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The EU ETS<br />

Preparing for Phase Four<br />

Maja-Alexandra Dittel, Johannes Enzmann & Dalwon Kim<br />

The European Commission<br />

Background<br />

The EU’s <strong>Emissions</strong> <strong>Trading</strong> System (EU ETS) is a cornerstone of<br />

the EU’s policy to fight climate change. It covers more than 11,000<br />

installations in 31 countries (28 EU Member States, as well as<br />

Norway, Iceland and Lichtenstein) including airlines performing<br />

aviation activities between EEA airports, and has created a functioning<br />

market infrastructure and a liquid market.<br />

Phase Four Revisions<br />

In July 2015, the European Commission submitted a legislative<br />

proposal to the Council and European Parliament to make the EU<br />

ETS fit to enter Phase Four (2021–2030). The proposal is in line with<br />

the political agreement of the European Council of October 2014,<br />

to reduce greenhouse gas emissions by at least 40% domestically<br />

by 2030.<br />

Cap<br />

In order to contribute to the 2030 greenhouse gas emission reduction<br />

target, the sectors covered by the EU ETS have to reduce their<br />

emissions by 43% compared to 2005. Therefore, the overall number<br />

of emission allowances will decrease at an annual rate of 2.2%<br />

from 2021 onwards, compared to 1.74% in Phase Three (2013–2020).<br />

This means an annual reduction of 48 million tons CO 2 e amounting<br />

to an additional aggregate reduction of 556 million tons CO 2 e<br />

in Phase Four compared to continuing the current provisions.<br />

Allocation and Carbon Leakage<br />

In view of the decision of the European Council not to reduce the<br />

share of auctioning, 57% of allowances will be auctioned in Phase<br />

Four. It is expected that around 6.3 billion allowances will be allocated<br />

for free in Phase Four.<br />

The proposal fully acknowledges the need to maintain the<br />

competitiveness of European industry. For this reason, it is proposed<br />

free allocation to sectors exposed to the risk of carbon leakage<br />

continues. However, the proposal aims at a more streamlined<br />

and targeted list of sectors that should benefit from free allocation<br />

under the carbon leakage provisions. Under the proposed measures,<br />

the carbon leakage list may be considerably reduced and<br />

finally only encompass around 50 sectors.<br />

In the light of the positive experience with benchmark-based<br />

free allocation, and the fact that the ambition level of the existing<br />

benchmark values would decline over time due to technological<br />

progress, the proposal foresees that the 54 benchmark values be<br />

updated twice during the period 2021–2030 based on a methodology<br />

that rewards innovative and fast moving sectors.<br />

“The proposal fully acknowledges the<br />

need to maintain the competitiveness<br />

of European industry.”<br />

Promoting Low Carbon Investments<br />

In view of the 2030 targets, the proposal is designed to promote<br />

low carbon investments and to support economic actors under<br />

the EU ETS to cope with the challenges they face in the transition<br />

to a low carbon economy.<br />

cutting emissions<br />

Faster emissions cuts after 2020<br />

2013–2020 2021–2030<br />

Additional emissions<br />

reduction 556 million<br />

tons CO 2<br />

Figure 1: <strong>Emissions</strong> reductions in phase three and four of the EU ETS<br />

© European Commission (2015), available at:<br />

http://ec.europa.eu/clima/policies/ets/revision/docs/ets_revision_slides_en.pdf<br />

Two funds are set up to this end:<br />

• The Innovation Fund, under which 450 million allowances<br />

will be reserved, in order to support innovation in low carbon<br />

technologies and processes in renewable industry as well as to<br />

stimulate the development and deployment of environmentally<br />

safe carbon capture and storage of CO 2 . Demonstration<br />

projects of innovative renewable energy technologies will also<br />

be eligible. Projects in the territory of all Member States could<br />

benefit from the Innovation Fund.<br />

• The Modernisation Fund, from which lower-income Member<br />

States with a GDP per capita below 60% of the EU average will<br />

benefit. It is proposed to be financed by 2% of the total quantity<br />

of allowances between 2021 and 2030. The Fund will support<br />

investments with a view to modernizing energy systems and<br />

improving energy efficiency in the eligible Member States. The<br />

governance of the fund will involve an Investment Board with<br />

representatives of Member States, the Commission and the<br />

European Investment Bank.<br />

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