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ECONOMICS YEARLY REVIEW

Law_and_Economics_Yearly_Review_LEYR_Journal_vol_4_part_2_2015

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The Capital Markets Union and the elusive goal<br />

of a ‛genuine’ Economic and Monetary Union<br />

Rainer Masera *<br />

ABSTRACT: The objective of a European EMU of stable prices, open markets, shared<br />

prosperity, employment and sustainable growth was defined in a Summit meeting of 1969,<br />

and has been actively pursued as a primary goal of the Union over since. Significant results<br />

have been achieved, but the 5 Presidents’ Report (5PR) of June 2015 frankly admits that a<br />

‛genuine’ EMU remains an unaccomplished endeavour: divergences create fragilities for the<br />

whole Union which must be rapidly corrected. A critical analysis of the results so far<br />

recorded in the euro zone comes also from other recent documents of the ECB and the IMF.<br />

The 5 Presidents indicate a roadmap covering the next decade to ensure a genuine EMU:<br />

they argue that progress must be simultaneously made towards economic, financial, fiscal<br />

and political union. All Unions are mutually interdependent and must develop in parallel.<br />

Financial Union, which comprises the launching and achievement of a Capital Markets<br />

Union (CMU), receives specific attention.<br />

The aim of this paper is to offer a critical assessment of the Report, in the analytical<br />

framework of a system-wide perspective on financial and economic stability offered by the<br />

macro prudential policy approach. Purposely, the quantitative evidence presented to<br />

illustrate the shortcomings of the EMU building process so far comes exclusively from<br />

official documents/papers of the ECB, the EC and the IMF.<br />

The “traverse” to the 4-Union EMU is especially complex partly because it goes beyond<br />

economic analysis and policy. The crucial role of CMU requires clarification, also in terms of<br />

the legal approach to be adopted. More generally, the intertwining of economic policies<br />

and the role of fallacies of composition/division must be analytically developed. The 5PR<br />

* Dean of the School of Business, Università degli Studi Guglielmo Marconi, Rome. E-mail:<br />

r.masera@unimarconi.it. The author is grateful to two anonymous referees for very helpful comments on the<br />

first draft of the paper.<br />

215

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