2e (MMTCO2e), and for 2014 was<br />

159.7 MMTCO2e. With greater sectoral coverage, the cap more than doubled to 394.5 MMTCO2e<br />

in 2015.<br />

2 Large sources emitting at least 25,000 MMTCO2e per year.<br />

3 Including an optional limited number of offset credits.<br />

4 California actually holds two auctions simultaneously: the current auction that sells allowances<br />

from the year in which the auction is held, and the advance auction that sells 10 percent<br />

of the allowances of the budget year (vintage) three years ahead.<br />

25%<br />

20%<br />

15%<br />

10%<br />

5%<br />

0%<br />

–5%<br />

–10%<br />

–15%<br />

–20%<br />

–25%<br />

Change since 2000<br />

2000<br />

2001<br />

2002<br />

2003<br />

2004<br />

Metric<br />

GDP<br />

Population<br />

GHG <strong>Emissions</strong><br />

GHG <strong>Emissions</strong> per Capital<br />

GHG <strong>Emissions</strong> per GDP<br />

2005<br />

2006<br />

2007<br />

2008<br />

2009<br />

The California Program has a number of design features that offer<br />

covered entities flexibility as to when, how and where emissions<br />

are reduced, including the use of offsets and multi-year compliance<br />

periods. At the same time, a progressively declining cap further<br />

serves to drive emissions reductions in line with California’s<br />

climate change targets. From 2015 onwards, the cap is scheduled<br />

to be reduced by about 3% each year. 1<br />

The extensive coverage of the Program drives emissions reductions<br />

across the whole economy. In the first compliance period<br />

(CP1, 2013–2014), the Program covered around 450 entities, including<br />

both stationary sources 2 and importers of electricity. Last year,<br />

California became one of the few jurisdictions in the world to<br />

include the transport sector. As a result, suppliers of transportation<br />

fuels, natural gas and other fuels now have compliance obligations.<br />

The first two-year compliance period began on 1 January 2013.<br />

Across this period, covered entities were required to meet their<br />

obligations in two stages. Firstly, in November 2014, entities had<br />

to surrender allowances 3 for 30% of their 2013 emissions. This<br />

mid-period compliance event (now an annual provision) was<br />

implemented to ensure entities keep track of their compliance<br />

obligations and to act as a kind of ‘down payment’ to safeguard<br />

against default. The following year (2 November 2015), entities<br />

were required to submit allowances for the remaining 70% of their<br />

2013 emissions, and all of their 2014 emissions. Virtually all entities<br />

(402 of 404 covered facilities and importers) complied with the<br />

Program in its first period. As California Air Resources Board Chair<br />

Mary D. Nichols notes, “This high compliance rate demonstrates<br />

that industry can fulfill the key role it must play in California’s effort<br />

to curb the impacts of climate change. It also shows that our<br />

staff has designed a program which is manageable for those who<br />

must participate.”<br />

2010<br />

2011<br />

2012<br />

2013<br />

Associated 2013 Value<br />

2.05 trillion (2009 $)<br />

38.2 million<br />

459.3 MMTCO2e<br />

12 metric tons CO2e per person<br />

224 metric tons CO2e per million dollars<br />

GDP<br />

Population<br />

GHG <strong>Emissions</strong><br />

GHG <strong>Emissions</strong> per Capital<br />

GHG <strong>Emissions</strong> per GDP<br />

Figure 1: Change in California GDP, population and GHG emissions since 2000.<br />

Source: California Air Resources Board <strong>Emissions</strong> Inventory;<br />

http://www.arb.ca.gov/cc/inventory/data/graph/trends/ghg_trends_00-13_20150504sm.png<br />

12

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